为什么硅光技术被认为是 2026 年光模块行业最重要的趋势？ 硅光模块行业：AI 驱动高成长，从物理结构和产业链视角 拆解硅光投资机会 20251207 摘要 1.6T 光模块和硅光技术渗透率预计在 2026 年将从目前的 20%快速提 升至 50%以上，主要受益于硅光方案的性价比优势和产能补充潜力，以 及生产良率和封装良率的显著提升，这将显著提高相关上市公司的盈利 能力。 硅光方案通过采用硅基衬底，可集成调制器、探测器和波导等器件，实 现高集成度和低成本，尤其是在 800G 光模块中，硅光方案仅需 4 个 CW 激光源，显著降低了成本，提高了产品竞争力。 传统 EML 方案在 1.6T 光模块中需要升级到 200G EML，导致价值量翻 倍，而硅光方案仍使用 70 毫瓦的 CW 光源，并采用一拖二的配比方式， 使得硅光模块的价值量远低于传统 EML 方案，成本差距可达 100-200 美元。 200G EML 芯片因工艺壁垒高、良率低而供应紧缺，使得 1.6T 需求更 倾向于采用硅光解决方案。同时，下游客户逐渐接受硅光技术在数据中 心的应用，预计 2026 年硅光技术将迎来放量。 Q&A 2026 年，光模 ...

国金证券表示，在算力需求持续扩张的支撑下，中国AI计算加速芯片市场进入高速增长周期。根 据弗若斯特沙利文的预测，中国AI计算加速芯片市场规模将由2024年的1425亿元增至2029年的1.3万亿 元，2025~2029年的复合增速达54%。细分来看，GPU的增速最为亮眼，市场份额预计将由2024年的 70%提升至2029年的77%，主导地位进一步增强。同时，海外高性能芯片供应受限叠加供应链安全的国 产化替代需求，为国内本土GPU厂商带来发展机遇。 光模块方面，国盛证券称，算力产业链正处于高景气周期，爆发式增长的算力需求正面临光模块产 业链的供给瓶颈。为应对供需缺口，头部光模块厂商正积极推进 "中国大陆与泰国"双线并行的产能扩 张战略，多家龙头的泰国基地已投产或正在扩建，同时国内基地也在同步扩产，行业正处在新一轮产能 释放的前夜，预计明年一季度将迎来产能的集中释放，光通信行业进入从"产能释放"到"业绩爬坡"的新 阶段。 12月5日，A股开盘涨跌不一，其中CPO概念股走强。截止10点38分，同类费率最低的创业板人工 智能ETF华夏（159381）上涨0.71%，成交额迅速破1.6亿元，持仓股致尚科技实现20CM涨 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 中信证券认为，AI正从"训练"走向"推理+终端"，2026年国内端侧AI设备出货有望超2亿台，算力、存 储、光学、散热等国产供应链厂商迎来二次成长，建议关注模型压缩、边缘算力芯片及高端光学龙头。 人工智能AIETF（515070）跟踪CS人工智能主题指数（930713），成分股选取为人工智能提供技术、 基础资源以及应用端个股，聚集人工智能产业链上中游，俗称"机器人"大脑"缔造者"，万物互联"地 基"。前十大权重股包括中际旭创、新易盛、寒武纪-U、中科曙光、科大讯飞、豪威集团、海康威视、 澜起科技、金山办公、紫光股份等国内科技龙头。 今日开盘科技赛道有所分化，5G通信、电子、半导体细分赛道表现较好，而传媒、军工、游戏、数据 等赛道跌幅居前，开盘半小时内光模块发力上攻，新易盛涨幅超7%，人工智能AIETF（515070）盘中 涨幅超1%，持仓股中科沃斯大涨超3%，石头科技、寒武纪、北京君正等涨幅均超1%。 消息方面，12月1日字节跳动旗下豆包发布手机助手技术预览版，与中兴通讯深度合作，首批3万台工程 机迅速售罄，第二代产品计划2026年上半年量产，带动端侧AI概念全线走强。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The North American cloud service providers are expected to see significant capital expenditure growth, with Nvidia projecting global cloud vendor spending to reach $549 billion in 2026 and $632 billion in 2027, which will drive an increase in demand for optical modules [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The ChiNext Mid-Cap 200 Index rose by 0.3%, while both the ChiNext Index and the ChiNext Growth Index fell by 0.4% [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - According to Shanxi Securities, the capital expenditure growth rate for the five major North American cloud service providers is expected to exceed 50% year-on-year by Q3 2025 [1] - The optical module demand is projected to be adjusted upwards due to the anticipated capital expenditures from cloud vendors [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The ChiNext Index is composed of 100 stocks with large market capitalization and good liquidity, with the AI hardware and new energy industry chains accounting for approximately 60% of the index [1] - The ChiNext ETF (159915) is the largest product tracking this index, providing investors with a convenient way to invest in strategic emerging industries [1]

Group 1 - A-shares in sectors such as optical modules, consumer electronics, and servers are showing strong performance, with the A500 ETF (512050) rising by 0.88% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 4.6 billion yuan [1] - The A500 ETF has attracted over 1 billion yuan in the past 10 days, indicating a significant inflow of capital into core A-share assets [1] - Citic Securities suggests that the entry of absolute return-oriented funds is enhancing the market's inherent stability, potentially leading A-shares and Hong Kong stocks to experience a "sharp drop and slow rise" pattern similar to that of the US stock market [1] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities indicates that the bottom of the A-share earnings cycle may have been reached, with a significant probability of recovery in Q3 2025 earnings indicators, suggesting a gradual stabilization of A-share earnings [2] - The A500 ETF (512050) is designed to help investors capture market growth opportunities by tracking the CSI A500 Index, which employs a dual strategy of "industry balanced allocation + leading company selection" [2] - The A500 ETF features three core highlights: a low fee rate of 0.2%, high liquidity with an average daily trading volume exceeding 5 billion yuan in the past month, and a leading scale of over 19 billion yuan, making it an efficient investment choice for capturing A-share valuation enhancement opportunities [2]

Core Insights - The AI optical module market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by the increasing demand for high-speed interconnects in data centers due to the rise of generative AI technologies [1][4] - The global AI optical module market is projected to reach 42.8 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 23.8 billion yuan from 2023, and is expected to grow to 71.6 billion yuan by 2025 [1][4] - China's AI optical module market is also expanding, with a forecasted growth to 17.8 billion yuan by 2025, up from 10.6 billion yuan in 2024 [1][5] Industry Definition and Barriers - AI optical modules are essential for meeting the ultra-high bandwidth and low latency requirements of AI computing clusters, acting as the "nervous system" of the AI era [2][4] - The market barriers include technological research and development, supply chain management, product comprehensiveness, customer loyalty, and globalization [4] Current Industry Status - The AI optical module market is a hot sector within the semiconductor and communication fields, with sustained high demand due to the ongoing global AI arms race [4] - The rapid development of generative AI technologies has significantly increased the demand for optical modules in data centers [4] Industry Chain - The upstream of the AI optical module industry includes optical devices, chips (optical and circuit chips), PCB boards, and structural components [5] - The midstream involves the production and system integration of AI optical modules, while the downstream consists of cloud service providers utilizing these modules in AI data centers [5] Cost Structure - The cost structure of AI optical modules shows that optical devices account for 74% of the total cost, followed by integrated circuit chips at 19% and printed circuit boards (PCBs) at 4% [7] Development Environment and Policies - The Chinese government has implemented various policies to support the AI optical module industry, recognizing its importance in the AI computing infrastructure [9] - Key policies include initiatives aimed at enhancing network infrastructure, computing power layout, technological research, and application scenarios [9] Competitive Landscape - The Chinese AI optical module market is characterized by significant differentiation among companies, with leading firms such as Zhongji Xuchuang and NewEase occupying dominant positions [11][12] - Major companies in the sector include Wuhan Guangxun Technology Co., Ltd., Zhongji Xuchuang Co., Ltd., and Huagong Technology, among others [12][13] Future Trends - The demand for AI optical modules is expected to grow explosively due to the increasing competition in artificial intelligence and the unprecedented requirements for data transmission rates and bandwidth in data centers [14][15] - Continuous innovation and commercialization in technology will further drive the growth of the AI optical module market [14][15]

Group 1 - The company has confirmed that the 1.6T optical module from Wuhan Junheng is in the production preparation stage [2] - There is currently uncertainty regarding the shipment data for both 800G and 1.6T modules, and the company is unable to provide specific shipment volume forecasts at this time [2] - The company plans to disclose the overall operational status of related products in its periodic reports [2]

Group 1 - The AI hardware and software sectors are experiencing simultaneous growth, with notable stock increases such as BlueFocus and Dongfang Guoxin rising by 13%, and Zhongji Xuchuang by 2%, contributing to a 1.82% rise in the Huaxia AI ETF [1] - Warren Buffett's investment in Google, now his tenth largest holding, is interpreted as a positive signal for the future of AI, alleviating concerns about an AI bubble. Zhongji Xuchuang is identified as a core supplier of optical modules for Google's data centers [1] - Alibaba has officially launched the public beta of its Qianwen App, aiming to penetrate the AI to C market by creating the best personal AI assistant using advanced models [1] - Reports indicate that overseas giants are proactively raising prices and securing orders for optical modules. Northeast Securities anticipates high visibility in optical module demand for next year, with continuous upward revisions in order guidance, leading to a supply-demand imbalance becoming a norm in the industry [1] - Current AI models are entering a phase of application penetration, with exponential growth in token usage. The demand for computing hardware is still in its early stages, suggesting that there is no need for excessive pessimism regarding hardware demand [1] Group 2 - The Huaxia AI ETF (159381), which has the highest CPO content and lowest fee rate in the AI index, has increased by 1.82%. Key weighted stocks include Xinyi Sheng (optical modules), Zhongji Xuchuang (optical modules), Tianfu Communication (optical devices), and Runze Technology (IDC/cloud computing), with CPO content exceeding 50% [2]

Core Insights - The company, Huylv Eco-Tech Group Co., Ltd., hosted a series of investor meetings from November 11 to 13, 2025, with participation from various institutions including E Fund, CITIC Securities, and Freshwater Spring Investment [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a significant revenue increase of 206.15% year-on-year, reaching 1.081 billion yuan, with a net profit of 51.72 million yuan, up 96.96% [1][2] Financial Performance - Huylv Eco-Tech's subsidiary, Wuhan Junheng Technology Co., Ltd., contributed significantly to the company's financials, achieving approximately 915 million yuan in revenue and around 109 million yuan in net profit by September 30, 2025 [2] Key Focus Areas - Wuhan Junheng's gross margin is approximately 20%, with expectations for improvement in 2026 due to market demand changes and product structure adjustments [3] - The company has implemented a multi-tiered incentive mechanism for Wuhan Junheng's management, rewarding 20% of excess profits above commitments to encourage performance [4] Capacity Expansion - Wuhan Junheng is accelerating its domestic and international expansion, with a new production line in Ezhou recently launched, adding an annual capacity of 1.5 million units, and a second phase project expected to add 3 million units per year by 2027 [5] - The company has established a production base in Malaysia to further penetrate the global market [5] Supply Chain Management - The company maintains complete autonomy in material procurement, allowing for flexible supplier selection based on product needs and cost control, ensuring supply chain stability [6] Technological Advancements - The development of the 1.6T optical module is supported by three key technological synergies: a platform-based architecture, flexible use of mature technology modules, and a software architecture that facilitates smooth transitions between different speed modules [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - Cambridge Technology (603083.SH) has announced that its 1.6T optical module products are performing at a level comparable to leading companies in the industry, with some products entering small batch supply phase and expected to achieve mass shipments by Q1 2026 [1] Group 1: Product Development - The development and mass production of the 1.6T optical module are based on the company's technological reserves and market demand [1] - The optical module products primarily utilize silicon photonics technology, with the 1.6T optical module employing advanced technology that matches the performance of industry leaders [1] Group 2: Customer Collaboration - The company is deeply binding core customers through the JDM model, ensuring supply chain stability [1] - There is strong demand for both 800G and 1.6T optical modules, and the company is advancing product validation with multiple new customers [1] Group 3: Capacity Expansion - The company is continuously expanding production capacity, with the Jiaxing and Malaysia factories gradually releasing capacity [1] - The construction of the production base in Mexico is also being promoted, with annual capacity targets to be adjusted and increased based on customer demand [1]