中信证券表示，对A股而言，稳健回报导向的绝对收益资金持续入市在增强市场的内在稳定性，在 增量资金越来越多的以左侧稳健型资金为主的资金生态下，A股/港股未来可能更多地像美股一样出 现"急跌慢涨"。对需要增配权益的投资者而言，当下风险的提前释放给了年末重新增配A股/港股、布局 2026年的契机。 天风证券指出，A股盈利周期底部拐点或已迈，25Q3盈利指标回升概率较大，A股盈利底渐明，展 望2026，基本面角度盈利复苏弹性或更值得关注。25年中报以来，A股盈利指标逐渐底部企稳，三季度 全A两非EPS同比降幅收窄，ROE的企稳反弹迹象也较为明确，盈利能力角度关键指标正蓄势向上。随 着"反内卷"、提升内需等政策在供需两端的发力，A股盈利周期有望更进一步，从稳预期走向扩弹性， 从估值修复到基本面驱动的攻坚牛。 11月26日，A股光模块、消费电子、服务器等概念持续走强。受权重板块带动，截止13点37分， A500ETF基金（512050）上涨0.88%，成交额超46亿元，居可比基金第一。盘面上，持仓股中际旭创、 迈为股份、沪电股份、新易盛、天孚通信等领涨。资金加速布局A股核心资产，近10日，A500ETF基金 （51205 ...

Core Insights - The Sohu Finance Annual Forum will be held on November 27, 2025, in Beijing, featuring over twenty experts from academia, industry, and investment sectors discussing key topics such as macro policies, industrial upgrades, corporate internationalization, capital market reforms, and international dynamics [2][6] - The forum aims to address the challenges of restoring consumer confidence and enhancing economic resilience amid global geopolitical shifts and domestic structural transformations [2][3] Industry Insights - The morning session will focus on practical insights from industry experts regarding policy guidance, market mechanisms, and corporate strategies, particularly addressing the "involution and efficiency trap" [3] - The real estate sector is transitioning from high-leverage expansion to high-quality operations, with discussions on industry breakthroughs and future trends led by prominent figures from major real estate companies [3][4] - In the consumer sector, companies like Xiaobuxiang will share strategies for achieving growth through product innovation and organizational change despite price competition and weak demand [4] Financial Sector Insights - The financial investment segment will feature seasoned professionals discussing asset allocation, pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors, chip technology, and gold as a hedge against uncertainty [4] - The afternoon session will delve into macroeconomic resilience and strategic directions, with discussions on the evolution of the global macroeconomic landscape and the transformation of China's capital market towards a more regulated and transparent wealth management system [5] - Experts will also explore new consumption drivers and the potential of emerging trends like concerts and IP blind boxes to stimulate significant consumer spending [5] Forum Impact - The Sohu Finance Annual Forum has evolved into a significant high-end financial dialogue platform, aiming to break down information barriers, promote cross-sector collaboration, and connect policies with market dynamics, which is crucial for China's economic development [6]

Group 1 - In the first ten months of the year, 943 out of 974 comparable ordinary equity funds achieved positive performance, representing a 97% success rate, with only 31 funds declining [1][3] - The top-performing funds include E Fund Strategic Emerging Industries Stock A and C, with returns of 101.22% and 100.53% respectively, benefiting from the surge in sectors like semiconductors and computing [1][2] - The E Fund Information Industry Selected Stock A and C, managed by veteran Zheng Xi, also performed well, with increases of 98.31% and 97.45%, focusing on semiconductor stocks [2][3] Group 2 - The healthcare-themed funds, such as Huaan Pharmaceutical Biotechnology Stock A and C, saw significant gains of 85.88% and 85.21%, respectively, indicating strong performance in the pharmaceutical sector [3][4] - Despite the overall market rise, only 31 ordinary equity funds reported negative returns, with the largest decline being less than 7% for funds heavily invested in traditional sectors like medicine and liquor [3][4] - The Baoying Brand Consumption Stock A and C experienced declines of 4.71% and 5.39%, attributed to a shift in management and a focus on consumer stocks [4][5] Group 3 - The data from Tonghuashun indicates that the performance of various funds is closely tied to their sector focus, with technology and healthcare leading the gains [1][3] - The report highlights the importance of fund management experience, as seen with managers like Zheng Xi and Ouyang Liangqi, who have extensive backgrounds in industry research [2][3] - The overall trend in the A-share market suggests a strong recovery, with a majority of funds benefiting from sector-specific booms, particularly in technology and healthcare [1][3]

Group 1 - Multiple QDII funds have adjusted their subscription limits since August, primarily due to urgent investment quotas and significant international market volatility impacting fund holders' interests [1][2] - Specific funds such as Bosera Nasdaq 100 ETF and Wanji Nasdaq 100 Index have announced suspension of subscriptions to protect the interests of fund holders [2] - The recent adjustments in QDII quotas are aimed at meeting the reasonable demand for overseas investments while ensuring the stability of fund operations [3] Group 2 - The total net asset value of QDII funds has increased from 533.768 billion to 621.829 billion yuan since the beginning of the year, with the number of products rising from 307 to 313 [4] - The growth in QDII fund scale and quantity is attributed to investors' preference for diversified asset allocation and increased demand for international assets [4] - Performance among QDII funds has varied significantly, with some funds achieving over 100% net value growth, while others have reported negative growth [4][5] Group 3 - Gold-themed QDII funds have performed well this year, with net value growth rates exceeding 30%, while energy-related funds have faced declines due to international oil price fluctuations [5] - Bond QDII funds have shown relative stability, maintaining certain defensive characteristics and stable returns despite short-term policy impacts [5] - Overall, QDII funds have maintained stability in product quantity and asset scale, with notable performance in high-growth sectors like pharmaceuticals and artificial intelligence [5]

Market Overview - During the week of June 9-13, the A-share market showed a weak fluctuation, with the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, and CSI 500 declining by 0.25%, 0.25%, and 0.38% respectively, while the ChiNext Index increased by 0.22% [6] - The performance of various sectors was mixed, with non-ferrous metals (+3.79%), oil and petrochemicals (+3.50%), and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (+1.62%) leading the gains, while food and beverage (-4.37%), home appliances (-3.26%), and building materials (-2.77%) faced the largest declines [6] - The current PE (TTM) for CSI 300 is 12.72 times, with a risk premium of 6.22%, which is above one standard deviation, while the ChiNext Index's PE (TTM) is 30.99, below one negative standard deviation [6] Economic Indicators - As of the end of May, the total social financing scale increased by 8.7% year-on-year, with M2 balance growing by 7.9% and M1 balance by 2.3% [6] - In the first five months, the incremental social financing reached 18.63 trillion yuan, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year, with RMB loans increasing by 10.68 trillion yuan [6] - The CPI in May decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 0.6% year-on-year, indicating a need for continued monetary and fiscal policy support [6] Geopolitical Events - On June 13, Israel launched airstrikes against Iran, targeting nuclear facilities and military capabilities, which escalated geopolitical tensions and caused volatility in global financial markets [6] - The conflict between Israel and Iran has led to a rise in geopolitical risk premiums, with global markets experiencing turmoil, and commodities like oil and gold seeing price increases [6] Investment Strategy - The report maintains a view of continued wide fluctuations and structural trends in the A-share market, emphasizing the importance of domestic fundamental factors for market direction [6] - It is recommended to focus on value dividend sectors and domestically supported technology industries, including artificial intelligence, semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and defense industries [6] - The report highlights that the impact of the Israel-Iran conflict on the A-share market is primarily emotional, with sustained impacts expected to be limited [6] Valuation Analysis - In terms of PE valuation, sectors such as food and beverage, agriculture, forestry, and fishery are at historical lows, while real estate and computer sectors are at historical highs [26] - The report provides percentile rankings for PE (TTM) and PB (LF) across various sectors, indicating where current valuations stand relative to historical data [27][29]

Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a rebound with the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, CSI 500, and ChiNext Index rising by 1.13%, 0.88%, 1.60%, and 2.32% respectively during the week of June 2-6[5] - The PE (TTM) for CSI 300 is currently at 12.56 times, with a risk premium of 6.31%, which is above one standard deviation[5] - The PE (TTM) for ChiNext is at 30.92, below one negative standard deviation[5] Economic Indicators - The OECD has downgraded the U.S. economic growth forecast for 2025 from 2.2% to 1.6% and for 2026 to 1.5% due to tariff policies and increased uncertainty[5] - The global growth forecast for 2025 has been reduced from 3.10% to 2.9%[5] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 139,000 in May, above the market expectation of 130,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.2% for the third consecutive month[5] Policy Developments - The People's Bank of China conducted a 100 billion yuan reverse repo operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system[5] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange plans to encourage listed companies to increase dividend payouts and enhance market value management tools[5] Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on value dividend sectors and domestically supported technology industries such as AI, semiconductors, and defense[5] - The market is expected to maintain a wide fluctuation and structural trend, with short-term upward momentum lacking due to weak domestic economic fundamentals[5]

Market Overview - During the week of June 2 to June 6, the A-share market experienced a rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, CSI 500, and ChiNext Index rising by 1.13%, 0.88%, 1.60%, and 2.32% respectively [5] - The sectors that performed well included telecommunications (+5.27%), non-ferrous metals (+3.74%), and electronics (+3.60%), while household appliances (-1.79%), food and beverage (-1.06%), and transportation (-0.54%) lagged behind [5] - The current PE (TTM) for CSI 300 is 12.56 times, with a risk premium of 6.31%, which is above one standard deviation, while the ChiNext Index's PE (TTM) is 30.92, below negative one standard deviation [5] Economic and Policy Insights - The Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Trump had a phone conversation, agreeing to continue implementing the Geneva consensus and hold new talks soon, which may reduce uncertainties regarding U.S.-China tariff tensions [5] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 1 trillion yuan reverse repo operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system, which is expected to stabilize market expectations [5] - The OECD has downgraded the U.S. and global economic growth forecasts, with the U.S. growth rate for 2025 revised down from 2.2% to 1.6% due to tariff policies and increased uncertainties [5] Sector Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that in terms of PE valuation, sectors such as food and beverage, and agriculture are at historical lows, while real estate and computer sectors are at historical highs [27] - The current PB valuation for non-ferrous metals is at 27.50, while coal is at 27.17, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels [29] - The report suggests that the A-share market is likely to maintain a wide fluctuation and structural market trend in the short term, with a focus on value dividend sectors and domestically supported technology industries such as AI, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals [5][27]