查看完整报告 特别申明： 点击注册小程序 3、电新主链我们最看好固态电池：市场低估了全固态电池在人形机器人、低空经济需求放量后，对安全 及续航方面的支持。下一阶段看全固态电池固态电解质&硫化锂的量产与降本；干法电极工艺是纯增量环 节，对辊压机要求大大提升，等静压技术尤其适用于硫化物固态电解质层的成型。 4、锂电、电网、风电做平衡配置，规避人形机器人及算力板块波动。锂电迎来旺季排产高峰，基本面稳 固，高压实磷酸铁锂、铜箔、快充负极具有涨价预期；电网特高压、一带一路出口标的估值较低，可以中 长期配置；陆风装机好，海风静待远海政策，零部件涨价预期强。光伏短期有涨价预期，但反弹力度有 限，供给侧逻辑需要观察25年一季报。 风险提示： 新能源政策风险；出口贸易政策风险；电网投资不及预期；新技术发展不及预期风险；原材料 价格波动风险。 发布日期： 2025-03-10 免责声明 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the renewable energy sector, particularly in solar and wind energy, indicating strong recovery potential in profitability and pricing dynamics [1][6][9]. Core Insights - The government work report emphasizes the development of the renewable energy industry, addressing issues such as "internal competition," the construction of "Shagora" renewable energy bases, and the development of offshore wind power for the first time [1][6][9]. - The solar industry is experiencing a significant recovery in both volume and price, with expectations for continued upward trends in glass and battery cell profitability [1][6][9]. - The wind energy sector is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at stabilizing prices and enhancing project profitability, particularly in offshore wind projects [1][6][9]. - The electric grid sector is witnessing a surge in demand for high-voltage equipment, with significant increases in tender amounts for transmission and transformation equipment [1][6][9]. Summary by Relevant Sections Solar & Energy Storage - The government work report highlights the importance of the renewable energy sector, with new initiatives aimed at addressing structural issues and enhancing supply and demand dynamics [1][6]. - The solar industry is seeing a strong recovery in production and pricing, with expectations for increased output in March [1][6]. - Key components such as glass and battery cells are identified as having the best potential for profitability recovery [1][6]. Wind Energy - The government work report's focus on offshore wind development marks a significant policy shift, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [1][6]. - The report anticipates a return to reasonable pricing levels for wind turbines, driven by policy guidance and market demand [1][6]. Electric Grid - The report notes a record high in tender amounts for grid equipment, with a total of 152 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a 23% year-on-year increase [1][6]. - The demand for high-voltage products is surging, with specific tenders for 750kV equipment showing substantial growth [1][6]. New Energy Vehicles - The report indicates that the overall sales performance of new energy vehicles in February met expectations, with significant growth in electric vehicle sales [2][12][16]. - The introduction of new models, such as the Galaxy E8 and the Wanjie M8, is expected to enhance market competitiveness [12][13]. Lithium Batteries - The report highlights the impact of increased tariffs on lithium batteries, raising the effective tax rate to approximately 50%, which may affect trade dynamics [2][16]. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - The establishment of a significant venture capital fund for hydrogen energy is expected to attract substantial investment, enhancing the industry's long-term growth prospects [2][10]. - Policy proposals from the recent national congress indicate a shift towards cost reduction and demand expansion in the hydrogen sector [2][10].

作者 | 白猫 编辑 | 小白 过去几年，在"双碳"目标的催化下，电源投资增长迅速，但电网投资明显滞后，这样的错配直接导致 新能源接网困难以及弃风弃光问题，给能源转型拖了后腿。 根据华夏能源网，2022年、2023年国内电源侧投资完成额分别同比增长30.3%和30.1%。这当 中，风光新能源装机投资同比增长大约超过了60%。 而同期电网侧投资完成额分别仅同比增长1.2%和5.4%。截至2023年底，电源投资已经超过电网投资4 400亿元。 "十四五"后期，电网投资力度有望进一步加强。 2024年，电网投资迎来加速。 国网2024年全年电网投资预计首次超过6000亿元，新增投资主要用于特高压交直流工程建设、电网数 字化智能化升级等，同比增长约13.5%。 南方电网预计，2024-2027年3年，电网设备更新投资规模CAGR为11%。 愈发重视源网矛盾，尤其是"十四五"收官之年，电网投资力度有望进一步加强。 电网设备主要用于电力的运输和传送，在电力系统中承担的职能主要是输电、变电以及配电，是吾股 电气设备产业中除电池外价值最大的部分。2024上半年，A股电网设备行业创收3109亿元，毛利规模 为577亿。 （来源 ...

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