Core Viewpoint - The President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve, Alberto Musalem, supports the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates last week, indicating that the central bank's inflation targets have not yet been met [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Federal Reserve Decision - The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged last week [1] - This decision reflects the ongoing challenges in achieving inflation targets [1] Inflation Targets - The current inflation goals set by the Federal Reserve have not been realized [1]

欧洲央行管委Nagel：在连续八次降息后维持利率不变是有道理的。 自6月以来，经济前景略有改善。 在不确定性环境下，保持稳健的政策是合适的。 ...

Group 1 - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller advocates for a rate cut this month to support a weakening labor market, marking a significant divergence from most of his colleagues who believe the job market remains strong [1][3][4] - Waller's speech emphasizes that inflation is near target levels and that the risks of a labor market deterioration warrant a 25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting [3][4] - He identifies a precarious balance in the labor market, supported by both hard data (employment numbers, unemployment rates) and soft data (business hiring intentions, consumer confidence) [3][4] Group 2 - Waller and Vice Chair Michelle Bowman are the only two Fed officials publicly supporting a rate cut this month, highlighting their minority position among those advocating for maintaining current rates [4] - Waller has previously held differing views from colleagues, particularly regarding the temporary impact of tariffs on inflation, and he stresses the need to focus on core inflation, which is close to the FOMC's 2% target [4][5] - Despite recent data showing that tariffs have begun to raise some prices, core inflation has remained below expectations for five consecutive months, alleviating concerns about persistent inflation [4][5] Group 3 - Waller warns that the risks of a weakening job market are significant enough to justify a rate cut, noting that while the economy is still growing, momentum has slowed considerably [5] - Other Fed officials express caution regarding the potential impacts of tariffs, suggesting a wait-and-see approach before deciding on rate cuts [5] - Market reactions indicate that investors expect the Fed to maintain rates this month, with a slightly higher than 50% probability of a rate cut in September, reflecting cautious sentiment amid internal Fed disagreements [5] Group 4 - Waller is considered a potential candidate to succeed Powell as Fed Chair after his term ends in May, and his current stance aligns with President Trump's calls for looser monetary policy, adding a political dimension to his economic views [6]

之前曾对通胀率低迷感到失望。 基本情境要求继续实施限制性政策。 美国达拉斯联储主席Logan：支持维持利率不变，以继续为通胀降温。 ...

Core Viewpoint - White House trade advisor Navarro states that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's decision to maintain interest rates is causing significant damage to the economy [1] Group 1 - Navarro emphasizes that the current interest rate policy is detrimental to economic growth [1] - The advisor suggests that the Federal Reserve's inaction is leading to adverse effects on various sectors [1] - There is a call for a reassessment of the interest rate strategy to mitigate economic harm [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's Bostic reiterated the expectation of one interest rate cut this year, while emphasizing the need to consider the latest data before making decisions [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - Interest Rate Outlook - Bostic anticipates a rate cut in 2025 and three cuts next year, indicating a patient approach to maintaining current rates due to a stable labor market [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that maintaining the current labor market and a declining inflation rate justifies keeping interest rates unchanged [1] Group 1 - The current labor market conditions are deemed stable and supportive of the decision to hold interest rates steady [1] - A continuous decrease in the inflation rate is a critical factor influencing the Fed's monetary policy [1]

Core Viewpoint - The potential inflation in Canada may be more severe than previously thought, with the possibility of interest rate cuts if the economy remains weak and CPI stable [1] Group 1: Economic Conditions - A weak economy and stable CPI may necessitate interest rate cuts [1] - The outcome of U.S. trade conflicts remains the largest headwind for the Canadian economy [1] Group 2: Trade and Global Factors - Trade negotiations are characterized by "high uncertainty" [1] - The increase in steel tariffs highlights the "unpredictability" in global trade [1] Group 3: Monetary Policy Outlook - Ensuring price stability amid "global turmoil" is deemed crucial [1] - There is a consensus to maintain current interest rates, indicating a cautious approach [1] - The central bank governor admits to having "less foresight" than in the past [1]

6位委员中的2位对未来3个月内维持利率不变持开放态度，4位对未来三个月内降息持开放态度。 韩国央行行长李昌镛：未来有更大幅度降息的可能性。 ...