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99%的创业者都搞反了:先抓细节,公司死得更快
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-19 00:36
与数百位创始人深入交流后,会陷入归纳的执念:能否提炼出他们的若干共性?这些共性可以视为他们的底层逻辑,也可以视为其思维金字塔尖的部分。 类似答案有很多,如强大的心理韧性、自我复盘能力、持续学习与迭代、偏好风险又不失谨慎等。这些都对,不过更多指向"生而不同"的素质。那是否有 一种更依赖于后天习得的技能?最近听到了一个颇有价值的提炼:系统化能力下的细节能力。 这句话来自千禾集团董事长伍超群。伍超群从四川眉州一个普通农民家庭闯出来,种过地、做过推销员,创业进出了很多坑,到今天成为国内调味品头部 公司之一的掌门人。"系统化能力下的细节能力",是他经过一线血战总结出的经验。系统化能力,是公司在关键要素上不能有明显短板,构建起组织级的 能力;细节能力,是在产品和服务上追求极致专业化。细节能力必须要建立在系统能力之上,才能够固化、复制与迭代。 特别对初创公司而言,创始人的系统能力都会有欠缺。有人是技术背景,不善于做销售;有人销售出身,不懂技术;有人懂技术与销售,却不擅长管理; 有人长于管理却弱于融资。创业之初,大家都特别渴望找到合伙人或高管,帮自己做不懂的事,这样的搭档还能够交流顺畅,不离不弃,可惜至少在B轮 融资前,找人 ...
从单药博弈到系统制胜:创新药投资的“能力锚”与“全球局”
雪球· 2025-11-01 03:55
Core Viewpoint - The essence of innovative drug investment is a "high risk, high return" probability game, focusing on the value realization cycle of potential blockbuster drugs [2] - The success of a single drug is merely a "probability event," while the "system capability" of a company is crucial for navigating cycles and enhancing success rates [2][3] Pipeline Worship Rejection - The value of a pipeline is ultimately defined by the company's capabilities, rather than the pipeline itself [4] - For small innovative drug companies, the core value is concentrated in 1-2 key pipelines, while for larger companies and MNCs, the match between "pipeline thickness" and "capability boundaries" is key to determining value [5] - The "false precision" of pipeline valuation is meaningless; the success rate of a drug from clinical trials to approval is only about 10% [6] Company and Platform Capabilities - Company capabilities serve as a "risk hedging tool" for pipelines, enhancing the success probability and value ceiling of drugs [7] - The core of a pipeline is "sustainability" rather than "quantity," as evidenced by the growth history of overseas MNCs [8] Chinese Characteristics of Capability - The "low cost + strong sales" model of companies like Heng Rui is a unique product of China's innovative drug industry stage, based on industry advantages [10] - The model's boundaries do not apply to overseas markets, where MNCs focus on breakthrough innovations and global sales platforms [11] Evolution of Capabilities - The direction of capability evolution is shifting from "cost advantages" to "innovation + integration," as the market landscape changes [12][13] Global Perspective on Big Pharma Logic - Comparing domestic and foreign MNCs clarifies the boundaries between "single drug competition" and "system victory," with both relying on system capabilities rather than single drug dependence [15][16] Investment Framework Upgrade - The complete framework for innovative drug investment should adapt to "stage matching + capability focus," recognizing the value of single drug competition while not idolizing pipelines [18] - For small innovative drug companies, the focus remains on "single drug value inflection points," while for large companies and MNCs, the emphasis is on "capability inflection points" [18] Incremental Options to Enhance Long-term Value - Three incremental options can significantly enhance investment elasticity: improvements in payment terms, overseas value realization, and merger integration [19] - Caution is advised against companies that focus solely on pipeline stories or lack clear capability boundaries for overseas expansion [19] Conclusion - The essence of innovative drug investment is balancing "probability and value," with small companies focusing on "single drug success" and large companies on "capability-driven success" [21] - The development of China's innovative drugs is transitioning from "single drug breakthroughs" to "system competition," with future winners being those that can upgrade local advantages to global innovation and integration capabilities [21]
中国创新药出海狂飙:450亿美元交易撞上“系统能力”大考
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-21 10:11
Core Insights - The total transaction value of Chinese innovative drugs going abroad has exceeded $45 billion in the first five months of 2025, nearly matching the total for the entire year of 2024, indicating strong confidence from international pharmaceutical giants in China's original drug capabilities [1] - Despite the impressive figures, there are significant challenges, with a 40% termination rate in license-out transactions, highlighting systemic risks in clinical trial design and commercial cooperation [1] - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry is at a historical turning point, facing increasing international regulatory pressures and a shift from "single-point breakthroughs" to comprehensive capability assessments [1][5] Industry Status - Chinese new drug research capabilities have reached a world-class level, with 1,775 First-in-Class (FIC) drugs, accounting for 19% of the global total, narrowing the gap with the U.S. [3] - The number of Chinese research presentations at the ASCO conference has increased, with 73 reports in 2025, including 11 breakthrough studies, representing 20% of the total [3] - However, challenges remain, including a significant degree of homogeneity in drug research and a mismatch between industry development and market potential [1][3] Clinical Trials and Research - In the oncology sector, clinical trials accounted for 41% of all trials, with a notable increase in trials for rare cancers, which made up 74% of new trials in 2024, reflecting a 3% growth from 2023 [4] - The proportion of clinical trials conducted by Chinese companies has risen to 39%, up from 24% five years ago, indicating a growing role in global new product development [4] - Despite the growth, there are still issues with the internationalization of regulatory systems, leading to insufficient responses from Chinese teams to complex inquiries from the FDA [5] Innovation and Development Strategies - Original innovation remains the core competitiveness for biopharmaceutical companies, necessitating a focus on clinical needs and clear targets for therapeutic breakthroughs [6] - The establishment of a three-dimensional innovation ecosystem is essential for domestic innovative drug companies, requiring collaboration across research, industry, and regulation [6][9] - The transition from "license-out" to "co-development" models necessitates that Chinese pharmaceutical companies develop comprehensive capabilities across the entire value chain [9] Global Market Expansion - The Chinese biopharmaceutical industry is experiencing explosive growth, with a significant portion of innovative drug pipelines originating from China [7] - Companies must navigate varying regulatory requirements across different countries, making compliance a critical factor for successful international market entry [7] - Initiatives like Cytiva's "Sail Plan" aim to support Chinese biopharmaceutical companies in global market strategies and regulatory compliance [8] Conclusion - The journey of Chinese innovative drugs in the global market is marked by impressive growth and significant challenges, with a need for systemic improvements in research, regulatory compliance, and market strategies to achieve global recognition and therapeutic value [9]
打印耗材“全球第一”背后的博弈
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-06-17 10:37
Core Insights - The article highlights that G&G has officially announced its position as the global leader in general printing consumables for 2024, marking a significant milestone for Chinese brands in the industry [1][5]. Industry Overview - General printing consumables, produced by third-party brands, are essential for various high-frequency printing environments such as hospitals, schools, and government offices, despite being low-profile products [2]. Historical Context - In the early 2000s, the Chinese general printing consumables industry faced significant challenges, including technological barriers imposed by Western companies and a weak industrial foundation [3]. - G&G emerged during this period with a commitment to innovation, successfully developing its own encryption chip within three months after the introduction of OEM chips [3][4]. - The company faced a major legal challenge in 2006 when the U.S. initiated a "337 investigation" against Chinese consumables companies, but G&G chose to respond actively, showcasing its commitment to self-research and development [3][4]. Company Achievements - G&G has achieved a remarkable milestone by becoming the first Chinese brand to reach the top position in global sales of general printing consumables, with a total sales volume of 168 million units and serving over 400 million end-users [5]. - The company holds over 6200 patents and has established a nationwide service network with more than 2000 service points, demonstrating its comprehensive capabilities in the industry [5][6]. Technological Innovations - G&G has pioneered several industry standards, including the first self-developed chip for ink cartridges and innovative technologies for ink supply and toner production [8]. - The company has introduced a new generation of products that enhance user experience, such as high-capacity refillable toner cartridges and advanced color laser printers that support domestic operating systems [9][20]. Strategic Direction - G&G plans to focus on "green intelligence" and "safety control" over the next five years, aiming to expand into high-end application scenarios and enhance China's global influence in the consumables market [26]. - The company emphasizes a shift from product output to standard output, aiming to build a comprehensive ecosystem that integrates products, services, and solutions [26][27].