以史为鉴，10倍股如何炼成，年度大牛股具备哪些特征？2026年哪些个股有望成后市"黑马股"？ | 代码 | 证券简称 | 2025年末 股价 | 2025年 涨跌幅 | 2025年末 11 23 22 | 2025年 目拉博主题 | 机构预测2024年 至2027年净利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 元/度) | (%) | | (%) | 复合增长率(%) | | 300319 | 麦捷科技 | 11.69 | -5.33 | 30.78 | 3.25 | 15.00 | | 002139 拓邦股份 | | 13.78 | 1.74 | 31.84 | 3.74 | 15.72 | | 301339 | 通行 宝 | 14.54 | 2.52 | 40.05 | 5.18 | 1 | | 300230 永利股份 | | 4.78 | 8.72 | 17.34 | 4.20 | | | 920541 | 铁大科技 | 13.21 | 9.93 | 27.31 | 4.05 | 22.43 | | 003025 | 患讲智能 | 14. ...

2026年已至，哪些公司能在A股市场脱颖而出，成为后市"黑马"？ 时隔4年，A股市场于2025年再次迎来年度10倍涨幅股（涨幅超过10倍，下称"10倍股"）。复盘2015年至2025年，以年度涨跌幅来统计，10倍股极其罕见， 合计不足10只。 以史为鉴，10倍股如何炼成，年度大牛股具备哪些特征？2026年已至，哪些有望成后市"黑马"股？ 2015年以来10倍股仅有9只 按年度统计，自2015年至2025年，10倍股仅有9只，2015年至2017年，各有1只，2020年共计4只。2025年有2只，其中上纬新材年涨幅高达1820.29%，年涨 幅位居9只个股首位；天普股份年涨幅高达1645.35%，位居9只个股第3位。 为何能成为10倍股？笔者分析发现，10倍股具备三大催化剂，其一，新股属性是主要特征。比如2015年1月21日上市的中文在线，当年其股价涨幅超过17 倍；万泰生物、斯达半导均于2020年上市，当年2家公司股价涨幅均超过12倍。 其二，自身质地优质。比如中文在线，公司上市当年便高送转；万泰生物具备核心技术壁垒及向好的业绩；斯达半导受益于半导体国产替代强预期以及稳定 的盈利增长，为股价上涨提供支撑。 其 ...

Core Insights - The concept of "Tenbagger" stocks, which can appreciate tenfold, is primarily discussed in Western markets, but there are significant opportunities globally [1] - Dede Eyesan's research identified over 900 stocks worldwide that have the potential to become Tenbaggers, emphasizing profit growth and strong business fundamentals as key characteristics [1][2] - Many high-performing companies are not necessarily long-term compound growth firms but can also be turnaround stories [4] Characteristics of Global Tenbagger Companies - Key traits of Tenbagger companies include profit growth, strong business models, and often a founder-led mentality, although not exclusively [1][3] - Successful companies tend to focus on a simple business model and excel in providing excellent products or services [1][3] - Profit margin expansion is a significant driver for many high-performing companies, influenced by both internal and external factors [4][5] Industry Characteristics of Tenbagger Stocks - Industries with limited supply and growing demand, such as the salmon industry, present good investment opportunities [5][6] - Companies that can effectively manage costs and have room for growth are more likely to succeed [5][6] - Understanding the operational aspects of a business is crucial for assessing its potential for profit margin improvement [6][7] Investment Strategies and Insights - Investors should focus on companies with a clear understanding of their business operations and sustainable pricing power [6][7] - The research highlights the importance of understanding local cultures and business practices when investing in foreign markets [10][11] - A significant portion of Tenbagger stocks comes from India, indicating the need for investors to broaden their geographical focus [10] Future Industry Trends and Themes - Certain industries, such as utilities and insurance, face challenges in achieving high growth rates, making them less likely to produce Tenbagger stocks [27][28] - The technology and healthcare materials sectors have shown strong potential for growth, with many companies achieving significant returns [28][29] - The semiconductor industry has seen a surge in Tenbagger stocks, but investors must remain cautious of cyclical fluctuations [28][29] Qualitative Analysis in Investment Processes - Incorporating qualitative factors into investment decisions can enhance risk assessment and potential returns [42][43] - Understanding the competitive landscape and the unique advantages of companies is essential for determining investment size and strategy [43][44] - Investors should focus on companies with a proven track record of profitability and growth, avoiding those with stagnant earnings [46][47]

Market Performance - The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets exceeded 2 trillion yuan for the fifth consecutive trading day, marking a significant increase in market activity [7][8] - The last occurrence of such sustained trading volume was in November of the previous year [8] Stock Highlights - Shuotai Shen became the second "10-bagger" of the year, with its stock price soaring to 66.66 yuan, representing a maximum increase of 10.3 times from its low in April [4] - Cambricon Technologies' stock price reached a new high of 1001.10 yuan, marking its entry into the "thousand yuan club" for the first time [5] - Agricultural Bank of China continued to set historical highs, with its stock price surpassing 7 yuan and a total market capitalization nearing 2.4 trillion yuan [6] Historical Highs and Doubling Stocks - A total of 99 stocks reached historical highs today, including eight stocks with a market capitalization exceeding 100 billion yuan, such as Agricultural Bank, Industrial Fulian, and Cambricon [8] - The number of stocks that have doubled in price this year has risen to 357, with Shuotai Shen and *ST Yushun following the leader, Shuangwei New Materials, which has a 12-fold increase [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the contrast between short-term speculative stocks and long-term stable growth stocks, advocating for the latter as a more sustainable investment strategy [1][2] - The recent surge of Upwind New Materials, which became the first 10x stock of the year in just 15 trading days, highlights the speculative nature of the current market driven by trends like the metaverse and ChatGPT [1][3] - Historical examples of true 10x stocks, such as Kweichow Moutai and CATL, demonstrate that significant returns are often achieved over longer periods, suggesting that time is a crucial factor in value realization [1][2] Group 2 - The cultivation of slow bull 10x stocks requires three essential conditions: industries with long-term growth potential, companies with strong technological barriers or brand effects, and a rational pricing mechanism in the capital market [2] - The current A-share market is at a critical turning point, with increasing institutional investor participation and market maturity, yet it still exhibits speculative behaviors that hinder the development of a value investment culture [2][3] - A long-term slow bull ecosystem is deemed the best choice for the A-share market, necessitating regulatory improvements and a focus on performance-based pricing to foster the emergence of 10x stocks [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of the company, Aowei New Materials, surged over 13% on July 28, reaching a historical high, with a closing price exceeding 75 yuan per share, marking a cumulative increase of over 10 times in the year, making it the first stock in A-shares to achieve a tenfold increase since 2025 [1] Summary by Category - Stock Performance - Aowei New Materials' stock price increased by more than 13% in early trading on July 28 [1] - The closing price surpassed 75 yuan per share [1] - The stock has achieved a cumulative increase of over 10 times in 2023 [1] - It is recognized as the first tenfold stock in A-shares since 2025 [1]