二是推进能源基础设施提质升级。全年推进24个能源重大项目建设，计划完成年度投资452亿元。推进重大电源建 设，加快重点电厂投产与风电、光伏项目并网，预计全年新增火电装机容量232万千瓦，累计并网规模达到4500万 千瓦；拓展区外能源通道，加快建设湘粤联网背靠背工程和湖南-贵州电力灵活互济工程，开工建设遵义-吉安天 然气干线管道工程；完善省内能源网络，争取湘南特高压交流工程纳入国家规划，加快天然气支线管网建设，建 成永州-祁阳等项目；提升应急调峰能力，推进国家和地方储煤基地建设，计划全年新增煤炭静态储备能力100万 吨、处理能力1000万吨/年。 三是加快能源绿色低碳转型步伐。大力发展可再生能源，推进存量项目建设，建立"十五五"新能源项目储备库， 开展农村能源革命试点和"千乡万村驭风行动"；加强煤炭清洁高效利用，推进煤电机组"三改联动"，探索煤炭与 新能源融合发展场景；拓展绿色能源消费场景，新增公共充电桩7000个以上，探索氢能替代应用示范，推广光储 充一体化等新模式。 四是深化能源体制机制改革创新。引入优质低价能源资源，持续推进"疆煤入湘"，协调稳固晋陕蒙等主产区优质 低价煤源；完善电力市场体系，推动中长期、 ...

能源是国民经济的命脉，人工智能（AI）是引领科技革命的核心力量。在"双碳"目 标引领与新型能源体系建设的关键阶段，"人工智能+能源"融合创新技术持续涌现。 这场融合不仅是技术层面的叠加，更是保障能源安全、推动绿色转型、培育新质生产 力的战略抓手，彰显了我国以科技创新破解发展难题的坚定决心。 政策领航定向，为能源智能转型锚定发展坐标。 党的十八大以来，我国能源领域改革发展成就显著，但"保安全、促转型、提效率"的 三重使命依然艰巨。2 0 2 5年，我国全社会用电量预计首超1 0万亿千瓦时，风光新增 发电装机预计约3 . 7亿千瓦，风、光电力的间歇性与电网承载能力的矛盾日益凸显。 2 025年9月，国家发改委、国家能源局联合印发《关于推进"人工智能+"能源高质量 发展的实施意见》，为能源与人工智能深度融合划定"时间表"与"路线图"。 2 025年11月25日，国家能源局发布《关于组织开展"人工智能+"能源试点工作的通 知》，旨在充分发挥我国能源领域超大规模市场和丰富应用场景的优势，目标是探索 形成可复制、可推广的综合解决方案与商业模式，打造"人工智能+能源"融合发展的 新范式。 以上举措与"十五五"规划建议提出的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes China's strategic shift towards becoming an energy powerhouse, highlighting the importance of energy security and green transformation as part of the national development blueprint [2][8][12]. Group 1: Development Achievements - Since 1949, China's primary energy production has increased from 0.2 billion tons of standard coal to an expected 4.98 billion tons by 2024, marking a growth of 249 times [4]. - The total electricity generation has surged from 43 billion kWh in 1949 to over 10 trillion kWh by 2024, setting a new record for a single country [5]. - China's energy consumption per unit of GDP has decreased by 27.2% since the 18th National Congress, making it one of the fastest countries in the world to reduce energy intensity [5]. Group 2: Strategic Framework - The construction of a new energy system and the goal of becoming an energy powerhouse have been incorporated into the 14th Five-Year Plan, indicating a clear direction for energy development [2][13]. - The energy strategy is characterized by a closed-loop approach, from strategic proposal to goal setting, and then to detailed execution [14]. Group 3: Energy Security and Supply - China has achieved an energy self-sufficiency rate of over 84%, establishing a diversified supply structure that includes coal, oil, gas, nuclear, and renewable energy [20]. - The country has built a comprehensive energy infrastructure network that connects various regions and facilitates energy distribution, addressing both supply and demand challenges [20]. Group 4: Green Energy Transition - As of last November, the share of non-fossil energy consumption in China is expected to exceed the 20% target set for the 14th Five-Year Plan, with one-third of total electricity consumption coming from green energy [21]. - China has developed the world's largest and most complete renewable energy industry chain, with over 80% of global production capacity in key solar manufacturing segments [22]. Group 5: Technological Innovation - China has developed third-generation nuclear power technology with complete independent intellectual property rights, and the first high-temperature gas-cooled reactor demonstration project has commenced operation [23]. - The country leads in renewable energy patents, holding over 40% of global patents, and has achieved record-breaking efficiencies in various solar cell technologies [23]. Group 6: International Cooperation - China is enhancing energy cooperation with various regions, including Central Asia, the Middle East, and Africa, while actively participating in international energy governance reforms [24]. - The country promotes a vision of a community with a shared future for mankind, emphasizing the importance of international collaboration in energy transition [24].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significant progress and transformation in China's energy sector, highlighting the shift towards a green and high-quality development model, as articulated in President Xi Jinping's New Year address [1]. Group 1: Energy Sector Achievements - By 2025, China's energy industry is expected to achieve historic breakthroughs, ensuring safety and leading in green energy, with coal production stabilized and oil and gas reserves increased through a successful seven-year action plan [1]. - Total electricity consumption in society is projected to exceed 10 trillion kilowatt-hours, reflecting enhanced economic vitality and electrification levels [1]. - Renewable energy installations have historically surpassed thermal power, marking a transition from supplementary to primary energy sources [1]. - The integration of "Artificial Intelligence+" in energy has been fully initiated, and the construction of ultra-high voltage and large hydropower stations is accelerating [1]. Group 2: Market Reforms and Innovations - Market-oriented reforms are advancing, with renewable energy fully entering the electricity market, and new business models such as virtual power plants and zero-carbon parks are flourishing [1]. - A more flexible, efficient, and green energy ecosystem is being formed, alongside elevated international energy cooperation, contributing to a fairer global energy governance system [1]. Group 3: Future Goals and Industry Sentiment - The year 2026 marks a new starting point for the energy sector, transitioning from "quantitative accumulation" to "qualitative leap," focusing on building a new energy system and a strong energy nation [2]. - The development path is characterized by green and low-carbon directions, driven by technological innovation and led by enterprises [2]. - Industry leaders express confidence in the clear goals and paths for high-quality development in renewable energy, emphasizing the importance of adapting to changes and actively seeking transformation [2].

煤炭行业 2026 年度信用风险展望（2025 年 12 月） 工商评级三部 近年来中国煤炭价格走势 煤炭行业杠杆水平指标 煤炭行业信用风险展望丨 2026 摘要 公司邮箱：lianhe@lhratings.com 网址：www.lhratings.com 电话：010-85679696 传真：010-85679228 地址：北京市朝阳区建国门外大街 2 号中国人保财险大厦 17 层 www.lhratings.com 信用风险展望 0 近年来中国煤炭产量情况 煤炭行业经营现金流及资本支出（单位：亿元） 2025 年以来，煤炭行业以"稳产增产"为核心基调，聚焦智 能化、自动化转型，同步强化安全生产与环境保护监管，推 动高端装备国产化及新能源融合发展，行业准入门槛持续提 升。 2025 年 1－10 月，全国煤炭产量小幅增长，煤炭进口量有所 下降；需求端呈现结构分化，电力行业对动力煤需求形成稳 定支撑，非电行业需求疲软拖累焦煤、喷吹煤消费；国内煤 炭价格整体呈先抑后扬、震荡修复的走势，但整体均价仍不 及 2024 年，行业整体盈利水平同比下滑。行业集中度稳定， 呈现区域布局集中、头部企业主导的竞争格局。 202 ...

Group 1: Energy Production and Consumption - The total installed power generation capacity in China is expected to exceed 3.8 billion kilowatts this year, representing a year-on-year growth of 14% [1] - The total electricity consumption in the country is projected to surpass 10 trillion kilowatt-hours for the first time, which is approximately double the total electricity consumption in 2015, setting a new world record [1] - Oil and gas production has reached historical highs, with crude oil production around 215 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 260 billion cubic meters, marking nine consecutive years of production increases of over 10 billion cubic meters [1] Group 2: Energy Security and Supply - The year 2025 is expected to showcase strong resilience in the energy sector, with coal production projected to exceed 4.8 billion tons and imports around 470 million tons, ensuring stable supply and pricing [1] - The energy security measures have effectively responded to peak summer electricity load challenges, with 20 instances exceeding last year's peak [1] - The energy resource complementarity and mutual assistance levels have continuously improved, maintaining a stable safety situation in the power system [1] Group 3: Green Energy Transition - The proportion of non-fossil energy consumption is expected to exceed the target of 20%, with significant investments in green energy and new energy achieving higher quality development [2] - The construction of major hydropower and nuclear power projects is accelerating, and the clean and efficient utilization of fossil energy is making progress [2] - In 2026, over 20 million kilowatts of new wind and solar power capacity will be added, alongside orderly advancement of major hydropower projects and safe development of nuclear power [2] Group 4: Technological Innovation and Policy - The government plans to promote the integration of artificial intelligence with the energy sector through pilot projects and standardization actions [3] - There will be a focus on reforming energy systems and mechanisms, enhancing the construction of a unified national electricity market, and improving regulatory frameworks for new energy [3] - The goal is to establish a new energy system by 2030, balancing economic development with energy structure, supply security with energy conservation, and technological innovation with industry transformation [3]

务求实效 推动"人工智能+能源"走深走实 ——三论学习贯彻2026年全国能源工作会议精神 从实践基础看，顶层设计已然明晰，路径探索初见成效。国家发展改革委、国家能源局联合发布《关于 推进"人工智能+"能源高质量发展的实施意见》，系统部署了"人工智能+"电网、新能源、新业态等应用 场景，着力培育人工智能驱动能源转型变革新生态。能源企业及开展融合实践，中国石油、国家电网、 南方电网、中国华电、中煤集团等企业已发布能源领域大模型超过30个，在带动产业链协同、促进行业 智能化升级方面积累了有益经验。从井下矿山的智能采掘，到跨区域电网的智慧调度，再到虚拟电厂灵 活聚合分布式资源，融合应用已在多领域展开，为下一步全面推广奠定了良好基础。 准确把握"抢占战略制高点"的实践要求，需深入理解能源与人工智能"融合发展、协同联动"的内在逻 辑。 一方面，以人工智能之"智"，重塑能源之"形"。我国能源市场大、应用场景广、数据基础好，与人工智 能融合发展前景广阔。在危险作业环境替代方面，人工智能可助力智能化煤矿建设、保障核电安全高效 运行，推动"增安提效"；在辅助管理决策方面，可优化电网运行、提高新能源功率预测精度，为新型电 力系统建 ...

广州发展已形成"1+6+N"能源产供储销体系，积极打造煤电联营产业链、气电联营产业链、传统能源与 新能源联营产业链，推动多能互补、煤气电联营，形成局部最优、整体最佳的发展策略。 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议指出，坚持"双碳"引领，推动全面绿色转型。 广州发展（600098）集团股份有限公司（以下简称"广州发展"）总经理吴宏表示，广州发展将深入学习 贯彻中央经济工作会议精神，积极构建新型电力系统下的绿色低碳综合智慧能源服务体系。 广州发展是广东省重要的综合能源企业之一，该公司以电力为核心，煤电、气电、分布式能源、风、 光、储、充均衡布局，更好适应新型电力系统需求。 吴宏表示，广州发展将结合公司全产业链优势，积极应对能源行业需求侧转型，加快发展综合能源、虚 拟电厂及"能源+"等服务型业务；以科技创新为支撑，加快数智化转型，布局"人工智能+能源"，打造新 质生产力样板；坚持"两条腿"走路，加快国内市场开拓步伐，加速海外业务布局；坚持产业运营与资本 运作双轮驱动，赋能公司转型升级。坚持智能化、绿色化、融合化发展方向，推动企业实现高质量发 展。 吴宏介绍，作为一家综合能源企业集团，公司坚持构建" ...

Core Viewpoint - The energy sector has demonstrated strong resilience and effectiveness in ensuring energy supply during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with non-fossil energy consumption exceeding the 20% target, supporting stable economic growth [2] Performance Highlights - Electricity consumption is expected to exceed 10 trillion kilowatt-hours for the first time, with July and August seeing continuous monthly consumption surpassing 1 trillion kilowatt-hours, marking a global first [3] - Oil and gas production reached historical highs, with crude oil production at approximately 215 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 260 billion cubic meters, maintaining an annual increase of over 10 billion cubic meters for nine consecutive years [3] - The national electricity supply remains secure and stable, with significant improvements in oil and gas exploration and development, and an increase in energy resource complementarity [3] - The energy self-sufficiency rate increased from around 80% to over 84%, establishing the world's largest renewable energy system [3] Green Transition - The pace of green and low-carbon transformation in the energy sector is accelerating, with significant developments in renewable energy, including the completion of the first batch of wind and solar power bases and the construction of approximately 50 million kilowatts in the second and third batches [3] - By 2030, the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption is expected to reach 25%, with renewable energy generation capacity exceeding 50% [5] Infrastructure Development - Major hydropower and nuclear power projects are advancing, with national hydropower installed capacity exceeding 440 million kilowatts and 10 new nuclear power units approved for construction [4] - The construction of a unified national electricity market has made significant progress, with 28 provinces engaging in electricity spot trading, and market-based electricity transactions expected to reach 6.6 trillion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [4] Innovation and Future Outlook - The integration of energy and artificial intelligence is rapidly developing, with new energy storage installations surpassing 100 million kilowatts, accounting for over 40% of the global total [7] - The government is promoting the development of hydrogen energy and green fuels, with plans to establish a hydrogen energy industry development implementation plan and support various projects in the energy sector [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes China's commitment to building a strong energy nation, highlighting significant advancements in energy self-sufficiency, renewable energy development, and technological innovation as key drivers for achieving this goal by 2035 [4][38]. Group 1: Energy Supply Resilience - China's energy self-sufficiency rate has increased to over 84%, with domestic oil and gas production reaching historical highs, including an estimated crude oil output of approximately 215 million tons and natural gas production exceeding 260 billion cubic meters by 2025 [5][9][12]. - The country is actively reducing its dependence on foreign oil and gas, focusing on enhancing domestic exploration and production capabilities [8][10]. Group 2: Transition Speed - The annual installed capacity of wind and solar energy has entered the "hundred-gigawatt" scale, with significant growth in renewable energy contributing to nearly one-quarter of total electricity consumption in the first half of the year [13][15]. - The development of a diverse and clean energy supply system is underway, with a notable increase in renewable energy consumption and a corresponding decrease in coal consumption [12][18]. Group 3: Innovation Height - China has achieved multiple "world's largest" and "first" projects in the energy sector, including the largest nuclear power base and significant advancements in energy storage and renewable hydrogen production [19][22]. - The country is focusing on technological innovation as a core driver for energy development, with a strong emphasis on self-reliance in key energy technologies [20][21]. Group 4: Integration Depth - The establishment of a unified national electricity market is a significant step in energy governance reform, facilitating cross-regional electricity trading and optimizing resource allocation [25][27]. - The ongoing reforms aim to break down regional barriers and enhance market efficiency, with market transactions expected to reach 6.6 trillion kilowatt-hours, representing a 6.8% increase year-on-year [28][29].