来源：深蓝观 作者：吴妮 GLP-1类药物的价格战，似乎比预想中来得更猛烈。 如今打开各大电商平台，搜索司美格鲁肽、替尔泊肽等GLP-1药物，"医保国谈降价""2折直降""历史最 低"等标签随处可见。这股突如其来的降价潮，让许多消费者也措手不及。小陈（化名）在12月17日在 某电商平台以2400余元购入替尔泊肽注射液（20mg），短短五天后却发现同款产品价格已降至899元， 差价巨大。 此番电商平台的降价，与医保谈判政策的推行同步。2025年国内医保谈判中，礼来的替尔泊肽与银诺的 依苏帕格鲁肽降糖适应症被纳入目录——尽管它们的减重适应症，与司美格鲁肽一样，仍未进入医保范 围，但这已足以在市场上释放出强烈的价格信号。 GLP-1药物的折价时代已然到来，利润空间也需要重新计算。这一局面，让刚刚获批以及即将获批的国 产GLP-1药物陷入定价上的被动。在进口产品大幅降价、守卫市场份额的氛围下，国产新药要面临更严 峻的考验。 –01– 降价狂欢：没有最低，只有更低 在这场降价狂欢中，首先药厂自身就抱有主动降价、抢占市场的意愿。一位业内人士指出："无论货权 在哪里，最终售价大多仍与药厂协商确定，药厂对其渠道体系内的客户一 ...

以下文章来源于财联社 ，作者王俊仙 卢阿峰 财联社 . 财联社是上海报业集团主管主办，定位资本市场报道财经通讯社，以"准确、快速、权威、专业"为准则，提供7x24小时金融信息服务。 曾在社交平台被神化为"减重神药"的GLP-1类药物，正在经历从高溢价创新药向大众普惠医疗品的身份转换。 财联社记者近日注意到， 2025年年末，一场由跨国药企诺和诺德与礼来主动发起 的降价潮，在政府采购平台、电商平台悄然上演，实际成交价格较 半年前近乎"腰斩"。 "这 并非简单的年终促销 ，而是一场精准的战略抢跑。"多位业内专家告诉财联社记者，在2026年司美格鲁肽专利大限将至与国产创新药、生物类似 药"抢滩战"开启前，巨头们正试图通过预设价格锚点，筑起防御高墙。 而信达生物（01801.HK）已经获批减重和降糖适应症的玛仕度肽是否跟进， 恒瑞医药 （600276.SH）即将获批的GLP-1/GIP双靶点减重药 HRS9531 面对这一 竞争态势将采 取怎样的定价策略，将是观察2026年减重药物市场竞争格局的关键视角。 01 司美格鲁肽与替尔泊肽价格下探：促销还是"提前应战"？ 从价格表现看，本轮降价并非零星个案，而是呈现出一定的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The GLP-1 class drugs, once hailed as "weight loss miracle drugs," are transitioning from high-priced innovative medications to more accessible healthcare products, with a significant price drop observed in the market as major pharmaceutical companies prepare for increased competition and the expiration of patents in 2026 [1][10][12]. Pricing Trends - The recent price reductions for semaglutide and tirzepatide are not isolated incidents but show systematic characteristics, with semaglutide's lowest price dropping to 329 yuan per injection for the diabetes version and 388 yuan for the weight loss version, marking a significant decrease from previous market prices [2][4]. - The price of tirzepatide has also shown downward movement, with the lowest price for the 2.4ml:10mg specification falling below 500 yuan for the first time, indicating a clear shift in pricing strategy [4]. Strategic Moves by Companies - Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly are strategically lowering prices ahead of the 2026 patent expiration for semaglutide, aiming to establish price anchors and secure market share before the entry of domestic biosimilars and innovative drugs [1][11]. - Eli Lilly's tirzepatide is set to be included in the medical insurance system starting January 1, 2026, with pre-sale prices already established on e-commerce platforms, indicating a strategy to align with future insurance pricing [8][10]. Market Competition and Future Outlook - The market for GLP-1 weight loss drugs is expected to intensify, with predictions of a price war as more competitors enter the market, particularly in the biosimilar segment, which could see prices drop by an additional 20%-50% [10][12]. - The introduction of oral GLP-1 medications, such as semaglutide's oral version approved by the FDA, is anticipated to expand the market further, appealing to patients who prefer non-injection options [16][17]. Domestic Innovations - Domestic companies like Innovent Biologics and HengRui Medicine are positioned to challenge the original drug market with their innovative products, such as the dual-target drug MaShidu and HRS9531, which are expected to be approved in 2026 [13][14]. - The market is projected to evolve into a multi-product landscape with a price tiering system, where original drugs, innovative domestic products, and biosimilars coexist, driven by varying patient needs and treatment stages [18]. Unmet Market Needs - Despite the growing availability of GLP-1 drugs, the penetration rate among the obese population in China remains low at approximately 1%, indicating significant unmet demand in the market [18].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the GLP-1RA drug industry Core Insights - The GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) are a class of drugs that mimic the action of GLP-1, promoting insulin secretion and reducing appetite, leading to blood sugar control and weight loss [2][3] - The global market for GLP-1 drugs is dominated by semaglutide and tirzepatide, with semaglutide achieving sales of $16.6 billion in the first half of 2025, making it the top-selling drug globally [8] - The expiration of patents for major drugs is expected to lead to a surge in generic versions, increasing market competition and reducing treatment costs [11] Summary by Sections GLP-1 Drug Classification and Mechanism - GLP-1RA drugs are categorized into short-acting, long-acting, and ultra-long-acting formulations, each with different pharmacokinetic profiles [2][3] - These drugs are effective in treating conditions such as obesity, type 2 diabetes, and metabolic disorders [4] Market Performance and Patent Expiration - The sales of GLP-1 drugs have shown significant growth, with semaglutide's weight management product Wegovy achieving $5.441 billion in sales, a 78% increase year-over-year [8] - Key patents for drugs like liraglutide have expired, while others like semaglutide will expire in 2026, paving the way for biosimilars [9][11] R&D Progress in China - Chinese companies are advancing in the development of dual-target and multi-target GLP-1 drugs, with significant progress in clinical trials [13][14] - The focus is shifting towards expanding indications for GLP-1 drugs beyond diabetes and obesity to include conditions like Alzheimer's and cardiovascular diseases [15] Future Market Potential - The Chinese GLP-1 market is projected to grow from 9.62 billion yuan in 2020 to 71.7 billion yuan by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.1% [22] - The inclusion of GLP-1 drugs in national health insurance is expected to enhance market penetration and accessibility [22] Innovation Trends - The industry is witnessing a trend towards multi-target drug development and the introduction of oral formulations to improve patient compliance [28][29] - The competitive landscape is intensifying as both original and generic drug manufacturers seek to establish a foothold in the market [30][31]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the competitive landscape of weight loss drugs in the pharmaceutical industry, focusing on Heng Rui Medicine's strategic investments in the "weight loss + metabolism" sector, particularly through its GLP-1 and multi-target drug development initiatives [2]. Group 1: Product Development and Clinical Trials - Heng Rui Medicine's SHR-2906 injection has received NMPA approval for clinical trials aimed at treating obesity, marking a significant step in its weight loss drug portfolio [2][3]. - HRS9531, a GLP-1/GIP dual receptor agonist developed by Heng Rui, shows promising clinical data with an average weight loss of approximately 19% over 48 weeks, alongside improvements in cardiovascular and metabolic indicators [5]. - The company has submitted a long-term weight management application for HRS9531, which is the closest product to commercialization in its pipeline [5]. Group 2: Diverse Product Matrix - Heng Rui is expanding its product matrix around the GLP-1 system, addressing various mechanisms and dosage forms to meet the needs of different weight loss populations [6]. - HRS-7535, an oral small molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist, is in late-stage clinical trials and aims to provide a more convenient administration method for long-term treatment [7]. - The company is also developing an oral version of HRS9531 to adapt to the evolving GLP-1 market, which is shifting from primarily injectable forms to a combination of injectables and oral medications [8]. Group 3: New Mechanism Exploration - Heng Rui is actively exploring new mechanisms beyond GLP-1, including patents for Apelin receptor agonists and Amylin analogs, which could represent the next generation of metabolic targets [10][11]. - These new mechanisms are still in early stages but are part of Heng Rui's long-term strategy for developing multi-pathway weight loss drugs [12]. Group 4: International Expansion and Financing - The establishment of NewCo (Kailera Therapeutics) in collaboration with overseas teams is a notable strategy for Heng Rui, valued at approximately $6 billion, which includes multiple GLP-1 pipelines [14]. - In 2025, Kailera completed a $500 million Series B financing round, enhancing Heng Rui's global clinical development capabilities for its GLP-1 products [14]. - Heng Rui's product lineup, including HRS9531, HRS-7535, and HRS-4729, has formed a "pyramid structure" from early to late-stage products, indicating a robust development strategy [15].

Core Insights - Eli Lilly has achieved a market capitalization exceeding $1 trillion, marking a record in the pharmaceutical industry, driven by the strong performance of its flagship product, tirzepatide [2][4] - The sales of tirzepatide's diabetes version, Mounjaro, reached $6.515 billion in Q3, contributing significantly to Eli Lilly's overall revenue growth [2] - The GLP-1 drug class is expected to become one of the largest pharmaceutical categories globally in the next three to five years, highlighting the transformative impact of a single blockbuster drug [3] Financial Performance - Eli Lilly's Q3 revenue reached $17.6 billion, a 54% year-over-year increase, with tirzepatide products generating a combined sales of $10.103 billion in Q3 alone [2] - The total sales for tirzepatide in the first three quarters amounted to $24.837 billion, accounting for 49% of Eli Lilly's total revenue, with a year-over-year growth of 125% [2] Market Dynamics - Eli Lilly's market share among new patients in the U.S. has risen to between 70% and 75%, indicating strong competitive positioning [4] - The prescription volume for tirzepatide has surpassed that of its main competitor, semaglutide, with a market share of 57.9% compared to 41.7% for semaglutide as of Q3 2025 [4] Competitive Landscape - Novo Nordisk remains a dominant player in the weight loss drug market, with its GLP-1 products generating significant revenue, including $32.4 billion from diabetes and obesity care in the first three quarters of 2025 [5] - The GLP-1 drug class is projected to exceed $100 billion in market size by 2030, with Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk leading the charge [6] Challenges and Strategic Moves - Eli Lilly faces challenges such as reliance on a single product, patent expiration risks, and increasing competition in the GLP-1 market [9] - The company is pursuing external acquisitions and advanced technology investments to diversify its growth avenues, including strategic alliances in gene therapy and AI drug development [9][10] - Price pressures are mounting as Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk have agreed to lower prices for obesity treatment drugs starting in 2026, which may impact short-term revenue [8]

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by Innovent Biologics regarding the successful completion of the primary endpoint in the Phase III clinical trial of its dual receptor agonist, Masitide, highlights the rapid development of domestic GLP-1 drugs in China, with multiple companies actively participating in this market [1] Industry Overview - The GLP-1 drug market is characterized by a "dual oligopoly" with Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly dominating the majority of market share and industry influence [2] - The global obesity and metabolic drug market is projected to exceed $100 billion by 2030, with GLP-1 drugs being a key driver of this growth [1] - The domestic weight loss injection market is entering an accelerated expansion phase due to strong positioning by multinational pharmaceutical companies and favorable weight management policies [1] Company Developments - Domestic companies such as Hengrui Medicine and East China Pharmaceutical are actively developing next-generation GLP-1 drugs, with Hengrui's HRS9531 showing promising results in Phase III trials [4] - East China Pharmaceutical is advancing its oral small molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist HDM1002 through clinical trials, with significant progress reported [3] - The competitive landscape is intensifying as more domestic players enter the GLP-1 space, necessitating strategies for differentiation and market penetration [5] Market Potential - The market for weight loss drugs in China is expected to exceed 12 billion yuan by 2025, driven by a growing population of overweight and obese individuals [3] - The expansion of indications beyond type 2 diabetes, including obesity and other conditions, is becoming a focal point for pharmaceutical companies [5] - Companies that can provide cost-effective alternatives while maintaining similar efficacy are likely to capture significant market share [5]

Core Viewpoint - Heng Rui Medicine has demonstrated strong growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by high R&D investment and successful innovation in drug development [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 23.188 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.85% - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.751 billion yuan, up 24.50% - R&D expenses for the first three quarters amounted to 4.945 billion yuan, with cumulative R&D investment exceeding 50 billion yuan [1] Innovation and Product Development - Heng Rui has launched several innovative drugs, including China's first self-developed EZH2 inhibitor and a combination oral hypoglycemic agent for type 2 diabetes [2] - The company has received acceptance for 13 new drug applications from the National Medical Products Administration, with 8 applications in the third quarter alone [3] - The company has over 100 innovative products in clinical development and has received 48 clinical trial approvals during the reporting period [3] Internationalization Efforts - Heng Rui has accelerated its internationalization process, securing significant collaborations with GSK and other companies, with potential total payments reaching approximately 12 billion USD [4] - The company has initiated over 20 overseas clinical trials in various countries, including the U.S. and Europe [5] - Heng Rui showcased its research achievements at the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) annual meeting, presenting 46 research results covering 14 innovative drugs [6] Talent Acquisition and Organizational Development - The company has launched a global recruitment program targeting top universities to attract young talent for its innovation and internationalization strategies [7] - High-level talent has been recruited from leading pharmaceutical companies, enhancing the company's global perspective [8] Collaboration and Sustainable Development - Heng Rui has established partnerships with research institutions to promote collaborative innovation, including a joint fund with the National Natural Science Foundation of China [9] - The company has improved its ESG rating from "A" to "AA," reflecting its commitment to sustainable development [9] - Heng Rui has been listed among China's top 500 companies, indicating its growing influence in the industry [9] Future Outlook - The company aims to continue focusing on patient-centered innovation, accelerating the transformation of research results, and expanding its global reach [10]

Core Insights - The article highlights the success of the domestic weight-loss drug Mazdutide, developed by Innovent Biologics, in a head-to-head clinical trial against the international product Semaglutide, marking a significant achievement for local innovation in the metabolic disease sector [1][2]. Group 1: Clinical Trial Results - The DREAMS-3 trial demonstrated that 49.7% of patients treated with Mazdutide achieved both blood sugar control (HbA1c < 7.0%) and a weight loss of ≥10%, significantly outperforming the 21.0% in the Semaglutide group [1]. - Mazdutide showed superior results in various cardiovascular metabolic risk factors, including fasting blood sugar, waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, and triglycerides [1]. - The trial was notable for being the first direct comparison of a domestic GCG/GLP-1 dual receptor agonist with Semaglutide in the diabetes treatment field [1]. Group 2: Market Context and Competition - The global market for obesity and metabolic drugs is projected to exceed $100 billion by 2030, with GLP-1 drugs being a key driver of this growth [3]. - The domestic weight-loss injection market is entering an accelerated expansion phase, driven by strong competition from multinational pharmaceutical companies and favorable weight management policies [4]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a "dual oligopoly" with Novo Nordisk's Semaglutide and Eli Lilly's Tirzepatide dominating the market share [9]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - Domestic pharmaceutical companies are rapidly advancing in GLP-1 drug development, with several firms, including Hengrui Medicine and East China Pharmaceutical, actively pursuing innovative products [2][11]. - The market potential for weight-loss drugs is substantial, with projections indicating that by 2025, the compliant market for weight-loss medications in China could exceed 12 billion yuan [10]. - The increasing number of entrants in the GLP-1 space is expected to intensify competition, with companies needing to focus on differentiation, pricing strategies, and expanding indications beyond type 2 diabetes to capture market share [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - Heng Rui Medicine reported strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with significant revenue growth and continued investment in R&D, highlighting its commitment to innovation and international expansion [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 23.188 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.85% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.751 billion yuan, up 24.50% year-on-year - R&D expenses for the first three quarters amounted to 4.945 billion yuan, with cumulative R&D investment exceeding 50 billion yuan [1]. Innovation and Product Development - The company launched China's first self-developed EZH2 inhibitor and the innovative drug Zemeituosita tablets for adult patients with relapsed or refractory peripheral T-cell lymphoma - Significant progress was made in metabolic diseases with the launch of the first oral hypoglycemic combination drug, providing new treatment options for type 2 diabetes patients - A total of 24 first-class innovative drugs and 5 second-class new drugs have been approved for marketing in China [2]. New Drug Applications - In the first three quarters, 13 new drug applications were accepted by the National Medical Products Administration, with 8 applications in Q3 alone - The company’s HRS9531 drug showed positive results in a Phase III weight loss study, with an average weight loss of 19.2% in the 6mg dose group over 48 weeks [3]. Internationalization Efforts - The company accelerated its internationalization process, achieving significant business development (BD) transactions, including collaborations with GSK and Braveheart Bio - A total of 5 billion USD in potential payments and milestone fees were involved in these collaborations, reflecting the international recognition of the company's R&D capabilities [4][5]. Global Talent Acquisition - Heng Rui initiated a global recruitment program targeting top universities to attract young talent for its innovation and internationalization strategies - High-profile hires from leading pharmaceutical companies have strengthened the company’s management and technical capabilities [7][8]. Sustainable Development Initiatives - The company established a joint fund with the National Natural Science Foundation to promote collaborative innovation in cancer and metabolic diseases - Heng Rui's ESG rating improved from "A" to "AA," indicating progress in sustainable development practices [9]. Future Outlook - The company aims to continue focusing on patient-centered innovation, accelerating the transformation of research outcomes, and expanding its global reach to benefit more patients worldwide [10].