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利润率明显改善——4月工业企业利润数据解读【陈兴团队·财通宏观】
陈兴宏观研究· 2025-05-27 09:05
Core Viewpoint - In April 2025, industrial enterprises experienced a revenue decline of 2.6% while profits increased by 3%, indicating a recovery in profit margins despite a high base from the previous year [1][6]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The revenue growth of industrial enterprises fell to 2.6% in April, primarily due to a high production level drop and increased price pressures [1][12]. - Profit growth for industrial enterprises rose to 3% in April, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, with the growth rate exceeding the median of the past five years [1][6]. - The cost of goods sold per 100 yuan of revenue was 85.54 yuan, with expenses at 8.28 yuan, reflecting a decrease in both year-on-year and month-on-month growth rates [12]. Inventory and Operational Efficiency - The nominal inventory growth rate for industrial enterprises decreased to 3.9% in April, while the actual inventory growth rate remained stable at 6.8% after excluding price factors [4][13]. - The production and sales ratio for enterprises improved significantly, rising from historical lows to median levels, indicating a marginal improvement in operational pressure [3][13]. Sector Performance - The equipment manufacturing sector, particularly high-tech manufacturing, saw a notable acceleration in profit growth, contributing 3.6 percentage points to the overall industrial profit growth in the first four months of the year [3][9]. - High-tech manufacturing profits increased by 9% year-on-year in the first four months, with significant contributions from the semiconductor and smart product manufacturing sectors [3][9]. Future Outlook - The current external uncertainties pose risks to the stability of profit recovery, with expectations for further implementation of growth-stabilizing policies [1][3].
产销率仍在同期新低——3月工业企业利润数据解读【陈兴团队·财通宏观】
陈兴宏观研究· 2025-04-27 08:08
利润增速有所回升,但改善基础有待夯实。 3月利润增速录得2.6%,较上月上行约3个百分点,主因基数走低 推动,环比增速也低于近五年中位数,结合工企产销率续创历年同期新低,指向利润改善基础有待夯实。 分 企业类型来看 ,私营和股份制企业利润改善明显,国企和外商企业均有回落。 从两年平均增速来看 ,仅私营 报 告 正 文 3 月收入、利润增速双双回升。 2025 年 3 月,规上工企营业收入录得 4.2% ,较上月有所回升。工企利 润增速录得 2.6% ,较上月上行约 3 个百分点,主因基数走低推动,环比增速也低于近五年中位数,结 合工企产销率续创历年同期新低,指向利润改善基础有待夯实。从 工企利润 的构成 来看, 3 月工企的 营收增速有所回升,主因当月 生产大幅改善 。 同时 营收利润率 增速略有上升,共同带动 本月利润增速 上行 。本月成本费用较上月微升, 利润率增速上行或受到春节前置的一定扰动。 往后看 , 随着外部冲 击影响逐渐显现,叠加去年同期基数走高 , 利润或将再度承压 , 静待稳增长政策进一步加码显效 。 此外,有三点值得关注。 一是企业经营压力仍较高 。工企产销率续创近十年来同期新低,而同时其 ...