01 事件概述 ► 液体黄金性能优异，助力公司品牌力提升 液体黄金轮胎应用国际首创化学炼胶技术，降低轮胎滚动阻力，提升抗湿滑和耐磨性能，成功解决了困扰轮胎行业多年的"魔鬼三角"问题，已经过国际权威机构西班牙 IDIADA、史密斯实验室、中国橡胶工业协会等多项权威机构的测试和认证。此外平均1条液体黄金卡客车胎、轿车胎可分别降低能耗4%、3%以上，新能源轿车可提高续 航5%-10%。 03 投资建议 披露2024年报及2025一季报：2024年营收318.0亿元，同比+22.4%，归母净利40.6亿元，同比+31.4%，扣非归母净利39.9亿元，同比+26.9%。2025Q1营收84.1亿元，同比 +15.3%/环比+2.9%；归母净利10.4亿元，同比+0.4%/环比+26.8%；扣非归母净利10.1亿元，同比-0.7%/环比+16.3%。 02 分析判断 ► 2025Q1业绩稳健增长 高盈利水平持续 收入端： 公司2024Q4营收同比+17.3%/环比-3.5%，2025Q1营收同比+15.3%/环比+2.3%，收入的同比高增主要系新产能持续投放，展望2025年印尼及柬埔寨产能会陆续 达到量供状态。 利润端： ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 2024 and Q1 2025, with revenue growth driven by increased production capacity and market demand, despite facing challenges from high raw material costs and potential impacts from U.S. tariffs [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 31.8 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.1 billion yuan, up 31% year-over-year [1]. - For Q4 2024, revenue was 8.2 billion yuan, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 17% but a year-over-year decrease of 4%. Net profit for the same period was 800 million yuan, down 23% quarter-over-quarter and 25% year-over-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.4 billion yuan, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 15% and a year-over-year increase of 3%. Net profit was 1 billion yuan, slightly below expectations, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.5% and a year-over-year increase of 27% [1]. Production and Sales - The company expects to achieve record tire production and sales in 2024, with projected tire sales of 72.16 million units, a 29% increase year-over-year [2]. - The average tire price decreased by 4% to 423 yuan due to product mix adjustments, while the gross margin remained stable at 27.58% [2]. - In Q1 2025, tire sales reached 19.37 million units, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 17% and a year-over-year increase of 6% [2]. Market Conditions and Tariffs - The impact of U.S. tariffs is expected to be limited in the short term, with the company positioned to expand its market share due to its competitive pricing and diversified sales structure [3]. - The company is anticipated to benefit from a decrease in raw material prices, which could improve margins and support growth [2][3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downward by 14% and 16% to 4.5 billion yuan and 5 billion yuan, respectively, with a projected net profit of 6.3 billion yuan for 2027 [4]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.37 yuan, 1.51 yuan, and 1.92 yuan, respectively [4]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 16.44 yuan, based on a 12x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 [4].

赛轮轮胎（601058.SH）系列点评四 2025Q1 业绩符合预期 全球化+液体黄金共振 2025 年 04 月 29 日 ➢ 2025Q1 业绩稳健增长 高盈利水平持续。收入端：公司 2024Q4 营收同比 +17.3%/环比-3.5%，2025Q1 营收同比+15.3%/环比+2.3%，收入的同比高增 主要系新产能持续投放，展望 2025 年印尼及柬埔寨产能会陆续达到量供状态。 利润端：2024Q4 归母净利同比-23.2%/环比-25.0%，主要系原材料当季度同比 +21.7%/环比+7.6%，2025Q1 原材料成本同比+4.5%/环比+7.9%继续提升， 但公司通过与原材料企业签订战略合作、长约等形式控制采购成本，同时进一步 提升费用端精益化管理，跟踪 2025Q1 公司净利率 12.4%，仍然维持高位。 公司 2024Q4 毛利率 25.3%，同比-8.3pct/环比-2.4pct，2025Q1 毛利率 24.7%， 同比-3.0pct/环比-0.5pct，变化主要系原材料成本同环比提升所致。费用方面， 2024Q4 销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别同比-1.9pct/-0.7pct/+0.2p ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, anticipating a significant increase in stock price over the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 31.8 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.4%, and a net profit of 4.06 billion RMB, up 31.4% year-on-year [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.4 billion RMB, reflecting a 15.3% year-on-year growth and a 2.9% quarter-on-quarter increase, with a net profit of 1.04 billion RMB, which is a slight increase of 0.47% year-on-year and a 26.8% increase quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company is experiencing rapid growth in tire production and sales, with a production volume of 74.81 million tires in 2024, up 27.6% year-on-year, and sales of 72.16 million tires, up 29.3% year-on-year [3]. - The company is implementing a global strategy, with production bases in Mexico and Indonesia under construction, which is expected to enhance its global market share and drive revenue growth [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 31.8 billion RMB in 2024 to 36.12 billion RMB in 2025, with a growth rate of 13.57% [9]. - The net profit is expected to increase from 4.06 billion RMB in 2024 to 4.49 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 10.61% [9]. - The diluted earnings per share are forecasted to rise from 1.236 RMB in 2024 to 1.367 RMB in 2025 [9]. Production and Sales - The company’s tire production and sales are on an upward trajectory, with Q1 2025 sales volume increasing by 16.84% year-on-year [3]. - The average selling price of tires has slightly decreased by 0.4% year-on-year due to changes in product structure [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is expanding its production capabilities internationally to mitigate trade barriers and enhance its competitive position in the global market [4]. - The construction of new production bases in Mexico and Indonesia is expected to be completed this year, further solidifying the company's global footprint [4].

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 22.06 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.75 billion yuan, up 26.0% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 5.70 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 13% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7%, and a net profit of 340 million yuan, down 23% year-on-year but up 740% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company’s tire production reached 89.12 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.65%, while sales were 85.45 million units, up 9.57% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The gross margin for 2024 was 22.06%, an increase of 1.05 percentage points year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin decreased to 14.92%, down 8.51 percentage points year-on-year and 1.16 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 5.98%, down 2.76 percentage points year-on-year but up 5.32 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Expansion and Investment - The Serbia base commenced production in September 2024, marking the first factory built by a Chinese tire company in Europe, with a capacity of 3 million passenger and light truck tires [2] - The company is collaborating with SUNSET S.A. in Brazil to invest 1.19 billion USD (approximately 8.71 billion yuan) in a project to produce various types of tires, expected to generate annual revenue of 1.063 billion USD and net profit of 166 million USD once operational [2] - The board has approved plans to issue H shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to expand financing channels [2] Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.989 billion yuan, 2.375 billion yuan, and 2.852 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 10.9, 9.1, and 7.6 times respectively [3]

橡胶工业协会会长徐文英指出，过去七八年，中国企业成功在其他国家建厂，只要美国不在全球范围内 加征关税，中国轮胎还是有出口美国的可能性。 自关税危机以来，降价出售成为轮胎行业公认"好走的路"。对此，徐文英呼吁企业要将价格稳定在合理 区间，进行公平竞争，这样行业才能向好发展。徐文英透露，协会正与有关部门积极沟通，力求在减税 降费、向企业发放补贴、增加消费补贴等方面为企业发展助力。 中化新网讯 在中美关税摩擦升级、轮胎企业出海面临挑战的当下，轮胎行业如何实现高质量发展?"中 美贸易战升级对于中国轮胎企业对外贸易而言风险是可控的。轮胎企业要树立信心，积极有为应对挑 战，加强科技创新，拓展全球视野，积极探索多元发展路径，实现合作共赢。"4月25日在江苏兴化召开 的2025全国轮胎行业会员大会暨兴达生态创新发展论坛上，业内专家及学者共商破局之道，凝聚发展共 识。 美国加征关税对轮胎企业影响如何是与会代表最关心的话题。"2024年轮胎行业整体出口额为1430亿 元，其中向美国出口额为56.5亿美元，占比仅为4.2%，利润约3亿元。而去年我国轮胎行业利润额达400 亿元，因此对美轮胎贸易波动对于我国轮胎行业发展实际影响有限， ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company demonstrated resilience with record high revenue and profit in 2024, achieving total revenue of 31.802 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.42%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.063 billion yuan, up 31.42% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company continued to show growth with total revenue of 8.411 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.29%, and a net profit of 1.039 billion yuan, which is stable despite short-term adverse impacts from raw material and shipping costs [4] - The company’s overseas factories in Vietnam and Cambodia contributed significantly to profitability, with net profits of 1.585 billion yuan and 0.904 billion yuan respectively, accounting for 39% and 22% of total net profit [4] - The company has successfully launched several new products targeting various market segments, enhancing its brand strength and market competitiveness [4] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 36.963 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 16.2%, and net profit is expected to be 4.172 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 2.7% [7] - Key financial metrics for 2024 include a gross margin of 27.6% and a return on equity (ROE) of 20.8% [6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.23 yuan per share for 2024, totaling 0.756 billion yuan, which represents 30.76% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company demonstrated resilience with record high revenue and profit in 2024, achieving total revenue of 31.802 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.42%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.063 billion yuan, up 31.42% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.411 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.29%, and a net profit of 1.039 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.47% [1] - The company’s production capacity release has effectively supported performance, with sales volume reaching 72.16 million units in 2024, a 29.34% increase year-on-year, and 19.37 million units in Q1 2025, up 16.84% year-on-year [4] - The overseas factories in Vietnam and Cambodia have significantly contributed to profitability, with net profits of 1.585 billion yuan and 0.904 billion yuan respectively, accounting for 39% and 22% of total net profit [4] - The company has successfully launched several new products, enhancing its competitive edge in various market segments [4] Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenue for 2025-2027 is expected to reach 36.963 billion yuan, 43.028 billion yuan, and 49.708 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.2%, 16.4%, and 15.5% respectively [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 4.172 billion yuan, 5.124 billion yuan, and 6.225 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 2.7%, 22.8%, and 21.5% respectively [7] - The diluted EPS for 2025-2027 is expected to be 1.27 yuan, 1.56 yuan, and 1.89 yuan [7]

证券代码：601058 证券简称：赛轮轮胎 公告编号：临 2025-036 赛轮集团股份有限公司 2024 年第四季度主要经营数据公告 2、轮胎贸易 除自产自销轮胎外，公司还经销公司合并范围外的其他企业生产的轮胎产 品。2024 年第四季度，公司轮胎贸易收入为 19,827.46 万元。 二、主要产品和原材料的价格变动情况 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号—行业信息披露》之《上 市公司行业信息披露指引第十三号—化工》要求，现将赛轮集团股份有限公司（以 下简称"公司"）2024 年第四季度主要经营数据公告如下： 一、主要产品的产量、销量及收入实现情况 2024 年第四季度，公司实现营业收入 817,424.20 万元，其中轮胎产品收入 801,373.19 万元（包括自产自销轮胎实现的收入及轮胎贸易收入）。 1、自产自销轮胎 | 主要产品 | 产量（万条） | 销量（万条） | 收入（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 轮胎 | 2 ...

本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号—行业信息披露》之《上 市公司行业信息披露指引第十三号—化工》要求，现将赛轮集团股份有限公司（以 下简称"公司"）2025 年第一季度主要经营数据公告如下： 一、主要产品的产量、销量及收入实现情况 2025 年第一季度，公司实现营业收入 841,146.65 万元，其中轮胎产品收入 830,780.93 万元（包括自产自销轮胎实现的收入及轮胎贸易收入）。 1、自产自销轮胎 | 主要产品 | 产量（万条） | | 销量（万条） | 收入（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 轮胎 | | 1,988.33 | 1,937.39 | 808,972.68 | 证券代码：601058 证券简称：赛轮轮胎 公告编号：临 2025-037 赛轮集团股份有限公司 2025 年第一季度主要经营数据公告 2025 年第一季度，受产品结构变化等因素影响，公司自产自销轮胎产品的 平均价格同比下降 0.40%， ...