美联储提前降息预期

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李斯裕:7.4黄金今日价格怎么看,积存金沪白银走势分析买卖
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 05:13
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of strong U.S. employment data on gold prices, highlighting a downward trend in gold due to increased dollar strength and reduced expectations for early Fed rate cuts [3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices fell nearly 1% to $3325.87 per ounce following unexpectedly strong U.S. non-farm payroll data, which boosted the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields [3]. - The market anticipates a trading range for gold on Friday between $3310 and $3350, suggesting a strategy of shorting at the upper end and buying at the lower end [3]. - Technical analysis indicates that the daily upward trend for gold has not yet completed, with potential resistance levels at $3365, $3400, and $3430 [3]. Silver Market Analysis - International silver is projected to rise to $36.5-$37, with recent fluctuations bringing it down to $36.3 after reaching $37 [4]. - The trading range for silver is expected to be between $37 and $36.3, with recommendations for short-term trading strategies [4]. Domestic Gold and Silver Trends - Domestic gold prices have shown minor adjustments influenced by non-farm data, with Shanghai gold dropping from around 784 to 755, while accumulation gold fell from 775 to 768 [4]. - The overall trend for domestic gold remains bullish, with expected trading levels of 782 for Shanghai gold and 775 for accumulation gold [4]. Shanghai Silver Trends - Shanghai silver has shown a bullish trend, with expectations to reach 8900-9000, despite a recent drop from 9000 to around 8920 due to non-farm data [5]. - The current trading range for Shanghai silver is anticipated to be between 9000 and 8900 [5].
特朗普考虑“影子联储主席”,美元和美债收益率携手走低,美股期货、欧股小幅走强
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-26 07:56
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates that Trump will appoint a "dovish" Federal Reserve chairman, reinforcing expectations for an early interest rate cut by the Fed, leading to declines in U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar index, while stock futures in Europe and the U.S. show slight increases [1][9]. Market Performance - U.S. stock index futures all rose over 0.2% [2]. - European stocks mostly saw slight increases, with the German DAX up 0.47%, French CAC up 0.38%, and the UK FTSE down 0.13% [3]. - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan closed up 1.6%, while the Tokyo Stock Exchange index rose 0.8%. The South Korean composite index fell 0.9% [4]. Bond and Currency Markets - U.S. Treasury yields mostly declined, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield down over 2 basis points [5]. - The dollar index fell approximately 0.4%, while the British pound rose about 0.5% and the euro increased by about 0.3% [6]. Commodity Prices - Spot gold rose approximately 0.3%, and spot silver increased by about 0.2% [7]. - Both U.S. crude oil and Brent crude oil prices rose about 0.3% [8]. Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin increased by approximately 1.4%, and Ethereum rose by about 1.8% [9]. Defense Sector - NATO leaders agreed to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP, responding to Trump's criticism of insufficient military spending, which is expected to benefit defense contractors with a significant increase in military orders. Asian defense stocks surged, with Australia's DroneShield rising over 7% and up about 200% year-to-date [10]. Asian Currency Market - Hot money is flowing into Asian markets, with Asian currencies against the dollar reaching an eight-month high, indicating potential for further appreciation. The dollar has declined over 8% this year due to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and its global standing [13].
市场对美联储提前降息预期减弱!黄金能否坚守3300美元关口?当下行情如何应对?邀你0元进群参与价值区间特训营,助你把握交易机会!仅100个名额,火速进群参与
news flash· 2025-06-24 13:45
Core Viewpoint - The market's expectations for an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve have weakened, raising questions about whether gold can maintain its position above the 3300 USD mark [1] Group 1 - The current market sentiment indicates a shift in expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, particularly concerning interest rate cuts [1] - There is a focus on the performance of gold, specifically its ability to hold above the 3300 USD threshold amidst changing market conditions [1] - The article invites participation in a trading group aimed at capitalizing on market opportunities, highlighting a sense of urgency with limited availability [1]