今日早参 2025 年 5 月 16 日 何康 策略首席研究员兼金融工程联席首席 研究员 座机：021-28972202 邮箱：hekang@htsc.com 夏路路 互联网行业首席研究员 座机：85221214164 邮箱：xialulu@htsc.com 今日热点 策略：财报和中观景气改善的交集 我们的中观景气模型显示，4 月全行业景气指数继续下行、与 PMI 回落相印 证，但斜率有所放缓。结合景气趋势、前瞻指标和一季报，财报和中观景气 改善能够交叉验证的品种包括：1）TMT 中的元件-存储链、通信设备（数通 链）、计算机设备、软件开发；2）部分制造行业率先迈过产能周期拐点，或 产能加速出清、且需求有企稳迹象，包括军工电子、航空装备、通用设备、 农业机械、电池、风电设备、光伏设备等；3）内需消费中必选和大众消费 品景气率先回升，包括乳制品、餐饮-调味品、个护用品等； 4）部分周期品 涨价或价格企稳，包括贵金属、稀土、钢铁、水泥等。 风险提示：国内经济复苏不及预期；外需不及预期；模型失效风险。 研报发布日期：2025-05-15 研究员 重点公司 腾讯控股（700 HK,买入）：1Q 游戏广告超预期,微信小 ...

证券代码：300763 证券简称：锦浪科技 公告编号：2025-051 锦浪科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 25 日收到深圳 证券交易所（以下简称"深交所"）出具的《关于锦浪科技股份有限公司申请向不 特定对象发行可转换公司债券的审核问询函》（审核函〔2025〕020015 号）。 公司按照审核问询函的要求，会同相关中介机构对审核问询函所列问题进行 了逐项落实并作出回复，具体回复内容详见公司于 2025 年 5 月 15 日在巨潮资讯 网（http://www.cninfo.com.cn/）披露的相关公告。 鉴于公司 2024 年年度报告和 2025 年第一季度报告已于 2025 年 4 月 29 日 公开披露，按照相关法规要求，公司会同相关中介机构对募集说明书等申请文件 的部分内容进行了相应的补充、更新和修订，具体内容详见公司于 2025 年 5 月 公司本次向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券事项尚需通过深交所审核，并获 得中国证券监督管理委员会（以下简称"中国证监会"）作出同意注册的决定后 方可实施。该事项最终能否通过深交所审核，并获得中国证监会同意注册的决定 及其时间尚存在不确定 ...

Core Insights - JD's Q1 2025 revenue reached 301.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%, marking the highest quarterly growth rate in three years, with service revenue at 58.8 billion yuan, up 14.0% year-on-year [2][10] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders was 12.8 billion yuan, exceeding expectations by 43.4% [2][10] - The retail revenue of JD grew by 16.3% year-on-year to 263.8 billion yuan, driven by strong user growth and supply chain optimization [2][10] Revenue and Profitability - The group achieved a gross margin of 15.9%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, and a fulfillment gross margin of 9.3%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [3][10] - JD's retail operating profit margin improved by 0.8 percentage points to 4.9% [3][10] - The company continues to enhance its operational efficiency through its supply chain infrastructure and smart integration of business ecosystems [3][10] Business Development - JD's food delivery service surpassed 10 million daily orders as of April 22, 2025, indicating significant progress in this segment [3][10] - The company has repurchased 1.5 billion USD worth of shares, amounting to approximately 2.8% of its outstanding shares as of December 31, 2024 [3][10] - The expansion of the platform into new markets, including Hong Kong and international regions, is ongoing, with a focus on maintaining high growth rates in various product categories [10] Policy and Market Environment - The April Politburo meeting emphasized stabilizing employment and the economy, with a focus on expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption [4][11] - The government is expected to introduce flexible policies to address uncertainties in tariffs and enhance financial support for various sectors [11] - The focus on long-term structural reforms and support for consumer spending is anticipated to drive economic growth in the coming quarters [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the renewable energy sector, particularly highlighting the solar and wind energy segments as having strong growth potential [4][5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the downstream demand for renewable energy is expected to increase, leading to a potential recovery in the pricing structure of the industry [2]. - It notes that the solar industry is currently experiencing a price correction after a surge in demand, with key components like silicon materials and modules seeing price adjustments [4]. - The wind energy sector is projected to benefit from significant policy support and increased project bidding, particularly in offshore wind projects [4]. Weekly Market Review - From April 28 to May 9, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.42%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.12% and 3.32%, respectively. The Shenwan Electric Power Equipment Index outperformed with a rise of 3.46% [12]. - Sub-sectors such as photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment saw respective increases of 2.8%, 3.85%, 4.39%, and 1.73% [12][14]. Key Sector Tracking - The report highlights specific companies to watch in the solar sector, including GCL-Poly Energy, JinkoSolar, and Sungrow Power Supply, which are expected to navigate through the current market fluctuations effectively [4]. - In the wind energy sector, companies like Goldwind Technology and Mingyang Smart Energy are recommended due to their strong market positions and growth prospects [4]. Price Data in the Industry - The report provides insights into the pricing trends of key components in the solar supply chain, indicating a downward trend in silicon prices, with current prices ranging from 34 to 36 CNY/kg, reflecting an over 8% decrease compared to the previous month [28]. - The price of N-type silicon wafers has also seen a significant drop, with the average transaction price falling below 1 CNY per piece, indicating a challenging market environment for smaller manufacturers [29][34]. Company Announcements - Notable announcements include the acquisition of 100% of Jinli Co. by Foshan Fulu Technology for a total consideration of 5.08 billion CNY, which is expected to enhance its market position [3][25]. - SAIC Motor reported a significant increase in electric vehicle sales, with a 71.7% year-on-year growth in April 2025, indicating strong demand in the electric vehicle market [26].

光伏设备板块震荡走低，华民股份（300345）跌超10%，大全能源跌超7%，东方日升（300118）、海 优新材、双良节能（600481）跌幅居前。 ...

5月14日，A股开盘，上证指数低开0.02%，深证成指低开0.09%，创业板指平开。化学纤维、CPO 块涨幅居前，光伏设备、PEEK材料概念股领跌。（编辑 王俊勇） ...

Core Insights - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.17% while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.13% and 0.12% respectively, with a total trading volume of 1,291.365 billion yuan [2][7] - The banking, beauty care, and pharmaceutical sectors led the gains, while the defense, computer, and machinery sectors experienced declines [2][7] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.87%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index dropped by 3.26%, indicating a challenging environment for Hong Kong stocks [2][7] - In the U.S., the Dow Jones decreased by 0.64%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose by 0.72% and 1.61% respectively, reflecting a mixed sentiment in the overseas markets [2][7] Industry Analysis - The electric power equipment sector saw a decrease in the total market value held by public funds, amounting to 276.574 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a decline of 14.21% quarter-on-quarter but a slight increase of 3.05% year-on-year [9][10] - The sector's overweight ratio fell to 3.29%, down 1.60 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a reduced preference among funds for this sector [9][10] - The top five and ten holdings in the electric power equipment sector showed an increase in concentration, with the CR5 and CR10 ratios rising to 68.70% and 75.59% respectively, while the CR20 ratio decreased [10][11] - The battery and photovoltaic equipment segments faced significant reductions in holdings, while the wind power equipment sector saw increased interest due to accelerated project implementations [11][12] Social Services Sector - The social services sector reported a total revenue of 190.795 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.95%, but the net profit dropped by 31.26% to 7.366 billion yuan [13][14] - The tourism and scenic area segment achieved a revenue of 35.423 billion yuan, up 15.24% year-on-year, with a net profit increase of 7.19% [13][14] - The hotel and catering segment, however, experienced a revenue decline of 1.49% to 29.853 billion yuan, with net profit falling by 19.73% [14][15] - The report suggests that the implementation of vacation policies and the expansion of the inbound consumption market will continue to drive growth in the tourism and related sectors [14][15]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a shift in the photovoltaic industry with a focus on N-type technology, particularly the TOPCon route, which is expected to dominate the market [1][10]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic manufacturing industry is experiencing intensified competition, leading to stagnation in growth for major players like Longi Green Energy and Tongwei Co., while equipment manufacturers continue to thrive [2][4]. - The report highlights a significant market share increase for TOPCon technology, which rose from 23% to 71% in 2024, indicating a major shift in production technology [11][15]. - Companies like Jiejia Weichuang have emerged as new leaders in the industry, achieving substantial revenue and profit growth, while others like Jing Sheng Machinery face declining performance [6][22]. Summary by Sections Company Performance - Jiejia Weichuang reported a revenue of 188.87 billion with a growth of 116.3% and a net profit of 27.64 billion, marking a 69.2% increase, establishing itself as the new leader in photovoltaic equipment [5][6]. - Jing Sheng Machinery's revenue fell to 175.77 billion, a decrease of 23%, with a net profit of 25.10 billion, down 44.9%, indicating severe performance issues [22][23]. - Maiwei Co. achieved a revenue of 98.30 billion, a growth of 21.5%, with a net profit of 9.26 billion, reflecting a modest increase of 13% [43][44]. Market Trends - The report notes a structural opportunity in the market as TOPCon technology replaces PERC, benefiting companies aligned with this trend [60]. - The overall industry is facing a decline in contract liabilities, indicating a shrinking order book across the sector, which poses challenges for future growth [19][61]. - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining growth in a low-demand environment, as companies navigate the challenges of reduced order volumes [60].

Key Insights - The report highlights the significant growth in the renewable energy sector, particularly in wind and solar power, with cumulative installed capacity surpassing thermal power for the first time [5][6] - The performance of various companies in the renewable energy and materials sectors shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability, indicating a positive trend in these industries [7][11][14][20][23] Industry Commentary - The new materials sector has seen a weekly increase, with the new materials index rising by 3.51%, while specific segments like industrial gases and battery chemicals have also shown strong performance [5] - Wind and solar power installations reached a total of 1.482 billion kilowatts, with wind power at 536 million kilowatts and solar power at 946 million kilowatts, marking a significant milestone in the energy transition [5] - The report predicts that annual new installations of wind power will exceed 100 million kilowatts starting in 2025, entering a new era of renewable energy growth in China [5] Company Analysis - **Sungrow Power Supply Co., Ltd. (300274.SZ)**: The company reported a revenue of 77.86 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.8%, and a net profit of 11.04 billion yuan, up 16.9%. In Q1 2025, revenue reached 19.04 billion yuan, a 50.9% increase year-on-year [7][9] - **Sailun Tire (601058.SH)**: The company achieved a total revenue of 31.802 billion yuan in 2024, a 22.42% increase, with a net profit of 4.063 billion yuan, up 31.42%. In Q1 2025, revenue was 8.411 billion yuan, reflecting a 15.29% increase [11][12] - **Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH)**: The company reported a revenue of 9.39 billion yuan in 2024, a 4.51% increase, with a net profit of 2.509 billion yuan, up 0.4%. The Q1 2025 revenue was 2.422 billion yuan, a 2.56% increase year-on-year [14][16] - **Zhaowei Electromechanical (003021.SZ)**: The company reported a revenue of 1.525 billion yuan in 2024, a 26.42% increase, with a net profit of 225 million yuan, up 25.11%. In Q1 2025, revenue was 368 million yuan, a 17.66% increase [20] - **Tianwei Technology (688116.SH)**: The company achieved a revenue of 1.45 billion yuan in 2024, a 3.1% increase, with a net profit of 250 million yuan, down 15.8%. In Q1 2025, revenue was 330 million yuan, a 9% increase [23][24] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on companies within the wind and solar energy sectors, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing transition to renewable energy and the increasing demand for sustainable solutions [5][7] - Companies like Sungrow and Sailun Tire are highlighted for their strong growth trajectories and market positions, making them attractive investment opportunities [7][11]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Youli Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. (Youli Intelligent) is preparing for its listing on the Beijing Stock Exchange, focusing on the photovoltaic bracket sector, with significant concerns regarding its internal control, fundraising, and reliance on a few major clients [1][17]. Company Overview - Youli Intelligent specializes in the research, production, and sales of core components for photovoltaic brackets, including torque tubes (TTU), bearing components (BHA), installation structures (URA), and rails (RAIL) [1]. - The company was established in April 2017 and transitioned to a joint-stock company in April 2023, with a significant shareholding structure dominated by the Li Tao family, controlling over 81% of voting rights [3][5]. Financial Performance - For the years 2022 to 2024, Youli Intelligent reported revenues of CNY 433 million, CNY 658 million, and CNY 729 million, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 12.78%, 51.96%, and 10.84% respectively [17]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was CNY 42 million, CNY 78 million, and CNY 90 million, with growth rates of 185.55%, 85.27%, and 15.19% respectively [17]. Fundraising and Investment Projects - Youli Intelligent plans to raise CNY 269.9 million for projects including the construction of a production base for core components, a research and development center, and smart upgrades [7][10]. - The allocation of funds includes CNY 151.32 million for the production base, CNY 19.68 million for the R&D center, CNY 28.90 million for smart upgrades, and CNY 70 million for working capital [8]. Research and Development - The company's R&D expenses from 2021 to 2024 were CNY 3.92 million, CNY 5.07 million, CNY 5.83 million, and CNY 12.13 million, indicating a significant increase in investment in recent years [10]. - However, Youli Intelligent's R&D expense ratio is lower than industry peers, with 2022 and 2023 ratios at 2.29% and 0.89%, compared to averages of 2.09% and 2.12% for comparable companies [13][14]. Customer Concentration - The top five customers accounted for over 90% of total sales during the reporting period, with NEXTracker being the largest client, contributing 70% of revenue in 2024 [17][19]. - The reliance on a few major clients poses risks, as any adverse changes in relationships or market conditions could significantly impact the company's performance [19]. Accounts Receivable - Youli Intelligent has seen a continuous increase in accounts receivable, reaching CNY 99.51 million, CNY 186.30 million, and CNY 198.14 million over the last three years, with significant growth rates of 87.23% and 6.35% in the last two years [21]. - The company maintains that the quality of accounts receivable is good, with most being less than one year old, but high receivables could strain operational cash flow [21].