混沌正在与全国各地的同学、企业，一起探索 AI 落地的真实场景。 前不久，我们与混沌哈尔滨学习中心的三位共建者：老孟、兰琦、萧军展开了一场对话。 老孟、兰琦、萧军三人分享了他们如何在混沌彼此遇见，在东北这片黑土地上打造出一个值得创业者信任的学习场域。 截至 2025 年 9 月，混沌 AI 首批城市学习中心已在哈尔滨、重庆、天津、青岛四座城市正式启动。 这三位共建者，本身也是创业者，在各自的行业取得了不错的成绩： 孟思岐（老孟）是大健康与社群运营领域的跨界实践者，深耕滋补品行业并通过私域 与社群构建了精准的商业转化闭 环； 兰琦是 国双影像行业的头部品牌领军者 ，打造全国600余家门店的连锁规模，并构建了个人品牌赋能商业的完整 闭 环； 萧大侠 （ 萧军 ）是途家民宿官方签约讲师， 住宿业新业态践行者，轻资产高效托管运营800间房源，实现90%超高出租率与快速成本回收的行业 标杆。 在他们描述各自经历和言语之间，我们不仅看到了创业者的梦想与坚守，也看到了东北大家庭氛围带给他们彼此成就的力量。 三位东北老铁的混沌奇缘 兰琦追混沌的课已经追了 10 年，去年她带着两个妹妹参加了混沌游轮大课。 尽管过去十年间业务顺 ...

Core Insights - The 68th China (Guangzhou) International Beauty Expo successfully concluded, showcasing a comprehensive layout of the beauty industry and facilitating trade cooperation, trend releases, and innovative exchanges [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The expo covered an exhibition area of over 300,000 square meters, gathering more than 3,800 enterprises and brands, attracting global professional buyers, brand owners, and distributors [1] - Over 50 forums and 30 specialized exhibition areas highlighted industry trends and innovations, demonstrating the vitality and development potential of the beauty industry [1] Group 2: Business Growth - The expo served as a dual platform for expanding networks and converting orders, enabling brands to achieve both sales and brand visibility [2] - More than 90% of participating brands received over 1,000 inquiries on-site, breaking down barriers and linking resources for high traffic, exposure, and conversion [2] Group 3: International Collaboration - The expo featured significant international participation, showcasing enterprises from various countries and regions, including Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, the USA, France, Germany, India, the UAE, and Hong Kong and Taiwan [3] - The event facilitated domestic companies to connect globally and provided an important window for international brands entering the Chinese market, promoting deep integration of the global beauty industry [3] - Two overseas exhibitions were announced for the second half of the year, including the Vietnam International Beauty Expo and the Indonesia International Beauty Expo, supporting Chinese companies in showcasing their brands globally [3] Group 4: Industry Trends - The beauty and wellness industry is shifting from large-scale development to focusing on high-potential niche markets, with new emerging sectors showing robust growth [4] - The expo presented the integration of beauty, health, and wellness industries, featuring immersive displays that highlighted the commercial potential of cross-industry collaboration [4] - A special healing-themed exhibition area showcased hundreds of healing brands and innovative projects, emphasizing the integration of beauty and wellness ecosystems [4] Group 5: Specialized Exhibitions - The expo featured over 30 themed special exhibitions targeting vertical fields and emerging sectors, driving new growth in the industry [5] - Notable themed areas included immersive experiences in forest therapy, traditional Chinese medicine, and innovative health products, attracting significant attention and engagement from attendees [6] Group 6: Industry Empowerment - Over 50 events were held during the expo, covering various fields such as supply chain, beauty cosmetics, and health, fostering discussions on future trends [7] - The collaboration between Douyin Mall and the expo created a highlight event, enhancing the consumer experience and providing a new model for cross-industry cooperation [7] - The expo concluded with plans for four upcoming beauty events in the second half of the year, inviting participation to deepen domestic demand and expand globally [7]

Core Insights - The transformation of the Jin Yin Lake area from a rural wetland to a thriving economic hub is highlighted, with over 40 headquarters enterprises established and an annual output value exceeding 100 billion yuan [1][8][12] - The area's ecological advantages and strategic location have attracted significant investments from various enterprises, including state-owned enterprises [4][6][10] - The integration of ecology, production, and living has created a desirable environment for residents and businesses alike, contributing to a population of approximately 230,000 [12][13] Group 1: Economic Development - The Jin Yin Lake headquarters economy has developed rapidly, with a focus on industries such as finance, health, high-end manufacturing, and modern services [7][8] - The establishment of the Jianghan Water Network Construction Development Co., Ltd. marked a significant milestone in attracting major enterprises to the area [3][4] - The Jin Yin Lake area has seen a continuous influx of headquarters enterprises since the early 2000s, with notable companies like China Unicom and Good Products entering the market [7][10] Group 2: Investment Attraction - The successful investment decisions by companies like Jiangsu Zhihui Port Technology Industry Group were influenced by the area's ecological environment and mature urban infrastructure [6][10] - The local government has played a crucial role in facilitating investments by providing comprehensive support throughout the project lifecycle [9][10] - The Jin Yin Lake Technology Park has attracted over 200 enterprises, primarily technology-driven, indicating a strong interest in the region's economic potential [11][12] Group 3: Community and Lifestyle - The integration of living spaces with business and ecological environments has enhanced the quality of life for residents, making it an attractive place for talent and executives [12][13] - The development of community infrastructure has expanded significantly, with the number of communities increasing from 9 to 18 and residential areas growing to accommodate the rising population [12][13] - The vision for the future includes creating a dual center of headquarters economy and modern services, further enhancing the area's appeal [14]

Group 1 - The fourth China (Macau) International High-Quality Consumption Expo and Hengqin World Bay Area Forum aims to promote the construction of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and empower the moderate diversification of Macau's economy [1] - The forum's theme is "Resilient China, Vibrant Bay Area: Innovation and Cooperation under the New Development Pattern," focusing on building a global high-end platform and fostering practical cooperation among global bay area economies [1][3] - The event has become an important vehicle for economic and trade cooperation in the Greater Bay Area, showcasing high-quality consumption and serving as a bridge for trade between China and the world [5] Group 2 - Experts discussed economic trends, industrial innovation, and consumer segmentation, emphasizing the need for high-quality consumption in the Greater Bay Area [3][4] - The National Development and Reform Commission highlighted that domestic demand is the main driver of economic growth, with consumption being the core component [3] - The event featured discussions on the integration of culture, sports, and tourism, with the upcoming 15th National Games seen as a catalyst for consumption upgrades in the region [6][7] Group 3 - The forum included parallel sessions focusing on cross-border e-commerce, cultural tourism, high-quality childcare, commercial consumption, health, and finance [7] - The China Gold Group's representative discussed the evolving consumer logic in the "fifth consumption era," emphasizing the importance of emotional resonance and social responsibility in consumer behavior [7] - The event aims to leverage the unique geographical advantages of Macau and Hengqin to create a platform for high-quality product and service display, facilitating international trade connections [7]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Shanghai Industrial Holdings (00363) has shown significant growth since its low in October 2022, reflecting the market's recognition of the company's long-term value despite recent short-term performance challenges [1][3]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shanghai Industrial Holdings reported revenue of HKD 9.476 billion, a decrease of 8.6% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 1.042 billion, down 13.2% year-on-year [3][4]. - The decline in performance is primarily attributed to reduced sales from the real estate sector and significant impairment provisions totaling HKD 1.15 billion for inventory and investment properties [4][5]. Business Segments - The real estate sector's cyclical pressure has negatively impacted overall performance, with the company actively managing its asset structure by selling properties to recover cash [4][5]. - The infrastructure and environmental segment contributed HKD 9.33 billion in net profit, accounting for 92.2% of the company's total net profit, demonstrating its stability during downturns in other sectors [9][12]. - The consumer goods segment achieved a net profit of HKD 403 million, a year-on-year increase of 26%, driven by strong performance in tobacco and health products [9][12]. Financial Structure and Dividends - The company maintained a strong cash position of HKD 28.5 billion and reduced its interest-bearing debt to HKD 58.51 billion, improving its net debt ratio from 65.12% to 60.99% [7][12]. - The interim dividend per share remained at HKD 0.42, with a total payout of HKD 457 million, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns despite short-term challenges [7][12]. Long-term Strategy - The company plans to focus on core urban renewal projects and enhance its asset management capabilities through the issuance of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) [4][11]. - Shanghai Industrial Holdings aims to leverage opportunities in the environmental sector, particularly in wastewater and solid waste treatment, aligning with national policies on ecological protection [11][12]. - The management emphasizes a value investment approach, seeking quality investment targets in infrastructure, environmental, and consumer sectors to ensure long-term asset appreciation and shareholder returns [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - Guosen Securities maintains an "outperform" rating for Shanghai Industrial Holdings (00363), highlighting the stability of its infrastructure and environmental protection sectors, strong growth in consumer and health segments, increased dividend rate, and reduced financial costs as key supports for future investment value [1] Infrastructure and Environmental Protection Sector - The infrastructure and environmental protection sector generated revenue of HKD 44.33 billion and net profit of HKD 9.33 billion in the first half of the year, indicating stable core business performance [1] - The expressway segment reported revenue of HKD 10.19 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%, with traffic volume rising by 2.1% [1] - Shanghai Industrial Environment achieved a net profit of RMB 3.44 billion, up 7.1% year-on-year, demonstrating strong resilience in solid waste and water treatment [1] Consumer and Health Sector Highlights - The consumer segment saw revenue and net profit growth of 11% and 26%, reaching HKD 19 billion and HKD 4.33 billion, respectively [2] - Nanyang Tobacco performed strongly with revenue of HKD 12.73 billion, a 16.4% increase, and net profit of HKD 3.37 billion, up 20%, with sales volume surging by 31% and successful overseas market expansion [2] - The health segment reported a net profit of HKD 1.41 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 118.4%, primarily due to a one-time gain recognized by Shanghai Pharmaceuticals [2] Financial Improvement and Dividend Policy - The company improved its financial situation by selling Yuefeng Environmental, using part of the proceeds to repay bank loans, resulting in interest-bearing liabilities decreasing to HKD 585.13 billion and the debt-to-asset ratio falling to 51.5% [3] - Financial costs decreased by 15% year-on-year, and the company announced an interim dividend of HKD 0.42 per share for 2025, totaling HKD 4.57 billion, maintaining the same level as the previous year, while the payout ratio increased from 38% to 43.8% [3]

Core Insights - Hubei Province is committed to enhancing its industrial economy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, aiming for significant growth in industrial output and modernization of its industrial structure [1][2][7] Industrial Growth and Structure - By 2024, Hubei's industrial enterprises are projected to generate revenues of 4.7 trillion yuan, ranking second in Central China, with a manufacturing value added of 1.76 trillion yuan [1] - The province has over 20,000 industrial enterprises, with 19 industries expected to reach a scale of 100 billion yuan [2] - Hubei's strategic focus includes upgrading traditional industries, nurturing emerging sectors, and planning for future industries [2][9] Technological Innovation - Hubei has been recognized as one of five provinces in the "National Action to Stimulate Industrial Innovation" initiative, with significant advancements in manufacturing innovation centers and R&D capabilities [3][8] - The province's R&D investment is expected to grow by 12.2% in 2024, with a strong emphasis on patent generation and technology breakthroughs [8] Digital Transformation - The number of 5G base stations in Hubei has increased from 31,000 at the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" to 176,000, marking a 4.6-fold increase [4] - Over 58,000 industrial enterprises have adopted cloud computing, representing nearly 60% of the total, with significant growth in the digital economy [4] Green Manufacturing - Hubei has achieved an 11.8% reduction in energy consumption per unit of industrial value added, with a strong focus on green manufacturing practices [5] - The province has created 268 national-level green factories, contributing to 24.72% of the total industrial output [5] Emerging Industries - Strategic emerging industries are expected to play a crucial role in Hubei's economic future, with high-tech manufacturing value added growing at an annual rate of 19.7% [7] - By 2024, the value added from the digital economy is projected to exceed 50% of the total, maintaining Hubei's leading position in Central China [7] Investment and Support - Hubei plans to continue its support for strategic emerging industries during the "15th Five-Year Plan," focusing on enhancing innovation capabilities and promoting the integration of technology and industry [9]

Group 1 - Hubei Province's high-tech enterprises have increased by 2.9 times since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, with projections to exceed 30,000 by 2024, ranking first in Central China [1] - The province's focus on emerging industries, represented by "light, chip, screen, terminal, and network," is seen as a new competitive advantage, with key clusters continuously developing [1] - By 2024, three major industries in Hubei—optoelectronics information, automotive manufacturing and services, and health—are expected to surpass 1 trillion yuan in scale, while several advantageous industries will exceed 500 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The biopharmaceutical manufacturing revenue in Hubei is projected to reach 123.5 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.5% [1] - China Information Communication Technology Group is focusing on AI and computing infrastructure opportunities, aiming to enhance development scale and strengthen collaboration with leading enterprises in Hubei [2] - Hubei will continue to increase support for strategic emerging industries, emphasizing the construction of innovation platforms led by national laboratories and research institutions [2]

Core Insights - The Fourth China (Macau) International High-Quality Consumption Expo and Hengqin World Bay Area Forum will be held from September 3 to 7, showcasing China's trade and commerce innovations and the quality of Chinese manufacturing [1][2] Group 1: Event Overview - The event will take place in Hengqin and Macau, with the forum running from September 3 to 5 and the expo from September 5 to 7 [1] - The expo aims to promote new chapters in trade development and showcase the achievements of regional industrial belts in China [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - In the first half of the year, China's service trade grew steadily, with total service import and export reaching 38,872.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.0% [1] - The wholesale and retail industry's added value was 6.8 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [1] Group 3: Regional Participation - Various regional delegations, including those from Guangdong, Jiangxi, Hunan, Shanxi, and others, will present representative enterprises and products at the expo [1] - The Guangdong delegation will focus on showcasing new cultural formats and the synergy between technology and culture [1] Group 4: International Collaboration - The Macau delegation will provide "one-stop" consulting services for investors, enhancing its role as a hub for trade cooperation between China and Portuguese-speaking countries [2] - The event will emphasize the introduction of international resources to help participating companies expand their supply and demand networks [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shanghai Industrial Holdings (00363.HK) is "Outperform the Market" [4][6][23]. Core Views - The real estate segment has negatively impacted both revenue and profit, with a 8.6% year-on-year decline in revenue to HKD 9.476 billion and a 13.2% drop in net profit to HKD 1.042 billion for the first half of 2025. This decline is attributed to reduced sales from property handovers and significant provisions for inventory impairment and fair value losses on investment properties [1][7]. - The infrastructure and environmental segment reported a revenue of HKD 4.433 billion, down 3% year-on-year, with net profit decreasing by 11.6% to HKD 933 million, primarily due to the impact of the Hangzhou Bay Bridge's exclusion from the financials and a loss from the sale of Yuefeng [2][12]. - The consumer and health segment showed positive growth, with revenue increasing by 11% to HKD 1.9 billion and net profit rising by 26% to HKD 433 million, driven by strong performance in the tobacco business and a one-time gain in the health sector [3][13]. Summary by Sections Real Estate - Revenue for the real estate segment was HKD 3.143 billion, a decrease of 23.2% year-on-year, with net losses expanding to HKD 465 million due to impairment provisions. The losses from Shanghai Industrial Development and Shanghai Urban Development were HKD 754 million and HKD 492 million, respectively [2][12]. Infrastructure and Environmental - The infrastructure segment's revenue was HKD 4.433 billion, down 3%, with net profit at HKD 933 million, a decline of 11.6%. The highway segment performed better, with a revenue increase of 5.1% to HKD 1.019 billion and a slight net profit increase of 0.5% to HKD 548 million [2][12]. Consumer and Health - The consumer segment achieved revenue of HKD 1.9 billion, up 11%, and net profit of HKD 433 million, up 26%. The tobacco business saw a revenue increase of 16.4% to HKD 1.273 billion, with a net profit of HKD 337 million, reflecting a 20% increase [3][13]. Financial Metrics - The company’s financial metrics show a decrease in debt, with interest-bearing liabilities dropping from HKD 59.492 billion to HKD 58.513 billion, and the debt-to-asset ratio decreasing from 53.5% to 51.5%. Financial expenses also fell by 15% to HKD 875 million [20][25]. Dividend Policy - The company maintained its dividend at HKD 0.42 per share, totaling HKD 457 million, with the payout ratio increasing from 38% to 43.8% [20][25]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company remains unchanged, with expected net profits of HKD 2.934 billion, HKD 3.084 billion, and HKD 3.197 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 4.8%, 4.8%, and 3.7% [4][23].