Core Insights - New Hope's Q3 2025 financial report shows a revenue of 28.879 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, but a net profit of 5.1255 million yuan, a significant decline of 99.63% [2] - For the first three quarters, New Hope achieved a revenue of 80.504 billion yuan, up 4.27% year-on-year, with a net profit of 760 million yuan, marking a substantial increase of 395.89% [2] - The profit growth in the first three quarters is attributed to improved breeding costs, reduced losses in the pig industry, and increased profits from the feed business [2] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q3, New Hope's revenue was 28.879 billion yuan, while the net profit dropped to 5.1255 million yuan due to falling pig prices [3] - The average sales price of pigs for New Hope fell below 13 yuan per kilogram in September, contributing to a 23.82% decline in sales revenue from live pigs, totaling 1.746 billion yuan [3] Feed Business Performance - The feed business significantly contributed to profit growth in the first three quarters, with overseas sales exceeding 3 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 18% [2] - The average profit for overseas feed was over 180 yuan per ton, with poultry feed averaging close to 140 yuan per ton and pig feed exceeding 300 yuan per ton, outperforming the domestic market [2] - New Hope plans to add 3 to 4 million tons of overseas production capacity in the next 3 to 5 years [2] Industry Context - The decline in net profit in Q3 is linked to a broader trend of falling pig prices, which have been low since mid-August [3] - The industry is facing challenges with ongoing losses and policy measures aimed at reducing sow numbers and controlling weight, which may accelerate capacity reduction in the pig industry [3] - Companies are focusing on cost control and efficiency improvements to navigate the current market cycle [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Soybean Oil**: On Thursday, soybean oil showed a strong performance. Although Sino - US economic and trade negotiations are optimistic, the commercial import profit of US soybeans is negative, and the cost increase supports domestic soybean prices. With ample domestic soybean oil supply and the over - hanging shadow of palm oil production increase, soybean oil will mainly bottom - out and adjust in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being. The support level of the main soybean oil contract is 8050 - 8080 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 8350 - 8400 yuan/ton [3]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: On Thursday, the main rapeseed oil contract continued to be weak. The fundamentals have no significant changes, and the rapeseed sector is still affected by macro - economic and trade policies. The Sino - US summit released positive signals, which is negative for supply - side production. The expected meeting between Chinese and Canadian leaders strengthens the expectation of relaxed rapeseed imports, pressuring rapeseed oil sentiment. The current rapeseed oil inventory is at a relatively high historical level, but the new supply is tightening, and the inventory is continuously decreasing. If there is no substantial relaxation of Canadian rapeseed import policies, the rapeseed sector is still optimistic in the medium - to - long term under the expectation of inventory reduction. For the main rapeseed oil contract, short positions should be reduced on dips. The support level of the OI main contract is 9350 - 9380, and the pressure level is 9900 - 9930 [3]. - **Palm Oil**: On Thursday, palm oil prices opened low and closed high, showing an overall weak trend. The over - expected production increase in Indonesia may offset the increase in biodiesel consumption, and the decline in international crude oil prices also weakens palm oil. As palm oil will enter the production - reduction season in November, the downward space is expected to be limited. In the short term, palm oil may bottom - out and fluctuate, and it is recommended to wait and see. The support level of the main palm oil contract is 8750 - 8780, and the pressure level is 9300 - 9350 [4]. - **Soybean Meal and Soybean No. 2**: On Thursday, soybean meal prices were firm. The Sino - US economic and trade negotiations are optimistic, and the export signal of US soybeans is positive, driving up CBOT soybeans. The export potential of South American soybeans is declining, and the cost end supports the price of soybean No. 2. The import cost of soybeans increases, and the oil mill's profit margin narrows. Soybean meal is expected to remain firm, and it is recommended to go long lightly in the short term. The support level of the main soybean meal contract is 2900 - 2930 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 3050 - 3100 yuan/ton. The support level of the main soybean No. 2 contract is 3600 - 3650 yuan/ton, and the pressure level is 3750 - 3810 yuan/ton [4]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: On Thursday, rapeseed meal prices rebounded slightly after the opening. The fundamentals have no significant changes, and it is slightly boosted by the rebound of soybean meal. The market is worried about the relaxation of Canadian rapeseed import policies. The current supply and demand of rapeseed meal are both weak, and the inventory is continuously decreasing. However, the demand in the fourth quarter is seasonally weak. Rapeseed meal is expected to fluctuate and consolidate, and it is recommended to wait and see. The support level of the RM main contract is 2280 - 2300, and the pressure level is 2450 - 2480 [4][5]. - **Corn and Corn Starch**: On Thursday, the prices continued to fluctuate weakly. The Sino - US trade negotiation results are in line with expectations, and the pressure of concentrated listing continues to suppress the market. In the domestic market, the new - season harvest is coming to an end, and the selling pressure is gradually releasing, while the downstream support is insufficient. It is recommended to hold short positions cautiously or consider the reverse spread opportunity of the corn 1 - 5 spread. For the corn 01 contract, the support range is 2000 - 2020, and the pressure range is 2180 - 2200. For the corn starch 01 contract, the support range is 2350 - 2360, and the pressure range is 2500 - 2520. It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money call options [5]. - **Soybean No. 1**: On Thursday, the price of soybean No. 1 stagnated and adjusted. The price of new - season soybeans in the Northeast market has risen steadily, but the purchasing enthusiasm of grain trading enterprises is low. The supply of Northeast soybeans is increasing, but there is a sentiment of reluctance to sell at the grass - roots level. The downstream purchasing enthusiasm has cooled slightly, and it is recommended to exit long positions. The pressure level of the soybean No. 1 01 contract is 4150 - 4200 yuan/ton, and the support level is 4000 - 4030 yuan/ton [6]. - **Peanuts**: On Thursday, the peanut futures price continued to oscillate weakly at the bottom. The market lacks positive themes. The new - season peanut planting area in 2025 increased by 4.01% year - on - year, but the yield in some areas of Henan may decline due to weather. With the increase in the listing volume of new - season peanuts, there is still pressure on spot and futures prices. It is recommended to hold long positions lightly. The support level of the 01 contract is 7900 - 7550, and the pressure level is 8020 - 8160 [6]. - **Pigs**: On Thursday, the futures price of pigs decreased with increasing positions. The market is still worried about the risk of pig hoarding. The spot price stopped falling this week, and the basis difference between the 2511 contract and the spot price is gradually narrowing. It is recommended to switch to a wait - and - see attitude. The reference range of the 01 contract is 11800 - 12000, and the pressure range is 12500 - 12800 [7][8]. - **Eggs**: On Thursday, the futures price of eggs rose first and then fell. The spot price stopped rising and adjusted after a continuous rebound. The overall consumption is gradually entering a seasonal peak season, and the egg production capacity is gradually being reduced. It is recommended to go long at low prices. The reference range of the 12 contract is 2900 - 3100, and the pressure range is 3300 - 3350 [8] 3. Summary According to the Directory First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendations a. Market Analysis - **Oilseeds**: Soybean No. 1 01 is expected to bottom out and stabilize, and it is recommended to exit long positions; soybean No. 2 01 is expected to fluctuate strongly, and it is recommended to wait and see; peanut 11 is expected to oscillate and adjust, and it is recommended to wait and see [11]. - **Oils**: Soybean oil 01 is expected to fluctuate weakly, and it is recommended to go short lightly; rapeseed oil 01 is expected to fluctuate weakly, and it is recommended to reduce short positions; palm 01 is expected to bottom out, and it is recommended to wait and see [11]. - **Protein**: Soybean meal 01 is expected to fluctuate strongly, and it is recommended to wait and see; rapeseed meal 01 is expected to oscillate and adjust, and it is recommended to wait and see [11]. - **Energy and By - products**: Corn 01 is expected to fluctuate weakly, and it is recommended to hold short positions; starch 01 is expected to fluctuate weakly, and it is recommended to hold short positions [11]. - **Livestock Farming**: Pig 01 is expected to find the bottom through oscillation, and it is recommended to switch to a wait - and - see attitude; egg 12 is expected to find the bottom through oscillation, and it is recommended to go long at low prices [11]. b. Commodity Arbitrage - **Cross - month Arbitrage**: For most varieties, the reference strategy is to wait and see, while for some, such as corn 5 - 1, it is recommended to go long at low prices, and for pig 1 - 3, it is recommended to do positive arbitrage at low prices [13]. - **Cross - variety Arbitrage**: Different cross - variety combinations have different reference strategies, including short - term operations, long - term operations, and waiting and seeing [13]. c. Basis and Spot - Futures Strategies - The report provides the spot prices, price changes, and basis changes of various varieties in different sectors, including oilseeds, oils, protein, energy and by - products, and livestock farming [14]. Second Part: Key Data Tracking Table a. Oils and Oilseeds - **Daily Data**: The report provides the import cost data of soybeans, rapeseeds, and palm oil from different origins and shipment periods, including arrival premiums, futures prices, CNF prices, and arrival - duty - paid prices [15][16]. - **Weekly Data**: It shows the inventory and operating rates of various oils and oilseeds, such as soybeans, rapeseeds, palm oil, and peanuts [17]. b. Feed - **Daily Data**: The import cost data of corn from Argentina and Brazil in different months are provided [17]. - **Weekly Data**: The weekly data of corn and corn starch, including consumption, inventory, operating rate, etc., are presented [18]. c. Livestock Farming - The daily and weekly data of pigs and eggs are provided, including spot prices, production and sales data, inventory data, and profit data [19][20][21][22]. Third Part: Fundamental Tracking Charts - **Livestock Farming End (Pigs, Eggs)**: Multiple charts show the price trends, inventory, and trading volume of pigs and eggs [23][27][29][30] - **Oils and Oilseeds**: Charts cover the production, inventory, trading volume, and price spreads of palm oil, soybean oil, and peanuts [32][40][49] - **Feed End**: Charts display the price trends, inventory, operating rate, and profit of corn, corn starch, rapeseed meal, and soybean meal [55][63][68][80] Fourth Part: Options Situation of Feed, Livestock Farming, and Oils - Charts show the historical volatility, trading volume, and open interest of options for various varieties [89][91] Fifth Part: Warehouse Receipt Situation of Feed, Livestock Farming, and Oils - Charts present the warehouse receipt quantities of various varieties, including rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, soybean oil, palm oil, peanuts, corn, corn starch, pigs, and eggs [97][100][105]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 28.073 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.92%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 129 million yuan, a decrease of 55.34% year-on-year, primarily due to asset impairment provisions totaling 175 million yuan [4][5] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 131 million yuan, 685 million yuan, and 733 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.14, 0.75, and 0.80 yuan [4][5] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 53.4 for 2025, 10.2 for 2026, and 9.6 for 2027, indicating a potential for growth [4][5] Summary by Sections Feed Business - The company's feed sales volume reached 1.26 million tons in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16%. The sales of pig feed, poultry feed, and ruminant feed increased by 13%, 18%, and 22% respectively. The total feed sales volume for 2025 is expected to exceed 4.5 million tons, up 15% year-on-year [5] - The net profit per ton for the feed business improved consistently, with figures of 70, 73, and 78 yuan for Q1, Q2, and Q3 respectively [5] Poultry and Swine Business - In the poultry segment, the company processed 720 million chickens in Q1-Q3 2025, with an expected total of 960 million for the year. The loss per chicken in Q3 was 0.2 yuan, which is better than the industry average [6] - In the swine segment, the company sold 1.26 million fattened pigs and 170,000 piglets in Q1-Q3 2025, with an expected total of 2 million pigs for the year. The cost per kilogram in Q3 was 14.2 yuan, with self-breeding costs at 13 yuan per kilogram [6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - For 2025, the company expects revenues of 38.629 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18.7%. The net profit is projected at 131 million yuan, reflecting a significant decrease from the previous year [7] - The gross margin is expected to be 4.8% in 2025, with a net margin of 0.3% [7] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 1.6% in 2025, improving to 7.5% by 2026 and 2027 [7]

Core Viewpoint - Haida Group is a leading feed enterprise in China, with strong R&D capabilities and a complete industry chain advantage in aquaculture and livestock feed sectors [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Haida Group achieved a revenue of 960.94 billion, ranking first in the industry, significantly higher than the second-ranked Guangdong Sea Feed's 49.97 billion [2] - The net profit for the same period was 43.63 billion, also ranking first in the industry, far exceeding the second-ranked Tianma Technology's 668.79 million [2] - The main business composition includes feed sales at 471.39 billion (80.13%), agricultural product sales at 97.35 billion (16.55%), trade business at 13.94 billion (2.37%), and other sales at 98.68 million (0.17%) [2] Group 2: Financial Health - As of Q3 2025, Haida Group's debt-to-asset ratio was 47.78%, lower than the previous year's 55.60% and the industry average of 56.54%, indicating good solvency [3] - The gross profit margin for the same period was 11.13%, slightly down from 11.33% year-on-year but still above the industry average of 10.28%, reflecting strong profitability [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 11.81% to 19,000, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per account increased by 13.39% to 87,600 [5] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Invesco Great Wall New Growth Mixed A, with notable changes in their holdings [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - Haida Group's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 13% year-on-year, with net profit rising by 14% [6][7] - The company plans to restructure its overseas feed, seed, and animal health businesses to Haida Holdings and list them on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to enhance management and financing capabilities [6] - The feed business is projected to reach over 50 million tons in total sales by 2030, indicating a stable long-term growth trajectory [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant increases in various financial metrics for the third quarter, indicating strong performance driven by improved sales prices and cost management in the pig farming sector [5]. Financial Data Summary - The company’s trading financial assets increased by 5.47 million yuan, a growth of 128.01%, primarily due to changes in the fair value of derivative investments [4]. - Accounts receivable rose by 921.44 million yuan, a 94.80% increase, attributed to a sales policy allowing customers credit [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 606.73 million yuan, a 395.89% rise, driven by higher sales prices and improved breeding costs [5]. - The net cash flow from investment activities increased by 639.61 million yuan, a 32.79% increase, mainly due to prior payments to related parties [5]. Shareholder Information - The company plans to increase transactions with related parties in 2025, including purchasing meat products worth approximately 70 million yuan and selling live pigs and meat products worth about 360 million yuan [7]. Other Important Matters - The company repurchased and canceled 23.3722 million restricted stock units on July 3, 2025 [8]. - A cash dividend of 0.241245 yuan per share was declared, totaling 108.62 million yuan, based on a total share capital of 4,502,570,853 shares [8]. - The conversion price for the company's convertible bonds was adjusted to 10.59 yuan per share following the cancellation of restricted stocks and the dividend distribution [8].

Company Summary - Tangrenshen announced a provision for asset impairment of approximately 178 million yuan, which includes inventory impairment of about 165 million yuan and accounts receivable credit impairment of approximately 12.78 million yuan. This impairment loss will be reflected in the company's profit and loss for the first nine months of 2025, reducing the total profit by about 178 million yuan [1][1][1] - For the first half of 2025, Tangrenshen's revenue composition is as follows: feed industry accounts for 60.25%, pig breeding industry accounts for 34.1%, meat industry accounts for 5.58%, and animal health industry accounts for 0.06% [1][1][1] - As of the report date, Tangrenshen's market capitalization is 6.8 billion yuan [1][1][1] Industry Context - The news highlights the financial challenges faced by the company, particularly in the context of asset impairment, which may reflect broader industry trends affecting profitability and operational efficiency [1][1][1]

Core Viewpoint - Boen Group, a well-known company in the domestic feed industry, focuses on the research, production, and sales of feed, showcasing strong technical research capabilities and product quality advantages [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Boen Group's revenue was 976 million yuan, ranking 8th among 10 companies in the industry, with the industry leader, He Feng Co., achieving 28.073 billion yuan [2] - The main business revenue from feed sales was 612 million yuan, accounting for 99.76% of total revenue, while other revenues were 1.4646 million yuan, making up 0.24% [2] - The net profit for the same period was -9.9611 million yuan, ranking 6th in the industry, with the industry leader, Tian Kang Biological, reporting a net profit of 505 million yuan [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Boen Group's debt-to-asset ratio was 29.93%, up from 19.95% year-on-year, which is lower than the industry average of 54.11%, indicating strong debt repayment capability [3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 12.47%, down from 14.04% year-on-year, but still above the industry average of 9.94%, reflecting good profitability [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 1.28% to 9,732, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder increased by 1.29% to 5,721.33 [5] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Noan Multi-Strategy Mixed A ranked fourth with 1.1246 million shares, an increase of 288,000 shares from the previous period [5]

Core Insights - Guangdong Yuehai Feed Group Co., Ltd. has officially launched its subsidiary, Vietnam Yuehai Feed Co., Ltd., marking a significant step in the Southeast Asian market and reinforcing its global strategy [1][2] - The company reported a remarkable performance in 2025, achieving a 216.48% year-on-year increase in profit attributable to the listed company in the third quarter, with new factories opening to further boost sales [1] - The chairman emphasized the commitment to enhancing aquaculture standards in Vietnam and Southeast Asia, aiming for a 10% increase in growth speed, a 10% reduction in feed conversion ratio, and a 50% decrease in loss rates [1] Company Developments - Vietnam Yuehai Feed has gained increasing trust and support from local aquaculture farmers, driven by its "three highs and three lows" technical strategy and a robust quality assurance system [2] - The first phase of the Vietnam Yuehai facility, located in Vinh Long Province, has an investment of approximately 140 million yuan, featuring production lines with a capacity of over 100,000 tons annually, with plans to expand to 200,000 tons [2] - A wealth forum was held during the opening, resulting in strategic cooperation agreements totaling 80,600 tons, with 22,800 tons of orders secured, strengthening the company's market foundation [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Andy Su reported a revenue of 4.419 billion yuan for the third quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.39%, while net profit decreased by 36.77% to 250 million yuan [1] - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a revenue of 12.931 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.67%, but net profit slightly declined by 1.29% to 990 million yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - New Hope (000876) reported its Q3 2025 results, showing a mixed performance with revenue growth but a significant decline in net profit [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached 28.879 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.51% [1] - Q3 net profit was 5.1255 million yuan, a dramatic year-on-year decrease of 99.63% [1] - For the first three quarters, total revenue was 80.504 billion yuan, up 4.27% year-on-year [1] - Net profit for the first three quarters was 760 million yuan, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 395.89% [1] Factors Influencing Performance - The increase in net profit for the first three quarters was primarily due to higher sales prices of live pigs compared to the same period last year, along with continuous improvement in breeding costs [1] - The pig industry experienced a reduction in losses year-on-year, and the feed business also saw an increase in profits compared to the previous year [1]