Inflation Data Summary - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3% overall, with a core increase of 0.2%, indicating lower-than-expected inflation levels [1][3] - Year-over-year CPI is at 3%, which is better than the consensus expectation of 3.1% [3] - Energy commodities increased by 3.8%, while gasoline prices rose by 4.1%, despite a 9% drop in crude oil prices [4][7] Shelter and Vehicle Prices - Shelter costs increased by 0.2%, with owner's equivalent rent rising by only 0.1%, marking the smallest increase since January 2021 [4] - Used car prices decreased by 0.4%, while new vehicle prices increased by 0.2% [5] Market Reactions - The overall inflation report is viewed positively by the futures and bond markets, suggesting a benign inflation environment [8] - The Federal Reserve can now focus on the labor market, as inflation is not rising as previously feared [5][8] Upcoming Market Events - A significant week is anticipated for the markets, with a Federal Reserve meeting and earnings reports from major companies [10][12] - Geopolitical developments, particularly the meeting between President Trump and President Xi, are also expected to influence market dynamics [11][12]

Core Insights - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September increased by 3% year-over-year, which was below the expected 3.1% and higher than the previous month's 2.9% [4][6] - Core CPI rose by 0.2% month-over-month, the slowest growth in three months, and below the market expectation of 0.3% [3][6] - The data reinforces market expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue to lower interest rates within the year, clearing the way for the upcoming rate decision [6][14] Inflation Trends - The overall CPI increase was primarily driven by rising energy costs, with clothing prices rising by 0.7%, likely reflecting higher tariffs [6] - Service sector inflation showed signs of slowing, reaching its weakest level since November 2021, partially offsetting the pressure from rising energy prices [7] - Core inflation indicators are showing clearer signs of cooling, with the core CPI year-over-year growth decreasing from 3.1% in August to 3.0% in September, marking the lowest level since June [9] Specific Data Points - The "SuperCore CPI," which excludes housing from service sector inflation, also saw a slowdown, with a year-over-year growth rate of 3.30%, the lowest since May [9] - Transportation costs experienced a sharp slowdown, further contributing to the overall decline in inflation levels [11] - Goods inflation remained stable at an annual rate of 1.5%, with no significant tariff-driven inflationary pressures observed in the three and six-month annualized data [12] Market Reaction - Following the release of the CPI data, U.S. stock index futures saw a short-term increase, with Nasdaq futures rising nearly 1% [13] - U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping over 2 basis points to 3.978% [13] - The CPI report provided strong support for the market's expectation of two additional 25 basis point rate cuts by the end of the year [14]

#数据 除食品和能源外，价格涨幅最大的商品是服装，价格上涨了0.7%，反映关税上调的影响。视听设备也是贸易密集型行业，同比升1.6%，创2021年以来的最大增幅。 ...

Core Insights - Consumers have raised concerns about the authenticity of Adidas products, specifically regarding a down jacket purchased through a live-streaming platform, which was allegedly produced by a third-party manufacturer, Xuezhongfei [2] - Adidas customer service stated that they do not have information on whether products are outsourced or the details of the manufacturing facilities, emphasizing that all products are shipped directly from warehouses [2] - The incident highlights a growing consumer skepticism towards brand value versus product quality, with many feeling that they are paying for a brand label rather than the actual product quality [3] Company Analysis - The incident reflects a broader trend in the apparel industry where outsourcing production to qualified manufacturers is common, allowing brands to focus on design and marketing while reducing manufacturing costs [2] - The pricing comparison between Adidas and Xuezhongfei shows that while both brands have similar price points, Xuezhongfei's products offer higher fill power in their down jackets, raising questions about the value proposition of Adidas products [2] - The ongoing debate about brand premium versus product quality suggests that Adidas may need to better align its brand image with consumer expectations to avoid future controversies [3]

Core Insights - Bosideng has partnered with Kim Jones to launch the high-end urban line AREAL, with Jones appointed as the creative director for this new line [1] - Kim Jones has a notable background, having previously led men's fashion at Louis Vuitton and Dior, where he achieved significant success and brand recognition [2] - The collaboration aims to transition Bosideng from a down jacket brand to a fashion-oriented label, aligning with market trends that position down jackets as fashionable items rather than mere necessities [2] Company Strategy - The appointment of Kim Jones is seen as a strategic move for Bosideng to enhance its high-end image and expand its premium product line [2] - The brand's shift towards high-end offerings reflects a broader market trend, indicating a necessity for Bosideng to adapt to changing consumer preferences [2] - Balancing local and international aesthetics will be crucial for Bosideng to ensure that new products resonate with Chinese consumers while maintaining high-end appeal [2] Product Considerations - The pricing of the new high-end urban line will be critical, as consumer acceptance of premium pricing will depend on product quality and the brand narrative [3] - Future focus areas for Bosideng and Kim Jones will include ensuring that the product quality and brand story can support the premium positioning [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Dongfang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Bosideng (03998) with a target price of HKD 6.31, highlighting positive sales impacts from recent temperature drops in the East China market [1] - The sales peak for the company typically starts in October and lasts until before the Spring Festival, with the 2026 Spring Festival occurring on February 17, which is 19 days later than last year, effectively extending the sales season [1] - The ongoing Double Eleven shopping festival is showing promising results for the company's main brand, aided by nationwide cooling temperatures that benefit winter apparel sales [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.66% in revenue and 19.73% in profit from FY2021 to FY2025, demonstrating resilience during economic fluctuations [2] - Future revenue growth is anticipated to remain in double digits over the next three years, with profit growth expected to slightly exceed revenue growth [2] - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio, averaging around 78% since its listing, and is expected to continue this trend, enhancing its investment appeal [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Dongfang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Bosideng (03998) with a target price of HKD 6.31, highlighting positive sales impacts from recent weather changes in key markets [1] - The company is expected to benefit from an extended sales season due to the later timing of the 2026 Spring Festival, which falls on February 17, compared to January 29 last year, potentially enhancing FY2026 performance [1][2] - The appointment of renowned designer Kim Jones as the creative director for the new AREAL high-end urban line is anticipated to positively influence the brand's international presence and overall brand strength, despite the expected low sales contribution from this high-end line [1] Group 2 - The company is projected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.66% in revenue and 19.73% in profit from FY2021 to FY2025, demonstrating resilience amid economic fluctuations [2] - Future revenue growth is expected to remain in double digits over the next three years, with profit growth likely to slightly exceed revenue growth, supported by favorable weather conditions and an extended sales season [2] - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio, averaging around 78% since its listing, and is expected to continue this trend, enhancing its investment appeal [2]

提到潮牌，很多人可能会想到Supreme、PALACE、Stüssy，但你知道吗？由Nigo主理的"Human MadeInc."正在以惊人的速度崛起，成为潮流界的"高盈利 神话"。 近日，这位在行业深耕30年的日本设计师，计划带着其创立的街头服饰品牌Human Made上市。 根据报道，Human Made拟于11月下旬在东京证券交易所挂牌，而Pharrell（美国歌手）作为Nigo的"好朋友"，也是主要股东之一。募资金将用于在日本开 设更多直营店，强化自家EC（线上销售）系统，以及建立海外子公司，加速全球扩张等。 图源/Human Made小红书 年销112亿，Human Made赚麻了 根据官网披露的数字，Human Made预计2026年1月期销售额为136.97亿日元，同比增长21.7%；而在2024年，Human Made已实现112亿日元的 销售额、31亿日元的营业利润，营业利润率为28%。这一数字远超同类潮牌Supreme、Stüssy，甚至比肩轻奢品牌。 Human Made为什么这么火？最重要的原因，就在于品牌主理人的强IP。 但到1998年，在亚洲红透半边天的木村拓哉，在大热日剧《律政英 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 4.00 [1][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 12.3 billion for the first half of FY25/26, representing a year-on-year decrease of 5.8%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 790 million, down 9.7% year-on-year. The interim dividend proposed is HKD 0.13 per share, with a payout ratio increasing by 2.8 percentage points to 102.2% [6][10]. - The company is accelerating its omnichannel retail strategy and optimizing operational efficiency to enhance resilience, maintaining a robust performance despite market challenges. The outlook is positive with expectations of improved retail and discount conditions as inventory levels decrease and new product sales increase [6][10]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Forecasts**: - FY25 revenue is projected at RMB 27,013 million, a decrease of 6.64% from FY24. The net profit for FY25 is expected to be RMB 1,286 million, down 41.86% year-on-year [5][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - EPS for FY25 is projected at RMB 0.21, with a gradual increase to RMB 0.27 by FY28 [5][10]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - ROE is expected to improve from 12.97% in FY25 to 17.56% in FY28 [5][10]. - **Dividend Yield**: - The dividend yield is projected to be 8.81% for FY25, decreasing to 6.61% in FY26, and then increasing to 8.63% by FY28 [5][10]. Market and Operational Insights - **Sales Performance**: - The main brands (Nike and Adidas) saw a revenue decline of 4.8%, while other brands experienced a 12.2% drop. Online retail continues to grow, achieving double-digit growth despite a decline in offline traffic [7][10]. - **Inventory Management**: - The company reported a 4.7% decrease in inventory year-on-year, with inventory turnover days increasing by 1.7 days to 150 days [8][10]. - **Omnichannel Strategy**: - The company is enhancing its omnichannel retail capabilities, with over 800 accounts on platforms like Douyin and WeChat, and more than 3,600 mini-program stores [7][10]. Valuation and Comparison - **Valuation Metrics**: - The company is valued at a PE ratio of 14.89 for FY25, decreasing to 11.26 by FY28. The average PE for comparable companies is 12.0x for FY26 [5][10]. - **Target Price Adjustment**: - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 4.00, reflecting the company's leading position in omnichannel retail and attractive dividend yield [10].

Core Insights - Li Ning reported a mid-single-digit decline in overall retail sales across its platform for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025 [1] - Offline channels, including retail and wholesale, experienced a high-single-digit decline, while e-commerce virtual store sales recorded a high-single-digit growth [1] Retail Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the total number of Li Ning sales points in China reached 6,132, with a net increase of 33 points compared to the previous quarter [1] - The retail business saw a net decrease of 46 points, while the wholesale business experienced a net increase of 61 points [1] YOUNG Brand Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the total number of Li Ning YOUNG sales points in China was 1,480, reflecting a net increase of 45 points from the previous quarter [1]