房屋租赁

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打工人的租房顶配:厅局风小区
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 00:39
对于大城市的打工人来说,租房堪比一场服从性测试,便宜和舒服不可兼得。"你要么是被贵贵的精装房收割,要么就是跟便宜的老破小凑合。" 正当大家以为,在大城市租房是年轻人的必经之难时, 一群最成熟的打工人,却在家属院里找到了自己的安乐窝。 家属院, 又被调侃为"厅局风小区",原本是分给体制内干部们的家属楼,充满着根正苗红的老干部气息。"厅局风小区就像是部队疗养院的城中分院, 小 区人群素质高、绿化好,而且环境安静,没人打扰。最重要的是,这些小区不会因为自己是家属院就漫天要价,反而房租比什么商品楼都公道。" 图源:绿绿 在北京,家属院集中在海淀、昌平等地,这里坐落着大量的 大学家属院和部队家属院;而在东四环的朝阳区,也分布着不少 空军家属院和医院家属院。 "这些小区里的房子可以出租,但买卖却有不少限制。所以住进厅局风小区, 是拿到了一张体制内生活的体验卡,而且可以用公积金支付房租,唯一的缺 点就是不能转正。" 据说,家属院也有鄙视链,"鄙视链最顶端,便是体制内的部队家属院和大学家属院,这里卧虎藏龙,管理严格;其次就是银行家属楼、日报社家属楼这 种单位的家属院,住的都是青年才俊。" 图源:爱旅游的小k 过去,大城市里的 ...
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-28 20:24
Core Thesis - Airbnb, Inc. is transitioning from a high-growth disruptor during the pandemic to a strong cash-generating platform with a focus on operational efficiency and resilience [2][5] Financial Performance - As of September 18th, Airbnb's share price was $125.47, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 30.45 and 25.58 respectively [1] - The company reported a record free cash flow of $4.48 billion for 2024, with a gross margin of 71.5%, operating margin of 23%, and free cash flow margin of 40% [2] - Revenue grew by 11.9% year-over-year in 2024, with nights and experiences booked increasing by 9% [2] - Gross bookings are projected to rise from $81.8 billion to approximately $104 billion by 2026 [2] Earnings and Valuation - Net income decreased from $4.79 billion in 2023 to $2.65 billion in 2024, with EPS falling from $7.24 to $4.11 due to non-operating items and share-based compensation dilution [3] - Valuation remains high, with a P/E of 32x and EV/EBITDA of 28x, reflecting expectations of continued EPS growth that may not materialize [3] - Consensus projects an 11% EPS CAGR through 2027, indicating limited upside relative to current market pricing [3] Technical Analysis - The stock is under pressure, having broken key support at $132, with resistance near $145–147 [4] - Bearish MACD crosses and downward RSI divergence suggest potential further downside to $125–118 if support fails [4] - Investors may consider accumulation only on pullbacks below $120 or on a confirmed breakout above $147, indicating a need for strategic entry [4] Market Sentiment - The stock price has depreciated approximately 8.27% since previous bullish coverage, reflecting partial realization of the bullish thesis [5] - The current perspective emphasizes caution regarding slowing earnings and high valuation despite strong operational fundamentals [5]
租房新规为“串串房”敲警钟 甲醛防控需多方打响“持久战”
Xiao Fei Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-26 04:05
Core Points - The implementation of the "Housing Rental Regulations" marks a significant step in addressing issues within China's rental housing market, providing consumers with stronger legal backing for their rights [1][2] - The new regulations emphasize health and safety standards for rental properties, particularly concerning indoor air quality and harmful substances like formaldehyde [2][7] Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The "Housing Rental Regulations" fill a gap in national-level administrative regulations in the housing rental sector, addressing common issues such as "串串房" (shoddy rentals) and "甲醛房" (formaldehyde-laden houses) [1][2] - Article 7 of the new regulations mandates that rental properties must comply with various safety and health standards, ensuring they do not pose risks to tenants [2][7] Group 2: Market Challenges - The rental market in China has expanded significantly, with nearly 260 million renters, including around 40 million in major cities, highlighting the scale of the issue [3] - Despite the growth, problems like formaldehyde contamination persist, often exacerbated by consumer misconceptions about air quality and safety [3][4] Group 3: Consumer Awareness and Rights - Many consumers hold misconceptions about the safety of newly renovated homes, believing that a lack of odor indicates safety, which contributes to the circulation of unsafe rental properties [3][5] - The new regulations provide tenants with the right to demand remediation from landlords if properties are found to have excessive formaldehyde or other safety issues [2][7] Group 4: Industry Practices - There are significant issues within the air quality testing and remediation market, including fraudulent practices that mislead consumers about the safety of their living environments [5][6] - The lack of clear contractual agreements regarding air quality in rental contracts complicates tenants' ability to seek redress [6][7] Group 5: Future Directions - Experts suggest that a multi-faceted approach is necessary to address the ongoing issues in the rental market, including stricter regulations on building materials and clearer standards for air quality [7] - Consumers are encouraged to utilize reputable channels for renting and to ensure proper air quality testing before moving in, which can help protect their health and rights [7]
消费者压力上升 美国独栋出租房7月租金增速明显放缓
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 15:45
从环比来看,7月租金仅较6月微涨0.2%,远低于历史同期0.7%的平均增幅,显示市场从此前的强劲增 长突然转向疲软。Boesel指出,"即便是此前受野火灾后需求推动的洛杉矶市场,也正在降温;而芝加 哥则是例外,在库存紧张和需求韧性支撑下,继续领跑全国。" 今年上半年持续走强的美国独栋出租房租金在7月开始出现明显放缓迹象,显示随着消费者支出压力上 升,房东或被迫调整租金策略以适应市场变化。 最新数据显示,7月美国独栋出租房租金同比上涨2.3%,较去年同期3.1%的平均涨幅明显放缓,且增速 已跌破新冠疫情前10年平均区间的下限。Cotality高级首席经济学家Molly Boesel表示:"今年上半年表 现强劲的独栋出租市场正在明显降温。7月我们看到大多数大都会区和不同价格层级的房租增速全面走 弱。" 过去几年,独栋出租房租金表现明显优于公寓租金,这主要是由于多户型住房供应激增,且受制于房屋 销售市场价格飙升,许多原本计划购房的家庭选择租赁学区房,推高了独栋租赁需求。 面对高涨需求,Invitation Homes和American Homes4Rent等大型独栋出租房REITs(房地产投资信托)甚至 不断新建出 ...
在大城市租房生娃的年轻人,有苦说不出
Hu Xiu· 2025-09-22 07:39
本文来自微信公众号:新周刊 (ID:new-weekly),作者:HH,编辑:陆一鸣,题图来自:视觉中国 最近,很多人或许会开始思考一个问题:租房与生育是否真的不可兼容? 契机来自前段时间的一则新闻。在广州自如一处合租房里,一对夫妻欣喜又手忙脚乱地迎来了一个新生 命。为了照顾小孩,爷爷奶奶时常上门帮忙做饭擦洗,原本就狭小的公共空间,很快就摆满了许多锅碗 瓢盆。于是,这对夫妻便收到了来自自如平台的解约通知:因为夫妻俩违约在出租房里带小孩,影响其 他租客,请他们在3天之内搬出。 这起事件一出,很快引起了网上的大量讨论。有人认为既然选择了合租生娃,那大概率意味着经济条件 并不允许整租甚至买房,应该对租户更宽容一些;但也有人认为,既然已经经济窘迫成这样,为什么不 先经营好自己的生活、提高收入,而是急着生孩子? 事实上,早在几年之前,自如等长租平台的租房合同要求就曾经引发讨论,比如合租房里每个房间住人 不得超过2人,且租房人年龄必须在18~40岁之间,这意味着此类房子不仅不允许父母带着孩子共同居 住,超过40岁的中年人也无法再住进来。 坦率地说,将新生儿与夫妻扫地出门,确实并不人道,但这对夫妻也确实违反了合同。空间本就 ...
破解银发消费年龄歧视
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-09-22 00:30
Core Viewpoint - The aging population is increasingly becoming a significant force in driving consumption, yet they face age discrimination in various sectors, highlighting the need to eliminate hidden barriers for elderly consumers [1][2]. Group 1: Age Discrimination in Various Sectors - Elderly individuals often encounter age discrimination in fitness centers, where they are denied services based on age, reflecting deeper cultural, legal, and ethical issues [2][3]. - Discrimination against the elderly is prevalent in five main areas: elderly care, housing rental and sales, tourism and cultural consumption, financial services, and online services [2]. Group 2: Legal and Regulatory Framework - Companies have the right to set consumer thresholds based on product characteristics and safety risks, but these must be justified and not simply based on age [3]. - Current laws primarily focus on basic survival rights for the elderly, lacking effective regulation against discrimination in housing and consumption [4]. Group 3: Market Potential and Business Adaptation - The silver economy in China is currently valued at approximately 7 trillion yuan, projected to reach 49.9 trillion yuan by 2050, indicating a vast market potential [6]. - Some businesses are beginning to explore age-friendly services, such as specialized fitness centers for the elderly, which have seen positive reception and membership growth [7]. Group 4: Social Awareness and Cultural Shift - There is a need for a societal shift in perception towards the elderly, recognizing them as a growing consumer base rather than a marginalized group [8]. - Creating an environment that respects and accommodates the elderly will encourage businesses to adapt their services to meet the needs of this demographic [8].
年轻人逃离北上广?租房市场的真相没那么简单
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-20 05:56
2025年9月15日,《住房租赁条例》正式落地,这标志着租房市场正从"野蛮生长"走向制度化管理。但 与此同时,租房市场却出现了一种奇妙的"温差":租金整体在降,租客却依然难租到满意的房子;中介 抱怨房东不愿合作,房东却说中介找不到人租。 租金下降的同时,房东也开始反思是否还要依赖平台。CRIC数据显示,2025年7月,全国55城个人房源 挂牌量达到61.8万间,同比增长12.19%,为三年来新高。背后原因也不复杂:租金已经不高,平台再抽 一笔服务费,房东几乎没有利润空间,干脆选择自己直租。 这也打破了一个误区:不是房源少,而是平台收不上来。中介平台看起来冷清,不是因为没人租房,而 是"去平台化"趋势增强。这也是为什么你可能发现平台上房源在降价,但真正优质的新房源却越来越 少。 看起来像是市场降温,实际上是托管模式和行业机制正面临结构性转型。 重托管退潮,轻托管上位 过去几年,租房平台几乎统一采用"重托管"模式:平台从房东手里整批收房,统一装修再转租,比如自 如的"心舍"风格就是典型代表。确实,这让房子在视觉上更统一、看起来更"高级",但问题也藏在这 些"标准化模板"里。 很多租客反映,所谓的精装只是"老黄瓜刷 ...
房租在降,但房东租不出去,租客也找不到房?
Hu Xiu· 2025-09-19 06:57
Core Viewpoint - The rental housing market is experiencing a paradox where, despite reports of a cooling market and young people leaving major cities, there remains a mismatch between supply and demand, leading to a situation where tenants struggle to find available properties while landlords and agents face reduced business activity [1][2][11]. Market Dynamics - The rental market is influenced by various business models, with a shift from heavy management (重托管) to lighter management (轻托管) models, reflecting changes in consumer preferences and market conditions [5][8]. - The implementation of the Housing Rental Regulations in September 2025 is expected to bring more standardized management and oversight to the rental market, addressing previous controversies and legal disputes [4][20]. Rental Price Trends - Recent data indicates a slight decline in rental prices across major cities, with a reported average rental price drop of 1.37% in 50 cities and a 1.12% decrease in the first five months of 2025 compared to the previous year [11][12]. - In Beijing, the average rent for shared accommodations has decreased by approximately 100 CNY per month, while entire rentals have dropped by 300 to 400 CNY per month [12]. Supply and Demand - Despite the decrease in rental prices, the availability of new rental properties has not significantly increased, leading to a perception that the market is not offering many new options [13][14]. - The total number of personal rental listings in 55 cities reached 618,000 in July 2025, marking a 12.19% increase year-on-year, indicating a potential shift in how landlords are managing their properties [13]. Management Models - The rental market features two primary management models: those that charge a service fee with no intermediary (light management) and those that charge a commission with additional services (heavy management) [8][18]. - Heavy management models face challenges in adapting to the current market environment, as they struggle with rising operational costs and longer vacancy periods due to declining rental prices [20][21]. Future Outlook - The rental market's cooling may signal a transition towards more regulated practices, with an emphasis on service quality becoming a critical factor for success in both heavy and light management models [23][21]. - The future of institutional rental markets will depend on enhancing service quality, as the reliance on scale alone may not suffice in a changing landscape [21][22].
商业租赁纠纷更多,情况更复杂……无锡中院发布房屋租赁纠纷审判情况
Yang Zi Wan Bao Wang· 2025-09-18 12:58
《住房租赁条例》于9月15日正式实施。那么,目前,无锡市的房屋租赁市场的特点是什么?纠纷矛盾 集中在哪里?又该如何化解? 无锡中院9月17日举行新闻发布会,就无锡房租租赁合同纠纷的审判和调研情况进行发布和解读。相关 结果显示,商业租赁纠纷占比较大,金额较多,处理起来比较复杂,法院将创新举措逐步化解。 据统计,近三年来,无锡全市法院立案受理房屋租赁合同纠纷案件数量持续增长,且增长幅度较大,显 示受经济市场环境及不可抗力等因素的影响,无锡的房屋租赁市场也受到较大冲击,很多潜在的问题逐 步爆发,给审判工作带来了较大压力。 商业租赁方面,近年来商铺个体经营以及综合体、写字楼等楼宇经济受不可抗力及市场环境因素影响较 大,由此引发的商业租赁中减免租金、提前解约等诉讼纠纷明显增多。此外,商业体租赁中还涉及高额 的物业费及宣传推广等费用,对于此类费用的交纳和减免也容易产生争议。 此外是厂房租赁。厂房租赁案件中除常见的因拖欠租金引发争议外,还有一类较大的争议即是拆迁利益 补偿问题,主要表现为租赁合同履行因拆迁而受阻,承租人因提前解除合同产生损失,合同双方就拆迁 补偿金额如何分配难以达成一致,此类纠纷往往涉及的金额较大,双方争议 ...
“高颜值”陷阱、低租金“套路”……租房市场问题待解
Qi Lu Wan Bao Wang· 2025-09-18 06:48
Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "Housing Rental Regulations" starting from September 15 marks a significant step in regulating the housing rental market in China, particularly in addressing issues related to the rental of non-residential spaces and ensuring the authenticity of housing sources [1][20]. Group 1: Current Market Conditions - The rental market in Jinan has seen improvements in the regulation of "partitioned rooms" due to increased oversight and higher tenant expectations for living conditions [2][19]. - Despite improvements, some landlords and agents still attempt to maximize rental income by offering modified properties that do not comply with the new regulations [2][3]. Group 2: Rental Practices and Issues - Many rental properties are being marketed as "串串房" (串串房), where landlords delegate management to "二房东" (sub-landlords) who often use cheap materials for renovations, leading to potential health hazards such as excessive formaldehyde levels [6][21]. - There is a discrepancy between the prices listed on rental platforms and the actual rental prices, with many listings being significantly lower than market rates to attract attention [8][10]. Group 3: Regulatory Measures and Future Directions - The "Housing Rental Regulations" provide a legal framework for the orderly operation of the rental market, with expectations for local governments to develop detailed implementation measures [20][22]. - Jinan has previously undertaken multiple initiatives to address rental market irregularities, including the establishment of a credit management system for rental agencies and ongoing efforts to combat "black intermediaries" [19][21].