Our next guest sees a shifting landscape in mega cap tech where the leaders of Yore are not necessarily the winners of tomorrow although there are still some that have staying power. Joining us now is Thomas Martin, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments. Thomas, it's great to see you.Let's start with a name like Netflix and a few others that you think are popping up as those that will become the leaders in the I guess we're calling it the AI race. Right. Well, um, thanks for having me on your prog ...

Group 1 - The airline earnings season began positively, with Delta Air Lines exceeding expectations and boosting investor confidence across the sector [1][3] - Delta's first-quarter earnings results alleviated investor concerns about inflation and tariffs, and the company reinstated its full-year guidance with an earnings forecast above consensus estimates [3][4] - The strong performance of Delta has led to increased stock prices for American Airlines and other carriers, indicating robust demand during the summer vacation season [4] Group 2 - American Airlines has a significant long-term debt of $29.4 billion, which is approximately double that of Delta, making it more vulnerable to potential downturns [5] - Despite the high debt, American and Delta have similar enterprise value-to-earnings multiples, but Delta is considered a more stable investment option due to the volatility in the airline sector [5]

Group 1 - Airline investors are optimistic following strong quarterly results from Delta Air Lines, leading to a 10% increase in JetBlue Airways shares [1][4] - Delta Air Lines exceeded expectations and reinstated full-year guidance, indicating strong demand in the airline industry despite previous concerns about inflation and tariffs [3][5] - Investors are speculating that strong demand for Delta will also positively impact the rest of the airline industry, including JetBlue, which has not yet reported its results [4] Group 2 - There are significant differences between Delta and JetBlue, with Delta being part of the "big four" airlines that control about 80% of the domestic market, while JetBlue is a smaller player [5] - JetBlue has been less profitable than Delta in recent quarters and is facing a considerable debt burden, which raises concerns about its financial health [5][6] - Despite the recent rally, JetBlue shares are down nearly 40% year to date, indicating ongoing challenges for the company [6]

Yeah, I believe that everybody's going to be okay for Christmas at the time, but I couldn't agree more with uh Kareem. You know, we actually have gone to him to advise us on a lot of our Shark Tank companies and some of my larger companies as well. And that's exactly what you have to do.You see, you know, even 20 years ago, I was manufacturing Guatemala and then China, you know, factories in China due to the communist environment, they open and close just as fast as uh, you know, as anything else. So yes, y ...

Key Takeaways DAL posted Q2 EPS of $2.10, beating estimates despite an 11% drop from last year due to labor costs. Revenues hit $16.64B, above expectations, with adjusted operating revenues up 1% year over year. DAL reinstated 2025 EPS guidance of $5.25-$6.25 and sees free cash flow of $3-$4 billion for the year.Delta Air Lines (DAL) reported second-quarter 2025 earnings (excluding $1.17 per share from non-recurring items) of $2.10 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.04. Earnings decr ...

Airline Industry Performance - Delta Air Lines Inc. experienced a 12% surge in stock price after reporting second-quarter results that exceeded both earnings and revenue expectations, indicating a strong demand outlook [1] - American Airlines Group Inc. shares increased by 12.5%, while United Airlines Holdings Inc. saw a 13.5% rise, contributing to a broad rally across the airline sector [2] - The U.S. Global Jets ETF, which tracks airline stocks, rose by 7.2%, marking its best performance since the 90-day tariff pause in April [2] Economic Indicators - The U.S. labor market showed resilience with initial jobless claims dropping to 237,000, surpassing forecasts, although continuing claims rose to 1.965 million, the highest since 2021 [6] Commodity Market Reactions - Copper futures increased by 2.2% to approximately $5.60 per pound, with silver and palladium also seeing gains of 1.6% and 3.6% respectively, driven by expectations of tightening supply [5] - Crude oil prices fell over 2% amid reports that OPEC+ is considering halting planned production increases starting in October, raising concerns about potential oversupply [5] Stock Market Overview - Major indices showed mixed performance, with the Russell 2000 up 0.7%, Dow Jones up 0.6%, and S&P 500 up 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 slipped by 0.3% [7] - The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF inched up 0.2%, while the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.6% [9] Company-Specific Movements - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. rose over 4% after NorthCoast Research raised its price target, reiterating a 'Buy' rating [10] - Freeport-McMoRan Inc. climbed 3.3% as copper prices continued to rise amid supply concerns [10] - Nu Holdings Ltd. dropped 5.1% following the announcement of a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports, leading to a selloff in Brazil-linked assets [10]

Group 1 - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets [1] - Investment diversification has become a strategy for individuals, moving away from traditional savings in banks and properties [1] - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines has influenced investment choices since 2014 [1] Group 2 - The focus on blue-chip companies has evolved into a broader investment strategy across various industries and market capitalizations [1] - The US market has been entered by investors, with a notable increase in awareness and engagement over the past four years [1] - The use of analytical tools and comparisons between different markets, such as the US and PH markets, has become a common practice among investors [1]

Group 1 - The upcoming disclosure of mid-year reports by listed companies is expected to become a mainstream market focus, with Zhongyan Chemical set to report on July 15 [1] - Companies with significantly better-than-expected performance, such as Huayin Power with a projected increase of over 40 times in earnings, have seen substantial stock price increases, with a 76.72% rise in July [1] - Investors are advised to focus on companies with sustained earnings growth during the mid-year report season, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence, biomedicine, machinery, and Huawei's supply chain [1] Group 2 - Investors should pay attention to companies with large absolute net profit increases, while also considering the sustainability of future earnings growth and valuation levels [2] - The market is expected to maintain a slow bull trend in the second half of the year, with a focus on blue-chip stocks in banking, non-bank financials, and high-dividend sectors [2] - Investment strategies should consider three main lines: sectors with mid-year report highlights like gold and technology hardware, high-growth opportunities less affected by economic cycles such as the AI industry, and industries that have achieved supply-side clearing in a mild recovery environment [2]

Core Insights - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 16, with a history of positive earnings surprises, averaging a beat of 10.34% over the last four quarters [1][3]. Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UAL's Q2 2025 earnings has been revised down by 1.57% to $3.75 per share, indicating a 9.42% decrease from the previous year's actual earnings [3][5]. - UAL's revenue for Q2 2025 is estimated at $15.31 billion, reflecting a 2.17% year-over-year growth, supported by improving travel demand and lower fuel prices [7]. Cost and Economic Factors - UAL is expected to face challenges from a tariff-induced macroeconomic environment, with geopolitical uncertainties and inflation likely impacting travel demand [4][6]. - Labor costs are projected to rise, contributing to an 8.8% increase in operating costs compared to Q2 2024, driven by a 10.5% rise in salaries and related expenses [6]. Oil Prices and Industry Impact - The decline in oil prices, which fell 6% in the April-June 2025 period and 9% since the start of 2025, is seen as beneficial for the aviation industry, as fuel expenses are a significant cost factor [8]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model indicates a potential earnings beat for UAL, with an Earnings ESP of +3.43% and a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a favorable outlook for the upcoming earnings report [9].

Core Viewpoint - Chewy (CHWY) stock experienced a significant decline of over 20% after reaching a two-year high of $48.62 on June 6, primarily due to an 11% drop following earnings on June 11, but is currently testing a historically bullish trendline [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - CHWY is trading within one standard deviation of its 80-day moving average, having closed above this trendline in eight of the last ten sessions [2] - Historical data indicates that similar signals have led to a 78% chance of CHWY being higher one month later, with an average gain of 10.9% [3] - From its current price of $38.68, a similar gain would eliminate its 9.3% quarter-to-date deficit and extend its 15.4% year-to-date lead [3] Group 2: Technical Indicators - CHWY's 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 33, indicating it is in "oversold" territory, which has historically preceded rallies [3] - The stock is experiencing a potential short squeeze, with short interest up 7.7% and 15.51 million shares sold short, accounting for 7.3% of the total float [5] Group 3: Options Market Sentiment - The 10-day put/call volume ratio for CHWY is 0.68, indicating a higher level of pessimism among options traders compared to the past year [6] - Options are currently affordably priced, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 38% in the low 7th percentile of its annual range, suggesting a potential premium-selling strategy [7]