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转基因作物推广加速,未来大有可为
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-04-28 08:26
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, China's genetically modified (GM) corn industry has reached a crucial development stage. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs' public announcement of 99 GM corn and soybean varieties on April 8 demonstrates China's determination to promote GM technology, responding to the call of the Central No. 1 Document to "develop new - quality productivity in agriculture." GM corn, as a pilot crop, is expected to be more widely promoted [1][3]. - With the increase in the planting area of GM corn year - by - year and the subsequent growth of penetration rate, China's domestic corn yield per unit is expected to increase, and the supply - demand structure will be further improved [3]. - In the future, with increased policy support and technological maturity, the commercialization of GM corn, soybeans and other crops is expected to make further breakthroughs, becoming an important means to ensure food security and agricultural modernization [11]. 3. Summaries Based on Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Transgenic Introduction and Global Development Situation 3.1.1 Basic Introduction of GM Corn - GM corn is created by using genetic engineering to introduce foreign genes into the corn genome, endowing it with new genetic traits such as insect resistance, herbicide tolerance, stress tolerance, and improved nutritional value. Global large - scale commercial GM crops are mainly concentrated in the first - generation products, with herbicide - tolerance (HT) and insect - resistance (Bt) being the main target traits, and most GM corn has both traits [4]. - Different target genes in GM corn have different action mechanisms. For example, the Bt gene makes corn produce insecticidal proteins to kill pests, and the epsps gene makes corn tolerate glyphosate herbicides [5]. 3.1.2 Global GM Crop Situation - Since 1996, the global commercial planting area of GM crops has been increasing steadily. By 2024, it had reached 210 million hectares. Currently, more than 30 countries allow the commercial planting of GM crops [5]. - Globally, the main GM crops are soybeans, corn, cotton, rapeseed, and sugar beets. In terms of planting area, soybeans rank first, followed by corn. In terms of the proportion of GM crops, cotton has the highest GM coverage rate [6][7]. - The countries with the largest GM crop planting areas are the United States, Brazil, Argentina, India, and Canada, accounting for over 90% of the global total. In the United States, the proportion of GM corn with stacked traits has been increasing, and by 2024, it accounted for 83%. The penetration rate of GM corn in the United States reached 94% in 2024 [7]. 3.2 Policy Driven 3.2.1 Development Process - China's development of GM crops follows the path of "non - edible → indirectly edible → edible." The development of GM technology in China started in 1986 and has gone through several stages, and in the future, the commercialization of GM crops is expected to make further breakthroughs [10][11]. 3.2.2 Approval Process and Current Achievements - The commercial planting of domestic GM crops follows a strict approval process, including three - scale tests, application for a safety certificate, and variety approval. As of December 31, 2024, there were 34 GM corn varieties in the valid period in China. If the varieties in the third - batch list pass the approval, China will have a cumulative total of 161 GM corn varieties and 19 GM soybean varieties approved [13][14][15]. 3.3 Impact of GM Technology on Yield per Unit - According to US experience, the yield per unit of Bt insect - resistant corn has increased significantly compared to traditional varieties. In China, the average yield of corn has been increasing, and the large - scale application of GM corn will further increase the yield potential [17][18]. - GM corn technology has great application potential in insect resistance and herbicide tolerance. It can reduce the cost of pest control by 30% - 50%, increase yield by 8% - 12%, and has a control success rate of over 90% against pests such as fall armyworms. The herbicide - tolerance effect can reach over 95%. The average yield increase of GM corn is about 8.9% [18]. - Different companies' GM corn varieties have different yield - increasing effects. For example, Dabeinong's GM corn varieties in the Yellow - Huai region and Northeast China have an average yield increase of about 10% compared to conventional varieties [19]. 3.4 Seed Pricing and Impact on Corn Planting Costs - The profitability of using GM seeds for individual farmers depends on yield loss reduction and relevant pesticide and seed costs. If the benefits from yield loss reduction plus the reduction in pesticide expenditure are greater than the premium of GM seeds, it is profitable to use GM seeds [19]. - GM crop seeds have a premium compared to conventional seeds. Assuming a 40% premium rate for domestic GM corn seeds, GM corn can significantly reduce pesticide use. A rough cost calculation for Jilin Province shows that the production cost per mu of corn wet grain can be reduced by about 7% [20]. 3.5 Estimation of GM Corn Promotion Area - From 2021 to 2024, the pilot planting area of GM corn in China has gradually expanded. According to reports, in 2025, the planting area of GM corn in China is expected to reach 45 - 50 million mu, and the number of permitted planting provinces will increase from 8 to 13. The estimated penetration rate in 2025 is about 6% - 7.7%, reaching 20% in 2026, increasing by 30% - 40% annually from 2027 - 2028, and approaching the international mature level in 2029 [24][25].
农林牧渔周观点:25Q1公募配置比例降至历史低位,重视宠食企业业绩兑现-20250428
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-04-28 07:24
行 业 及 产 业 研究支持 朱珺逸 A0230521080004 zhujy@swsresearch.com 胡静航 A0230524090002 hujh@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱珺逸 (8621)23297818× zhujy@swsresearch.com 农林牧渔 2025 年 04 月 28 日 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证券分析师 盛瀚 A0230522080006 shenghan@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 25Q1 公募配置比例降至历史低位,重视宠食企业业 绩兑现 看好 ——农林牧渔周观点(2025.4.21 -2025.4.27) 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 证 券 研 究 报 告 - ⚫ 本周申万农林牧渔指数下跌 0.2%,沪深 300 上涨 0.4%。个股涨幅前五名:万辰集团(22.2%)、 中宠股份(15.5%)、乖宝宠物(15.3%)、瑞普生物(15.0%)、ST 佳沃(14.9%),跌幅前五名: 益客食品(-13.6%)、福成股份(-12.9%)、祖名股份(-10.9 ...
农林牧渔行业周报第15期:3月能繁去化,屠宰量同环比均大增
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-28 05:20
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights significant growth in the pig farming sector, with a notable increase in slaughter volume and consumer demand. The average price of pigs is showing a slight upward trend, indicating potential profitability for producers [2][12] - The agricultural sector is benefiting from supportive financial policies aimed at revitalizing the seed industry, with a focus on enhancing productivity through biotechnology and improved financial services [1][11] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has introduced new financial support measures for the seed industry, including a total of 150 billion yuan in loans and funds since the start of the 14th Five-Year Plan [1][11] - The commercialization of genetically modified crops is expected to accelerate, enhancing self-sufficiency in key varieties [1][11] 2. Market Review - The agricultural sector index decreased by 0.16% during the week, while the overall market indices showed positive growth [14] - The top-performing sub-sectors included animal health and feed, indicating a shift in investor interest towards these areas [14][18] 3. Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - The average price of corn is 2278.78 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.47% [24] - The average price of pigs is reported at 14.98 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.44% [12][61] - The average price of soybeans is 3887.37 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.16% [38] 4. Profitability Forecasts and Valuations - Specific companies in the pig farming sector, such as 京基智农, 牧原股份, and 温氏股份, are recommended for their potential profitability due to improved cost management and higher output flexibility [2][12] - In the seed industry, companies like 隆平高科 and 登海种业 are highlighted for their competitive advantages and expected benefits from the supportive policies [1][11]
农林牧渔行业周报第15期:3月能繁去化,屠宰量同环比均大增-20250428
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-28 02:48
证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 04 月 28 日 猪肉3 月能繁去化,屠宰量同环比均大增 [Table_Title2] 农林牧渔行业周报第 15 期 [Table_Summary] 本周观点: 种植产业链:4 月 22 日,农业农村部种业管理司、计划财务司 联合中国农业银行三农对公业务部,通过线上直播方式介绍中 国农业银行支持种业振兴的最新政策与服务举措、融资租赁产 品、投资金融服务模式等内容。国家农作物、畜禽、水产种业 阵型企业、各省优势种业企业和各级种业管理部门、农业银行 系统相关单位线上参加推介会。为落实全国种业企业座谈会有 关部署要求,今年以来农业农村部种业管理司、计划财务司探 索开通"金融惠种直播间",搭建常态化政银企对接平台,把 重点金融机构最新政策信息第一时间送达种业企业,推动惠企 政策落实落地。此次直播是"金融惠种直播间"第二期,邀请 中国农业银行及子公司通过"政策解读+案例分享"的形式详 细介绍了支持政策措施。截至目前,中国农业银行已出台《支 持种业振兴行动金融服务方案》《支持种业振兴信贷政策》和 《农作物种业行业信贷政策》,启动实施种业振兴服务提升行 ...
全国种业监管活动开展,种业知识产权保护升级
Huafu Securities· 2025-04-28 02:45
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [4][69] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the pig price has been fluctuating, with the average price on April 24 being 14.92 yuan/kg, showing a slight increase of 0.01 yuan/kg week-on-week. The second batch of fattening pigs accounted for 9.73% of the total sales, an increase of 4.38 percentage points compared to the previous ten days [2][12][34] - In the poultry sector, the white chicken price has slightly adjusted downwards due to limited demand as the May Day stocking approaches its end. The average price for meat chickens was 7.47 yuan/kg, down 0.03 yuan/kg week-on-week [3][36] - The seed industry is seeing enhanced regulatory activities focusing on intellectual property protection, which is expected to improve market order and support the supply of essential agricultural products [3][48] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The pig price has shown fluctuations, with a slight recovery in average weight. The average weight of pigs sold was 128.94 kg, up 0.37 kg week-on-week. The slaughter volume has slightly increased, with an average daily slaughter of 139,600 pigs, up 2.16% week-on-week [2][12][16][24] - The price difference between different weight categories of pigs is narrowing, indicating a shift in market dynamics [2][24][34] Poultry Sector - The white chicken market is experiencing a slight price adjustment due to seasonal factors and limited demand. The average price for chicken chicks was 2.85 yuan/bird, down 0.12 yuan/bird week-on-week [3][36][40] - The egg price has continued to rise, with an average price of 7.25 yuan/kg, up 0.11 yuan/kg week-on-week [3][36] Seed Industry & Agricultural Products - The Ministry of Agriculture has initiated a regulatory campaign to enhance intellectual property protection in the seed industry, which is expected to support the supply of essential agricultural products [3][48] - The report notes a strong short-term trend in soybean meal prices, with the current price at 3,580.00 yuan/ton, up 78.00 yuan/ton week-on-week, driven by supply constraints [3][49]
隆平高科(000998):水稻种业盈利超预期,海外玉米或迎质变拐点
CMS· 2025-04-27 11:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The rice seed industry is experiencing counter-cyclical growth with better-than-expected profitability; the domestic corn seed industry maintains its leading advantage and demonstrates operational resilience; the overseas corn seed industry may reach a transformative turning point and is expected to benefit from changes in international trade dynamics, leading to market expansion. The long-term development prospects of the company are viewed positively [1][6]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 85.66 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 7%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.14 billion yuan, down 43% year-on-year. The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is expected to be 0.09 yuan [2][18]. - Revenue is expected to grow to 94.81 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 4.32 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 279% [18][21]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 13.6 billion yuan, with a current share price of 10.29 yuan [3][6]. Performance Summary - The domestic rice seed business has shown strong performance, with a revenue increase of 13% in 2024, leading to a net profit of 340 million yuan, which is over 50% growth [6][19]. - The domestic corn seed business generated revenue of 2.12 billion yuan despite high inventory pressures, showcasing operational resilience [6][19]. - The overseas corn seed business faced challenges due to falling international grain prices and extreme weather, but maintained a market share of around 20% [6][19]. Future Outlook - The domestic hybrid rice seed industry is entering a destocking phase, indicating a potential upward trend in the rice seed market; the company’s product lineup is well-prepared, and high growth is expected to continue [6][19]. - The overseas corn seed market is anticipated to benefit from changes in international trade patterns, leading to market expansion opportunities [6][19]. - The company is expected to see a recovery in its Brazilian corn seed business, contributing positively to its overall performance [6][19].
基本面与技术面齐飞!这些股成机构心头肉
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-04-27 06:52
Core Viewpoint - The A-share companies are currently in a concentrated disclosure phase for their Q1 2025 reports, highlighting the importance of both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter data for a comprehensive assessment of their operational status [1] Group 1: Company Performance - 27 companies have reported a continuous increase in net profit both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in their financial performance [2] - Among these, the semiconductor sector has a notable representation, with companies like 澜起科技 (Lianqi Technology) showing significant growth in revenue and net profit due to increased sales of DDR5 memory interface chips and high-performance chips [3][4] - 澜起科技 achieved a revenue of 1.222 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 65.78%, and a net profit of 525 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 135.14%, marking a record high for a single quarter [4] Group 2: Market Trends - The semiconductor industry is expected to benefit from the acceleration of domestic substitution due to recent trade frictions, particularly in high-end computing chips and related products [3] - 11 out of the 27 companies exhibit a bullish moving average pattern, indicating strong investor confidence and potential for further price increases [6][7] - Companies like 山高环能 (Shangao Environmental) and 晓鸣股份 (Xiaoming Co.) are also showing promising growth, with 山高环能 reporting a net profit of approximately 28.27 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 222.23% [8][9] Group 3: Institutional Interest - Several companies have attracted significant institutional buying, with 晓鸣股份 receiving a net purchase of 51.73 million yuan, indicating strong market interest [10][11] - 福达股份 (Fuda Co.) has also seen substantial institutional investment, with a net purchase of 23.64 million yuan and a year-on-year net profit growth of 106.06% [10][12]
品种权说明书背后,有判决书守护
Ren Min Wang· 2025-04-27 00:21
Core Viewpoint - The Supreme People's Court ruled in favor of Heng Company in a plant variety rights infringement case against Jin Company, ordering Jin Company to cease infringement and pay a total of 53.547 million yuan in damages, marking a significant precedent in China's plant variety rights protection [1][3][5]. Group 1: Case Details - The case involved the corn variety "NP01154," owned by Limagrain Europe, which authorized Heng Company to exclusively produce and operate it in China [2]. - Heng Company claimed that Jin Company used "NP01154" as a parent to produce seven unauthorized hybrid corn varieties, seeking punitive damages of 160 million yuan and reasonable legal expenses of 200,000 yuan [2]. - The first-instance court ruled in favor of Jin Company, citing a report that claimed the varieties were different, which Heng Company contested in the appeal [2][3]. Group 2: Judicial Findings - The Supreme Court found insufficient evidence to support Jin Company's claims regarding the differences between the varieties, determining that the evidence presented by Heng Company proved the infringement [3][4]. - The court highlighted that Jin Company's infringement lasted five years, covering an area of 8,243.4 acres, and deemed the infringement serious, leading to the imposition of punitive damages [3][5]. Group 3: Implications for Intellectual Property Protection - The ruling emphasizes the importance of strengthening intellectual property rights protection in the seed industry, which is crucial for agricultural development and food security [7]. - The case reflects the increasing judicial response to the demand for plant variety rights protection, with a significant rise in related cases filed since the establishment of the Intellectual Property Court [7][8]. - The court's approach in this case sets a precedent for future disputes, particularly regarding the use of molecular markers in determining variety identity and the conditions for expanding testing points [5][6]. Group 4: Industry Impact - The ruling is seen as a victory for the seed industry, encouraging companies to invest in research and development, and reinforcing the equal protection of intellectual property rights for both domestic and foreign entities [6][7]. - The Supreme Court's actions contribute to establishing a robust legal framework for intellectual property rights, enhancing China's reputation as a responsible protector of such rights on the global stage [6][8].
袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司2025年第一季度报告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-04-26 05:52
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:000998 证券简称:隆平高科 公告编号:2025-12 袁隆平农业高科技股份有限公司2024年年度报告摘要 一、重要提示 本年度报告摘要来自年度报告全文,为全面了解本公司的经营成果、财务状况及未来发展规划,投资者 应当到证监会指定媒体仔细阅读年度报告全文。 除下列董事外,其他董事亲自出席了审议本次年报的董事会会议 ■ 非标准审计意见提示 □适用 √不适用 董事会审议的报告期利润分配预案或公积金转增股本预案 □适用 √不适用 公司计划不派发现金红利,不送红股,不以公积金转增股本。 董事会决议通过的本报告期优先股利润分配预案 □适用 □不适用 二、公司基本情况 1、公司简介 ■ 2、报告期主要业务或产品简介 (一)行业基本情况 从全球农作物种业市场来看,生物育种技术的发展为种业市场注入强大动力,如通过基因编辑、全基因 组等技术培育出抗虫、抗病等优良性状品种,有效提高农作物产量与质量。伴随着生物育种的种子市场 渗透率提高、人们对于植物蛋白质和蔬菜的需求不断增加等多种因素共同驱动,全球农作物种业市场规 模呈现稳步增长态势。亚洲种业市场正经历结构性变革,政 ...
中农发种业集团股份有限公司2025年第一季度报告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-04-26 02:12
Group 1 - The company guarantees the authenticity, accuracy, and completeness of the quarterly report, and assumes legal responsibility for any false records or misleading statements [2][6]. - The first quarter financial statements are not audited, and the company has provided key financial data and indicators in RMB [3][5]. - The board of directors approved the first quarter report with unanimous support, confirming that the financial information complies with regulatory requirements [8][9]. Group 2 - The company will hold the 2024 annual shareholders' meeting on May 23, 2025, at a specified location in Beijing [13][17]. - Voting for the shareholders' meeting will be conducted through both on-site and online methods, with specific timeframes for each [14][15]. - Shareholders must register to attend the meeting, with detailed procedures outlined for both individual and corporate shareholders [26][27].