焦煤：节后首日，焦煤主力合约维持弱势格局，日内增仓下行，可见短期 市场氛围依然偏空。从供需来看，春节期间停产休假煤矿将逐渐复产，蒙 煤进口量维持高位，同时地产、基建终端需求持续低迷，当下焦煤基本面 预期仍难言乐观，拖累煤价低位运行。后续，全国两会即将召开，或给市 场带来一定的宏观预期支撑，在多空博弈的格局下，焦煤期货或维持低位 震荡运行；若近期无实质性政策利好，焦煤价格仍将面临一定压力。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 姓名：涂伟华 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3060359 投资咨询证号：Z0011688 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：tuweihua@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会 授予的期货从业资格证书，期 货投资咨询资格证书，本人承 诺以勤勉的职业态度，独立、 客观地出具本报告。本报告清 晰准确地反映了本人的研究观 点。本人不会因本报告中的具 体推荐意见或观点而直接或间 接接收到任何形式的报酬。 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 黑色金属 | 日报 2026 年 2 月 24 日 煤焦日报 专业研究·创造价值 多空焦灼，煤焦低 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Views of the Report - For coke, the spot market shows that the latest quoted price of the quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke at Rizhao Port's flat - closing price index is 1,520 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week flat; the ex - warehouse price of the quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke at Qingdao Port is 1,470 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 0.68%. Recently, there is no significant change in the coke fundamentals, with both supply and demand slightly increasing at a low level. The futures lack unilateral momentum, and it is expected that the main coke contract will maintain a low - level oscillating pattern before the Spring Festival. The subsequent uncertainties mainly come from "US - Iran geopolitical risks", "Two Sessions policy expectations", and "anti - involution policy expectations" [6][32] - For coking coal, the latest quoted price of Mongolian coal at Ganqimaodu Port is 1,230.0 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 2.50%. As the Spring Festival approaches, more coal mines are on holiday, resulting in a short - term contraction of coking coal supply. However, downstream enterprises have replenished their coal stocks to a sufficient level, and coal mine production will quickly resume after the festival. Overall, the fundamentals of coking coal provide limited support, and the medium - and long - term expectation of loose supply and demand remains an important factor guiding coal price trends. Combining with the recent low - level stabilization of thermal coal prices, in the absence of medium - and long - term drivers, it is expected that coking coal prices will maintain a low - level oscillating pattern before the Spring Festival. The bullish risks mainly include three aspects: the uncertainty of the US - Iran geopolitical conflict during the Spring Festival; the approaching of the important policy node of the National Two Sessions after the Spring Festival; and the possible introduction of new "anti - involution" policies in the coal industry due to the continuous low - level operation of coal prices [7][32] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry News - On February 13, the National Bureau of Statistics announced that in January 2026, the month - on - month decline in the sales prices of commercial residential buildings in 70 large and medium - sized cities generally narrowed, while the year - on - year prices decreased. In January, the month - on - month sales prices of newly built commercial residential buildings in first - tier cities decreased by 0.3%, the same as the previous month. Among them, the price in Shanghai remained flat, while those in Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen decreased by 0.3%, 0.6%, and 0.4% respectively [9] - On February 13, Mongolia's ETT Company held an online auction for coking coal. The starting price of 1/3 coking raw coal (A9, V28 - 37, S1.0, G75, Mt8) was 93.7 US dollars/ton, and all 64,000 tons of the listed quantity were sold at a transaction price of 96.7 US dollars/ton (all prices are tax - free). The supply location is the customs supervision area at Ganqimaodu Port, and the supply time is within 90 days after payment, with the final supply date being May 14, 2026 [10] 3.2 Spot Market | Variety | Current Value | Week - on - Week Change | Month - on - Month Change | Year - on - Year Change | Year - on - Year Comparison | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rizhao Port Quasi - First - Grade Coke (Flat - Closing) | 1,520 | 0.00% | 3.40% | - 10.06% | - 1.30% | | Qingdao Port Quasi - First - Grade Coke (Ex - Warehouse) | 1,470 | - 0.68% | 0.00% | - 9.26% | - 2.65% | | Mongolian Coal at Ganqimaodu Port | 1,230 | 2.50% | - 0.81% | 4.24% | 6.03% | | Australian - Produced Coal at Jingtang Port | 1,620 | - 2.41% | 0.62% | 8.72% | 11.72% | | Shanxi - Produced Coal at Jingtang Port | 1,700 | - 4.49% | - 4.49% | 11.11% | 14.09% | [11] 3.3 Futures Market | Futures | Active Contract | Closing Price | Price Change | High Price | Low Price | Trading Volume | Volume Difference | Open Interest | Open Interest Difference | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Coke | 1 | 1,682.0 | 105.0 | 1,682.0 | 1,651.5 | 14,281 | 4,287 | 35,250 | - 2,273 | | Coking Coal | 1 | 1,121.0 | - 31.0 | 1,128.5 | 1,110.0 | 461,599 | - 67,231 | 412,479 | - 54,413 | [14] 3.4 Relevant Charts - **Coke Inventory**: Charts show the inventory of 230 independent coking plants, port coke total inventory, 247 steel - mill coking plants, and total coke inventory over the years [14][15][16] - **Coking Coal Inventory**: Charts display the inventory of coking coal at mine mouths, all - sample independent coking plants, ports, and 247 sample steel mills over the years [19][21][22] - **Other Charts**: Include domestic steel - mill production situation, Shanghai terminal wire and screw procurement volume, coal - washing plant production situation, and coking plant operation situation [27][28][30]

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2026-02-11甲醇早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号：Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 检修状况 甲醇2605： 1、基本面：假期临近，预计本周国内甲醇区间震荡为主。内地甲醇市场逐步进入节前休整周期。需求端，甲醛等传统 下游装置已相继停车放假，部分下游也完成节前备货，终端需求逐步缩量。供应端，国内甲醇工厂持续加大出货力度， 企业库存水平低位运行，部分企业已采取限量销售策略，整体供应端保持充足且无明显压力。随着春节长假日益临近， 市场交投活跃度明显下降，预计短期内内地甲醇市场将维持清淡整理格局。港口方面，甲醇期货跟随有色金属板块经历 一轮大涨大跌后再度陷入区间震荡，当前资金情绪消散，美伊地缘风险不定，基本面颓势不改，预计节前港口市场底 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report anticipates that methanol prices will fluctuate this week, with MA2605 expected to trade between 2,210 - 2,280 yuan/ton. The domestic methanol market is likely to experience range - bound fluctuations, with the inland market entering a pre - holiday rest period and the port market facing an uncertain geopolitical situation and unchanged fundamental weakness [4]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Tips - The domestic methanol market is expected to range - bound fluctuate this week. The inland market is in a pre - holiday rest period, with reduced terminal demand and sufficient supply. The port market is expected to bottom - range fluctuate before the holiday, and it is recommended to reduce risk exposure. The report also suggests observing whether and when US President Trump will launch a real military operation against Iran [4]. 3.2 Long and Short Concerns Long Factors - Some plants have shut down, such as Yulin Kaiyue and Xinjiang Xinya. - Methanol production in Iran has decreased, and port inventories are at a low level. - A 600,000 - ton/year acetic acid plant in Jingmen started production on May 16, and a 600,000 - ton/year acetic acid plant in Xinjiang Zhonghe Hezhong is planned to be put into production in late May. - Northwest CTO plants are purchasing methanol externally [6]. Short Factors - Some previously shut - down plants have resumed production, such as Inner Mongolia Donghua. - There is a concentrated arrival of ships at the port in the second half of the month. - Formaldehyde has entered the traditional off - season, and MTBE operating rates have declined significantly. - Coal - based methanol has a certain profit margin and is actively selling. - Some plants in the production area have accumulated inventories due to poor sales [7]. 3.3 Fundamental Data Price Data - Spot market: The price of thermal coal in the Bohai Rim region remained unchanged at 682 yuan/ton, and the price of methanol in various regions showed different trends. For example, the price in Jiangsu decreased by 2.78% to 2,207 yuan/ton, while the price in Inner Mongolia increased by 1.12% to 1,805 yuan/ton. - Futures market: The closing price of the main contract increased by 19 yuan/ton to 2,244 yuan/ton. - Spread structure: The basis of Jiangsu methanol was - 37 yuan/ton, indicating that the spot price was at a discount to the futures price. The import spread decreased by 35 yuan/ton [8]. Inventory Data - As of February 5, 2026, the total social inventory of methanol in the East and South China ports was 961,400 tons, a decrease of 32,400 tons from the previous period. The total available methanol in the coastal areas decreased by 35,500 tons to 463,900 tons [4]. Operating Rate Data - The weighted average operating rate across the country decreased by 3.81% to 74.90%. The operating rates in Shandong, Southwest, and Northwest regions also decreased [8]. 3.4 Maintenance Status Domestic Plants - Many domestic methanol plants are under maintenance, including Shaanxi Black Cat, Qinghai Zhonghao, and others. The maintenance periods vary, and some are still undetermined [57]. Overseas Plants - Some overseas methanol plants are in the process of restarting or have normal operations, while some are under maintenance. For example, some plants in Iran are in the process of restarting, and QAFAC in Qatar is under maintenance from the end of February to March 16 [58]. Olefin Plants - Some olefin plants are under maintenance or have normal operations. For example, Shaanxi Qingcheng Clean Energy's methanol and olefin plants are under maintenance from March 15 for about 45 days, while some plants in Northwest and other regions are operating normally [59].