Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights that despite uncertainties in the Singapore real estate market, there are positive factors that provide support [1][2] - Companies are adopting various leasing strategies, including renewal, relocation, expansion, and upgrading, which reflect the dynamic changes in the market [1] - The report suggests that an increase in relocation indicates changing demand for different property types and locations, while a high renewal rate suggests satisfaction with current spaces [1] Group 2: Economic Overview - Singapore's GDP growth is projected to decelerate to 1-3% in 2025, down from 4.0% in 2024, influenced by external challenges such as protectionist policies and geopolitical tensions [9][10] - Positive factors supporting growth include a stable labor market and potential government fiscal support due to significant national events in 2025 [10][11] - The Urban Redevelopment Authority's Draft Master Plan 2025 is expected to outline land use and development strategies for the next 10-15 years, impacting the real estate landscape [11] Group 3: Office Market - The office market in Singapore saw improved net absorption in 2024, reaching 1.91 million sq. ft., the highest since 2017, driven by new Grade A office developments [28] - Leasing momentum may slow in 2025 due to anticipated economic deceleration, with businesses likely to prefer lease renewals over relocations [29] - Vacancy rates for Core CBD (Grade A) offices decreased to 4.9% by the end of 2024, indicating a flight to quality trend [30] Group 4: Industrial & Logistics - E-commerce and logistics sectors remain resilient, accounting for 39% of leasing demand in 2024, driven by a strong appetite for modern logistics facilities [46] - The Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone (JS-SEZ) initiative is expected to attract significant investments while allowing firms to retain core operations in Singapore [49][50] - New warehouse supply is projected at 4.92 million sq. ft. in 2025, which is about 3.9% of existing stock, alleviating downward pressure on occupancy rates [53] Group 5: Retail Market - Tourism recovery is expected to continue in 2025, supported by increased flight capacity and new attractions, which will positively impact retail demand [62][63] - Limited future retail supply, estimated at 0.50 million sq. ft. in 2025, is expected to support retail rents [70] - Overall average retail prime rents are projected to grow by 2-3% in 2025, recovering to pre-pandemic levels due to tourism recovery and limited new supply [74]

证券代码：601086 证券简称：国芳集团 公告编号：2025-026 甘肃国芳工贸（集团）股份有限公司 2025 年第一季度主要经营数据的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 甘肃国芳工贸（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）根据上海证券交 易所《上市公司行业信息披露指引第五号——零售》、《关于做好主板上市公司 2025 年第一季度报告披露工作的通知》的相关要求，现将 2025 年第一季度末门 店变动情况及主要经营数据公告如下： 一、已开业门店分布及变动情况 （一）控股公司开设的门店分布及变动情况 截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日，公司在甘肃地区、宁夏地区、青海地区共拥有已运 营门店 11 家，其中：百货业态为主的门店 7 家，分别为兰州东方红广场店、白 银世贸中心店、宁夏购物广场店、张掖购物广场店、西宁国芳购物中心、兰州国 芳 G99 购物中心、金昌国芳广场；超市 4 家，分别为综超广场店、综超曦华源 店、综超七里河店、综超皋兰店。公司经营面积共 36.12 万平方米，具体情况如 下： | 地区 ...

Core Insights - The central government emphasizes the need to implement urban renewal actions and improve the real estate market stability through various measures, including enhancing high-quality housing supply and optimizing existing property acquisition policies [1] Group 1: Positive Changes in the Real Estate Market - Since September 2024, a series of monetary policy tools have been introduced to stabilize the real estate market, leading to a noticeable increase in market activity, with a total of 3.83 million residential transactions in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10% [1] - The goal of stabilizing the real estate market has been initially achieved, although the foundation remains fragile [1] Group 2: Structural Changes in the Market - There is a significant divergence in the real estate market across different cities, with core cities experiencing a higher proportion of residential transactions, particularly in first-tier cities, while third-tier cities see minimal activity [2] - The mismatch between land resources and population distribution over the past two decades has led to a tight supply-demand relationship in major cities, while many smaller cities face oversupply issues [2] Group 3: Changes in Transaction Types - The proportion of second-hand housing transactions has increased, while new housing transactions have decreased, with new commodity housing transfer registrations down by 12.1% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [4] - The implementation of the "mortgage transfer" system has stimulated second-hand housing transactions, with 71,000 cases processed in Q1 2025, involving an amount of 71.7 billion yuan, reflecting a 163% increase in monthly average processing volume [4] Group 4: Divergence Between Residential and Commercial Properties - While the residential market shows signs of stabilization, the office and commercial property sectors continue to struggle, with average rental prices for office spaces in major cities declining by 0.73% in Q1 2025 [5][6] - The oversupply of office spaces is linked to local governments prioritizing industrial and commercial land use over residential land, exacerbating the mismatch in land resources across different industries [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai housing market is experiencing unprecedented challenges, with both property prices and rents declining, leading to significant stress for landlords [2] Group 1: Challenges Faced by Different Types of Landlords - First-time homebuyers are engaging in a "cutting losses" competition, with increased listings and price reductions to attract buyers, yet many properties remain unsold for over a year [3] - Owners of newer properties are maintaining their prices, with some even attempting to raise them, but face stagnant sales as middle-class buyers hesitate and the market remains cautious [4] - Secondary landlords are experiencing a drastic drop in rental income, with rents returning to 2019 levels after peaking in 2022, leading to a significant reduction in their numbers [5] Group 2: Landlord Decisions in Response to Market Conditions - Landlords are making various choices, such as selling their homes to rent, opting for rental exchanges to reduce costs, or downsizing to alleviate financial pressure [6] - These decisions reflect differing views on the future of the housing market, with some believing in a lack of investment value while others see potential for recovery [6] Group 3: Macro Perspective on the Housing Market - The housing market is under pressure from high listing volumes and the impact of new housing developments, which threaten the demand for older properties [7] - The market is expected to become more segmented, with high-quality properties gaining interest while lower-quality ones may struggle to attract buyers [7] Group 4: Conclusion on Market Adaptation - The current housing market requires landlords to adapt their strategies based on market dynamics, policy changes, and buyer sentiment to survive and find new opportunities [9] - The era of uniformly rising property values is over, and landlords must focus on enhancing property quality and competitiveness to navigate future challenges [9]

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Beihigh New Co., Ltd. announced a related party transaction involving a lease agreement between its wholly-owned subsidiary, Shanghai Kaichuang Enterprise Development Co., Ltd., and Shanghai Shutong Liangu Enterprise Management Service Co., Ltd., which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of its controlling shareholder, Shanghai Beihigh Group Co., Ltd. The total rent for the leased properties is approximately RMB 9.44 million over three years [1][2][4]. Transaction Overview - The lease agreement includes two properties located in Jing'an District, Shanghai, with a total area of 2,223.64 square meters. The first property (Property One) has an area of 1,822.55 square meters and a total rent of RMB 7,625,366.95, while the second property (Property Two) has an area of 401.09 square meters with a total rent of RMB 1,815,734.43 [3][10]. - The lease term for Property One is from May 1, 2025, to April 30, 2028, and for Property Two from April 15, 2025, to April 14, 2028 [3][10]. Related Party Transaction - The transaction is classified as a related party transaction due to the relationship between the parties involved. The board of directors approved the transaction unanimously, with related directors abstaining from the vote [4][14]. - The transaction does not constitute a major asset restructuring as defined by the relevant regulations and does not require shareholder approval [2][4]. Related Party Information - Shanghai Shutong Liangu Enterprise Management Service Co., Ltd. was established on September 30, 2024, with a registered capital of RMB 20 million. The company aims to promote the construction of a national blockchain application demonstration zone [6][5]. - As of December 31, 2024, the total assets of Shutong Liangu were approximately RMB 1 million, with a net asset value of approximately RMB 999,980. The company reported no revenue and a slight net loss for the year [6]. Impact on Company - The lease agreement is considered a normal business activity and is not expected to affect the company's independence or financial performance negatively. The pricing is deemed reasonable and fair, adhering to market principles [13][15].

一批携带家庭搬迁至香港的高级管理人才选择租赁集中在山顶及半山区的豪宅(租金预算每月10万至20 万港元)。服务式住宅市场正涌现新一波需求，客源主要来自中国大陆新兴产业的企业家。随着香港租 金竞争力提升(过去三年新加坡租金飙升30%)，预计2025年第一季度将出现新加坡回流客源。 第一太平戴维斯研究及顾问谘询部董事汤卓轩表示："除了内地人才之外，外籍人士及在对冲基金和加 密货币领域工作的内地人士，最近也推动了租赁需求的增长，他们各自展现出不同的住房偏好。" 第一太平戴维斯香港住宅服务部董事李宝芳称："2024年第四季度，酒店式公寓市场迎来了新一波需 求，主要来自在新兴行业积累了财富的中国大陆企业家。这些人青睐酒店式公寓灵活的租赁条款。有些 人愿意每月花费超过10万港元租赁四季酒店、瑰丽酒店等高端酒店式公寓，租期为三到六个月，因为他 们经常因商务原因往返中国大陆及其他亚洲国家。" 智通财经APP获悉，第一太平戴维斯最新发表的《2025年3月香港住宅租赁市场报告》指出，香港租赁 市场正经历结构性转变： 对冲基金及加密货币行业扩张，抵销传统需求的疲软。对冲基金专业人士(租 金预算每月6万至8万港元)及内地加密货币行业 ...

Financial Data and Key Indicators Changes - The group's underlying profit for the six months ended December 31, 2024, was approximately HKD 10.5 billion, representing a 17.5% year-on-year increase, primarily due to higher property development profit from Hong Kong [5] - Reported profit decreased by 17.7% year-on-year to HKD 7.5 billion, influenced by a net revaluation loss of around HKD 2 billion on investment properties [5] - Underlying earnings per share rose by 17.5% to HKD 3.61, while reported earnings per share fell by 17.7% to HKD 2.6 [6] - The net debt as of December 2024 was HKD 107.8 billion, with a net gearing ratio of 17.8%, down from 18.3% [8] Business Segment Performance Changes - Property development profit increased by 22.8% to approximately RMB 2.5 billion, mainly due to higher revenue from property development in Hong Kong [6] - Net rental income decreased by 3.5% to around HKD 9 billion, with declines in both Hong Kong and Mainland portfolios [7] - Hotel operating profit dropped to BRL 377 million from BRL 430 million, a decrease of 12% year-on-year [30] Market Data and Key Indicators Changes - The group's total land bank in Hong Kong was about 56.9 million square feet, with 37.6 million square feet completed and 19.3 million square feet under development [12] - In Hong Kong, contracted sales increased by 344% year-on-year to about HKD 16 billion, driven by several key projects [15] - The Mainland's recognized property sales decreased by 61% year-on-year to about RMB 617 million, primarily due to lower sales volume of residential units [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The group aims to maintain prudent financial management, focusing on cash flow management, strict control of construction CapEx, and strengthening recurring income from property investments [9][10] - The company plans to launch new projects when ready and sell unsold residential units and non-core properties [10] - The group is committed to enhancing its property investment portfolio's competitiveness through asset enhancement initiatives and maintaining close relationships with tenants [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed cautious optimism for the Hong Kong residential market, citing lower mortgage rates and a robust rental market [58] - For the Mainland, the management noted that supportive policies are expected to drive domestic consumption and restore buyer confidence in the property market [35] - The company remains confident in achieving its sales target of RMB 4 billion for the financial year 2025, with several new launches planned [66] Other Important Information - The group has achieved a 25% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions for key commercial buildings ahead of schedule and aims for a further 35% reduction by 2029 [31] - The company is developing Hong Kong's first privately funded solar farm, expected to be completed in 2025 [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for Hong Kong residential home prices - Management noted that lower mortgage rates are expected to continue, which may support the residential market despite high supply levels [58] Question: Revision of Hong Kong property contract sales - Management indicated that they are confident in achieving their sales targets and have several new projects launching in the upcoming months [66] Question: Profit margin outlook for property development in Hong Kong - Management acknowledged that profit margins have been affected but expressed confidence in achieving high unit prices for premium projects [61] Question: Outlook for Mainland China residential demand - Management highlighted a polarization in the market, with strong sales in Tier one and Tier two cities, supported by government policies [63] Question: Concerns about liquidity in the sector - Management reassured that the company maintains a strong financial position with ample undrawn bank lines, mitigating potential risks [78] Question: Dividend policy considerations - Management confirmed that the dividend policy will remain at 40% to 50% of earnings per share [79] Question: Risk of further cap rate expansion - Management believes that further cap rate expansion is unlikely due to decreasing interest rates [80]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The group's turnover improved year on year by 6.2% in 2024, driven by the ramp-up of Lee Gardens Shanghai [17] - Turnover of the Hong Kong retail portfolio increased by 9.5% to HKD 1,680 million, with an occupancy rate of 92% [18] - The Hong Kong office portfolio turnover declined by 1.5% to HKD 440 million, maintaining a stable occupancy rate of 90% [18] - The residential leasing portfolio saw a turnover increase of 6.3% and occupancy rose to 73% [18] - Shareholders' fund and NAV per share declined by 1.7% and 1.8% respectively, mainly due to fair value measurement of investment property [25] - Full year dividend for 2024 remained stable at HKD 1.08 [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail segment in Hong Kong experienced a positive rental reversion rate, attributed to asset enhancement work and strong tenant sales potential [19][20] - Lee Gardens Shanghai achieved a strong ramp-up, securing commitments for 70% of office space by quality tenants [15] - The flex office business maintained high occupancy in the Greater Bay Area [15] - The first phase of transformation at Hyacin Place welcomed over 30 international and local brands [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Daily traffic to Lee Gardens exceeded 100,000 visitors, indicating strong market engagement [9] - The retail sales performance in January showed mid single-digit percentage growth year on year, reflecting improved market sentiment [37][62] - Footfall also increased by mid single-digit percentage year on year [38] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on rejuvenating the Lee Gardens precinct, enhancing luxury offerings, and diversifying tenant mix to adapt to changing consumer preferences [7][8][10] - A strategic partnership with the Hong Kong Academy of Performing Arts aims to promote diverse art and cultural experiences [14] - The company plans to complete the integrated pedestrian walkway system by 2026, enhancing connectivity in the Lee Gardens area [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in Hong Kong's economic future and the company's strategic direction, emphasizing the importance of innovation in retail [4][6] - The company is cautiously optimistic about future tenant sales growth, despite ongoing market uncertainties [41] - Management highlighted the need for a diversified tenant base to remain resilient in the current market [24] Other Important Information - The company secured an HKD 8 billion syndicated loan from 20 leading banks, providing a healthy buffer for refinancing activities [28] - Green and sustainable finance accounted for 40% of the current debt profile, reflecting the company's commitment to sustainability initiatives [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you comment on tenant sales performance in the second half of last year and the Chinese New Year this year? - Management noted that Hong Kong retail sales were down 7% last year, but the company performed slightly better, with significant improvement in the second half of 2024 [35][36] Question: What is the magnitude of positive retail rental reversion last year? - The average rental reversion was around a high single-digit percentage, with a positive trend throughout 2024 [39] Question: How much of the 35% retail leases expiring have been locked in? - Management did not provide specific figures but indicated ongoing negotiations and expectations for positive reversion [43] Question: What are the company's thoughts on DPS and gearing levels moving forward? - Management expressed a commitment to maintaining stable dividends while managing CapEx and gearing levels cautiously [42][46] Question: Can you elaborate on the types of tenants being introduced? - The company is diversifying its tenant mix to include lifestyle brands, fine dining, and service trades, focusing on younger demographics [50][54] Question: What is the targeted profile of office tenants for Lee Garden 8? - The company aims to attract multinational companies and those seeking high-standard sustainable buildings, with a focus on co-working and service trades [65][66]