"永赢现象"背后：它的押注与"止损"在哪？ 本文自南都·湾财社。 采写 | 南都·湾财社记者 黄顺威 编辑 | 王琦璋 近日，永赢基金连发多则公告，宣布固定收益投资部投资副总监杨凡颖因个人原因卸任旗下8只（仅统 计初始份额，下同）产品的基金经理职务。Wind数据显示，截至2025年9月末，杨凡颖在管产品规模近 123亿元，此次卸任后，其在管的基金数归零。 | 序号 | 基金名称 | 现任基金经理 | | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 永赢瑞益债券 | 张耀、余国豪 | | 2 | 永赢昭利债券 | 张慧 | | 3 | 永赢安源60天滚动持有债券 | 壬宇超 | | র্ব | 永赢华嘉信用债 | 张雷、曾琬云 | | 5 | 永赢湖北国企债一年定开发起 | 余国豪 | | 6 | 永赢卓利债券 | 张雪 | | 7 | 永赢凯利债券 | 张雪 | | 8 | 永赢安盈90天滚动持有债券发起, | 胡雪靈 | 据wind统计， 2025年以来，永赢基金已有6位基金经理"清仓式"卸任，其中4人管理规模曾超百亿元， 多只他们曾管理的偏股混合型基金在其任职期间亏损明显；同时，新聘了5位基金经理，5 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the latest holdings of the "National Team" in A-shares as of the end of Q3 2025, highlighting their role in stabilizing the market and the significant increase in their investments in various sectors [2][9]. Group 1: National Team Holdings Overview - As of Q3 2025, the "National Team" is involved in 801 A-share companies, with a total holding value of approximately 44,747 billion yuan, an increase of about 385 billion yuan from Q2 2025 [2][3]. - The largest shareholder among the "National Team" members is Central Huijin, with a holding value of approximately 32,224 billion yuan [3][18]. - The Social Security Fund holds shares in the most companies, totaling 617 A-share companies [3]. Group 2: Sector Allocation - Approximately 84% of the "National Team's" holdings are concentrated in the financial sector, with bank holdings valued at 32,959 billion yuan, accounting for 73.66% of their total holdings [3][9]. - Other sectors with significant holdings include food and beverage, machinery, construction decoration, public utilities, and non-ferrous metals, each exceeding 500 billion yuan in holdings [3]. Group 3: Individual Stock Performance - Among the "National Team's" holdings, 8 stocks have doubled in price this quarter, and 32 stocks have increased by over 70% [6][11]. - Notable performers include Luxshare Precision, which saw its stock price rise over 87% in Q3, with a holding value exceeding 142 billion yuan [6][11]. Group 4: New Investments and Adjustments - In Q3 2025, the "National Team" initiated positions in 22 new companies and increased holdings in 30 companies [11][16]. - The article highlights that 6 of the newly invested companies saw stock price increases exceeding 80% [11]. Group 5: Major Shareholders and Their Strategies - Central Huijin's top three holdings are Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, with a combined holding value exceeding 2.84 trillion yuan [18][19]. - The Social Security Fund's top three holdings also include Agricultural Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, reflecting a strategic focus on major state-owned banks [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid growth of the private equity industry in China, particularly through the advancements in technology and the strategic positioning of the platform "Private Equity Ranking Network" as a key player in wealth management for high-net-worth individuals, achieving over 3.5 million registered users [2][5]. Industry Growth - The increase in high-net-worth users aligns with the overall acceleration of the private equity sector, with private securities investment funds reaching a scale of 5.93 trillion yuan by August 2025, showcasing continuous expansion and diversification of strategies [5]. - The average return rate for private securities products in the first three quarters of this year is 25.00%, significantly outperforming major market indices, with 90% of products yielding positive returns, making them attractive for high-net-worth investments [5]. Technological Empowerment - Technology is identified as a key driver for enhancing service efficiency and user experience in wealth management, with the platform focusing on technological innovation to meet the higher demands of high-net-worth investors for intelligent research, precise allocation, and compliance [6]. - Since its establishment in 2004, the platform has committed to a mission of "customer-centric, technology-enabled," providing comprehensive services including data services, research support, transaction execution, and risk management [6]. Service Diversification - The platform has developed a flexible and multi-layered service system to cater to the increasingly diverse needs of high-net-worth investors, focusing on the entire lifecycle of user needs [8]. - For individual investors, the platform offers an "Advanced Analysis" intelligent research platform and a "Direct Chat with Private Equity" service to enhance communication and decision-making efficiency [9]. - For institutional clients, a one-stop fund investment trading platform is available, integrating transaction execution, research support, and operational management [10]. - Customized services such as "FOF Fund Customization" are provided to create personalized investment portfolios based on users' return goals and risk preferences [11]. Collaboration and Ecosystem - The platform has established long-term partnerships with nearly 70% of the billion-yuan private equity managers in China, including well-known firms, contributing to a robust fundraising ecosystem [7]. - The platform has collaborated with over 2,000 roadshow institutions, hosting more than 8,000 live roadshows, serving over 3,000 users daily, thus becoming a vital link between high-net-worth investors and professional managers [12]. Conclusion - The platform is reinforcing its competitive position in high-net-worth wealth management through continuous innovation and professional development, supported by a strong foundation in data, technology, service, and compliance [13].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the performance of CTA strategy products does not always correlate directly with the rise in commodity prices, leading to confusion among investors [2] - Investors often mistakenly perceive CTA funds as simple long positions in commodity futures, expecting net asset values to rise with commodity indices, which is a misunderstanding of the complex nature of CTA strategies [2][3] - A simplistic understanding of "trend" leads investors to overlook the importance of trend quality, specifically "trend smoothness," which significantly impacts the profitability of CTA strategies [3] Group 2 - The market can be categorized into three types: high smoothness trend markets, low smoothness oscillating markets, and misleading low smoothness trend markets, each affecting CTA strategy performance differently [4] - High smoothness trend markets allow for consistent profitability across various strategies, while low smoothness oscillating markets present challenges due to unclear direction and frequent reversals, leading to potential losses [4][5] - Misleading low smoothness trend markets can result in net asset values lagging behind price increases due to frequent large reversals, making it difficult for CTA strategies to accumulate profits [6][7] Group 3 - Investors can optimize their strategies by adopting multi-strategy CTA products in low smoothness trend markets, which can provide diverse sources of returns and smooth overall net asset value curves [8] - High smoothness trends may indicate potential market reversals, prompting managers to be cautious of excessive market sentiment [9] - In low smoothness trend markets, controlling drawdowns is more critical than pursuing profits, and investors should focus on the manager's historical drawdown and recovery time [11]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced mixed performance on July 14, with the Shanghai Composite Index recording a three-day rise, reaching a new closing high for the year. The index rose by 0.27% to 3519.65 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.11% and 0.45%, respectively. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 148.09 billion yuan, a decrease of 25.57 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with over 3100 stocks rising [1]. Robotics Sector - The robotics sector saw a collective surge, particularly in PEEK materials and reducers, with stocks like Upway New Materials, Zhongdali De, Dafeng Industrial, and Jintian Co. hitting the daily limit. Upway New Materials announced on July 8 that it would acquire at least 63.62% of shares from Shanghai Zhiyuan New Technology Co., thereby changing its controlling shareholder. The stock price of Upway New Materials increased by 107.46% over the period from July 9 to 14, achieving four consecutive limit-ups [2]. - China Mobile recently announced a procurement project where Zhiyuan Robotics and Yushu Technology won a contract for humanoid biped robot manufacturing services, with a total budget of 124 million yuan, marking the largest order in the domestic humanoid robot sector to date. Analysts believe that with capital market support, humanoid robot manufacturers are expected to enter a rapid production and expansion phase, positively impacting the entire supply chain [2]. Short-term Profit Taking - There has been a noticeable increase in short-term profit-taking actions in the market, leading to significant declines in several strong stocks. For instance, Huicheng Environmental Protection fell over 9%, and Honggong Technology dropped over 10%. Dazhihui announced a projected net loss for the first half of the year, estimating a loss between 4.2 million and 2.8 million yuan, primarily due to the sale of a subsidiary. The company indicated that while some business revenues increased, they were insufficient to cover costs, resulting in a net loss [3]. Market Outlook - Citic Securities anticipates that the "step-up" market trend is likely to continue, driven by ample liquidity and rising market sentiment. Positive external conditions are expected to further enhance this trend. The firm maintains a strategic optimistic outlook, noting that macroeconomic conditions and market risk appetite are showing positive signals [4]. - Huaxi Securities highlights that after the Shanghai Composite Index first surpassed 3500 points this year, major financial sectors and technology themes are experiencing alternating upward movements. The increase in market financing and trading volumes reflects a recovery in risk appetite among investors. The current market valuation has returned to above historical median levels, indicating a more favorable investment environment [4][5]. - For investment strategies, Huaxi Securities recommends focusing on three main areas: stable dividend assets in a low-interest-rate environment, resource-related sectors benefiting from price increases, and new technology and growth sectors such as marine economy, AI computing power, and solid-state batteries [5].

昨天评论互动的时候我说稳定的家庭对事业和人生都有决定性影响，尤其对职业投资来说尤为重要。因为投资这件事不可避免的会遭遇各种压力，如果家 庭和睦稳定就会在一定程度上缓解压力，最要命的是投资已经心事重重，收盘后还要面对家庭压力，焦躁情绪会螺旋上升，持续挤压你本来就已经紧绷的 那根弦，很难受。 两种典型的家庭场景： 1、丈夫沮丧的在吃饭的时候说最近股市不顺，又被套了。老婆笑嘻嘻的说，内疚啦，内疚今晚你洗碗，我正好去盯孩子作业。今年股市是不太好，我隔 壁的同事小张亏了2/3，本来想换车的，没钱了。咱家没暴富的命，你别冲动玩太大就行。 2、 丈夫沮丧的 在吃饭的时候说最近股市不顺， 又被套了。老婆一脸紧张的追问，亏多少了？丈夫敷衍说了个数（肯定低于实际亏损），老婆听完 脸色就沉了下来，早就让你别炒了，干嘛还非要炒，你的水平你还不知道吗，叹气。沉默了一会继续说：家里还有房贷，老人身体也不太好，我平 时东省西省，你一下子就亏那么多，叹气。 这两者的差别，谁经历谁知道。 今天排倒数的概念都是小红书、出海电商相关的，原因也很简单，tiktok在美国又恢复运营了。特朗普出了份文件，澄清了所有帮助TT运营的美国公司都 将免责，这就 ...