每经AI快讯，1月8日，美国上周初请失业金人数录得20.8万人，预估21万人，前值19.9万人。 ...

US jobless applications fell to 199,000 in the week ending December 27, marking the lowest reading in weeks. The figure signals that employers remain reluctant to cut payrolls despite economic uncertainties approaching the year's end. ...

新华财经北京12月11日电截至12月6日当周，美国首次申领失业救济人数为23.6万人，高于市场预期的 22万人，较前值19.2万人大幅回升。 据官方报告，上周初请失业金人数的反弹终结了此前连续数周的下降趋势。值得注意的是，前一周（感 恩节当周）的初请人数曾骤降至19.1万，后被上修至19.2万。分析指出，该低值被广泛视为受感恩节假 期干扰所致——节假日通常会影响季节性调整模型，暂时抑制申领活动。 反映中长期趋势的四周移动平均值同步上升，由前一周的21.475万增至21.675万。尽管如此，该水平仍 处于历史低位区间，表明整体劳动力市场维持紧绷状态。 另一方面，截至11月29日当周的持续申领失业金人数意外下降至183.8万，远低于市场预期的194.7万及 前值193.7万。投保失业率亦由1.3%微降至1.2%。 （文章来源：新华财经） ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish factors, influenced by recent U.S. economic data and upcoming inflation reports, with prices currently around $4205 per ounce [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices are under pressure due to a three-year low in U.S. initial jobless claims, but are supported by interest rate cut expectations and buying interest [1]. - The market is awaiting key U.S. inflation data to assess the Federal Reserve's policy outlook, which is expected to influence gold prices [1]. - Current trading conditions indicate a potential for gold prices to rise to $4260 or higher if inflation pressures ease, while a contrary outcome may lead to further price adjustments [1]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The daily gold price remains supported by moving averages, indicating a strong market position without signs of weakness [2]. - The Bollinger Bands on the H4 timeframe show a narrowing range, with upper and lower limits at $4230 and $4180, respectively, while key levels to watch are $4265 above and $4150 below [2]. - The overall trend remains bullish as long as prices stay above $4150, with a potential new upward movement if prices can stabilize above $4250 [2].

HIGHER. DESPITE SOME AUCTIONS OVERNIGHT THAT DID BETTER INTERNATIONALLY. RIGHT NOW WE ARE GETTING INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS, WHICH IS THE KEY DATA WE GET AFTER WE GET THE CHALLENGER, AND THEY COME IN LESS THAN EXPECTED.THEY WERE EXPECTED TO COME IN AT 220 THOUSAND. THEY CAME IN AT 190,000. IT WAS DOWN FROM WHAT WE SAW LAST WEEK.WHICH WAS 216,000. THE PEOPLE WHO ACTUALLY WERE RECEIVING UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS, LOWER TO 1.1% 9 MILLION FROM 1.9% 6 MILLION. IT IS LIKE PARSING HAIRS.IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION. THIS WOULD ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the significant increase in physical gold prices, with Bai Tai gold quoted at 1247 CNY per gram, up by 91 CNY from the previous day [1][2] - Platinum prices remained stable at 278.8 CNY per gram, showing no change from the previous day [1][2] - Gold bar prices increased to 1045 CNY per gram, rising by 37 CNY compared to the previous day [1][2] Group 2 - According to analysts from JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs, the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. is expected to decrease, although many individuals remain unemployed due to weak hiring [3] - It is estimated that for the week ending October 11, the seasonally adjusted number of initial jobless claims fell from 235,000 to 217,000 [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are experiencing fluctuations but remain in a strong upward trend, with significant support from geopolitical risks and inflation pressures [2][3] - As of September 12, spot gold is trading around $3635.18 per ounce, having seen a slight decline of 0.2% from the previous day, but still close to the record high of $3674.36 set earlier in the week [2] - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased by 38%, influenced by U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations [2] Group 2 - Recent U.S. economic data shows that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.9% year-on-year in August, marking a seven-month high, while initial jobless claims surged to 263,000, indicating a weakening labor market [2] - These mixed signals have led to increased volatility in the market but ultimately reinforced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, providing further support for gold prices [2] - Technical analysis suggests that gold remains above the 5-day moving average, indicating no signs of a top and maintaining a strong bullish trend, with potential targets of $3660 and $3675 [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August met market expectations, while initial jobless claims unexpectedly increased, leading investors to believe that a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week is highly likely [1][6][9] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.82% to 45862.44, the S&P 500 increased by 0.45% to 6561.24, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.36% to 21965.04 [2] - Chinese concept stocks saw a broad increase, with Alibaba rising nearly 5%, NIO up over 4%, and Baidu, Futu Holdings, and others rising over 3% [3] Group 2 - The August CPI data showed a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, the highest since January, and a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, exceeding the expected 0.3% [5] - The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose by 0.3% month-on-month and 3.1% year-on-year, both in line with market expectations [5] - The largest contributor to the CPI increase was housing costs, which rose by 0.4%, accounting for about one-third of the index's weight [5] Group 3 - The unexpected increase in initial jobless claims for the week ending September 6 was 263,000, higher than the Dow Jones forecast of 235,000, marking an increase of 27,000 from the previous period [5] - Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points on September 17, with some considering the possibility of a 50 basis point cut due to the weak job market overshadowing inflation risks [7][9] - The CME FedWatch tool indicates that traders widely expect a 25 basis point rate cut, with an increasing probability for a 50 basis point cut [8]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are experiencing a slight decline due to profit-taking by investors and a stronger US dollar supported by positive economic data, limiting upward movement in gold prices [1][3]. Economic Data Impact - The US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported a revised annualized GDP growth rate of 3.3% for Q2, surpassing the initial estimate of 3.0% and market expectations of 3.1%, indicating economic resilience [3]. - Initial jobless claims fell to 229,000 for the week ending August 23, down from a revised 234,000, reinforcing stability in the labor market [3]. Interest Rate Expectations - The expectation of a potential interest rate cut may lower the opportunity cost of holding gold, providing support for the precious metal [4]. - The market is focused on the upcoming release of the July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, with expectations of a 2.6% year-over-year increase in overall PCE and a 2.9% increase in core PCE [4]. Technical Analysis - Despite the recent price pullback, the long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact, with key technical indicators showing continued bullish momentum [5]. - The price is holding above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $3,279.45, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 60.50, indicating ongoing bullish momentum [5]. - Key resistance is noted at the upper Bollinger Band of $3,425, while initial support is at the August 27 low of $3,373 [5]. Market Sentiment - The current market environment shows that gold prices are influenced by both US economic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations, with a focus on the upcoming PCE data and the September FOMC meeting [7]. - Despite short-term pressures, the long-term bullish logic for gold remains unchanged, suggesting that investors should adjust trading strategies based on key technical levels and macroeconomic data [7].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic gold market remains stable with some fluctuations in prices among different brands, while gold recycling prices have decreased [1][4]. Price Summary - The overall gold prices in domestic stores are stable, with some brands experiencing slight increases. For instance, Lao Miao Gold increased by 2 yuan to 1012 yuan per gram, while Zhou Shengsheng remains the highest at 1014 yuan per gram. Shanghai China Gold remains the lowest at 969 yuan per gram, maintaining a price difference of 45 yuan per gram among stores [1][3]. - The latest prices for various brands are as follows: - Lao Miao Gold: 1012 yuan/gram (up 2) - Liufu Gold: 1009 yuan/gram (no change) - Zhou Dafu Gold: 1009 yuan/gram (no change) - Zhou Liufu Gold: 985 yuan/gram (no change) [1][2][3]. Recycling Price Summary - The gold recycling price has decreased by 8.3 yuan per gram, with the following prices reported: - General Gold: 769.80 yuan/gram - Cai Bai Gold: 775.30 yuan/gram - Zhou Shengsheng Gold: 767.60 yuan/gram - Zhou Dafu Gold: 773.90 yuan/gram - Lao Fengxiang Gold: 782.60 yuan/gram [4][6]. International Gold Price Summary - The international gold price showed fluctuations, closing at 3396.59 USD/ounce with a rise of 0.81%. As of the latest report, it has decreased to 3388.09 USD/ounce, reflecting a drop of 0.25% [6]. - The recent increase in gold prices is attributed to market concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve and heightened geopolitical tensions, leading to increased investor risk aversion [6]. - Market expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September stand at 87.2%, with a 49% expectation for October [6].