Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the pharmaceutical industry [1] Core Insights - The global pharmaceutical transaction volume reached 456 deals in the first half of 2025, a 32% year-on-year increase, with total upfront payments soaring to $11.8 billion, up 136% year-on-year, and total transaction value hitting $130.4 billion, a 58% increase year-on-year. Chinese companies contributed nearly 50% of the total transaction value and over 30% of the transaction volume, indicating a growing recognition of their value in global innovative drugs [3] - The report highlights a strategic opportunity for Chinese companies in the weight loss sector, with significant clinical data and collaborations emerging. For instance, the oral GLP-1 molecule Orforglipron showed a weight reduction of 11% compared to the placebo group, providing a competitive edge for domestic firms [4] - Chinese innovative drug companies are leading breakthroughs in CAR-T technology, with significant sales figures reported. For example, the collaboration between Legend Biotech and Johnson & Johnson for Carvykti is expected to exceed $2 billion in annual sales [5] - The CXO industry is anticipated to gradually recover, with a notable increase in license-out transactions and funding for biotech companies, indicating a positive trend in order recovery [6] - The report emphasizes the continuous iteration and updates in TCE technology, with promising clinical data emerging from various trials, showcasing the potential for significant advancements in the field [7] Summary by Sections 1. Pharmaceutical Market Tracking - The pharmaceutical industry underperformed the CSI 300 index by 2.07 percentage points in the last week, ranking 31st among 31 primary industry indices [19] - In the past month, the pharmaceutical industry outperformed the CSI 300 index by 8.23 percentage points, ranking 3rd among the primary industry indices [25] 2. Pharmaceutical Sector Trends and Valuation - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector's index has a current PE (TTM) of 38.77, above the 5-year historical average of 31.9 [45] 3. Recent Research Achievements - The report includes various deep-dive studies on the pharmaceutical industry, highlighting trends in supply and demand, as well as the growth of specific sectors such as blood products and inhalation formulations [51] 4. Recent Industry Policies and News - Recent policies from the National Healthcare Security Administration aim to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, including increased funding and support for clinical applications [54] - Notable industry news includes the approval of innovative treatments by major pharmaceutical companies, indicating a robust pipeline and ongoing advancements in the sector [56]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry [1] Core Views - The innovation environment is continuously improving, leading to an optimistic outlook on innovation premiums. In the first half of 2025, global pharmaceutical transactions reached 456, a 32% year-on-year increase, with total upfront payments soaring to $11.8 billion, a 136% increase. The total transaction value hit $130.4 billion, up 58% year-on-year, with Chinese companies contributing nearly 50% of the total value and over 30% of the transaction count [3] - The CXO sector is expected to gradually recover following a supply-side cleansing post-COVID-19, with a significant increase in License-out transactions and total transaction amounts surpassing previous years [4] - The TCE technology is being continuously iterated and updated, with promising clinical data emerging for TCE-based therapies, indicating a strong market potential [5] - The trend towards more effective and scientific weight loss solutions is evident, with GLP-1 drugs generating over $50 billion in global sales, driving capital interest in the sector [6] - There is a growing focus on autoimmune diseases, with significant clinical data supporting new treatments and collaborations in the field [7] Summary by Sections 1. Pharmaceutical Market Tracking - The pharmaceutical industry outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.21 percentage points in the last week, with a weekly increase of 1.90% [18] - Over the past month, the industry outperformed the CSI 300 index by 6.73 percentage points, with a monthly increase of 10.95% [21][24] 2. Pharmaceutical Sector Trends and Valuation - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry index currently has a PE (TTM) of 37.98, above the 5-year historical average of 32.08 [41] 3. Recent Research Achievements - The report highlights various recent research findings, including the positive outlook for the blood products industry and the acceleration of the inhalation drug sector due to policy support [45] 4. Recent Industry Policies and News - The National Healthcare Security Administration has implemented measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, enhancing the support for R&D and clinical applications [46] - Recent news includes significant approvals and collaborations in the pharmaceutical sector, indicating a vibrant market environment [48][49] 5. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies based on their potential to benefit from the improving innovation environment and market trends, including CXO firms and those involved in TCE technology [8]

Group 1 - The TCE technology sector is experiencing a significant breakthrough, particularly in the treatment of autoimmune diseases, with CD3T cell connectors showing notable therapeutic potential [1][2] - TCE drugs offer advantages such as precise targeting of pathological cells, reduced toxicity through controlled CD3 co-stimulation signals, and engineered adjustments to prolong efficacy [1] - The global interest in TCE technology has surged in 2024, with total transaction amounts reaching approximately $4.3 billion, indicating a rising trend in high-value TCE deals among biotech companies [2] Group 2 - Notable transactions include Merck's acquisition of Tongrun Biotech's CD3/CD19 bispecific antibody product for $1.3 billion, and AbbVie’s agreement with IGITherapeutics for exclusive rights to ISB2001, involving a $700 million upfront payment [2] - The vaccine ETF (code: 159643) tracks the vaccine biotech index (code: 980015), reflecting the overall performance of listed companies involved in vaccine research and production [2] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the linked ETFs, such as Guotai Guozheng Vaccine and Biotechnology ETF [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company has made significant licensing agreements that enhance cash flow and pave the way for future commercialization of its products, including the injection of Agonist α and IL-11 targeted therapy drugs [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Impact - The total upfront payments from the two transactions amount to over 560 million RMB (3.8 billion + 250 million), which alleviates the company's financial pressure, with an estimated cash balance of approximately 1.23 billion RMB in 2024 [2]. - The agreements include a maximum total transaction amount of 500 million RMB and a tiered royalty percentage based on net sales, which will further support the company's financial health [1]. Group 2: Technological Validation - The two business development targets (8MW0511 and 9MW3811) are self-developed by the company, validating its long-acting fusion protein technology and LALA modification technology's competitive edge [3][4]. - 8MW0511 is the first approved long-acting G-CSF in China, utilizing albumin fusion technology to avoid the toxicity risks associated with PEG modification, demonstrating low immunogenicity and high production efficiency [3]. - 9MW3811 employs LALA modification technology to reduce potential toxicity risks and has shown a long half-life in clinical data, indicating significant market potential in diseases like pulmonary fibrosis [4]. Group 3: Core Assets and Future Potential - The company possesses a proprietary technology platform in the ADC field, with multiple targets and new payloads, showing promising clinical data in combination therapies [5]. - In the TCE field, the company is optimizing target selection and spatial design to reduce cytokine release syndrome (CRS) risks, with preclinical models demonstrating significant tumor suppression effects [5]. - Collaborations with AI companies are being utilized to accelerate target screening and evaluation, enhancing the company's research capabilities [5]. Group 4: Revenue Forecast - The company projects revenues of 851 million, 1.514 billion, and 2.08 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 325.97%, 77.91%, and 37.38% respectively [6]. - The expected net profit for the same period is projected to be -591 million, -280 million, and 104 million RMB, with growth rates of 43.4%, 52.65%, and 137.14% respectively [6].