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云铝股份大涨5.94%,成交额2.37亿元,主力资金净流入2085.84万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 08:56
Core Viewpoint - Yun Aluminum Co., Ltd. has shown significant stock performance and financial growth, indicating strong market interest and operational efficiency [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Yun Aluminum achieved a revenue of 29.078 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.98% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.768 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.88% [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 4.959 billion yuan, with 2.774 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - On September 12, Yun Aluminum's stock price increased by 5.94%, reaching 20.51 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 237 million yuan [1]. - The stock has appreciated by 53.63% year-to-date, with a 6.93% increase over the last five trading days and a 16.01% increase over the last 20 days [1]. - The company has a total market capitalization of 71.128 billion yuan [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 86,400, a rise of 16.95% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 14.50% to 40,124 shares [2]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 197 million shares, a decrease of 15.4112 million shares from the previous period [3].
豪美新材跌2.06%,成交额1.54亿元,主力资金净流入236.75万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 06:30
Company Overview - Guangdong Haomei New Materials Co., Ltd. is located in Qingyuan City, Guangdong Province, and was established on August 20, 2004. The company went public on May 18, 2020. Its main business involves the research, design, production, and sales of aluminum alloy profiles and system doors and windows [2] - The revenue composition of Haomei New Materials includes: 37.99% from industrial aluminum profiles, 26.84% from automotive lightweight aluminum profiles, 26.29% from construction aluminum profiles, 8.46% from system door and window sales, and 0.42% from other sources [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Haomei New Materials achieved operating revenue of 3.585 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.86%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 91.745 million yuan, a decrease of 25.74% year-on-year [2] - Since its A-share listing, Haomei New Materials has distributed a total of 181 million yuan in dividends, with 99.333 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Stock Performance - As of September 12, Haomei New Materials' stock price was 46.01 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 11.728 billion yuan. The stock has increased by 118.95% year-to-date, with a 7.00% increase over the last five trading days, an 8.20% decrease over the last 20 days, and a 26.37% increase over the last 60 days [1] - The stock has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the most recent appearance on April 8, where it recorded a net purchase of 25.463 million yuan [1] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Haomei New Materials was 9,574, a decrease of 38.01% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 65.81% to 26,611 shares [2] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Huaxia Industry Prosperity Mixed Fund (003567) ranked as the fourth largest shareholder, holding 3.1568 million shares, a decrease of 1.5773 million shares compared to the previous period [3]
中信期货晨报:商品期货多数上涨,中小盘股指涨幅较好-20250912
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-12 05:11
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report notes that most commodity futures rose, and small - and mid - cap stock index futures had good gains. In the overseas market, the US labor market shows a clear slowdown trend, and the weak non - farm data increases the probability of a September interest rate cut. In the domestic market, the PPI is expected to see a slight increase in the central value, while the CPI may be slightly lower than the first - half level. Short - term domestic assets present mainly structural opportunities, with a higher probability of incremental policies in the fourth quarter. Overseas, the situation is generally favorable for gold. Long - term US fundamentals are fair, and a weak US dollar pattern continues [6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Performance - **Stock Index Futures**: The CSI 300 futures closed at 4562, up 2.92% daily, 2.37% weekly, 1.24% monthly, 17.40% quarterly, and 16.35% year - to - date. The SSE 50 futures closed at 2990.2, up 1.78% daily, 1.68% weekly, 0.34% monthly, 11.20% quarterly, and 11.66% year - to - date. The CSI 500 futures closed at 7124.6, up 3.81% daily, 3.28% weekly, 1.83% monthly, 21.52% quarterly, and 25.11% year - to - date. The CSI 1000 futures closed at 7387.8, up 3.31% daily, 2.24% weekly, 0.29% monthly, 20.15% quarterly, and 26.32% year - to - date [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 2 - year Treasury bond futures closed at 102.41, up 0.06% daily, 0.02% weekly, - 0.01% monthly, - 0.22% quarterly, and - 0.55% year - to - date. The 5 - year Treasury bond futures closed at 105.59, up 0.16% daily, 0.00% weekly, 0.07% monthly, - 0.63% quarterly, and - 0.89% year - to - date. The 10 - year Treasury bond futures closed at 107.58, up 0.08% daily, - 0.34% weekly, - 0.21% monthly, - 1.24% quarterly, and - 1.23% year - to - date. The 30 - year Treasury bond futures closed at 114.74, down 0.02% daily, - 1.38% weekly, - 1.55% monthly, - 4.61% quarterly, and - 3.44% year - to - date [3]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar index was at 97.8433, unchanged daily, up 0.11% weekly, unchanged monthly, up 1.11% quarterly, and down 9.81% year - to - date. The euro - US dollar exchange rate was 1.1695, with 0 pips change daily, - 24 pips weekly, 9 pips monthly, - 93 pips quarterly, and 1342 pips year - to - date. The US dollar - yen exchange rate was 147.46, with 0 pips change daily, up 0.03% weekly, up 0.28% monthly, up 2.40% quarterly, and down 6.20% year - to - date [3]. - **Overseas Commodities**: NYMEX WTI crude oil was at $63.75, up 1.56% daily, 2.87% weekly, - 0.41% monthly, - 1.88% quarterly, and - 11.30% year - to - date. ICE Brent crude oil was at $67.6, up 1.61% daily, 2.94% weekly, 0.21% monthly, 1.46% quarterly, and - 9.66% year - to - date. COMEX gold was at $3680.4, up 0.45% daily, 1.12% weekly, 4.67% monthly, 11.02% quarterly, and 39.45% year - to - date [3]. 3.2 Macro Situation - **Overseas Macro**: The US released August non - farm data, with only 22,000 new jobs, lower than the previous value and expectations. The labor market's downward risk has increased, and wage growth has slowed. The number of initial and continued unemployment claims shows that the labor market slowdown is becoming more obvious [6]. - **Domestic Macro**: In August, the PPI rebounded from - 3.6% to - 2.9% year - on - year, while the CPI dropped from 0% to - 0.4% year - on - year. The tail - wagging effect had a large impact, and food prices dragged down the CPI. The PPI's month - on - month rebound to 0 and the core CPI's rise to 0.9% indicate that domestic policies are starting to take effect. The PPI central value is expected to rise slightly, and the CPI may be slightly lower than the first - half level [6]. 3.3 Asset Views - **Short - term**: Domestic assets mainly present structural opportunities. The market sentiment has cooled down after important domestic events this week. In the overseas market, the weak US non - farm data increases the probability of a September interest rate cut, which is favorable for gold. - **Long - term**: The US fundamentals are fair, and interest rate cuts are expected to boost the fundamentals. The weak US dollar pattern continues, and investors should be vigilant about volatility spikes and focus on non - US dollar assets [6]. 3.4 Viewpoint Highlights - **Financial Sector**: Stock index futures should adopt a dumbbell structure to deal with market differences; stock index options should continue the hedging and defensive strategy; the stock - bond seesaw may continue in the short term for Treasury bond futures. All are expected to be in a volatile state [7]. - **Precious Metals**: Driven by dovish expectations, the prices of gold and silver are expected to rise in a volatile manner, as the probability of a September interest rate cut in the US increases, and the risk of the Fed's loss of independence expands [7]. - **Shipping Sector**: For the container shipping to Europe route, attention should be paid to the game between peak - season expectations and price - increase implementation. Steel and iron ore are expected to be volatile, with the impact of production restrictions on steel weakening and iron ore showing an unexpected decline in molten iron production and a slight increase in port inventories [7]. - **Black Building Materials**: Despite the "anti - involution" impact, the prices of varieties in this sector are still supported during the peak season. However, most varieties are expected to be in a volatile state, such as coke starting the first - round price cut after the end of military parade - related production restrictions, and the supply of coking coal significantly decreasing [7]. - **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials**: Affected by the better - than - expected July China's import and export data, non - ferrous metals were initially boosted. However, most varieties are expected to be volatile, with some facing downward pressure, such as copper due to the rising risk of overseas recession [7]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: The supply - demand situation of crude oil has weakened significantly, and coking coal's decline has dragged down the chemical industry. Most varieties in this sector are expected to be volatile, with some facing downward pressure, such as PP due to the increasing pressure of new production capacity [9]. - **Agricultural Sector**: The agricultural market is in a narrow - range volatile state, waiting for the results of field inspections. Most agricultural products are expected to be volatile, such as livestock products facing a supply - demand imbalance and rubber facing pressure from previous highs [9].
日评-20250912
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-12 03:40
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - In September, the direction of the second - half monetary policy is crucial for the equity market. After A - shares have accumulated significant gains, they may enter a high - level shock pattern, and the risk has been largely released [2]. - The 10 - year Treasury bond interest rate has strong gaming power around 1.8%, and an incremental driver is needed to choose a direction. The long - end of Treasury bonds is weak while the short - end is strong [2]. - The U.S. employment market continues to weaken, the ECB keeps policy unchanged, and gold shows a sideways consolidation [2]. - The container shipping index (European line) main contract is weakly volatile [2]. - Steel prices are suppressed by factors such as declining apparent demand and coking coal复产 [2]. - The U.S. core CPI meets expectations, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has heated up again [2]. - There is a high supply pressure in the short - term for some energy and chemical products, and the market needs to pay attention to industrial demand rhythm [2]. - For agricultural products, there are different supply - demand situations, such as the abundant supply expectation for sugar and the low inventory of old - crop cotton [2]. 3. Summary by Categories Financial - **Stock Index**: The stock index has a volume - increasing rise with the resonance of technology and finance. It is recommended to sell near - month put options at the support level to collect premiums [2]. - **Treasury Bond**: Uncertain about the direction, investors are advised to wait and see in the short - term, and pay attention to the capital market, equity market, and fundamentals [2]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold should be bought cautiously at low prices or sell out - of - the - money gold options. Silver should be traded in the range of 40 - 42 dollars and sell out - of - the money options at high volatility [2]. - **Container Shipping Index (European Line)**: Consider the 12 - 10 spread arbitrage as the main contract is weakly volatile [2]. Black - **Steel**: It is recommended to wait and see due to factors suppressing steel prices [2]. - **Iron Ore**: Buy the iron ore 2601 contract at low prices in the range of 780 - 830 and go long on iron ore and short on coking coal [2]. - **Coking Coal**: Short the coking coal 2601 contract at high prices in the range of 1070 - 1170 [2]. - **Coke**: Short the coke 2601 contract at high prices in the range of 1550 - 1650 [2]. Energy and Chemical - **Crude Oil**: Adopt a short - side thinking, with support levels for WTI at [61, 62], Brent at [64, 65], and SC at [465, 475] [2]. - **Urea**: Wait and see as the short - term high - supply pressure drags down the market [2]. - **PX**: Treat the short - term oscillation in the range of 6600 - 6900 [2]. - **PTA**: Oscillate in the range of 4600 - 4800 in the short - term and conduct TA1 - 5 rolling reverse arbitrage [2]. - **Short - fiber**: Follow the raw materials, with the processing fee oscillating in the range of 800 - 1100 [2]. - **Bottle Chip**: The supply and demand may both decline in September, and the processing fee fluctuates in the range of 350 - 500 yuan/ton [2]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: Look for EG1 - 5 reverse arbitrage opportunities [2]. - **Caustic Soda**: Wait and see [2]. - **PVC**: Hold short positions [2]. - **Pure Benzene**: Follow styrene and oil prices in the short - term [2]. - **Styrene**: Do low - buying operations on EB10 and expand the EB11 - BZ11 spread at a low level [2]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: The price fluctuates in the range of 11400 - 12500 [2]. - **LLDPE**: Oscillate in the short - term [2]. - **PP**: Stop profit on short positions at 6950 - 7000 [2]. - **Methanol**: Conduct range operations in the range of 2350 - 2550 [2]. Agricultural - **Soybean Meal**: Operate in the range of 3050 - 3150 for the 01 contract [2]. - **Hog**: The market has limited supply - demand contradictions, and pay attention to the subsequent slaughter rhythm [2]. - **Corn**: Short at high prices [2]. - **Oil**: The short - term P main contract may test the 9000 support [2]. - **Sugar**: Pay attention to the support at around 5500 [2]. - **Cotton**: Wait and see on a single - side basis [2]. - **Egg**: Control the position of previous short positions as the market rebounds [2]. - **Apple**: The main contract runs around 8100 [2]. - **Jujube**: The main contract fluctuates around 11000 [2]. Special Commodities - **Soda Ash**: Short on rebounds [2]. - **Glass**: Wait and see and pay attention to the spot market sentiment during the peak season [2]. - **Rubber**: Wait and see [2]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The price may fluctuate in the range of 8000 - 9500 yuan/ton, and pay attention to the silicon industry conference [2]. New Energy - **Polysilicon**: Wait and see as the production cut expectation rises and the price increases [2]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Wait and see mainly, with the main contract running around 7 - 7.2 million [2].
欧盟碳边境调节机制为摩洛哥带来发展机遇
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-11 15:46
Core Insights - Morocco faces a critical decision regarding the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which will come into effect in January 2026, potentially impacting its trade dynamics and economic strategy [1][2] - The CBAM will impose carbon pricing on six major imported products, directly affecting Morocco's phosphate, steel, cement, and aluminum industries, while agriculture and food sectors will face indirect impacts due to new traceability and carbon footprint requirements [1] - Despite the potential challenges, the direct impact of CBAM on Morocco's GDP is estimated to be limited to 0.3%, indicating a relatively manageable risk [1] Group 1 - The CBAM represents not only a tax but also an opportunity for Morocco to transform its production methods and accelerate its energy transition, leveraging its significant investments in renewable energy [2] - The existing EU-Morocco green partnership will support Moroccan green projects and promote international recognition of renewable energy certificates, enhancing Morocco's market position in Europe [2] - By adopting clear carbon reporting standards, Morocco aims to solidify its market share in Europe and position itself as a reliable regional supplier of low-carbon products [2]
加拿大总理:今秋将启动一项新的贸易多元化战略
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 10:14
Core Points - Canada will launch a new trade diversification strategy this fall to strengthen existing multilateral trade relations and explore new markets for Canadian businesses [1] - Prime Minister Carney outlined seven key priorities for the federal government this fall, including economic security, reducing the cost of living, building affordable housing, maintaining Canadian sovereignty, and sustainable immigration management [3] - Carney emphasized that the global trade system has been disrupted and supply chains have been damaged due to fundamental changes in trade relations, particularly with the United States [5] Trade Strategy - Canada aims to strengthen trade relationships with other regions, especially in Asia, to address uncertainties arising from U.S. tariffs and to create more job opportunities in industries such as steel, aluminum, and automotive manufacturing [7] - The federal government, along with provinces and regions, is preparing to launch a series of major projects that align with national interests to implement product diversification and trade diversification strategies [7] - The first batch of national-level large projects will be announced on November 11, which will include infrastructure development and natural resource exploitation [7]
深圳新星:股票连续三日涨幅超20% 无未披露重大事项
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 09:05
深圳新星发布异动公告,公司股票于2025年9月9日、9月10日、9月11日连续三个交易日收盘价格涨幅累 计超过20%,属于股票交易异常波动。经自查及问询控股股东和实际控制人,未发现应披露而未披露的 重大事项或重要信息。公司生产经营活动正常,内外部环境未发生重大变化。敬请投资者理性投资,注 意交易风险。 ...
新疆众和236万份股票期权注销完成 激励计划预留授予对象归零
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 08:12
Core Points - In 2025, Xinjiang Zhonghe Co., Ltd. held the third meeting of the tenth board of directors and the third meeting of the tenth supervisory board to review and approve the proposal for the cancellation of part of the stock options [1] - The company canceled 2.36 million stock options that were granted but not exercised due to the end of the second exercise period of the 2021 restricted stock and stock option incentive plan [1] - The cancellation has been completed, and the company submitted the application to the Shanghai branch of China Securities Depository and Clearing Co., Ltd. [1] - The cancellation of these stock options has no impact on the company's total share capital, and there are currently no stock options granted but not exercised under the incentive plan [1]
天山铝业涨2.02%,成交额8691.54万元,主力资金净流入261.46万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 02:22
Company Overview - Tianshan Aluminum Industry Co., Ltd. is located at 9th Floor, ProLogis Building, No. 2389 Zhangyang Road, Pudong New District, Shanghai, established on November 3, 1997, and listed on December 31, 2010 [1] - The company primarily engages in the production and sales of primary aluminum, aluminum deep processing products and materials, prebaked anodes, high-purity aluminum, and alumina [1] - The revenue composition includes 65.26% from aluminum ingots, 24.20% from alumina, 6.89% from aluminum foil and aluminum foil raw materials, 2.10% from high-purity aluminum, and 1.55% from other sources [1] Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Tianshan Aluminum achieved operating revenue of 15.328 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.19% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.084 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.51% [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 6.562 billion yuan, with 3.463 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Stock Performance - As of September 11, Tianshan Aluminum's stock price increased by 2.02%, reaching 10.63 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 49.45 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 38.56%, with a 3.10% rise over the last five trading days, 9.81% over the last twenty days, and 30.11% over the last sixty days [1] - The number of shareholders as of June 30, 2025, was 49,700, an increase of 4.44% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 4.25% to 83,175 shares [2] Capital Flow - The net inflow of main funds was 2.6146 million yuan, with large orders accounting for 27.74% of purchases and 23.52% of sales [1] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 113 million shares, a decrease of 10.084 million shares from the previous period [3]
五矿期货早报有色金属-20250911
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-09-11 01:45
Group 1: Report Overview - The report is the Non - ferrous Metals Daily Report on September 11, 2025, from Wukuang Futures [1] Group 2: Copper - **Market Performance**: LME copper rose 0.96% to $10012/ton, and SHFE copper main contract closed at 80190 yuan/ton. The US PPI data was weaker than expected, and the US bond yield declined, leading to the rise of copper prices [2] - **Industry Situation**: LME copper inventory decreased by 225 to 155050 tons, with a cancellation warrant ratio of 14.0% and a Cash/3M discount of $56/ton. In China, SHFE copper warehouse receipts slightly increased to 19,000 tons. The spot premium in Shanghai decreased, while the inventory in Guangdong decreased and the procurement volume increased. The import of SHFE copper was slightly in the red, and the Yangshan copper premium increased. The refined - scrap copper price difference was 1620 yuan/ton, and the supply - demand of recycled copper was affected by policy adjustments [2] - **Price Outlook**: The market is hesitating between recession and interest - rate cut trading. If recession trading comes first, the attitude at the actual interest - rate meeting is expected to be dovish. Overseas copper mine supply is disturbed, and domestic copper production declines marginally. Although current consumption is weak, copper prices are expected to remain strong. The operating range of SHFE copper main contract is 79500 - 80800 yuan/ton, and that of LME copper 3M is 9900 - 10100 dollars/ton [2] Group 3: Aluminum - **Market Performance**: Aluminum prices fluctuated. LME aluminum fell 0.21% to $2622/ton, and SHFE aluminum main contract closed at 20830 yuan/ton. The position of SHFE aluminum weighted contract increased by 0.7 to 542,000 lots, and the futures warehouse receipts slightly increased to 65,000 tons [4] - **Industry Situation**: Domestic three - place aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 0.2 to 473,000 tons, and the aluminum bar inventory in Foshan and Wuxi decreased by 0.2 to 85,500 tons. The aluminum bar processing fee rebounded, but the market trading was average. The spot in East China was at a discount of 30 yuan/ton to the futures, and the discount widened. LME aluminum inventory remained unchanged, and the cancellation warrant ratio was 22.7%, with a Cash/3M premium of $2.92/ton [4] - **Price Outlook**: Aluminum prices are in a game between macro - expectations and fundamental realities. Overseas interest - rate cut expectations and the resilience of aluminum product exports provide support, but the weak improvement in domestic terminal demand restricts the upside. The key is to focus on the fulfillment of peak - season demand and inventory trends. If inventory turns, aluminum prices may rise further. The operating range of SHFE aluminum main contract is 20700 - 20960 yuan/ton, and that of LME aluminum 3M is 2600 - 2650 dollars/ton [4] Group 4: Lead - **Market Performance**: The SHFE lead index fell 0.74% to 16804 yuan/ton, and LME lead 3S fell $15 to $1977/ton [5] - **Industry Situation**: The lead industry shows a pattern of weak supply and demand. The supply of lead concentrates and waste lead - acid batteries is tight, restricting the smelter's production. The continuous losses of secondary lead have led to production cuts in Anhui. Downstream consumption is weaker than in previous years, and dealers' finished - product inventory is at a historical high [5] - **Price Outlook**: The supply of lead ingots is marginally narrowing, providing some support. However, if the commodity sentiment weakens and secondary smelting recovers, lead prices still face significant downside risks [5] Group 5: Zinc - **Market Performance**: The SHFE zinc index rose 0.34% to 22211 yuan/ton, and LME zinc 3S rose $13.5 to $2871/ton [7] - **Industry Situation**: Zinc ore and zinc ingots remain in surplus, with inventory accumulation. The TC of zinc concentrates is rising, and the domestic supply is loose. The downstream enterprise's operating rate has not improved significantly. After long - term destocking in the LME market, the LME zinc warrant is at a low level, and the LME zinc monthly spread has increased. The pattern of weak domestic and strong overseas markets is intensifying, and the SHFE - LME ratio is accelerating downward [7] - **Price Outlook**: Some institutional and foreign - capital seats regard zinc as a short - allocation variety in non - ferrous metals, with high consensus on shorting. It is expected to show a low - level oscillating pattern with limited short - term downside [7] Group 6: Tin - **Supply**: The resumption of tin mines in Wa State, Myanmar, is slow. Yunnan is still facing a severe shortage of tin mines, with smelters' raw - material inventory generally less than 30 days and a low operating rate. Some smelters plan to conduct maintenance in September, and the refined tin production in September is expected to decline by 29.89% month - on - month [8] - **Demand**: The downstream is in the off - season, with weak traditional consumption areas. Although AI computing power has increased some tin demand, it has limited impact on overall demand [8] - **Price Outlook**: The off - season demand is weak, but the short - term supply decline is significant. Tin prices are expected to oscillate in the short term [8] Group 7: Nickel - **Market Performance**: Nickel prices oscillated. The US PPI data cooled unexpectedly, and the US dollar index initially fell and then recovered [10] - **Industry Situation**: The profit of nickel - iron plants has improved but is still low. The stainless - steel plants' production in August and September is expected to increase, supporting the nickel - iron price. The supply of intermediate products is short, and the demand from some electric - nickel and nickel - sulfate producers provides price support [10] - **Price Outlook**: The short - term macro - environment is positive, and the expectation of interest - rate cuts may drive non - ferrous metals, including nickel, to strengthen. In the long - term, the US easing expectation and China's anti - involution policy will support nickel prices. It is recommended to go long on dips. The operating range of SHFE nickel main contract this week is 115000 - 128000 yuan/ton, and that of LME nickel 3M is 14500 - 16500 dollars/ton [10] Group 8: Lithium Carbonate - **Market Performance**: The Wukuang Steel Union's lithium carbonate spot index (MMLC) fell 2.73% to 71,237 yuan. The LC2511 contract closed at 70,720 yuan, down 2.99% [12] - **Industry Situation**: The resumption of the Jiaxiaowo mine may reverse the supply - demand repair expectation, suppressing lithium prices. In September, the domestic lithium carbonate is expected to continue destocking [12] - **Price Outlook**: The spot strength may support the bottom. The reference operating range of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange's lithium carbonate 2511 contract is 68,600 - 72,500 yuan/ton [12] Group 9: Alumina - **Market Performance**: On September 10, 2025, the alumina index rose 0.14% to 2934 yuan/ton, and the position decreased by 0.4 to 391,000 lots [14] - **Industry Situation**: The spot price in Shandong decreased by 10 to 3020 yuan/ton, with a premium of 105 yuan/ton over the 10 - contract. The overseas MYSTEEL Australia FOB price remained at $337/ton, and the import window is open. The futures warehouse receipts decreased by 0.78 to 121,900 tons [14] - **Price Outlook**: Overseas ore supply is improving, and the over - capacity in the smelting segment is difficult to change in the short term. The expectation of the Fed's interest - rate cut may drive the non - ferrous sector to strengthen. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term. The reference operating range of the domestic main contract AO2601 is 2850 - 3250 yuan/ton [14] Group 10: Stainless Steel - **Market Performance**: The stainless - steel main contract closed at 12915 yuan/ton, down 0.27%. The position decreased by 2037 to 285,900 lots [17] - **Industry Situation**: The spot prices in Foshan and Wuxi remained stable. The raw - material prices also remained unchanged. The social inventory decreased by 2.71%, and the 300 - series inventory decreased by 2.09% [17] - **Market Outlook**: The stainless - steel spot market is oscillating narrowly, with price differentiation. The 304 cold - rolled price is stable with light trading, while the 304 hot - rolled price has increased slightly due to tight supply [17] Group 11: Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Performance**: The AD2511 contract rose 0.22% to 20350 yuan/ton, and the weighted contract position increased by 0.23 to 11,700 lots [19] - **Industry Situation**: The downstream is gradually transitioning from the off - season to the peak season. The cost is strongly supported by the increased supply disturbance of domestic and overseas scrap aluminum. The exchange has lowered the margin ratio, increasing market activity [19] - **Price Outlook**: Cast aluminum alloy prices are expected to remain high in the short term [19] Group 12: Data Summary - The report also provides daily data on non - ferrous metals, including LME and SHFE inventory, inventory changes, warrant cancellation ratio, cash - 3M spread, SHFE position, position changes, spot premium, and import - export data [22]