来源：环球市场播报 欲览更多环球财经资讯，请移步7×24小时实时财经新闻 市场 12月17日收盘：美股涨跌不一道指跌逾300点 非农数据描绘疲软经济 12月17日美股成交额前20：特斯拉创历史新高，马斯克坐拥6000亿美元 宏观 特朗普周三将发表全国讲话 或预告明年政策动向 白宫新闻秘书：特朗普周三讲话可能谈到未来政策计划 特朗普政府扩大对外国公民入境美国的限制 美国威胁对欧盟数字服务税计划实施报复 或启动301调查 美国威胁对欧盟数字服务税计划实施报复 埃森哲、西门子等或遭限制 贝森特：本周还将进行美联储主席面试 12月17日热门中概股涨跌不一 拼多多跌1.25%，小马智行涨7.28% 美国原油价格跌至2021年初以来最低水平 市场面临供应过剩压力。 现货黄金跌0.03% 报4303.69美元/盎司 美国就业数据拖累欧洲股市下跌 国防股走低 特朗普拟面试美联储理事沃勒 考虑提名其担任美联储主席 美国副总统万斯称他经常和白宫幕僚长威尔斯开阴谋论玩笑 欧盟放宽内燃机禁令 汽车制造商迎来喘息之机 公司 特斯拉股价创历史新高 辅助驾驶乐观情绪升温 特斯拉董事会成员获得30亿美元股票奖励，远超Alphabet、Met ...

Company - Tesla's stock price reached an all-time high, driven by optimistic sentiment around its autonomous driving capabilities [7][6] - Tesla board members received $3 billion in stock awards, significantly surpassing those of Alphabet, Meta, and Nvidia [7] - Apple plans to release at least seven new iPhone models over the next two years [7] - Freddie Mac appointed Kenny M. Smith as the new CEO [7] - The largest electricity auction in the U.S. may heighten public concerns over electricity costs [7] - The 2025 autonomous taxi industry report indicates Waymo is planning global expansion, with Zoox and Tesla also preparing for growth [7] - Pfizer's 2026 performance outlook is conservative, with substantial investment returns expected to take time [7] - Luckin Coffee is reportedly considering a bid for Nestlé's coffee chain, Blue Bottle Coffee [7] Industry - The easing of internal combustion engine bans by the EU provides relief for automobile manufacturers [7] - U.S. corporate activity growth has slowed to a six-month low, with input price indicators rising further [7] - U.S. unemployment rate rose to a four-year high last month, with October non-farm payrolls showing the largest decline in five years [7] - The AI boom is expected to drive a 9% increase in chip manufacturing equipment sales by 2026, reaching $126 billion [7] - WTI crude oil futures fell below $55 per barrel for the first time since 2021, influenced by signs of oversupply and progress in Ukraine peace talks [7] - The U.S. debt market saw Treasury bonds close higher, with fluctuations following the release of employment data [7]

来源：金十数据 然而，市场上周对芯片制造商博通和云基础设施供应商甲骨文的季度财报并不满意，尽管两家公司的营 收均超出预期，并且发布的预测显示AI需求正在飙升。 如今严重依赖债务市场为其数据中心建设融资的甲骨文，对于如何继续为其承诺的项目提供资金披露的 细节甚少。该公司表示，由于来自Meta Platforms(META.O)和英伟达(NVDA.O)等公司的新合同，本财 年资本支出将从先前预测的350亿美元增至500亿美元。 该公司还在大幅增加租赁承诺。截至11月30日，甲骨文拥有为期15至19年的数据中心租赁和云容量承 诺，总额达2480亿美元，较8月底增长了148%。 在人工智能市场的至少一个角落，投资情绪已明显转为负面。 与AI基础设施建设密切相关的三家公司——博通(AVGO.O)、CoreWeave(CRWV.O)和甲骨文(ORCL.N)， 在上周大幅下挫后，周一（6月16日）股价再度遭遇重挫。 尽管这三只股票今年迄今仍保持可观涨幅（CoreWeave于今年三月上市），但近期的趋势表明，投资者 担忧投资回报最终能否证明当前巨额支出的合理性。 威灵顿管理公司后期增长业务主管马特·维泰勒周一表示： "这无疑 ...

Core Insights - A collaborative research team from the University of Colorado Boulder and Sandia National Laboratories has developed a super-miniature optical phase modulator, which is only one-hundredth the diameter of a human hair, capable of controlling laser frequencies with extremely low power consumption and high precision, providing core support for future large-scale quantum computers [1][2] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The new optical phase modulator utilizes microwave frequency vibrations oscillating billions of times per second to precisely control the phase of lasers, efficiently generating stable new laser frequencies on a chip [1] - The device's microwave power consumption is approximately 1/80 that of various commercial modulators while achieving the same functionality [1] Group 2: Implications for Quantum Computing - Lower power consumption leads to reduced heat generation, allowing for more optical channels to be densely packed and even integrated on the same chip, enabling unified and precise control of laser frequencies and phases for a large number of atoms [2] - This advancement supports the realization of a powerful and scalable atomic control system, essential for quantum computing [2] Group 3: Manufacturing and Industry Impact - The device is manufactured using CMOS technology in a wafer fabrication facility, which is the most mature and scalable manufacturing technology in the modern chip industry, widely used in smartphones, computers, and various electronic devices [2] - This achievement is expected to drive the transition of optical technology from large, high-energy traditional optical devices to highly integrated, low-power photonic chip platforms [2]

Core Insights - The partnership between STMicroelectronics and SpaceX has resulted in the delivery of over 5 billion RF antenna chips for the Starlink satellite network since 2015, with expectations to double this number by 2027 [1] - The demand for specialized chips capable of handling high data rates in harsh space environments is increasing due to the shift from government-led projects to a rapidly growing commercial market in the aerospace industry [1] - STMicroelectronics recently launched the STM32V8 microcontroller, designed for high reliability in harsh environments, which has been selected by SpaceX for its Starlink laser systems [2] - SpaceX is reportedly preparing for an IPO with a target valuation of $1.5 trillion, which would significantly impact the commercial aerospace sector and increase competition [3][4] Company Developments - STMicroelectronics' revenue for Q3 decreased by 2% year-over-year to $3.19 billion, with a significant drop in operating profit by 53% to $180 million [2] - The company anticipates Q4 revenue of $3.28 billion, which falls short of analysts' expectations [2] - The STM32V8 microcontroller's high performance and reliability are crucial for meeting the real-time processing demands of SpaceX's Starlink network [2] Industry Trends - The commercial aerospace sector is gaining investor attention, particularly due to SpaceX's potential IPO and its implications for the industry [3][4] - Regulatory changes in the U.S. and initiatives in China are expected to accelerate the development of the commercial aerospace industry [4] - Analysts suggest that the growth of low-cost, reusable commercial rockets will provide substantial support for space infrastructure development [4][5]

三年前，OpenAI发布了火爆一时的ChatGPT，引发了人们对人工智能（AI）的狂热。尽管资金仍在源 源不断地涌入，但人们也愈发质疑这股热潮能否持续下去。 从近期英伟达股票遭到抛售，到甲骨文公司在报告AI支出增加后的股价暴跌，再到围绕OpenAI相关公 司的市场情绪恶化，种种迹象表明，投资者对AI的怀疑情绪正在加剧。 展望2026年，华尔街上关于AI泡沫的激辩开始变得不同了。他们普遍确信那就是个泡沫，并开始争论 最终戳破泡沫的会是什么，以及是在潜在的泡沫破裂之前控制AI风险敞口，还是冒险加倍下注，利用 这项改变游戏规则的技术。 资本管理公司Callodine Capital Management首席执行官Jim Morrow表示："我们正处于经济周期的关键阶 段。这是一个很好的故事，但我们现在有点急于观望，看看投资回报是否会很好。" AI交易的令人不安之处包括它的商业化应用、开发它的巨大成本，以及消费者最终是否会为这些服务 付费。这些答案将对股市的未来产生重大影响。标普500指数近三年的牛市在很大程度上是由谷歌和微 软等科技巨头，以及芯片制造商英伟达和博通等受益于AI基础设施支出的公司推动的。如果它们停止 ...

上周五，美股AI科技股迎来了一场"腥风血雨"：英伟达、甲骨文和博通为首的科技股相继大跌，让投资者对AI泡沫和算力基建前景的担忧重燃。 事实上，在最近的财报季中，英伟达、甲骨文和博通都交出了强劲的财报业绩，公司高管们也在财报电话会上反复强调公司业绩增长的前途 无量。 但与AI热潮初期投资者们狂热的"all in AI"不同，这一次，投资者们的目光不在专注于那些令人头晕目眩的超高增速上，而是聚焦在了支出 成本、毛利率和风险因素之上。 这也表明，围绕AI的交易逻辑正逐渐从"宏大叙事"转向"现实回报"。一些投资者们担忧，AI泡沫的破裂，似乎已经进入倒计时。 "这只股票（博通）今年迄今已上涨75-80%。现在出现了一些回调也很正常，"瑞穗证券分析师维杰·拉凯什周五表示，"我们会 在回调时买入。" 但是，也有分析师认为，博通的股价下跌可能更多是由于市场对于AI泡沫的整体焦虑情绪。 博通的好成绩单却换来市场"毒打"？ 在这样的转变潮流中，博通可谓是一个代表案例。该公司在上周发布了一份全面好于预期的财报后，股价却在周五暴跌11.43%。这是该股 自今年1月份暴跌17.4%以来最大的单日跌幅。 财报显示，在人工智能数据中心定制 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations and adjustments, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.92% to 25,737.85 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.79% to 5,537.11 points, the National Enterprises Index down 1.2% to 8,970.29 points, and the Red Chip Index down 0.3% to 4,137.97 points due to the significant drop in US stocks last Friday [1] - Major technology stocks saw declines, with Alibaba down 2.73%, Tencent Holdings down 1.54%, JD Group down 1.12%, Xiaomi down 2.28%, NetEase down 0.18%, Meituan down 1.07%, Kuaishou down 3.85%, and Bilibili down 1.12% [1] - Insurance stocks performed well, with China Ping An reaching a four-year high, while the biopharmaceutical sector weakened, with Baijiazhensheng down over 6% [1] - Semiconductor stocks faced significant declines, with Huahong Semiconductor down over 6% [1] Company News - China Merchants Energy (01138.HK) signed shipbuilding contracts with Dalian China Merchants Heavy Industry, Yangzhou China Merchants Heavy Industry, and Guangdong China Merchants Heavy Industry for the construction of one ethylene ship and eighteen oil tankers, with a total cost of RMB 7.882 billion [2] - ZhongAn Online (06060.HK) reported a cumulative original insurance premium income of approximately RMB 32.904 billion for the first eleven months [3] - R&F Properties (02777.HK) achieved total sales revenue of approximately RMB 12.7 billion in the first eleven months, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.63% [4] - Yida China (03639.HK) reported a contract sales amount of approximately RMB 681 million for the first eleven months, a year-on-year decrease of 23.22% [5] - Kason International (00496.HK) signed a steel structure procurement contract with suppliers, involving an investment of RMB 43.5366 million [5] Clinical and Regulatory Updates - Boke Vision Cloud-B (02592.HK) successfully held a meeting after the second phase of clinical trials for CBT-004 [6] - Fuhong Hanlin (02696.HK) received acceptance from the National Medical Products Administration for the listing registration application of Hanshuo® in combination with chemotherapy for neoadjuvant/adjuvant treatment of gastric cancer, which has been included in priority review [6] - Shijiazhuang Pharmaceutical Group (01093.HK) received approval for a new indication for Donyi® (liposomal irinotecan injection) for first-line treatment in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer [6] - Hengrui Medicine (01276) received a clinical trial approval notice for HRS-1780 tablets [8] Investment Insights - Guosen Securities indicated that the short-term adjustment in the Hong Kong stock market opens up space for a market rise in 2026, with net inflows from southbound funds exceeding RMB 110 billion in November [13] - Dongwu Securities highlighted that the main focus for Hong Kong stocks is on technology and cyclical sectors, while also paying attention to innovative drugs, suggesting a barbell allocation strategy due to potential macro and political risks [13] - CITIC Securities projected that the Hong Kong stock market will benefit from internal "14th Five-Year Plan" catalysts and external fiscal and monetary easing from major economies, expecting a sustainable upward trend in revenue and profit [13] - Dongwu Securities also forecasted a continued recovery in the Hong Kong stock market in 2026, citing expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a temporary easing of Sino-US relations [14]

Core Insights - The article discusses the growing skepticism among investors regarding AI investments, particularly in light of recent stock sell-offs of companies like Nvidia and Oracle, and the financial challenges faced by OpenAI [2][3] - There is a debate among investors about whether to reduce exposure to AI before a potential bubble bursts or to double down on investments to capitalize on the technology's disruptive potential [2] - Concerns about the high development costs of AI and whether consumers will ultimately pay for these services are critical to the future of the stock market [2] Investment Trends - The S&P 500 has seen a bull market worth $30 trillion over the past three years, primarily driven by major tech companies like Alphabet and Microsoft, as well as companies benefiting from AI infrastructure spending [2] - Major tech firms are expected to spend over $400 billion on capital expenditures in the next 12 months, largely for data centers, despite the costs outpacing revenue growth from AI [8][11] - The depreciation costs for major tech companies are rising significantly, with Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta's depreciation costs expected to reach approximately $300 billion by next year [11] Financial Challenges - OpenAI plans to spend $1.4 trillion in the coming years but is projected to burn through $115 billion by 2029 before generating cash flow [3][4] - Oracle's stock has been negatively impacted by higher-than-expected capital expenditures and underwhelming cloud sales growth, leading to increased credit risk [4][11] - Concerns about the sustainability of funding for AI initiatives are growing, with potential repercussions for companies reliant on external financing [4][8] Market Valuation - The current valuation of tech stocks, particularly those involved in AI, is not at the extreme levels seen during the internet bubble, with the Nasdaq 100's price-to-earnings ratio at 26 times expected earnings [12] - Some AI-related stocks, like Palantir and Snowflake, have extremely high valuations, while major players like Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft maintain more moderate price-to-earnings ratios below 30 [12][13] - The article suggests that while there is a risk of a market correction, the current pricing of most companies does not yet warrant panic [13]

Market Overview - The stock market experienced a decline last Friday, with the Nasdaq Composite Index dropping approximately 1.7%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index fell by 0.5% and 1% respectively [1] - This week, the Nasdaq Index is down about 1.5%, while the Dow Jones Index has risen over 1%. The S&P 500 Index decreased by 0.6% but closed at a historical high on Thursday [1] Federal Reserve and Leadership Speculation - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) recently lowered interest rates by 25 basis points, marking the third rate cut of 2025 and the most contentious decision of the year, with three members dissenting [2] - Market attention is shifting towards potential candidates to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, with Kevin Hassett and Kevin Walsh being prominent names. As of last Friday, Hassett had a 73% probability of being nominated, while Walsh's chances increased to 39% after a recent report [2][3] Corporate Earnings and Market Sentiment - Major companies such as Micron, Accenture, Nike, FedEx, and Darden Restaurants are set to report their quarterly earnings this week, which will be closely monitored by investors [1] - Oracle's stock fell over 10% after announcing that AI-related costs would exceed expectations, while Broadcom's earnings report indicated profit pressures, leading to an 11% drop in its stock [5] AI Investment Trends - The recent surge in debt issuance by large companies, particularly in the investment-grade bond market, has reached $75 billion in September and October, significantly higher than the pre-pandemic average of $37 billion per year [5] - Analysts suggest that the next major beneficiaries of AI technology may not be chip manufacturers or large-scale companies, but rather businesses that implement this technology to enhance growth and productivity [5]