大宗商品研究 能源化工研发报告 尿素日报 2025 年 5 月 21 日 尿素日报 【市场回顾】 【逻辑分析】 今日，市场情绪继续乏力，国内主流地区尿素现货出厂报价稳中下探，成交一般。 山东地区主流出厂报价稳中回落，市场情绪表现一般，工业复合肥开工率降至低位，原 料库存充裕，成品库存偏高，基层订单稀少，刚需补货为主，农业继续刚需采购，贸易 商出货为主，新单成交一般，代发告罄，预计出厂报价下跌为主；河南地区市场情绪偏 低，出厂报价坚挺，贸易商出货，收单量减少，成交乏力，待发充裕，预计出厂报价坚 挺为主。交割区周边区域出厂价稳中下跌，区内市场氛围表现一般，东北地区春耕结束， 交投情绪一般，农业刚需采购，期现商和贸易商低价出货，外发订单量下滑，新单成交 受阻，待发消耗，预计出厂价跟跌为主。检修装置回归，日均产量维持在 20 万吨附近， 位于同期最高水平。需求端，近期，相关部门召集尿素生产企业及协会开会讨论当前尿 素出口可行性，相关具体细节已经公布，当前国内外价差较大，关注国际价格变动对国 内影响。华中、华北地区复合肥生产积极性偏低，基层对高价货抵制，复合肥厂开工率 高位回落，尿素库存可用天数在一周后，对原料采购情绪 ...

Meeting Details - The meeting was held on May 21, 2025, at 14:30, with online voting available throughout the day [1] - A total of 436 shareholders participated, representing 29,042,276 shares through online voting, which is 3.8308% of the total voting shares [1][2] Voting Results - The total votes in favor of the proposals amounted to 204,784,705 shares, representing 0.1809% of the total valid voting shares [2] - For small shareholders, the votes in favor were 22,733,905 shares, which is 1.2292% of the small shareholders' valid voting rights [2] - The overall votes in favor reached 206,053,905 shares, accounting for 0.1975% of the total valid voting shares [2] Additional Voting Outcomes - The votes in favor from small shareholders totaled 24,003,105 shares, representing 1.3422% of their valid voting rights [3] - The total votes in favor increased to 207,856,651 shares, which is 0.2852% of the total valid voting shares [3] - Small shareholders voted in favor with 25,805,851 shares, accounting for 1.9382% of their valid voting rights [4] Legal Compliance - The legal opinions confirm that the qualifications of the conveners and the voting procedures comply with legal and regulatory requirements [5]

【冠通研究】 成交趋缓，盘面小幅波动 制作日期：2025 年 5 月 21 日 【策略分析】 尿素今日高开低走日内震荡上行。上游工厂报价稳中下移，新单成交跟进 缓慢，市场观望情绪浓厚。供应端，本周产量继续维持 20 万吨日产波动，新疆 天运、锦疆临时停车，泉盛恢复产出，日产表现为小幅下降。出口政策下，出 口时间为第一阶段 2025 年 5-7 月，第二阶段 2025 年 8-9 月，所有出口业务须 于 2025 年 10 月 15 日前完成报关手续；实行产地法检制度。需求端，农业经销 商目前备肥谨慎，暂时未到集中备肥阶段。复合肥工厂提货有所好转，目前处 于夏季肥生产阶段，开工率回升，预计夏季肥需求阶段后，五月底六月初，生 产将逐渐停止，届时开工率有所下滑，对尿素需求支撑转弱。库存端口本期小 幅累库，需求端小幅走弱，市场对出口消息反映下，港口库存小幅增加，但为 避免提前集港，将进行厂检。整体来说，目前盘面情绪以需求旺季支撑为逻 辑，市场中短期依然震荡偏多，关注后期农需备肥情况，后续随着需求季节逐 渐结束，行情或将转弱。 【期现行情】 现货方面：上游工厂报价稳中下移，新单成交跟进缓慢，市场观望情绪浓厚。 山东、河 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hong Sifang, a subsidiary of China Salt Group, plans to invest approximately 1.49 billion yuan to establish a new production base for chemical new materials and fertilizers in Suizhou, Hubei Province, aiming to upgrade its production capabilities and improve efficiency [1][2]. Investment and Project Details - The investment project involves the construction of a new production base covering an area of about 350 acres [1]. - The funding for the project will come from the self-owned or self-raised funds of China Salt Red Power Ecological Technology Co., Ltd., with no detailed investment arrangements currently available [1]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.62%, and a net profit of 93.17 million yuan, down 41.16% [2]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 919 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, but the net profit was 21.13 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 1.62% [3]. Stock Performance - The company's stock price experienced significant volatility post-IPO, with an initial surge from 7.98 yuan to a peak of 188 yuan on the first trading day, marking an increase of 1917.42% [4]. - As of May 20, the stock price closed at 44.61 yuan, representing a decline of 72.29% since its listing [5].

2025 年 5 月 21 日 行业研究 新消费下的包装升级，持续看好 MXD6 产业链 ——石化化工交运行业日报第 66 期（20250520） 要点 我国内需呈现出较高的韧性，我们看好新消费下的包装升级发展机遇。根据 国家统计局发布社消数据，2025 年 4 月社会消费品零售总额为 3.72 万亿 元，同比增长 5.1%，增速比 3 月下降 0.8 个百分点。1-4 月，社会消费品零 售总额为 16.18 万亿元，同比增长 4.7%，增速比上年同期上升 0.6 个百分 点。我国内需呈现出较高的韧性，叠加近期我国持续出台多项提振消费等政 策，我们看好新消费细分赛道的发展机遇。在中国消费结构加速升级的大背 景下，产品包装也在持续升级革新。受包装材料轻量化和高性能化趋势驱 动，高阻隔包装薄膜以其有效实现阻隔氧气和水等物质的功能，延长产品的 保质期和基本性能，在食品、医药、精密仪器及精细化学制品等领域应用广 泛。其中，24 年食品和饮料领域占据阻隔包装材料下游市场的最大份额，占 比约为 48.13%，医药领域的市场份额约为 24.35%。 2030 年全球高阻隔包装薄膜市场规模有望突破千亿元，PVDC、EVOH、 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hubei Yihua has received preliminary approval from the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) for a major asset restructuring plan, which involves acquiring 100% equity of Yichang New Investment from its controlling shareholder, Yihua Group, for 3.208 billion yuan [1][2][3]. Group 1: Asset Acquisition Details - The acquisition aims to resolve industry competition issues and enhance the company's asset quality and profitability [1][2]. - Upon completion, Hubei Yihua's control over Xinjiang Yihua will increase from 35.597% to 75% [1][3]. - The transaction is part of a broader strategy to focus on core business areas and improve production capacity [1][4]. Group 2: Business Operations and Financials - Hubei Yihua's main business includes the production and sale of fertilizers and chemical products, with projected capacities for 2024 being 1.56 million tons/year for urea, 1.26 million tons/year for diammonium phosphate, and 840,000 tons/year for PVC [2][3]. - The restructuring will add significant production capacity, including 600,000 tons of urea, 300,000 tons of PVC, 250,000 tons of caustic soda, and 30 million tons of coal [3][4]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - The company has invested over 5 billion yuan in strategic transformation over the past three years, focusing on enhancing core competitiveness through the development of two major industrial chains [5]. - Yihua Group plans to increase its stake in Hubei Yihua by investing between 200 million and 400 million yuan within six months, reflecting confidence in the company's future [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - China Heart Heart Fertilizer reported a mixed performance in Q1, with revenue growth but a significant decline in net profit, indicating challenges in the fertilizer market and the need for strategic adjustments [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of approximately 5.846 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.4% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was about 198 million yuan, a decrease of 30.03% year-on-year, although it marked a recovery from a loss of approximately 74.64 million yuan in the previous quarter [1] Market Dynamics - The fertilizer market is experiencing a "first suppressed then rising" trend, with prices of coal chemical products remaining low in January and February, followed by a rebound in March due to spring farming demand and improved export expectations [1] - The overall gross margin increased by nearly 3 percentage points to 14% during the period, driven by rising prices of downstream products [1] Segment Performance - The fertilizer segment generated sales revenue of approximately 3.09 billion yuan, accounting for 53% of total revenue, making it the largest revenue source for the company [1] - The chemical segment achieved sales revenue of about 2.46 billion yuan, representing 42% of total revenue, while other segments contributed approximately 290 million yuan, or 5% [1] Product Development and Strategy - The company is enhancing the sales proportion of high-efficiency compound fertilizers, with a 6% increase in sales volume and a 9% increase in product prices, leading to a 2 percentage point rise in gross margin [2] - The gross margin for humic acid reached 25%, supported by ongoing research and development [2] Future Projects - Upcoming projects include a 600,000-ton synthetic ammonia and 1.2 million-ton slow-release fertilizer project in Jiangxi, expected to be operational by Q3 2025, and a 320,000-ton melamine and 500,000-ton high-efficiency compound fertilizer project in Xinjiang, projected for completion by the end of 2026 [2] Market Outlook - The company anticipates an increase in international potassium fertilizer and grain prices due to tariff policies, alongside a shift in domestic agriculture towards precision farming, which will enhance demand for high-efficiency fertilizers [3] - The company plans to leverage policy benefits for technological upgrades and focus on functional, customized products and differentiated services to strengthen its market position as a "proponent of efficient fertilizer use" [3]

Core Viewpoint - Russia has reiterated its strong support for international efforts to combat climate change, but its recent request for consultations does not involve genuine environmental measures, rather it criticizes the EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) and emissions trading scheme (EU ETS) as trade-restrictive and discriminatory measures [1][8] Group 1: Russia's Position on CBAM - Russia has expressed concerns that the EU's CBAM and EU ETS are being packaged as climate measures while actually serving to enhance EU competitiveness and attract additional investments [1][6] - The CBAM is seen as creating significant trade barriers for covered goods imported into the EU, complicating and increasing the costs of compliance for operators [3][6] - Russia highlights that the EU's requirements for CBAM compliance involve extensive documentation and proof of financial and operational capacity, which adds to the administrative burden on importers [4][5] Group 2: Implications of CBAM - The mechanism requires authorized CBAM declarants to purchase and surrender a certain number of CBAM certificates, effectively imposing additional "quasi-tariff" costs on imports from third countries [7][8] - The EU's emissions trading system sets a cap on greenhouse gas emissions, with free allocation of allowances for sectors deemed at risk of carbon leakage, which Russia argues is unfairly based on export performance [7][8] - The CBAM currently applies to industries such as cement, steel, aluminum, fertilizers, electricity, and hydrogen, which are selected due to their high carbon leakage risk and emission intensity [8]

参与方式一：网址 https://eseb.cn/1oqoVqHyfFS； 深圳诺普信作物科学股份有限公司公告 参与方式二：微信扫描下方小程序码； 证券代码：002215 证券简称：诺普信 公告编号：2025-022 深圳诺普信作物科学股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 深圳诺普信作物科学股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 4 月 25 日在巨潮资讯网上披露了《深圳诺普信作物科学股份有限公司 2024 年年度报告》 及《2024 年年度报告摘要》。为便于广大投资者更加全面深入的了解公司经营业 绩、发展战略等情况，公司定于 2025 年 5 月 26 日（星期一）下午 15:00-17:00 在 "价值在线"（www.ir-online.cn）小程序举行公司 2024 年度网上业绩说明会，与 投资者进行沟通和交流。 为广泛听取投资者的意见和建议，提前 48 小时向投资者征集问题，投资者可 通过下方两种参与方式提出所关注的问题，提问通道自发出公告之日起开放。 投资者依据提示，授权登入"价值在线"微信小程序，即可参与交流。 公司出 ...