股指早报 中美贸易谈判，隔夜美方释放积极信号，中方中性 2025 年 6 月 11 日 股指期货早报 2025.6.11 报告摘要： 海外方面，美 5 月 NFIB 小型企业信心指数录得 98.8，高于预期 95.9 和前值 95.8，数据指向美企业信心有所回升。另外中美在伦敦 谈判在昨日下午北京时间 5 点开始，今天凌晨 4 点结束。美财政部长 贝森特表示中美进行了 2 天富有成效的谈话，向市场释放积极信号。 中国商务部副部长李成钢表示过去两天中美双方进入了很深入的交 流，中美沟通专业、深入、理性、坦诚 。从隔夜市场走势来看，美 元指数收涨，美债收益率短端长端均回落，黄金收跌，美三大股指集 体收涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数上涨，离岸人民币汇率升值。隔夜市 场走势反映出市场对中美谈判信号偏向积极。 国内盘面上看，周二大盘高开震荡下跌 0.44%，深成指下跌 0.86%，创业板指下跌 1.17%，市场呈现震荡回调走势。早盘指数呈现 红盘，主要在于银行的支撑，午后股指快速回落。从盘面走势反映似 乎是中美贸易谈判出了利空消息，稀土、种业大幅拉升，但因时差， 中美在交易时间并未谈判，谈判在下午收盘后 5 点才开始，急跌的 ...

Core Points - The U.S. Air Force has halved its procurement request for F-35 fighter jets, reducing the number from 48 to 24 aircraft, which significantly impacts Lockheed Martin, the largest defense contractor in the U.S. [1] - This reduction in F-35 procurement may indicate a shift in the Department of Defense's funding plans for fiscal year 2026, aligning with Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin's strategy to decrease projected military spending by 8% over the next five years [1]

在这个情况下，美国人才发现剧情疯狂反转。因为中国限制稀土出口，导致美国汽车、军工、半导体等多个行业受到冲击，不只是战机、雷达、卫星、汽车 需要稀土，最简单的电机磁体也需要稀土。华尔街日报报道称，由于即将陷入停产困境，美国四家大型汽车制造商，正考虑将部分汽车零部件转移到中国。 把没完成的零部件运往半个地球之外，安装指甲盖大小的磁铁，这会极大增加制造成本和时间，而且还有关税，最终结果就是美国厂商会将更多产业链迁往 中国，压缩制造成本，要么只能使用旧式电动机技术，取消部分高端功能。这条新闻底下有不少美国人回过劲来了，"剧情大反转"，特朗普的关税本意是要 让制造业回流本土，但这感觉适得其反了，"特朗普同志将制造业送往中国"......原来特朗普的制造业回流是指回到中国？ 在4月，美国特朗普政府宣布对全世界加征"对等关税"，随即中国对多项中重稀土相关物项实施出口管制。时隔2个月，多国储备已经快耗尽了，中国是全球 最大的稀土磁铁供应国和出口国，这严重影响到了半导体、汽车产业的供应链。欧洲方面表示，因为中国限制稀土出口，多家欧洲汽车工厂和生产线关闭 了，印度也紧急派代表赴华磋商。 欧洲情况相对好点，毕竟很多德国、法国车企大 ...

Group 1: Macro and Strategy - The report discusses the "Self-Indulgence Economy" in China and Japan, highlighting the growth and valuation differences between Chinese companies in this sector and their Japanese counterparts, with Chinese firms generally in a rapid growth phase compared to Japan's mature companies [7][8] - Key investment logic includes leveraging the time advantage of development stages, innovative business models, rediscovery of cultural values, and technology-driven differentiation in competition [8] Group 2: Industry and Company Analysis - The retail industry report indicates that the 618 shopping festival showed stable performance, with significant growth in sales and user engagement on platforms like JD and Tmall, where brands like Perleya and Maogeping performed well [10][11] - The report on Xuguang Electronics (600353.SH) highlights a 20.5% year-on-year revenue growth in 2024, with a focus on power equipment, military, and electronic materials, and a notable increase in R&D spending [13][14] - China Jinmao (00817.HK) is noted for its diversified business structure and successful turnaround in 2024, driven by reduced inventory impairment and improved gross margins, with a strong focus on urban and property development [15][16]

Core Points - China has recently implemented export controls on certain rare earth items with dual-use military and civilian attributes, affecting foreign automotive companies and raising concerns about the impact on the defense industry [1][5] - The export restrictions are seen as a response to the U.S. government's unilateral tariff measures and technology blockades against China, leading to increased tensions between the two countries [1][5] - Analysts indicate that Western defense giants are also feeling pressure from these export controls, with stock prices of European defense companies declining [1][5] Group 1: Impact on Industries - The automotive and robotics sectors have experienced significant impacts due to the rare earth export controls, with specific mention of the importance of samarium in the manufacturing of F-35 fighter jets [2][4] - The defense industry is facing a potential shortage of rare earth elements, which are critical for various defense technologies, including sonar systems and radar [4][5] - Concerns have been raised that if the price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide remains below $60 per kilogram by 2030, nearly half of the non-Chinese rare earth supply could become economically unviable [5] Group 2: Responses and Future Outlook - China has stated that it will continue to review export applications for rare earth items in accordance with international practices, emphasizing the need to maintain national security and fulfill international non-proliferation obligations [6][7] - The Chinese government is open to establishing a green channel for compliant applications to expedite approvals, reflecting a willingness to accommodate reasonable demands from other countries [7] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions have led to a series of countermeasures from China against U.S. arms sales to Taiwan, indicating a broader strategy of using export controls as a tool in international relations [7]

Group 1 - The core theme of the Nomura Orient International Securities 2025 Mid-term Strategy Conference is to explore certainty in the context of geopolitical risks and increasing uncertainty, focusing on how to grasp the certainty of industries and assets, as well as market trends and investment strategies [1] - The external environment in the first half of the year shows that the euro, which accounts for over 60% of the dollar index, has appreciated against the dollar since March, indicating a trend of capital withdrawal from dollar assets [1] - Non-dollar assets received strong liquidity support in the first half of the year, with international capital favoring European bonds, European stocks, and the Hang Seng Technology Index [1] Group 2 - Nomura Orient International Securities believes that the market has fully priced in most potential changes, including consistent expectations for the US economy (strong reality, weak expectations) and the Chinese economy (weak reality, strong expectations) [2] - The firm anticipates that the second half of 2025 will be a critical juncture for market direction, with the potential for increased volatility as expectations and realities align over time [1][2] - The firm projects that the revenue growth rate for the CSI 300 will be 4.5% and 5.3% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding net profit growth rates of 2.8% and 6.7% [2] Group 3 - The stable dividend yield of dividend stocks and segmented technology growth sectors (military, new energy, and new consumption) are expected to be more suitable for the market environment in the second half of the year [2] - The firm notes that the static valuation of the CSI 300 is still undervalued from an ERP perspective, being 25.6% lower than the ten-year average, making it attractive for long-term domestic allocation funds [2] - The comparison of market performance post-trade friction easing in 2018 with the current market performance since May 10, 2025, suggests that domestic consumption and technology sectors may still have significant upside potential [2]

Core Points - The recent summit between the UK and the EU marked a significant shift from a "cutting" relationship to a "mending" one, with agreements reached in defense, fisheries, and trade sectors, reflecting a historical moment as described by EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen [1] - The agreements include the removal of routine border checks on food trade, allowing UK meat products to re-enter the EU market, potentially contributing nearly £900 million annually to the UK economy [1] - The UK is permitted to participate in a €150 billion EU defense procurement program, which includes military support for Ukraine, opening new markets for UK defense companies [1] - A compromise on fisheries allows EU fishing vessels to operate in UK waters until 2038, and a mechanism for young people to work and live across borders is being established [1] Underlying Factors - The thawing of UK-EU relations is driven by bilateral interests but also reflects the impact of changing US policies on transatlantic relations, particularly in security and trade [2] - The unilateral actions of the US during the Russia-Ukraine conflict have left the UK and EU feeling abandoned, prompting a push for greater defense autonomy and cooperation [2] - Economic pressures from US tariffs on EU steel and aluminum have forced the UK and EU to set aside differences and collaborate to mitigate external risks [2] Historical Context - The relationship between the UK and the EU has been characterized by a mix of cooperation and estrangement over the past 80 years, with historical events revealing the fragility of the UK's "bridge" role between the US and Europe [3] - The aftermath of Brexit has seen significant economic challenges for the UK, including GDP shrinkage and a sharp decline in exports to the EU, leading to a reassessment of the "Global Britain" strategy [3] - The current agreements represent a "selective return" to EU rules in exchange for market access, indicating a pragmatic shift in the UK's approach [3] Future Outlook - Despite the renewed engagement, structural tensions remain, with domestic political challenges and unresolved issues from Brexit potentially leading to new crises [4] - The UK government faces pressure from opposition parties and rising support for right-wing parties, complicating the balance between pro-EU sentiments and appeasing Brexit voters [4] - The geographical proximity and economic interdependence between the UK and EU suggest that limited cooperation is a necessary choice for survival amid global challenges [4]

北方导航 2025 年第二次临时股东会法律意见 北京市众天律师事务所 @@ 北京市众天律师事务所 ZHONGTIAN LAW FIRM 地址：北京市海淀区北四环西路 9 号银谷大厦十七层 Add: 17/F，Yingu Mansion，9 West Beisihuan 邮编：100190 Rd.，Beijing 100190，CHINA 电话：（86-10）62800408 Tel:（86-10）62800408 传真：（86-10）62800411 Fax：（86-10）62800411 电子邮箱：zhtian@zhongtian.org E-mail:zhtian@zhongtian.org 北京市众天律师事务所 关于北方导航控制技术股份有限公司 法律意见 众天证字2025BFDH-003号 北方导航控制技术股份有限公司： 惠承贵司（以下简称"公司"）委托，北京市众天律师事务所（以下简称"众 天"）指派律师出席公司2025年第二次临时股东会（以下简称"本次股东会"）， 对公司本次股东会的召集与召开程序、出席会议人员的资格与召集人的资格、会 议表决程序与表决结果等有关事项出具法律意见。 为出具本法律意见书之 ...

以下文章来源于格隆汇投资学苑 ，作者格隆汇小编 格隆汇投资学苑 . 中国领先的全球投资研究平台。全球视野，下注中国！让普通的投资者能够享受到专业的投研服务，让 每一个个体的投资之路不再孤单和艰难。 今日 ， A 股市场 进入 震荡，三大指数 均收阴 ，上证指数 跌 0. 44 % ， 收至 3384.82 点 ；深证成指下跌 0. 86 % ，创业板指跌幅 达 1.17 % 。沪深 两 市 全天 成交额达 14154 亿元，显示市场活跃度维持在较高水平，但个股呈现普跌态势，超 400 0 只个股飘 绿，结构性分化特征凸显。 一、领涨板块：防御与成长共舞 1 、 银行板块今日成为稳定市场的核心力量。兴业银行股价刷新历史高点，民生银行、南京银 行、长沙银行等均创下阶段新高。这一强势表现源于多重政策红利：国企考核优化、保息差政 策落地、地方债务置换推进及金融互换便利等政策组合拳，为银行业筑牢根基。在市场震荡 期，银行股高股息与避险属性成为资金 " 避风港 " 。 2 、 创新药板块延续强劲涨势，昂利康、哈三联、众生药业等多股涨停。驱动因素主要来自三 方面： 1 ） 人口老龄化加速背景下医药消费刚需属性凸显 2 ） ...

Key Points - The article discusses the recovery of equity market sentiment and the fluctuating bond market in May 2025, influenced by the US-China tariff agreement and monetary policy adjustments [2][5][6] - It emphasizes the importance of balancing growth and defensive strategies in investment portfolios, highlighting the need to capture structural opportunities while being cautious of external disturbances and domestic economic data fluctuations [2][14] - The performance of various fund styles is analyzed, showing that value and balanced styles outperformed growth styles in May 2025, with significant movements in sector-specific funds, particularly in healthcare and military themes [9][10][11] Equity Market Overview - In May 2025, the equity market experienced a "rise, fall, and stabilization" pattern, with major indices showing gains due to supportive monetary policies and the US-China tariff agreement [6][7] - The overall trading volume decreased, indicating a lower risk appetite among investors, with small-cap stocks seeing increased activity [11][12] Bond Market Overview - The bond market exhibited a narrow range of fluctuations, with government bond issuance and tariff negotiations impacting interest rates [8][18] - The yields on 1-year, 3-year, and 10-year government bonds changed slightly, reflecting the market's response to monetary policy and external factors [18][26] Fund Performance Review - The article reviews the performance of public funds, noting that all major equity fund indices recorded gains, with the Wande Stock Index and Wande Ordinary Stock Index leading with increases of 1.59% and 1.23%, respectively [7][8] - The article highlights the performance of thematic funds, particularly in healthcare and military sectors, which saw significant gains due to market dynamics and geopolitical events [10][11] Fund Strategy Insights - The article outlines strategies for equity and fixed-income fund allocations, suggesting a focus on growth and defensive sectors while maintaining a balanced approach [2][3][14] - It discusses the construction of various fund indices, including low, medium, and high volatility fixed-income funds, aimed at providing stable returns while managing risks [19][28][30]