11月19日｜沪金涨1.23%，沪银涨2.76%，沪铜涨0.66%，铁矿涨0.06%，螺纹跌0.52%，焦煤跌近1%， 玻璃跌0.69%，原油跌1.55%。 本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) agricultural futures showed mixed performance on November 18, with fluctuations in various commodity prices [1] Group 1: Sugar Futures - Raw sugar futures decreased by 0.61%, closing at 14.71 cents per pound [1] Group 2: Cotton Futures - Cotton futures increased by 0.59%, closing at 64.44 cents per pound [1] Group 3: Cocoa Futures - Cocoa futures fell by 0.37%, closing at $5,416.00 per ton [1] Group 4: Coffee Futures - Coffee futures rose by 2.10%, closing at 384.50 cents per pound [1]

Core Insights - The Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) reported that the first anniversary of the listing of log futures and options has shown stable market operations and significant participation from industry clients, aiding in price risk management and standardization of spot trade [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Log futures and options have seen steady growth in trading volume, with a total of approximately 7.87 million contracts traded and a transaction value of about 464 billion yuan, averaging 32,400 contracts traded daily [1] - The main log futures contract has decreased by approximately 7.5% this year, while the CFR price has dropped by about 8.3%, indicating a growing correlation between futures and spot prices [2] Group 2: Industry Impact - The introduction of log futures has contributed to the high-quality development of China's forestry sector by addressing issues such as low market transparency and unclear pricing mechanisms [3] - Some enterprises and farmers in the southwestern region have begun to adopt grading and pricing standards based on delivery standards since the listing of log futures, promoting the normalization and transparency of the domestic log market [3]

Group 1: Futures Market Overview - The total amount of gold futures at the Shanghai Futures Exchange is 90,426 kilograms, with no change from the previous day [1][2] - The main gold futures contract opened at 932.26 CNY per gram, reaching a high of 935.52 CNY and a low of 917.58 CNY, currently trading at 918.52 CNY, reflecting a decline of 1.33% [1] - Trading volume for the day is reported at 236,915 contracts, with open interest at 90,872 contracts, showing a decrease of 10,851 contracts in daily open interest [1] Group 2: Economic Commentary - Former President Trump expressed confidence in winning the 2024 presidential election, stating that if Kamala Harris had been elected, the U.S. economy would be in a "disastrous" state [2] - Trump highlighted concerns over rising welfare spending, increasing prices, and the growth of government jobs at the expense of value-creating positions, predicting an economic disaster and potential national bankruptcy [2] - He claimed that the U.S. could have seen a capital inflow of 20 trillion USD but is instead facing a capital outflow of 10 trillion USD [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) agricultural futures showed mixed performance on November 17, with fluctuations in various commodity prices [1] Group 1: Sugar Market - Raw sugar futures decreased by 1.40%, closing at 14.75 cents per pound [1] Group 2: Cotton Market - Cotton futures experienced a slight increase of 0.12%, closing at 64.21 cents per pound [1] Group 3: Cocoa Market - Cocoa futures fell by 1.03%, ending at $5,401.00 per ton [1] Group 4: Coffee Market - Coffee futures rose by 1.03%, closing at 377.85 cents per pound [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing financial battle between the US dollar and the Chinese yuan, highlighting how the recent ban on non-dollar metal trading in London may inadvertently strengthen the yuan's position in global metal transactions [1][3]. Group 1: Historical Context - The article draws parallels between the current situation and the decline of the British pound in the 1950s, where attempts to enforce currency dominance through administrative measures backfired, leading to the rise of the dollar as the primary global currency [5][10]. - The dollar's dominance has been built on three pillars: settlement, reserve, and pricing power, with pricing being a significant source of revenue [12][18]. Group 2: Current Developments - The Shanghai Futures Exchange recently reported that yuan-denominated copper futures have reached the highest global position, while the London Metal Exchange (LME) has halted all non-dollar metal options trading, indicating a desperate attempt to maintain dollar dominance [8][10]. - The yuan's share in global metal pricing has surged by 900% over three years, with countries like Russia and those in the Middle East increasingly signing long-term contracts in yuan [8][18]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the LME's ban, the Shanghai Futures Exchange saw a significant increase in trading volume, while dollar-denominated transactions on the LME stagnated, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards yuan pricing [23][25]. - The Dubai Commodity Exchange announced plans to launch yuan-denominated copper futures, further solidifying the yuan's position in the market [25][30]. Group 4: Future Implications - The article suggests that the dollar's attempts to maintain its hegemony through financial restrictions may lead to its own decline, as the yuan's real demand in the industrial sector becomes more prominent [32][34]. - The shift towards yuan-denominated transactions is seen as a natural evolution of the global industrial landscape, with the yuan's rise being supported by actual market needs rather than speculative financial maneuvers [36].

自11月10日起，人民币将正式退出伦敦金属交易所的期货合约交易。单看这一事件或许波澜不惊，但结合美国 12 月即将启动的量化宽松政策，以及刚 组建的十国关键矿产联盟来看，这本质是一场针对人民币定价权的精准狙击，且时间节点的把控堪称刻意。 大宗商品的"定价权"是什么？它并非一个单一的权力，而是一套由交易规则、货币流动性与实物控制权共同构成的三足鼎立的权力结构。 近期，国际上看似孤立的三件事，恰恰是在这三个维度上，清晰地勾勒出一场深刻博弈的轮廓，其核心指向未来全球经济秩序中美元与人民币的地位之 争。 定价权的基石，是对被全球认可的交易规则和金融工具的掌控，伦敦金属交易所（LME）正是这一"制度层"的传统主导者，其价格影响着全球超八成的 有色金属贸易。 更值得注意的是，这一决策发生在港交所全资控股的LME内部，却带有英国金融行为监管局（FCA）干预的痕迹。这揭示了金融平台的归属权与其规则 制定权，在地缘政治面前的复杂分离，构建一个具备全球公信力的新制度，面临的正是这种根深蒂固的壁垒。 中国同样在物理层展开布局，近期在西昆仑带发现的巨大锂资源潜力，以及国内锂产量超过30%的增幅，都意在增强供应链的自主权。这场博弈的时 ...

Core Viewpoint - The suspension of RMB futures trading by the London Metal Exchange (LME) is perceived as a disconnect from market realities, as trading volumes for RMB-denominated copper contracts have significantly increased, contradicting LME's justification of low liquidity [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The daily trading volume of RMB-denominated copper contracts reached 357,000 lots at the beginning of 2024, increasing to 482,000 lots by mid-2025, representing a growth of over 35% [1]. - The LME's decision coincides with a period of increasing international activity of the RMB in settlements, highlighting China's dominant position as the largest consumer of copper (53%), aluminum (57%), and rare earths (68%) [2]. Group 2: Global Trade Shifts - More mineral-exporting countries are shifting towards RMB settlements, as rejecting the RMB equates to rejecting the market [2]. - The rise in RMB settlements is not limited to minerals; it is also observed in sectors like iron ore from Australia and soybeans from Brazil, with Japanese companies leveraging RMB transactions to boost sales in China [4]. Group 3: Geopolitical Implications - The U.S. aims to monopolize mineral pricing through a "critical minerals alliance," reminiscent of the "petrodollar" system, but the rules of the game have changed in the era of renewable energy [4]. - The emergence of a buyer's market is reshaping global trade dynamics, with China's position as the largest buyer providing a natural advantage for the RMB [4]. - The internationalization of the RMB is progressing along the trajectory of trade flows, indicating an unstoppable momentum in the market [4].

Core Viewpoint - The London Metal Exchange (LME) has decided to stop all non-USD settled futures trading, effectively sidelining currencies like the RMB and Euro, which reflects a deeper political maneuver to maintain USD dominance in global markets [3][5][9]. Group 1: Impact on Currencies - The LME's decision primarily affects non-USD currencies, particularly the RMB and Euro, reinforcing the USD's position in international trade [5][9]. - This move is seen as a defense of USD hegemony amid a global trend towards "de-dollarization," with China pushing for greater international pricing power for the RMB [7][13]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - By excluding non-USD transactions, the LME risks driving trading volume away to other markets, such as the Shanghai Futures Exchange, which allows RMB pricing [11][19]. - The LME's actions may inadvertently accelerate the RMB's push towards financial autonomy and increase its presence in global commodity pricing [13][21]. Group 3: Future Outlook - In the short term, the RMB may face challenges in international metal trading, but this could stimulate a shift towards platforms that are more accommodating to RMB transactions [17][19]. - The LME's authority and relevance in the global market may decline as the trend of de-dollarization continues, potentially leading to a loss of market share to Asian exchanges [19][21].

新华财经北京11月14日电 （吴郑思）11月13日，纽约贵金属市场高位宽幅波动。早盘贵金属期价一度 强势冲高，其中银价更是刷新历史新高。但随着日内美股大幅下挫，贵金属也同步走低。 截至收盘时，纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2025年12月黄金期价当日下跌26.9美元，收于 每盎司4174.5美元，跌幅为0.64%。盘中金价高点触及4250美元。 分析人士认为，在美国政府本轮停摆结束之后，贵金属市场也遭遇了"买入预期、卖出事实"的抛售。同 时，对美联储12月能否继续降息，市场也存在疑虑，这也限制了贵金属的短期买盘。 转自：新华财经 此外，纽约股市三大股指13日全线大幅下挫，也给贵金属市场带来额外的抛售压力。 消息面上，黄金创纪录的上涨也在刺激金矿的产出。南非统计局13日公布的数据显示，南非9月份黄金 产量同比增长5.9%，此前8月同比下滑3.6%。 当天12月交割的白银期货价格下跌100美分，收于每盎司52.230美元，跌幅为1.88%。盘中银价刷新历史 新高至54.415美元，但其后大幅回落，日内波动超4%。 编辑：郭洲洋 在美联储主席鲍威尔10月会后表示"12月降息并非板上钉钉"之后，美联储内部的分 ...