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美股盘前丨特朗普提名凯文·沃什出任美联储主席 美国12月PPI同比升3%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 13:39
Company News - SanDisk shares rose over 20% in pre-market trading due to earnings and guidance exceeding expectations [1] - ExxonMobil shares fell 2% in pre-market trading, with a projected total profit of $28.8 billion for 2025, lower than the previous year [1] - Western Digital shares increased over 5% in pre-market trading, reporting a 25% year-over-year revenue growth for the second fiscal quarter [1] - Apple reported total revenue of $143.756 billion for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, a 16% year-over-year increase [1]
美国11月PPI意外升温 支撑美联储“按兵不动”计划
智通财经网· 2026-01-14 14:29
Core Insights - The core point of the articles is the analysis of the Producer Price Index (PPI) data for November in the United States, indicating a slight increase in wholesale inflation driven by rising energy costs, while service prices remained stable [1][2]. Group 1: PPI Data Overview - The November PPI year-on-year rate was reported at 3%, exceeding the expected 2.7%, while the month-on-month rate was 0.2%, matching expectations [1]. - The core PPI, excluding food and energy, also showed a year-on-year increase of 3% and a month-on-month rate of 0%, which was below the expected 0.2% [1][4]. - The final demand goods index rose by 0.9% in November, marking the largest increase since February 2024, with over 80% of this increase attributed to a 4.6% rise in energy prices [2]. Group 2: Components of PPI - A significant portion of the increase in the final demand goods index was due to a 10.5% rise in gasoline prices [2]. - The report highlighted that investment management fees increased by 1.4%, while airline passenger service costs decreased by 2.6% [3]. - Service costs remained stable in November after a 0.3% increase in October, with a slight decline in profit margin indicators [4]. Group 3: Market Expectations and Federal Reserve Outlook - The upcoming release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price data is scheduled for January 22, which will provide further insights into inflation trends [5]. - Following three consecutive interest rate cuts, the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain rates during the upcoming policy meeting, with market expectations indicating a 47.8% probability of a rate cut in June [5].
美国9月PPI匆匆来迟沪银震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-26 04:36
Group 1: Silver Futures Market - Silver futures are currently trading above 12207, with an opening price of 12081 and a current price of 12240, reflecting a 1.90% increase [1] - The highest price reached today is 12276, while the lowest was 11950, indicating a short-term oscillating trend in the silver futures market [1] - The Shanghai silver market maintains a bullish outlook, with the closing price around 12200 and expectations for further increases towards 12500 [4] Group 2: U.S. PPI Data - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for September shows a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, surpassing the expected 2.6%, with the previous value revised from 2.6% to 2.7% [2] - Core PPI for September increased by 2.6%, slightly below the expected 2.7%, with the prior value revised from 2.8% to 2.9% [2] - The report indicates a month-on-month increase of 0.9% in wholesale prices, primarily driven by rising gasoline costs, with 60% of the increase attributed to this factor [3]
美国9月PPI年率2.7% 美国9月PPI月率0.3%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 13:53
Core Insights - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for September increased by 2.7% year-on-year, matching expectations and slightly up from the previous value of 2.6% [1] - The month-on-month PPI for September rose by 0.3%, in line with expectations and a recovery from the previous month's decline of -0.1% [1]
【黄金etf持仓量】9月10日黄金ETF较上一交易日增加0.28吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-11 09:36
Group 1 - The largest gold ETF, iShares Silver Trust, reported a holding of 979.96 tons of gold as of September 10, which is an increase of 0.28 tons from the previous trading day [1] - As of the market close on September 10, the spot gold price was $3680.40 per ounce, reflecting a 0.41% increase, with an intraday high of $3657.31 and a low of $3618.78 [1] Group 2 - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly showed a significant decrease in August, leading traders to increase bets on a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [3] - A key Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is expected tonight, with the market anticipating a slight rebound; if it exceeds expectations, it may pose challenges for Fed Chair Jerome Powell [3] - Currently, the short position in gold is slightly favored [3]
基本金属内强外弱工业硅两连涨铁矿跌逾1%欧线集运跌超4%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 06:28
Metal Market - As of the midday close, domestic base metals showed positive performance with Shanghai aluminum up 0.48%, copper up 0.59%, zinc up 0.36%, lead up 0.24%, while nickel fell 0.17% and tin rose 0.56% [1] - In the futures market, casting aluminum main contract rose 0.47%, alumina main contract rose 0.41%, lithium carbonate main contract rose 0.29%, and industrial silicon main contract continued its previous day's upward trend with a rise of 1.64% [1] - The black metal sector experienced a general decline, with iron ore down 1.18%, rebar down 0.71%, and stainless steel down 0.39% [1] Foreign Metal Market - As of 11:39, LME metals showed mixed results with copper down 0.16%, nickel down 0.3%, and tin down 0.31%, while aluminum rose 0.13% [1] - In precious metals, COMEX gold fell 0.27% and silver fell 0.06%, while Shanghai gold main contract fell 0.26% and Shanghai silver main contract rose 0.2% [1] Futures Market - The Euro line shipping main contract fell 4.08%, closing at 1219 points [2][3] - Various futures showed specific price movements, such as industrial silicon main contract up 1.64% and copper main contract up 0.59% [3] Spot Market and Fundamentals - In the copper market, Guangdong 1 electrolytic copper spot price showed a premium of 0-60 CNY/ton against the current month contract, with an average premium of 30 CNY/ton, down 10 CNY/ton from the previous trading day [4] - The People's Bank of China conducted a net injection of 794 billion CNY through reverse repos, maintaining the operation rate at 1.40% [4] Oil Market - As of 11:39, both WTI and Brent crude oil futures showed slight declines, with WTI down 0.11% and Brent down 0.1% [7] - The EIA reported an increase in U.S. crude oil inventories by 3.9 million barrels, contrary to analyst expectations of a decrease [7]
每日机构分析:9月10日
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 09:31
Group 1 - Deloitte predicts that U.S. retail sales growth during the winter holiday season will hit a new low since the pandemic, with expected growth of 2.9-3.4%, significantly lower than last year's 4.2% due to economic uncertainty, inflation, and trade policies [1] - The European Central Bank (ECB) has a 60% probability of a final 25 basis point rate cut in December, contingent on a more severe slowdown in the labor market and inflation falling significantly below targets due to declining energy prices and a stronger euro [1] - Danske Bank analysts highlight that the U.S. August PPI will be closely watched as it precedes the August CPI release and may provide early clues on the accumulation of tariff-related costs [2] Group 2 - InTouch Capital Markets analysts suggest that a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve would require core inflation data to be significantly below expectations, but the likelihood of a large cut remains low due to sticky service prices and the Fed's gradual policy approach [2] - City Index strategists warn that a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve could potentially harm market confidence more than it would benefit, indicating that the Fed is likely to avoid appearing to yield to political pressure [2] - Leuthold Group strategists argue that the Fed's 2% inflation target should be viewed as a reference point rather than a strict constraint, noting that a slightly higher inflation rate could coexist with stable growth [3]
吴说本周宏观指标与分析:美联储会议纪要、美俄乌三方会谈、杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 16:28
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that while the July CPI year-on-year rate in the US was below expectations, the core CPI reached its highest level since February, suggesting inflationary pressures remain significant [1][2] - The July PPI year-on-year rate significantly exceeded market expectations, indicating stronger-than-anticipated producer price inflation, which could influence future monetary policy decisions [2] - The market is largely anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, influenced by the recent economic data [1][2] Group 2 - Key upcoming events include the trilateral talks between the US, Russia, and Ukraine on August 18, and the release of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes on August 21 [3] - The Jackson Hole global central banking conference will take place from August 20 to August 23, with Fed Chair Powell scheduled to speak on August 22 [3] - Economic indicators to watch include initial jobless claims data for the week ending August 16, which is expected to show a slight decrease in claims [3]
抛售只是前奏,鲍威尔才是压轴
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 03:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the recent market sell-off is just the beginning, with a significant focus on upcoming economic indicators and Federal Reserve signals [1][2] Group 2 - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for July saw a month-on-month increase from 0.00% to 0.9%, which annualizes to nearly 11%, a substantial figure that cannot be overlooked [2] - The market's expectation for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September has decreased from 100% to approximately 85%, indicating a shift in market sentiment and potentially leading to capital outflows [2] - The U.S. dollar index experienced a 1.4% drop on the day of the non-farm payroll data, but only a 0.4% increase on the day of the PPI release, suggesting that market participants are still in a wait-and-see mode [2] - The article emphasizes that the true market direction will likely be established within 48 hours following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole conference, marking a critical turning point for market sentiment [2]
【环球财经】美国7月PPI环比增速触及三年以来最高水平
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 13:45
Core Insights - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for July increased by 0.9% month-over-month, marking the highest growth rate in three years, driven by soaring service costs [1] - Year-over-year, the PPI rose by 3.3%, significantly exceeding market expectations of 2.5%, and reaching its highest level since February [1] - Core PPI, excluding food, energy, and trade services, increased by 0.6% from June and 2.8% year-over-year [1] Service Costs - Service costs surged by 1.1%, representing the largest increase since March 2022, indicating that U.S. businesses have not absorbed the higher import costs associated with tariffs [1] - Despite a slowdown in demand during the first half of the year, companies are adjusting the pricing of goods and services to offset the costs imposed by higher tariffs [1] Market Reactions - Following the release of the data, traders reduced their bets on the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in September [1]