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迭代破局!“新技术+AI内核” 硬核科技筑牢防灾减灾防线
Yang Shi Wang· 2026-01-11 03:38
央视网消息:极端天气事件已经成为影响群众生产生活的重要风险之一。短时强降水、雷雨大风、龙卷风……这些突发性强、破坏性大的强对 流天气,往往范围小、生命周期短,变化又快又复杂,其精准预警成为国际气象领域的共性难题。 记者从中国气象局获悉,近日,国家卫星气象中心联合多家单位研发出风云气象卫星数据深度扩散模型,成功将强对流天气临近预报有效时长 延长至4小时,这一科研成果已发表在国际知名学术期刊。据介绍,此次实现突破的技术完全是国产自主研发。这套技术攻克了强对流天气预 报的哪些难题? 国产自主研发技术体系 攻克哪些难题? 据介绍,强对流的"信号"往往隐藏在对流云团的变化里。于是,科研团队充分发挥风云四号系列气象卫星大范围、无缝隙监测的独特优势,获 取长时效监测数据,并从海量卫星数据中提取、预测对流云团的复杂随机运动,进而提升预报精度。 据介绍,基于风云四号气象卫星数据,这项深度扩散模型能覆盖我国及周边2000万平方千米区域,实现未来4小时内,每15分钟生成一次高分 辨率对流预报。在4000米至48000米的不同空间尺度和各季节均表现出稳定的预报能力,为强对流天气的精准预警提供重要的技术支撑。特别 是对边远地区以及海上 ...
“妈祖”出海记
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2026-01-02 01:11
在我们看不见的数字世界里,通过"妈祖(MAZU)"全民早期预警云平台,中国气象人工智能正横 跨亚洲、非洲、大洋洲,把气象全民早期预警中国方案输送到世界各地,在地球上空织就一条"气象丝 路",为全球防灾减灾、应对气候变化贡献中国智慧、中国经验。 跨越山海,气象人工智能方案在40多个国家试用 每天,地球各个角落,都可能在经历极端天气。 在阿富汗,一场强对流来袭,局地伴有冰雹;在乌干达,接连两场强对流突袭,伴随局地短时强降 雨…… 强对流天气尺度小、突发性强、生命史短、影响大,是气象预报的世界性难题。依靠中国气象人工 智能,阿富汗、乌干达均提前捕捉到信号,迅速发布预警,为转移群众、减少损失提供支撑。 这些走出国门的中国气象人工智能,有一个共同的名字"妈祖"。 "妈祖"是中国气象局响应联合国倡议推出的全民早期预警方案,缩写"MAZU"有着严谨的科学内涵 ——M(Multi—hazard,多灾种)、A(Alert,预警)、Z(Zero—gap,零差距)、U(Universal,普 惠)。 "妈祖"通过建设云端早期预警平台助力各国应对气候变化挑战。平台上每种人工智能都是一个"工 具箱",针对不同国家需求,提供定制化"工具 ...
“妈祖”出海记(深度观察)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2026-01-01 22:10
每天,地球各个角落,都可能在经历极端天气。 在阿富汗,一场强对流来袭,局地伴有冰雹;在乌干达,接连两场强对流突袭,伴随局地短时强降 雨…… 强对流天气尺度小、突发性强、生命史短、影响大,是气象预报的世界性难题。依靠中国气象人工智 能,阿富汗、乌干达均提前捕捉到信号,迅速发布预警,为转移群众、减少损失提供支撑。 这些走出国门的中国气象人工智能,有一个共同的名字"妈祖"。 在我们看不见的数字世界里,通过"妈祖(MAZU)"全民早期预警云平台,中国气象人工智能正横跨亚 洲、非洲、大洋洲,把气象全民早期预警中国方案输送到世界各地,在地球上空织就一条"气象丝路", 为全球防灾减灾、应对气候变化贡献中国智慧、中国经验。 跨越山海,气象人工智能方案在40多个国家试用 服务场景越来越广泛,有云端版、基础版、专业版、旗舰版、城市早期预警版、农业早期预警版等,适 配多种气象灾害和城市、农业等各类气象风险场景。 "目前,'妈祖'已经在巴基斯坦、埃塞俄比亚、所罗门群岛、吉布提、蒙古国5个国家实现落地部署与实 时应用,在亚洲、非洲、大洋洲的43个国家和地区开展在线试用。"中国气象局国际合作司司长曾沁介 绍。 中国气象局坚持"妈祖"人工 ...
气象预报事关国安,“中国要打破欧洲依赖”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 04:36
【文/观察者网 张菁娟】在人工智能重构气象预报体系的时代浪潮中,气象数据已跃升为国家核心战略 资源。 彭博社22日报道称,中国正大力角逐气象超级大国地位,发力推进自主气象数据集研发,力求打破对欧 洲的依赖。 这款国产数据集的技术突破,正逐步展现替代潜力,更凭借三大技术体系创新,推动我国再分析实现 从"跟跑""并跑"到"局部领跑"的跨越。 一是实现同化技术升级。引进四维集合变分混合同化技术,攻克多项关键技术,前20年卫星资料同化应 用量增13%;构造流依赖Be矩阵提升同化效益,产品质量优于CRA-40和JRA-55等。 据报道,ERA5(欧洲中期天气预报中心的第五代大气再分析数据集)是气候数据领域的标杆,它涵盖 降雨量、气温、风力等多项气象要素,时间跨度超80年,且持续处于更新状态。截至目前,该数据集一 直是气象预报人工智能革命的核心支撑,多家中国企业所研发的主流人工智能气象模型,均采用该数据 集开展训练工作。但这与中国推进数据安全、实现技术自主的战略方向相悖。 气象数据的战略价值,早已超越气象预报本身。ERA5通过整合全球观测数据重构完整历史气候记录, 对于研判气候趋势、提升预报精度至关重要。目前,多国政府借 ...
周红波到在宁高校调研科技成果转化工作
Nan Jing Ri Bao· 2025-12-17 02:36
Group 1 - The core message emphasizes the importance of integrating education, technology, and talent development to support the construction of a modern industrial system in Nanjing [1] - Nanjing Agricultural University is recognized for its contributions to national food security and high-quality agricultural development, focusing on key areas such as crop variety cultivation and pest management [1] - The city aims to enhance agricultural innovation by fostering collaboration between universities and local enterprises, particularly in fields like smart agriculture and ecological agriculture [1] Group 2 - Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology is accelerating the development of its "Meteorology+" and "Information+" disciplines, which are closely linked to local industrial development and public welfare [2] - The university is encouraged to strengthen cooperation with the Jiangbei New Area and relevant research platforms to promote the industrialization of advanced technology [2] - The city plans to optimize its open innovation ecosystem and deepen collaboration among government, industry, academia, and research institutions to foster independent technological innovation and talent development [2]
天气预报装上“AI大脑”
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-12-07 23:09
深圳加速探索人工智能赋能精准气象预报,世界气象组织首个AI试点项目亚洲临近预报比对活动在深 启动。 12月7日,全国第十二届残疾人运动会暨第九届特殊奥林匹克运动会马拉松项目与2025年深圳马拉松比 赛,先后在市民中心起跑。两项赛事史无前例地共用了一条比赛路线,统一配置医疗急救、志愿者服 务、安全交通保障和气象服务等资源。 开赛前夕,竞赛指挥部MOC(赛事指挥中心)马拉松赛事气象专题页面上,赛道沿线近气象自动站和生物 舒适度仪的实时数据和精细化预报,正一组组不断向赛事竞委会同步,为决策部门提供着赛事支持。这 套经过全运会深港跨境马拉松检验的赛事气象服务"深圳方案",正是深圳加快推动人工智能气象应用创 新生态体系建设的生动实践之一。 实际上,深圳对于人工智能在气象预报领域的应用不只在于气象服务保障,更是从2017年就开始聚焦超 大城市气象防灾减灾中,灾害性天气预报"报不早、发不快、说不清"等痛点问题,从顶层开始着手设 计,以《深圳市加快推进气象高质量发展的若干措施》为指导、业务需求为引领,构建人工智能与气象 深度融合的协同创新体系,通过联合创新研发"智霁""智瞳""阿福"等一系列AI气象预报服务核心技术, 推动气 ...
“人工智能+气象” 让天气“变幻可测”(探一线)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-12-05 22:03
以往提到天气,人们往往会说"变幻莫测"。而现在,在人工智能助力下,天气渐渐"变幻可测"。 人工智能技术与数值模式、超强算力协同发力,再加上预报员的专业经验,就能提前"算"出风雨雷电的 信号。速度更快、效率更高的气象预报,将加快赋能千行百业,助力经济社会高质量发展。 "目前,风雷技术的先进性及业务化应用程度表明,我国的短临预报业务在人工智能方面处于世界先进 水平。"盛杰介绍。 风清模型是全自主知识产权的人工智能全球短中期预报系统。国家气象中心天气预报技术研发室主任、 雄安气象人工智能创新研究院副院长曹勇介绍,风清模型可精准捕捉台风、暴雨等灾害天气,输出13层 高空要素与11类地面要素预报。目前,风清已实现业务化部署并向全国推广,广泛应用于防灾减灾、光 伏风电调度、航空保障等场景。 除了风雷、风清、风顺、风和,国家卫星气象中心(国家空间天气监测预警中心)还牵头研发了人工智 能风宇模型,这是空间天气链式人工智能预报模型。目前,该模型已应用于卫星通信导航、航天器轨道 管理、电力设施防护及航空安全等领域。 "人工智能+气象"新应用新场景涌现 每年5月,南海夏季风暴发拉开我国主汛期大幕,推动着我国主雨带进程。对南海夏季风 ...
织就“地空天”一体化观测网  广东亮出十五运气象保障“科技王牌”
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-08 13:00
Group 1 - The article highlights the advanced meteorological technology being utilized for the 15th National Games in Guangdong, emphasizing the importance of precise weather forecasting for the event's success [1][4][5] - Guangdong's meteorological department has established a comprehensive observation network that integrates ground, air, and space data to provide real-time weather information, ensuring effective support for the games [1][4] - The decision to hold the games in November is based on extensive climate analysis, indicating that this month offers optimal weather conditions for outdoor sports, with reduced rainfall and moderate temperatures [2][3] Group 2 - The use of cutting-edge technologies such as digital twins and artificial intelligence has enabled the creation of a detailed weather forecasting system that can provide second-level updates and three-dimensional visualizations [4][5] - Innovative techniques, including lightning strike simulation, have been introduced to enhance safety measures at the venues, allowing for precise risk assessments and emergency planning [5] - The integration of real-time monitoring and predictive data into a three-dimensional model of the venues marks a significant advancement in meteorological services, transitioning from experience-based to data-driven approaches [5]
“在这里,我们看到了应对气候变化的中国方案与力量”
人民网-国际频道 原创稿· 2025-11-05 07:51
Core Viewpoint - The training program for Central Asian countries on climate change capacity building highlights China's role as a key partner in promoting green technology, renewable energy, and sustainable investment, addressing the urgent challenges faced by the region [1][3][4]. Group 1: Training Program Overview - The training program was organized by the National International Development Cooperation Agency and hosted by the Ministry of Commerce, with participation from 26 officials, scholars, and entrepreneurs from Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Turkmenistan [1]. - Participants expressed that their firsthand experience in China exceeded their expectations, providing a vibrant and dynamic understanding of the country [1]. Group 2: China's Modernization and Environmental Approach - The program emphasized that China's modernization is characterized by harmonious coexistence between humans and nature, which is crucial for addressing challenges like glacial retreat and water scarcity in Central Asia [3][4]. - The training included insights into China's ecological civilization construction and how green development is integrated into national strategy, leaving a significant impression on the participants [3]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - Participants were impressed by China's technological capabilities, particularly in meteorology, which they believe can accelerate responses to climate change [6][7]. - The training showcased advanced meteorological equipment and real-time weather satellite imagery, highlighting China's commitment to enhancing disaster prevention and mitigation capabilities [6][7]. Group 4: Cultural Exchange and Friendship - The program fostered a sense of friendship and cultural exchange, with participants appreciating the warmth and hospitality of the Chinese people throughout their journey [8][12]. - The discussions and cultural activities allowed participants to engage deeply with Chinese traditions, enhancing their understanding of the country [11][12].
中国华云气象科技集团副总经理杜建苹接受审查调查
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 09:06
Core Viewpoint - The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission reported that Du Jianping, a member of the Party Committee and Deputy General Manager of China Huayun Meteorological Technology Group Co., Ltd., is under investigation for serious violations of discipline and law [1] Group 1 - Du Jianping is currently undergoing disciplinary review by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission stationed at the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs [1] - The investigation is also being conducted by the Jining Municipal Supervisory Commission in Shandong Province [1]