公司报告 | 季报点评 中国石油（601857） 证券研究报告 降本超预期，Q1 业绩再证明抵抗油价波动能力 2025Q1 业绩略超我们和市场的预期 公司 2025Q1 营收 7531 亿元，同比-7.34%，其中归母净利润 468 亿元，同 比+2.27%，油价下跌的情况下，公司业绩再创历史新高，超出我们和市场 的预期。 降本效果明显，抵抗油气价下降的负面影响，上游利润仍然实现增长 勘探开发板块，2025Q1 原油产量同比+0.2%，天然气产量同比+1.2%。实现 油价 70 美元（同比-7.2%）；天然气价格 9.01 美元/mcf（同比-3.9%）。尽管 价格下滑明显，但是上游油气和新能源业务的经营利润达 461 亿，同比+30 亿，主要得益于单位操作成本下降（约贡献 21 亿）、油价下降导致税费支 出减少以及天然气增量贡献。 炼油及销售板块均面临成品油需求已达峰的压力，化工持续低迷 Q1 原油加工量同比-4.7%，成品油产量同比-6.3%，其中汽油产量同比-7.4%， 柴油产量同比-6.7%，煤油产量同比-2.3%，乙烯产量同比+0.04%，基本持 平。炼化板块经营利润 54 亿，同比减少约 27 亿 ...

资格编号：s0120523050002 邮箱：zhaikun＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 谢佶圆 邮箱：xiejy＠tebon.com.cn [Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 广汇能源(600256.SH) 2025 年 04 月 30 日 买入（维持） 所属行业：石油石化/炼化及贸易 当前价格(元)：5.73 证券分析师 翟堃 市场表现 -23% -11% 0% 11% 23% 34% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 广汇能源 沪深300 | 沪深300对比 | 1M | 2M | 3M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对涨幅(%) | -6.83 | -6.83 | -5.91 | | 相对涨幅(%) | -3.25 | -1.96 | -4.81 | | 资料来源：德邦研究所，聚源数据 | | | | 相关研究 1.《广汇能源（ 600256.SH）：聚焦能 源主业，具有稀缺"成长"属性》， 2024.9.20 广汇能源（600256.SH）：煤炭 产销增长，高股息凸显价值 投资要点 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 财务报 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Sinopec (600028) is maintained as "Buy" with a target price indicating a potential return of over 20% within the next six months [6][16]. Core Views - The report indicates that Sinopec's Q1 2025 performance slightly exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching 735.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.91%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.3 billion yuan, down 27.58% year-on-year [1]. - The decline in oil and gas prices has significantly pressured the sector's profits, with oil equivalent production at 131 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, while crude oil production decreased by 0.8% [2]. - Concerns over peak demand for refined oil have led to continued pressure on refining profits, with refining throughput at 6.2 million tons, down 1.8% year-on-year, and total refined oil sales at 5.6 million tons, down 7.1% year-on-year [3]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is set at 55.5 billion, 56.2 billion, and 61.7 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 12, and 11 times [4]. - The expected dividend yield for A shares in 2025 is projected at 5.6%, while H shares are expected to yield 9.0% [4]. - Financial data shows a projected revenue of 3,136.05 million yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 2.00% [5]. Market Position and Valuation - Sinopec's current market capitalization is approximately 555.2 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 541.5 billion yuan [6]. - The company's price-to-earnings ratio is forecasted to be 12.47 for 2025, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.80 [5][11].