石油石化/炼化及贸易 桐昆股份（601233.SH） Q1 业绩同比小幅增长，静待长丝行业景气回升 2025 年 04 月 30 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 10.56 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 16.44/9.63 | | 总市值(亿元) | 253.94 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 253.01 | | 总股本(亿股) | 24.05 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 23.96 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 68.41 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -32% -16% 0% 16% 32% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 桐昆股份 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2024 年业绩同比增长，看好公司盈 利弹性与长期价值—公司信息更新报 告》-2025.4.28 《Q3 业绩承压，看好长丝盈利逐步修 复—公司信息更新报告》-2024.10.31 《2024H1 业绩同比大幅增长，看好长 丝盈利继续修复—公司信息更新报 告》-2024.8.29 ——公司信息更新报告 | 金益腾（分析师） | 龚 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Sinopec (600028) is maintained as "Buy" with a target price indicating a potential return of over 20% within the next six months [6][16]. Core Views - The report indicates that Sinopec's Q1 2025 performance slightly exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching 735.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.91%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.3 billion yuan, down 27.58% year-on-year [1]. - The decline in oil and gas prices has significantly pressured the sector's profits, with oil equivalent production at 131 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, while crude oil production decreased by 0.8% [2]. - Concerns over peak demand for refined oil have led to continued pressure on refining profits, with refining throughput at 6.2 million tons, down 1.8% year-on-year, and total refined oil sales at 5.6 million tons, down 7.1% year-on-year [3]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is set at 55.5 billion, 56.2 billion, and 61.7 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 12, and 11 times [4]. - The expected dividend yield for A shares in 2025 is projected at 5.6%, while H shares are expected to yield 9.0% [4]. - Financial data shows a projected revenue of 3,136.05 million yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 2.00% [5]. Market Position and Valuation - Sinopec's current market capitalization is approximately 555.2 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 541.5 billion yuan [6]. - The company's price-to-earnings ratio is forecasted to be 12.47 for 2025, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.80 [5][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of Sinopec [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows significant improvement on a quarter-on-quarter basis, with a reduction in losses in the chemical segment year-on-year [7] - The upstream segment's profit has narrowed, while the downstream refining sector has not yet recovered, but the chemical segment has shown a reduction in losses [7] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, with a projected dividend yield of 5.8% for A shares and 7.2% for H shares after tax [7] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 546 billion, 603 billion, and 655 billion RMB respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's profitability [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 735.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 7% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 13.3 billion RMB, down 28% year-on-year but up 119% quarter-on-quarter [7] - The report projects total revenue for 2023 to be 3,212.2 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decline of 3.19% [1] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.45 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.68 for A shares [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Guanghui Energy is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][11] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's performance is under pressure due to increased coal volume but decreased prices, emphasizing the growth potential in coal, oil, and chemical sectors along with high dividends [1][5] - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue at 36.44 billion yuan, down 40.7% year-on-year, and net profit at 2.96 billion yuan, down 42.6% year-on-year [1][6] - Despite the challenges, the company is expected to see a recovery in profits from 2025 onwards, with projected net profits of 3.58 billion yuan in 2025, 4.36 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.54 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20.8%, 22%, and 3.9% respectively [1][6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a coal production volume of 39.83 million tons, an increase of 78.5% year-on-year, while the sales volume reached 43.47 million tons, up 68% year-on-year [1][5] - The average selling price of coal has decreased significantly since Q3 2024, impacting the company's profitability [1][5] - The company plans to continue advancing its new projects in coal, oil, and chemical sectors, which are expected to enhance future growth [1][5] Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The company distributed a cash dividend of 0.622 yuan per share (before tax) in 2024, with an effective cash dividend of 0.70022 yuan per share, resulting in a current dividend yield of 12.5% based on the stock price as of April 24, 2025 [1][5]