Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The short - term rebound of PVC is difficult to sustain, and it is a range - bound market for the time being. The high - production and high - inventory structure is hard to ease, and the market will still short the chlor - alkali profit later [1][2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs PVC Fundamental Data - The futures price of the 09 contract is 5260, the East China spot price is 5080, the basis is - 180, and the 9 - 1 month spread is - 114 [1] Spot News - The domestic PVC market price continues to rise. Affected by the supply reduction expectation due to black industry policy concerns, the prices of related industrial sectors rise significantly in the afternoon, driving up the futures price. However, the supply - demand contradiction in the spot fundamentals persists, resulting in dull market transactions. The expected price range of East China calcium carbide - type five - grade PVC for spot cash warehouse pick - up is 5000 - 5150 yuan/ton [1] Market Condition Analysis - The anti - involution sentiment at the macro level is strong, especially in the petrochemical and chemical industries. The impact on PVC may be relatively limited. Recently, the trend of coking coal and other varieties is strong, and the concentrated exit of PVC short - sellers causes a stampede, leading to a strong market trend, but the rebound is hard to sustain from the fundamental perspective [1] Fundamental Situation - Currently, the northwest chlor - alkali integrated plants still have profits. In the second half of the year, there is insufficient driving force for supply - side production cuts, and the high - production and high - inventory structure of PVC is difficult to ease [2] High - Production Structure - PVC maintenance volume is lower than the same period in 2023, and the high - production pattern continues. The chlor - alkali cost declines, and the demand for caustic soda in 2025 provides good support, maintaining high profits. The chlor - alkali industry chain compensates for chlorine with alkali, increasing the difficulty of large - scale production cuts due to losses. Moreover, there will be more capacity put into production in the future, with an expected 1.1 million tons of new capacity to be put into production in July - August [2] High - Inventory Pressure - The pressure of high inventory persists, and export demand can only relieve it periodically. In 2025, the competition pressure in the PVC export market increases, and exports are still affected by India's anti - dumping duties and BIS certification. The domestic demand for PVC downstream products related to real estate is still weak year - on - year, and enterprises have low inventory - building willingness [2][3] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of PVC is 0, indicating a neutral trend [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Xinjinlu (000510), expects a net profit loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 60 million to 70 million yuan for the period from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025, indicating a year-on-year change of -3.07% to -20.25% [1] Financial Performance - The net profit loss after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is estimated to be around 61 million to 71 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year change of 1.88% to -14.20% [1] - The basic earnings per share are projected to be between -0.0925 yuan and -0.1079 yuan [1] Industry Context - The primary reason for the performance fluctuation is the intensified market competition in the chlor-alkali chemical industry, particularly affecting the sales prices of the main product, PVC resin, which are currently experiencing low-level fluctuations [1]

Group 1 - The company held an online investor reception day on July 2025, where executives discussed operational performance and future plans with investors [1] - The company emphasizes high dividend returns to shareholders and aims to maintain current dividend levels despite market conditions [1][2] - The company plans to focus on technological innovation and supply chain upgrades to enhance competitiveness in the chlor-alkali chemical, clean energy, and ferroalloy sectors [1][2] Group 2 - The company has no current plans for A and B share consolidation or mid-term dividend schemes, and coal sales accounted for approximately 9% of revenue while clothing sales accounted for about 15% in 2024 [2] - The company reported a 32% year-on-year profit increase in the first quarter, primarily due to significant reductions in product costs [3] - The company is exploring new growth opportunities and optimizing its business layout, including potential entry into the medical sector through its investment in Richde Medical Technology [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company has decided to postpone the expected production dates for its fundraising projects due to actual project conditions, ensuring that this decision does not adversely affect its operations or violate regulations [2][3]. Group 1: Meeting Details - The company's ninth supervisory meeting was held on June 27, 2025, with all five supervisors present, complying with relevant laws and regulations [2]. - The meeting reviewed and approved the postponement of the expected production dates for two key fundraising projects [2]. Group 2: Fundraising Projects - The "Tianye Huixiang 250,000 tons of ultra-pure alcohol-based fine chemical project" and "22.5 million tons of high-performance resin raw material project" are significant for the company's green and efficient resin circular economy industry chain [2]. - Due to public health events and regional control measures, the construction progress of the fundraising projects has been delayed, leading to a revised expected production date of no later than June 2025 for the first project and June 2026 for the second project [2][3]. Group 3: Financial Management - The company plans to use up to 200 million yuan of temporarily idle funds from the convertible bonds for cash management, investing in low-risk financial products with a term not exceeding 12 months [3][4]. - This decision aims to enhance the efficiency of fund utilization and generate additional investment returns for shareholders [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The company has decided to postpone the completion dates of its fundraising investment projects due to actual project conditions, while maintaining the investment amounts and purposes unchanged [4][6]. Group 1: Fundraising Overview - The company raised a total of 300,000 million yuan through the issuance of 30 million convertible bonds, with a net amount of 2,963,773,962.16 yuan after deducting issuance costs [1]. - The funds are allocated for two main projects: the production of 250,000 tons of ultra-pure alcohol-based fine chemicals and 225,000 tons of high-performance resin raw materials, along with 80,000 million yuan for working capital [2]. Group 2: Project Status and Delays - The project for producing 250,000 tons of ultra-pure alcohol-based fine chemicals is expected to be completed by June 2026, while the high-performance resin raw materials project is also postponed to June 2026 [2][5]. - The delays are attributed to impacts from public health events and regional control measures, which have hindered construction progress [4]. Group 3: Decision-Making and Compliance - The company’s board and supervisory committee approved the postponement of the investment projects on June 27, 2025, ensuring compliance with relevant regulations [6]. - The sponsor institution has confirmed that the postponement will not adversely affect the company's operations or shareholder interests, and the necessary approval procedures have been followed [6].

Report Investment Rating - The trend strength of PVC is 0, indicating a neutral view, with the range of trend strength being integers in the [-2, 2] interval [-2 indicates the most bearish, 2 indicates the most bullish] [4] Core View - PVC is short - term bullish but has limited upside potential. The high - production and high - inventory structure is difficult to alleviate, and the market will still short the chlor - alkali profit in the later stage [1][2] Summary by Directory Fundamental Tracking - The 09 - contract futures price of PVC is 4871, the East China spot price is 4750, the basis is - 121, and the 9 - 1 month spread is - 73 [1] Spot News - The domestic PVC spot market price has a narrow adjustment, with a range of 10 - 30 yuan/ton. The supply - demand fundamentals remain unchanged. This week, enterprise maintenance has increased, production has slightly decreased, the downstream market is in the off - season, industry inventory remains high, foreign trade exports are mainly for delivery, the futures market is pulled up by the strong fluctuations of sectors such as black, but market transactions remain light [1] Market Condition Analysis - Crude oil prices are still strong, and ethylene - based costs provide support, making PVC short - term bullish [2] - The high - production structure is difficult to change in the short term. PVC maintenance volume is lower than the same period in 2023. Chlor - alkali costs are declining, and the demand for caustic soda in 2025 has good support, maintaining high profits. The chlor - alkali industry chain compensates for chlorine with alkali, increasing the difficulty of large - scale production cuts due to losses. In addition, there will be more capacity put into production, especially in June - July, with an expected new capacity of 1.1 million tons [2] - The pressure of high inventory persists, and export demand can only relieve it temporarily. In 2025, the competition pressure in the PVC export market has increased. Exports are still affected by India's anti - dumping duties and BIS certification. India's BIS policy for PVC imports may be postponed for 6 months, and the Indian Trade Remedy Authority may make a final decision on the anti - dumping investigation of imported PVC in the first half of July. Domestically, the demand for PVC downstream products related to real estate is still weak year - on - year, and enterprises have low willingness to stock up [2]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Shilong Industrial Co., Ltd. has successfully transformed from a struggling state-owned enterprise into a leading player in the fine chemical industry, focusing on resource efficiency and green circular economy [2][3]. Company Background - Jiangxi Shilong Industrial Co., Ltd. was originally established as Jiangxi Electric Chemical Plant in 1970 and faced bankruptcy due to excessive debt and unclear responsibilities [3]. - The company was restructured into a private enterprise and listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in March 2015 [3]. - In 2021, the company underwent a control struggle, which resulted in a successful board reorganization led by key stakeholders [3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.985 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.07% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 33.33 million yuan, an increase of 664.98% [3]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 507 million yuan, an increase of 8.32% year-on-year, and a net profit of 24.06 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [4]. Production Capacity and Products - Jiangxi Shilong is a global leader in the production of AC foaming agents, with an annual capacity of 80,000 tons [5]. - The company also has production capabilities of 50,000 tons of thionyl chloride, 300,000 tons of ion-exchange membrane caustic soda, 200,000 tons of hydrogen peroxide, and 20,000 tons of 80% hydrazine hydrate [5]. Resource Utilization and Circular Economy - The company has established a "coal-hydrogen-foaming agent-fine chemical products" industrial cycle, maximizing resource utilization through an intensive, energy-saving, and efficient production model [6]. - Recent investments include a project to produce 100,000 tons of percarbonate and 30,000 tons of soda ash, enhancing the product and value chain [6]. Technological Innovation and Upgrades - Jiangxi Shilong has implemented various technological innovations to improve production processes, achieving fully automated clean production and significant reductions in energy consumption [7]. - The company is advancing its digital transformation by collaborating with Kingdee Software Co., Ltd. on an ERP project to enhance operational efficiency and market responsiveness [8]. Strategic Focus - The company aims to become a globally competitive leader in the chemical industry by integrating five main chains: chlor-alkali chemicals, petrochemical materials, pharmaceutical intermediates, pesticide intermediates, and fine chemicals [6]. - Future strategies include focusing on innovation, efficiency, and the three transformations of value chain, digitalization, and greening [8].

Core Viewpoint - Yibin Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. maintains a long-term credit rating of AA+ and a stable outlook, reflecting its strong competitive position in the chlor-alkali chemical industry despite facing challenges from industry downturns and operational losses in 2024 [1][3]. Company Overview - Yibin Tianyuan is the largest chlor-alkali chemical listed company in Southwest China, with a well-structured management and strong regional competitiveness [3]. - The company is expanding its industrial chain by focusing on new energy and new materials, although the new energy segment is still in the development phase and currently incurs losses [3][8]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company experienced a decline in revenue due to reduced supply chain operations and a decrease in product prices, leading to an overall revenue drop [3][6]. - As of March 2025, the company reported total assets of 202.01 billion yuan and equity of 76.35 billion yuan, with a revenue of 31.41 billion yuan in the first quarter [10]. - The company's total debt reached 103.37 billion yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 62.21% and a significant portion of short-term debt [6][9]. Industry Context - The chlor-alkali chemical industry is facing cyclical challenges, with a supply-demand imbalance expected to persist into 2025, impacting product prices and profitability [10]. - The company has established a circular economy model integrating resources and energy, which enhances its competitive edge in the region [8][10]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a "one body, two wings" strategy, focusing on lithium battery materials and new materials to strengthen its market position [4][5]. - Ongoing projects are expected to enhance the company's cost control capabilities and overall competitiveness [5][8]. Shareholder Support - Yibin Development Holding Group, the largest state-owned capital investment platform in Yibin, provides significant financial backing and guarantees for the company's debt obligations, enhancing its debt repayment security [3][8].

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Gulf Chemical Co., Ltd. has terminated its IPO application on the Shanghai Stock Exchange due to the withdrawal request from the company and its sponsor, CITIC Securities [1][4]. Company Overview - Qingdao Gulf Chemical was established in September 1999, evolving from the state-owned Qingdao Chemical Plant. The company has a registered capital of approximately 144 million yuan and focuses on the research, production, and sales of chlor-alkali chemicals, organic chemical raw materials, polymer new materials, and inorganic silicon products [6][7]. - The company has built a production capacity of 850,000 tons/year for ethylene-based PVC, 500,000 tons/year for styrene, 200,000 tons/year for polystyrene, 555,000 tons/year for caustic soda, and 160,000 tons/year for sodium metasilicate. It ranks first in domestic ethylene-based PVC capacity [7][8]. IPO Details - The company initially planned to issue up to 253.45 million shares, accounting for no more than 15% and no less than 10% of the total share capital post-issue. The intended fundraising amount was 3 billion yuan, aimed at several projects including a green circular economy project for epoxy chloropropane and an expansion project for ethylene oxychlorination [4]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the years 2019, 2020, 2021, and the first half of 2022 was approximately 7.038 billion yuan, 6.053 billion yuan, 13.028 billion yuan, and 6.962 billion yuan, respectively. The net profits for the same periods were 485 million yuan, 301 million yuan, 2.076 billion yuan, and 1.006 billion yuan [10]. - Gulf Chemical has a history of significant cash dividends, distributing approximately 741 million yuan, 508 million yuan, 481 million yuan, and 1.577 billion yuan in cash dividends for the years 2019, 2020, 2021, and the first half of 2022, respectively [10]. Shareholder Information - The major shareholders of Gulf Chemical include Gulf Group and Qingdao International Investment Co., Ltd. Gulf Group holds 62% of the shares, making it the controlling shareholder. The actual control of the company is exercised by the Qingdao State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission through Qingdao International Investment [9].

Core Viewpoint - The IPO application of Qingdao Gulf Chemical Co., Ltd. has been terminated due to the withdrawal of the application by the company and its sponsor, CITIC Securities, marking a significant pause in its capital market journey [2][5]. Company Background - Qingdao Gulf Chemical was established in September 1999 with a registered capital of 1.037 billion yuan and is fully controlled by Qingdao Gulf Group, which is under the actual control of the Qingdao State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [3]. - The company has a history dating back to 1947, originally as Qingdao Chemical Plant, and has undergone several mergers and restructurings, currently operating production facilities with capacities including 455,000 tons of ion membrane caustic soda and 800,000 tons of PVC [3]. IPO Journey - The IPO process has faced multiple challenges, including a significant restructuring in 2021 that introduced new investors and employee stock ownership, followed by a formal name change to Qingdao Gulf Chemical Co., Ltd. in 2022 [3]. - The company submitted its IPO application on January 13, 2023, aiming to raise 3 billion yuan by issuing up to 253 million shares for project construction and working capital [3][4]. Regulatory Challenges - Following the pre-disclosure of its IPO, the process stalled due to inquiries from the Shanghai Stock Exchange, leading to multiple updates of financial documents without a complete disclosure of the updated prospectus [4]. - In May 2024, the company received a regulatory warning for failing to disclose the status of employee stock ownership pledges and inaccuracies in accounting [4]. Financial Performance - As a major player in the petrochemical industry, Qingdao Gulf Chemical's main products include PVC, styrene, and caustic soda, with production capacities ranking among the top in the industry [6][8]. - The company's financial performance showed fluctuations, with revenues of 7.038 billion yuan in 2019, 6.053 billion yuan in 2020, and 13.028 billion yuan in 2021, while net profits were 485 million yuan, 301 million yuan, and 2.076 billion yuan respectively [8][9]. - For the first half of 2022, the company reported revenues of 6.962 billion yuan and net profits of 1.006 billion yuan, with expectations for 2022 revenues between 12.445 billion yuan and 14.41 billion yuan, reflecting a potential decline in net profits due to market conditions [9]. Future Considerations - With the termination of the IPO, the company faces uncertainty regarding its future financing strategies and must navigate challenges in a difficult market environment while considering new directions for growth [9].