鸡蛋现货

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建信期货鸡蛋日报-20250923
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-23 01:45
Group 1: General Information - Reported industry: Eggs [1] - Report date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Research team: Agricultural products research team, including researchers Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, and Liu Youran [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - Today, the national egg price declined. The average price in the main producing areas was 3.65 yuan/jin, down 0.03 yuan/jin from yesterday; the average price in the main consuming areas was 3.84 yuan/jin, down 0.08 yuan/jin from yesterday. The 11 - contract dropped 1.51%. [7] - For egg contracts: the 2510 contract closed at 2982, down 56 (-1.84%); the 2511 contract closed at 3075, down 47 (-1.51%); the 2512 contract closed at 3201, down 58 (-1.78%). [7] Core View - After the weakest summer peak season in recent years, the spot market has gradually stabilized and rebounded. The supply pressure has eased due to accelerated culling from August to September, and there is still demand support from Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day stocking in September. However, the spot peak - season rise is expected to end soon. [8] - In the futures market, contracts in the fourth quarter fell sharply earlier and rose significantly last Monday. The previous weak market sentiment and short - dominated market led to a rise in the basis. The strong spot market caused the futures market to make up for the increase. [8] - The supply pressure is difficult to relieve in the short term. After the price increase, there may be fluctuations. If there are profits from long positions, it is advisable to take profits at high prices. The near - month 10 contract may enter the delivery month with a high discount. The rebound space should not be overestimated. [8] Operation Suggestions - Future contract operations need to continuously monitor culling and replenishment data. The fundamental inflection point may appear in the later part of the fourth quarter at the earliest. There may be adjustment space in the short - to - medium term after the spot market encounters resistance. [8] Group 3: Industry News - The inventory of laying hens is on an upward trend. As of the end of August, the national monthly inventory of laying hens was about 1.365 billion, with a month - on - month increase of 0.7% and a year - on - year increase of 6.0%. [9] - The monthly output of layer chicks in sample enterprises in August was about 39.81 million, slightly less than 39.98 million in July and significantly less than 43.95 million in the same period in 2024. The low breeding profits in the past two months have started to change farmers' expansion mindset. [9][10] - From the weekly data, as of September 18, the national culling volume in the previous three weeks was 17.61 million, 17.48 million, and 17.89 million respectively. The culling volume has been rising since August, and the current absolute value is slightly higher than the average of the previous three years. As of September 18, the average culling age was 497 days, 2 days later than last week and 9 days earlier than last month. [10] Group 4: Data Overview - The report includes data charts such as the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, layer breeding profits, the average price in the main egg - producing areas, the 10 - contract basis of eggs, the 12 - 02 spread of eggs, and the 10 - contract seasonal trend of eggs, with data sources from Wind, Zhuochuang Information, and Trading Famen. [13][17][20]
建信期货鸡蛋日报-20250917
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-17 01:41
Group 1: General Information - Reported industry: Eggs [1] - Report date: September 17, 2025 [2] - Research team: Agricultural products research team, including Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, and Liu Youran [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - Egg futures contracts 2510, 2511, and 2512 all declined, with the 2511 contract down 0.86%. The main producing areas' average egg price was 3.76 yuan/jin, up 0.10 yuan/jin from the previous day, and the main consuming areas' average price was 4.00 yuan/jin, up 0.07 yuan/jin [7]. Core View - After the weakest summer peak season in recent years, the spot market has stabilized and rebounded. The futures market rose today to catch up after the weekend's strong spot market. However, supply pressure is difficult to ease in the short - term, and there may be fluctuations after price increases. It is recommended to take profit on long positions at high prices. The near - month 10 contract may enter the delivery month with a high discount. The rebound space should not be overestimated, and the operation of subsequent contracts needs to focus on elimination and replenishment data [8]. Group 3: Industry News - The inventory of laying hens is on an upward trend. As of the end of August, the monthly inventory of laying hens was about 1.365 billion, a 0.7% month - on - month increase and a 6.0% year - on - year increase. The monthly hatch of layer chicks in August was about 39.81 million, a decrease from July and a significant decrease compared with the same period in 2024 [9]. - The weekly chicken culling volume has been increasing since August, and as of September 4, the average age of culled chickens was 495 days, 1 day earlier than the previous week and 11 days earlier than the previous month [10]. Group 4: Data Overview - The report provides data on the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, egg - chicken farming profits, egg 10 - contract basis, and egg 12 - 02 spread, etc. [16][11]
建信期货鸡蛋日报-20250829
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 02:02
Group 1: General Information - Reported industry: Eggs [1] - Report date: August 29, 2025 [2] - Research team: Agricultural product research team, including researchers Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, and Liu Youran [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operational Suggestions Market Review - **Futures Contracts**: For the 2509 contract, the previous settlement price was 2909, the closing price was 2843, down 66 or -2.27%, with a trading volume of 39,229 and an open interest of 21,965, a decrease of 15,222. For the 2510 contract, the previous settlement price was 2997, the closing price was 2930, down 67 or -2.24%, with a trading volume of 542,102 and an open interest of 528,944, an increase of 13,068. For the 2511 contract, the previous settlement price was 3047, the closing price was 2960, down 87 or -2.86%, with a trading volume of 190,173 and an open interest of 257,219, an increase of 40,608 [7] - **Spot Market**: The average price in the main production areas was 3.22 yuan/jin, down 0.03 yuan/jin from the previous day; the average price in the main sales areas was 3.33 yuan/jin, down 0.01 yuan/jin from the previous day. The 10 - contract fell 2.24%. The peak - season spot price started late this year, and the market pressure emerged in late July. The price correction in July was about 0.5 yuan/jin, indicating large supply pressure. In August, the expected spot price rebound did not occur, and the price continued to be under pressure [7] Operational Suggestions - Do not recommend investors to buy at the bottom as there is no technical support and no sign of spot price increase. Wait for the increase in culling volume and the boost from Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day stocking, which may bring a rebound, but it is difficult to time. In general, the egg market has oversupply. If the low egg price affects subsequent replenishment, a fundamental inflection point may appear in the late fourth quarter. Short - term fluctuations may be large, so it is recommended to avoid risks [7] Group 3: Industry News - **In - production Laying Hens**: As of the end of July, the national monthly inventory of in - production laying hens was about 1.356 billion, a 1.2% month - on - month increase and a 6.2% year - on - year increase, with continuous growth for 7 months [8] - **Chick Hatchlings**: In July, the monthly hatchling volume of sample enterprises was about 39.98 million, a decrease compared with June and the same period in 2024. The recent low breeding profits have started to change farmers' attitude towards capacity expansion, and the year - on - year decrease in July was the first this year [8][9] - **Culling**: The culling volume has been increasing recently, the price of culled chickens is under great pressure, and the culling age has been significantly advanced. However, more and longer - term over - culling is needed to restore the supply - demand balance [7]
建信期货鸡蛋日报-20250825
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 06:47
Report Overview - Report Date: August 25, 2025 [2] - Industry: Eggs [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The egg market is currently in a state of oversupply, with significant pressure on prices. The spot market has been weak, and the futures market has also shown a downward trend. In the short term, the market may experience large fluctuations, and it is recommended to avoid risks. A potential rebound may occur after increased culling and the demand from Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day备货, but timing is crucial. If low egg prices lead to a decrease in subsequent replenishment, a fundamental inflection point may appear in the late fourth quarter [8]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: - Egg futures contracts showed different trends. The 2509 contract closed at 2920, down 6 points or 0.21%, with a trading volume of 87,006 and an open interest of 59,422 (a decrease of 10,271). The 2510 contract closed at 3033, down 2 points or 0.07%, with a trading volume of 526,351 and an open interest of 434,281 (a decrease of 18,629). The 2511 contract closed at 3100, up 10 points or 0.32%, with a trading volume of 119,383 and an open interest of 179,758 (an increase of 3,336). - The average price of eggs in the main producing areas was 3.13 yuan/jin, down 0.10 yuan/jin from the previous day, and in the main consuming areas was 3.32 yuan/jin, also down 0.10 yuan/jin [7]. - **Operation Suggestions**: - Due to the weak spot market and the lack of technical support in the futures market, it is not recommended to buy at the bottom. A potential rebound may occur after increased culling and the demand from Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day备货, but it is difficult to time. In the short term, it is advisable to avoid risks as the market may fluctuate greatly [8]. 3.2 Industry News - **In - production Laying Hens Inventory**: As of the end of July, the national monthly inventory of in - production laying hens was about 1.356 billion, a month - on - month increase of 1.2% and a year - on - year increase of 6.2%, showing an upward trend for 7 consecutive months [9]. - **Chick Hatchlings**: In July, the monthly hatchling volume of sample enterprises was about 39.98 million, less than that in June (40.75 million) and the same period in 2024 (41.68 million). Although it was a moderately high monthly replenishment volume in the past 8 years, the low breeding profits in the past two months have started to change farmers' expansion mindset, and the decrease in July was the first this year [9][10]. - **Culling**: The culling volume has been increasing recently, with the average culling age at 500 days as of August 21, 6 days earlier than the previous week and 6 days earlier than last month. However, more and longer - term over - culling is needed to restore the supply - demand balance [8][10]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including the basis of the egg 09 contract, the price difference between the 09 and 10 contracts, the monthly inventory of in - production laying hens in China, egg farming profits, the average price of eggs in the main producing areas, and the seasonal trend of the egg 09 contract, but no specific data analysis is provided in the given text [12][13][15]
鸡蛋周报:主力期货升水明显,等待市场需求提振-20250811
Zhong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 15:08
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The egg market is currently characterized by high overall production capacity, with a slowdown in recent new replenishment. The supply - side pressure is gradually weakening, while the demand has improved but the marginal support is weakening, requiring new demand from tourism and Mid - Autumn Festival stocking. - The cost of feed has slightly declined, with the current feed cost around 2.5 yuan per catty and the comprehensive breeding cost around 2.8 yuan per catty. Egg prices have returned above the feed breeding cost seasonally, and profits have improved. - The spot market will still receive seasonal demand support after a short - term release of the decline sentiment, but the futures premium is obvious, and it is difficult to follow the spot rebound. As the delivery month approaches, the main 09 contract may decline to repair the basis, and attention should be paid to reverse spread opportunities. [3] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Review - Last week, egg futures maintained a weak oscillation, and the overall weakness remained unchanged. The biggest contradiction in the market is the large basis, with obvious selling pressure and weak willingness to take delivery. [6] Spot Review - Last week, egg spot prices maintained a weak adjustment and stabilized over the weekend. The sales areas started to sell at low prices, and the market began to accept the goods. After this round of adjustment, the spot prices will be supported by the start of school for students and Mid - Autumn Festival deep - processing stocking. Attention should be paid to the rebound height. [13] Supply - Newly - added capacity: From August to November 2025, the newly - opened production corresponds to the replenishment volume from April to July 2025, and the newly - added capacity will decline significantly. - Elimination capacity: From August to November 2025, the normal elimination capacity corresponds to the replenishment volume from March to June 2024. The data shows a high elimination volume, but the current data indicates obvious delayed elimination. - Laying hen inventory: The inventory data continues to increase slightly, but it will start to decrease in September. The newly - added capacity is stable with a slight decline, and the elimination is relatively slow. The overall supply pressure still exists. [16] Elimination End - The price of eliminated chickens is 5.51 yuan per catty (- 0.27). The elimination volume has significantly decreased. The peak season and a slight price rebound limit the enthusiasm for elimination. The average elimination age is 502 days, remaining unchanged, and the overall age has reached the normal range, but the elimination of backward production capacity is not ideal. [19] Seasonal Factors - It is the seasonal peak season. On the production area side, the inventory pressure in the production areas has increased, high temperatures have reduced the laying rate and increased costs. On the consumption side, the arrival of the tourism peak season combined with deep - processing has improved the overall demand. [21] Cost & Profit - Cost side: Corn prices are running at a high level, and soybean meal prices have steadily declined. The overall cost remains volatile. The current feed cost is around 2.5 yuan per catty, and the comprehensive breeding cost is around 2.8 yuan per catty. - Breeding profit: Recently, egg prices have risen, and the spot price has returned above the feed cost. However, the overall comprehensive breeding profit is still in a loss, showing a seasonal bottom - rebounding trend. Attention should be paid to the negative feedback on backward production capacity. [27] Capital and Market - Capital has increased at a high level, and market competition has intensified. Bears believe that the production capacity is high, there is seasonal suppression, and the futures premium over the spot still has room to decline. Bulls believe that the valuation is low, and the seasonality is about to turn from weak to strong, making it valuable to go long. Currently, the reality is stronger than expectations, with obvious futures premium over the spot and obvious selling pressure in the market, waiting for the cycle conversion. [30] Basis and Spread - Basis: The basis is negative, and the overall futures are at a premium. The current basis is running at a low level, waiting for the basis to strengthen with the arrival of the peak season, which is more likely to be achieved through a decline in futures prices. - Spread: It shows that supply exceeds demand. The near - month contracts in the market are constantly repairing the basis through price declines, and the far - month contracts face the expectation of reduced production capacity, with a focus on reverse spread operations. [32][34]
鸡蛋周报:现货阶段熄火,近月升水偏大回落-20250728
Zhong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-07-28 12:46
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The egg spot market has rebounded significantly but is approaching historical涨幅, showing hesitation. The futures market, though rising less, remains in a premium structure. Near the delivery month, the near - month 08 contract will face selling pressure. It is recommended to buy the far - month 09 contract on dips and look for reverse spread opportunities [3]. - The supply side has high - level capacity, with recent new replenishment slowing down, previous replenishment starting to lay eggs, and the elimination of backward capacity slowing. The demand side has improved, but the marginal support is weakening, requiring new tourism and Mid - Autumn Festival stocking demand [3]. - The cost of feed and comprehensive breeding has slightly declined. Egg prices have returned above the feed cost, and profits have improved [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - Egg futures ended their rebound last week and returned to a weak oscillation. The large increase in spot prices needs to be digested, and the premium structure of the futures is being repaired. The market is expected to enter a short - term correction phase [6]. 3.2 Spot Market - Last week, new egg products maintained a high - level oscillation, with the upward momentum slowing down and starting to correct. The current spot rebound is mainly driven by the sales areas. After the bad weather, stocking will provide some support, but the increase is limited. The market has risen from 2.4 yuan/jin to 3.2 yuan/jin, close to the average seasonal increase, and further upward movement requires new event drivers [14]. 3.3 Supply Side - New capacity: From June to August 2025, the newly opened production corresponds to the replenishment volume from February to April 2025, remaining at a high level and higher than the historical average [19]. - Elimination capacity: From June to August 2025, the normal elimination capacity corresponds to the replenishment volume from October 2023 to January 2024, with a relatively neutral available elimination volume [19]. - Laying - hen inventory: The inventory remains at a high level. New capacity is increasing steadily, new replenishment is slowing down, and the available elimination volume is decreasing steadily. The backward capacity is entering the active elimination stage, but the overall supply pressure still exists [19]. 3.4 Elimination End - The price of culled chickens is 5.76 yuan/jin, an increase of 0.24 yuan/jin. The elimination volume has decreased significantly, and the increase in price restricts the enthusiasm for elimination. The average elimination age is 502 days, remaining stable, and the overall age has returned to the normal range, with the "start - up rate" increasing steadily [22]. 3.5 Demand Side - Seasonally, it is the peak season for tourism and deep - processing demand. The inventory pressure in the production areas is not high, but high temperatures are reducing the laying rate and increasing costs. On the consumption side, after the rainy season, the tourism peak season has arrived, and overall demand has improved [24]. - Vegetable prices are rising due to high - temperature weather, supporting egg prices. Pork prices are oscillating at a high level, and the substitution effect on eggs is not obvious. Other meat prices have strengthened recently [26]. 3.6 Cost and Profit - Cost: Corn prices are running at a high level, and soybean meal prices are falling steadily. The overall cost is oscillating, with the current feed cost at about 2.5 yuan/jin and the comprehensive breeding cost at about 2.8 yuan/jin [29]. - Profit: Egg prices have recently returned above the feed cost, but the overall comprehensive breeding profit is still in the red, showing a seasonal bottom - bouncing [30]. 3.7 Capital and Market Sentiment - Capital is at a high level, and market competition has intensified. Bears believe that the high - level capacity, seasonal suppression, and the premium of the futures over the spot indicate further downward space. Bulls believe that the valuation is low and the seasonal trend is about to turn positive, making it a good time to buy. Currently, near the delivery month, the bears are winning [33]. 3.8 Basis and Spread - Basis: The basis is negative, and the overall futures is at a premium. The basis is currently running at a low level, waiting for the basis to strengthen during the peak season [35]. - Spread: In the future, as the cycle capacity declines, reverse spreads should be the main strategy [38].
银河期货鸡蛋日报-20250723
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-07-23 14:24
Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an egg daily report dated July 22, 2025, from the Commodity Research Institute's Agricultural Products R & D [2] Group 2: Market Data Futures Market - JD01 closed at 3617, unchanged from the previous day; JD05 closed at 3410, up 2; JD09 closed at 3621, down 15 [3] - The 01 - 05 spread was 207, down 2; 05 - 09 spread was - 211, up 17; 09 - 01 spread was 4, down 15 [3] - Ratios like 01 egg/corn and 01 egg/soybean meal remained mostly unchanged [3] Spot Market - Main production area average price was 3.26 yuan/jin, up 0.03 yuan/jin; main sales area average price was 3.41 yuan/jin, up 0.04 yuan/jin [3][6] - Most spot prices in various regions were stable, with some increases in Beijing, Northeast China, etc [3][6] - Average price of culled chickens was 5.54 yuan/jin, up 0.09 yuan/jin [3][8] Profit and Feed - Current profit per chicken was 17.55 yuan, up 1.37 yuan from the previous day [3] - Corn average price was 2410 yuan, up 1; soybean meal average price was 2974 yuan, unchanged [3] Group 3: Fundamental Information - In June, the national laying - hen inventory was 1.34 billion, up 0.06 billion from last month and 6.7% year - on - year [7] - In June, the monthly chick output of sample enterprises was 40.75 million, down 9% month - on - month and up 1.9% year - on - year [7] - From July to October 2025, the estimated laying - hen inventories are 1.349 billion, 1.353 billion, 1.351 billion, and 1.343 billion respectively [7] - From July 11 - 17, culled chicken output was 16.27 million, down 5% from the previous week [7] - As of July 17, the average culled chicken age was 505 days, up 1 day from the previous week [7] - As of July 19, egg sales in representative sales areas were 7886 tons, up 3.8% from the previous week [8] - As of July 17, production - link average inventory was 0.95 days, down 0.1 day; circulation - link average inventory was 1.04 days, down 0.13 days [8] - As of July 17, the average weekly profit per jin of eggs was - 0.48 yuan/jin, up 0.2 yuan/jin from the previous week; on July 17, the expected profit per laying hen was 12.14 yuan, down 1.24 yuan/jin from the previous week [8] Group 4: Trading Logic - Current single - jin egg profit is in loss or at break - even, limiting the downward space of futures prices [9] - The upward space of the September contract depends on future culled chicken volume. High culled chicken volume means more upward space; otherwise, it may be slightly bullish [9] - Spot prices are expected to strengthen seasonally. The September contract, being a peak - season contract, may rise after hitting the bottom as the rainy season ends and food factories stock up before the Mid - Autumn Festival [9] Group 5: Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Consider building long positions in the September contract when the safety margin is high [10] - Arbitrage: Wait and see [10] - Options: Sell put options [10]
银河期货鸡蛋日报-20250715
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-07-15 14:45
Group 1: Report Summary - The report is an agricultural product research report focusing on eggs, dated July 15, 2025 [2] - It includes information on the futures and spot markets, fundamental analysis, trading logic, and strategies [3][6][9] Group 2: Futures Market - Futures prices: JD01 closed at 3620, up 8; JD05 at 3413, up 1; JD09 at 3615, up 13 [3] - Cross - month spreads: 01 - 05 spread was 207, up 7; 05 - 09 was - 202, down 12; 09 - 01 was - 5, up 5 [3] - Ratios: 01 egg/corn was 1.62, up 0.01; 01 egg/bean meal was 1.20, up 0.01 [3] Group 3: Spot Market - Egg prices:产区均价 was 2.78 yuan/jin, up 0.16; 销区均价 was 2.96 yuan/jin, up 0.18 [3] -淘汰鸡 prices: The average price was 4.77 yuan/jin, up 0.04 [3] Group 4: Fundamental Information - Egg prices: Main production area prices were stable, with a national mainstream price hold. Beijing's major markets had stable prices [6] - In - production laying hens: In June, the inventory was 1.34 billion, up 0.06 billion from last month, 6.7% year - on - year [7] - Chicken chick output: In June, the sample enterprise output was 40.75 million, down 9% month - on - month, up 1.9% year - on - year [7] - Hen culling: In the week of July 11, the culling volume was 16.27 million, down 5% from the previous week [7] - Egg sales: As of July 10, the sales volume in representative sales areas was 7592 tons, with little change [8] - Inventory: As of July 10, production - link inventory was 1.05 days, down 0.09 days; circulation - link was 1.17 days, down 0.1 days [8] - Profit: As of July 10, the weekly average profit per jin was - 0.68 yuan/jin, down 0.1 yuan/jin [8] Group 5: Trading Logic - The downward space of futures prices is limited due to current profit conditions [9] - The upward space of the September contract depends on future hen culling volume [9] - Spot prices are expected to strengthen seasonally, and the September contract may rise after hitting the bottom [9] Group 6: Trading Strategies - Single - side: Consider building long positions in the September contract when the rainy season is about to end and the safety margin is high [10] - Arbitrage: Hold off [10] - Options: Sell put options [10]
建信期货鸡蛋日报-20250428
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-04-27 23:53
Report Overview - Report Date: April 28, 2025 [2] - Reported Industry: Egg [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Research Team [4] - Researchers: Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, Liu Youran [4] 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The spot price of eggs has been weak this week. After two weeks of strength after the Tomb - Sweeping Festival, the market needs adjustment, and the decline in the production area exceeded expectations. Although there should be some support before May Day, the market is still weak. Attention should be paid to the demand digestion after May Day [8]. - In the futures market, affected by the weak spot, it fluctuated and declined this week. The main contract 06 fell from 3080 to around 3000. Due to the hard - to - falsify expectation of the rainy season, it may enter the delivery month with a high premium. If the spot cannot continue to rise, the futures may correct. Attention should be paid to the change of the basis. Currently, the basis of 06 is not much different from previous years, and the futures pricing is relatively reasonable [8]. - For the far - month contracts 08 and 09, their pricing is at a moderately low level in history, corresponding to the expectation of increasing egg production in the future. Attention should be paid to whether the spot can stabilize after May Day. If it continues to be weak, combined with the expectation of price decline during the rainy season, the near - month contracts are not optimistic [8]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: The prices of eggs in futures contracts 2505, 2506, and 2507 all rose, with increases of 1.54%, 0.37%, and 0.55% respectively. The trading volume of contract 2506 was 144,043, and the trading volume of contract 2507 was 26,337. The spot price of eggs nationwide declined, with the average price in the main production area at 3.33 yuan/jin, a decrease of 0.09 yuan/jin from the previous day, and the average price in the main sales area at 3.53 yuan/jin, a decrease of 0.11 yuan/jin from the previous day [7]. - **Analysis and Suggestions**: The spot price of eggs has been weak this week. The production area's decline exceeded expectations, and the market sentiment is low. Although there should be support before May Day, the market is still weak. In the futures market, affected by the weak spot, it fluctuated and declined this week. The main contract 06 fell. If the spot cannot rise, the futures may correct. Attention should be paid to the basis change. The far - month contracts 08 and 09 are priced at a moderately low level, and attention should be paid to the spot trend after May Day [8]. 3.2 Industry News - The inventory of laying hens in production is on the rise. As of the end of March, the monthly inventory of laying hens in production nationwide was about 1.318 billion, with a month - on - month increase of 0.9% and a year - on - year increase of 6.9% [9]. - The monthly output of day - old chicks in sample enterprises in March was about 46.33 million, showing an increase compared with February and continuing to grow compared with the same period in 2024, ranking at a medium level in the past seven years [9]. - The number of culled chickens has gradually recovered after the Spring Festival, with the absolute value slightly higher than in the previous two years. However, the culling volume has decreased in the past two weeks. As of April 24, the average age of culled chickens was 536 days, the same as last week and 2 days earlier than last month [9][10]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including the monthly inventory of laying hens in China, egg - chicken farming profit, the average price of eggs in the main production area, the seasonal trend of egg contract 05, the basis of egg contract 05, and the price difference between egg contracts 05 and 06 [12][15][18].