Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have been rising, with COMEX gold futures reaching a peak of $4,555 before a slight pullback, indicating strong market interest in gold assets [1] Group 1: Gold Market Performance - As of December 24, gold prices have shown volatility, with the gold ETF Huaxia (518850) narrowing its gains to 0.42%, while the colored metal ETF (516650) and gold stock ETF (159562) turned negative by 0.05% and 0.39% respectively [1] - In December, international gold prices have been on an upward trend, with 15 out of 17 trading days seeing net inflows into the Huaxia gold ETF, accumulating a total of 987 million yuan [1] - The gold stock ETF (159562) has attracted over 233 million yuan in investments over the past 14 trading days, reflecting strong investor interest [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Predictions - Funi Futures analysis indicates that while U.S. non-farm employment data has slightly improved, the unemployment rate exceeded expectations, and CPI was lower than anticipated, leading to increased expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts [1] - The Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, with a neutral stance on future guidance, suggesting a marginal increase in liquidity expectations, which is likely to support precious metals and colored metal sectors in the short term [1] Group 3: Cost Efficiency of ETFs - The management and custody fees for Huaxia gold ETF (518850) and gold stock ETF (159562) are combined at 0.2%, the lowest among similar products, facilitating lower-cost participation for investors in the gold market [1]

12月23日，上海黄金交易所发布《关于继续加强近期市场风险控制工作的通知》。《通知》显示，贵金属价格波 动剧烈。请各会员提高风险防范意识，继续做好风险应急预案，维护市场平稳运行。同时，提示投资者做好风险 防范工作，合理控制仓位，理性投资。 今年，黄金成为资本市场上表现最亮眼的资产之一。有数据显示，12月23日，COMEX黄金价格突破4500美元/盎 司，相较年初上涨约70%。 在国际金价的推动下，零售黄金克价也水涨船高，年初大几百元克价的黄金首饰到了年中不仅突破千元大关，临 近年底更是接近了1500元的关口。12月24日，周大福黄金饰品克价达到1410元/克，周生生报1411元/克。 分析人士表示，本轮金价上涨，主要由于市场普遍预期明年美联储将会延续宽松的货币政策。而在美国国内，由 于美国财政纪律受到冲击正在成为既定事实，这放大了黄金作为终极避险资产的价值。此外，地缘局势紧张，进 一步提升了黄金的避险吸引力。 世界国际货币基金的公开数据显示，尽管2025年黄金价格上涨幅度已经超过了60%，但各国需求保持强劲，黄金 在全球央行储备资产中的占比已经升至26%，这也成了黄金市场价格上涨的重要推手。 国际金价延续此前 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened slightly higher on December 24, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.02% to 25,780.09 points and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 0.07% to 5,492.83 points, indicating a mixed market trend [1][7]. Sector Performance - The smart driving sector showed strong performance, driven by the issuance of the first batch of L3-level high-speed autonomous driving special license plates in Beijing, leading to a collective rise in related stocks. Notable gainers included TuDatong (HK02665) with over a 4% increase, and Youjia Innovation rising over 1%, along with other companies like Hesai, GAC Group, Leap Motor, and WeRide also experiencing gains [3][9]. - Chip stocks also performed well, with SMIC opening up over 2% and Huahong Semiconductor and Shanghai Fudan both rising over 1%. This improvement is attributed to the recovery in wafer foundry demand and increased capacity utilization, enhancing the overall industry outlook [3][9]. Gold and Real Estate Stocks - Gold stocks continued their recent upward trend, with China Silver Group rising over 2% amid strong international gold prices, attracting continued investment interest in precious metals [5][11]. - The real estate sector showed slight activity, with Sunac China increasing over 1%, while some bank stocks also saw minor gains, such as Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank rising over 1% [5][11]. Technology Sector - Major technology stocks mostly declined, contributing to market pressure. Tencent Holdings fell by 0.66%, Alibaba by 0.14%, JD Group by 0.18%, Xiaomi by 0.26%, Meituan by 0.39%, and Bilibili by 0.46%. Only NetEase managed to rise by 1.22% [5][11].

值得注意的是，知名研究机构YardeniResearch大幅上调黄金价格预期，强调贵金属市场的强劲涨势，主 要反映的是宏观和政策上的深切担忧，而非全球经济活动出现反弹。该机构将2026年底的黄金目标价从 先前的5000美元/盎司调高至6000美元/盎司。此外，Yardeni重申其长期观点，预计黄金价格有望在本年 代末达到10000美元/盎司。 广发证券在研报中指出，伴随2025年12月美联储降息落地，美联储稳步迈入降息周期。美国关税政策对 通胀的"一次性"冲击预期落地后，美联储将继续平衡就业和通胀等核心目标，2026年降息幅度与节奏将 与美国经济数据及美联储人事变动相关联。预计美国实际利率和美元指数将持续走弱，推动金价稳步上 行。随着金价快速上行且高位运行，2026年开始黄金企业业绩将全面释放，板块或迎戴维斯双击行情。 截至2025年12月24日 09:41，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数(931238)上涨0.33%，成分股白银有色 (601212)上涨4.23%，湖南白银(002716)上涨3.03%，豫光金铅(600531)、晓程科技(300139)、招金矿业 (01818)等个股跟涨。 黄金股ETF(51 ...

有色、钢铁行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 金银新高背后，投资节奏或随隐波而分化 ——黄金行业动态跟踪 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 ⚫权益端：建议关注资源储量较大、中期铜矿持续扩产存在增量预期的紫金矿业 (601899，买入)，矿产金产量持续改善， 业绩或加速上行的赤峰黄金(600988，买 入)。其他标的：中金黄金(600489，未评级)、山金国际(000975，未评级) 。 风险提示 国内外宏观经济变化；关税影响预期与产业链稳定性；中美关系变化 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色、钢铁行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 12 月 24 日 | 刘洋 | 执业证书编号：S0860520010002 | | --- | --- | | | 香港证监会牌照：BTB487 | | | liuyang3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | | liyitao@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | --- | | 李一涛 | 执业证书编号：S0860124120001 021-63326320 | | 金铜铝铁权益滞后商品的现象或将改变： | 2025-12-22 | ...

12月24日，现货黄金升破4500美元关口，为史上首次，今年已累计涨超71%。 相关机构表示，伴随前期不确定性因素落地，宏观不确定性和避险需求有望支撑黄金价格在高位震荡后 重启上行趋势，短期内观察金价挑战前高后的走势。长期看，货币超发及财政赤字货币化背景下，美元 信用体系受到挑战；加上全球地缘动荡频发推动资产储备多元化，黄金作为安全资产的需求持续提升。 全球"去美元化"的趋势使得黄金有望成为新一轮定价锚，使得贵金属有望具备上行动能。后续可持续关 注全球宏观经济走势、地缘局势和全球央行购金情况等。 中长期看，黄金价格中枢仍有望上行，投资者或可考虑后续回调参与、逢低分批布局。关注直接投资实 物黄金，免征增值税的黄金基金ETF（518800），覆盖黄金全产业链股票的黄金股票ETF（517400）。 风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参 考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构成 投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产品 要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与自身风险承受 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened slightly higher on December 24, with the Hang Seng Index rising 0.02% to 25,780.09 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index up 0.07% to 5,492.83 points, the National Enterprises Index increasing by 0.09% to 8,922.07 points, and the Red Chip Index gaining 0.19% to 4,075.35 points [1] Company News - Pacific Basin Shipping (02343.HK) plans to acquire four newly built small handy bulk carriers for USD 119 million [2] - Xinyi Energy (03868.HK) intends to acquire 100% equity of Jinzhai Xinyi Wind Power for HKD 62 million [3] - Tianjin Port Development (03382.HK) proposes to sell 60% equity of China Railway Storage and Transportation for HKD 22.52 million, primarily engaged in coal sales [4] - Shandong Xinhua Pharmaceutical (00719.HK) has received a drug registration certificate for its Oseltamivir phosphate dry suspension [5] - Yiyuan Yuan (08223.HK) has entered into a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Pengfeng Technology to explore digital transformation opportunities in the traditional Chinese medicine industry [5] - Yihua Tong (02402.HK) completed a placement of 8.88 million shares, raising HKD 198 million, primarily for repaying bank loans [7] - Runge Interactive (02422.HK) plans to place up to 160 million shares at a discount of approximately 19.44%, raising about HKD 68.6 million [8] - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) repurchased 1.051 million shares for HKD 636 million at prices between HKD 602.5 and HKD 613.5 [9] - Kuaishou-W (01024.HK) repurchased 2.7176 million shares for HKD 174 million at prices between HKD 63.7 and HKD 64.65 [10] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) repurchased 3.75 million shares for HKD 147 million at prices between HKD 39.1 and HKD 39.28 [11] - COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919.HK) repurchased approximately HKD 65.48 million worth of shares, totaling 4.7215 million shares at prices between HKD 13.75 and HKD 13.93 [12] - Huaxin Cement (06655.HK) shareholder Huaxin Group plans to increase its holdings in the company's A-shares by HKD 200 million to HKD 400 million [13] Institutional Insights - Dongwu Securities suggests that while there may be short-term opportunities in the Hong Kong market, it is advisable to maintain a cautious stance. The current position is seen as attractive for medium to long-term allocation, with potential for a "Christmas rally" in US tech stocks that could resonate with Hong Kong tech stocks, although there are concerns about stock unlocks affecting the market [14] - Founder Securities highlights strong demand for energy storage, benefiting both power batteries and energy storage batteries, with expected growth rates of over 15% and 40% respectively by 2026. The lithium market is also expected to see a gradual recovery in supply-demand dynamics, with prices likely to rise [14] - CICC forecasts that global tungsten production will increase from 82,800 tons in 2025 to 89,900 tons by 2028, while demand will rise from 102,100 tons to 110,000 tons, indicating a persistent supply-demand gap. The demand for tungsten-based new materials is expected to grow due to advancements in manufacturing and new applications [15]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 见证历史了，近期有色金属迎来一轮强势上涨，多品种创下历史新高或阶段性新高。贵金属的黄金、白 银，历史新高；铂金2008年以来新高；工业金属方面，LME期铜历史新高、沪锡22年4月新高；小金属 方面，碳酸锂24年4月以来新高、部分钨金属今年以来涨超200%。 难怪有网友说了，还得是腾讯更懂贵金属，毕竟，尊贵铂金>荣耀黄金>秩序白银>倔强青铜… 从申万一级行业来看，今年以来有色金属涨幅超87%，位居行业之首，超大热门的通信行业1%左右， 年末竞争有点激烈．．． 铜：站上"超级周期"风口。供应端，智利、印尼等核心产区矿山事故频发，叠加中国冶炼企业自律性减 产，导致全球铜精矿出现"硬缺口" 。需求端，全球电网投资、新能源汽车用铜量是燃油车2-3倍，以及 AI数据中心建设，共同构成了长期结构性增长引擎。 铝：国内供应刚性是核心。电解铝产能天花板政策与云南水电复产不及预期，锁定了供应弹性。需求则 受益于汽车轻量化、光伏边框等领域的强劲韧性，社会库存持续处于低位，对价格形成支撑。 黄金：避险与货币属性驱动。美联储降息预期直接打压实际利率，中东、东欧地 ...

客户端 今日港股三大指数集体高开，恒指开盘涨0.02%，报25780.09点，恒科指涨0.07%，国企指数涨0.09%。 盘面上，科网股跌多涨少，网易涨超1%，腾讯跌近1%；黄金股延续涨势，中国白银集团涨超2%；内房 股板块活跃，融创中国涨超1%；银行股部分上涨，重庆农村商业银行涨超1%。 责任编辑：郭栩彤 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 今日港股三大指数集体高开，恒指开盘涨0.02%，报25780.09点，恒科指涨0.07%，国企指数涨0.09%。 盘面上，科网股跌多涨少，网易涨超1%，腾讯跌近1%；黄金股延续涨势，中国白银集团涨超2%；内房 股板块活跃，融创中国涨超1%；银行股部分上涨，重庆农村商业银行涨超1%。 | 国企指数 | 8922.07 +0.09% | | --- | --- | | 800100 | | | 但生科技指数 | 5492.83 +0.07% | | 800700 | | | 恒生指数 | 25780.09 +0.02% | | 800000 | | 责任编辑：郭栩彤 ...

Group 1 - COMEX gold futures have surpassed the $4,510 mark, with an increase of over 1%, while COMEX silver futures rose over 4%, reaching a peak of $71.79 per ounce, marking the first time silver has crossed the $70 per ounce threshold [1][2] - Year-to-date, gold prices have surged approximately 70%, driven by geopolitical tensions, U.S. interest rate cuts, strong central bank purchases, and robust investment demand [1][2] - The market has been in a deficit for five years, with increasing industrial demand contributing to the price rise, alongside factors such as safe-haven demand, a weak dollar, and declining yields [3] Group 2 - Analysts predict that the long-term theme of central bank diversification of foreign exchange reserves is a major factor driving gold prices [3] - A forecast suggests that gold prices could reach $5,000 per ounce next year [3] - As international gold prices continue to rise, domestic gold jewelry prices have also increased, with some brands' prices for 24K gold jewelry exceeding 1,400 yuan per gram for the first time [2][3]