Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring market expectations and institutional movements in response to unpredictable major events like the US-China tariff disputes, suggesting that strategies should be adjusted flexibly to balance risk and return [1]. Summary by Sections Phase 1: Accumulation of Bullish Forces Before April 3 Tariff Implementation - The market from late March to early April 2025 can be divided into "consolidation" and "breakout" phases, where indicators such as KUP1, cors, HIGH0, and KSFT1 effectively reflected the accumulation of bullish forces, signaling an impending market turning point [2]. - HIGH0 was the first indicator to issue a bullish signal [2]. - The weak fluctuation in treasury futures alongside rising volume-price correlation indicated a weakening of bearish energy, with cors subsequently issuing a bullish signal [2]. - KUP1 and KSFT1 indicators confirmed the bullish turning point simultaneously [2]. Phase 2: Marginal Exit of Speculative Funds Before May 12 Negotiation Results - In early May 2025, the treasury futures market exhibited characteristics of "price increase with volume decrease," reflecting the marginal withdrawal of speculative funds [2]. - On May 7, KUP1, HIGH0, and KSFT1 simultaneously indicated a contraction in bullish momentum [2]. - The contraction of bullish forces was further confirmed by cors on May 9, with a release of profit-taking demand leading to a subsequent reduction in trading volume [2]. Current Situation and Recommendations - As of late May, the US tariff policy remains volatile, and the intensification of the Russia-Ukraine conflict alongside Middle Eastern risks creates a turbulent overseas environment; however, the domestic bond market remains in a narrow fluctuation pattern [3]. - The KSFT1 indicator has issued a mildly bullish signal, suggesting a release of bearish sentiment, while other indicators have yet to confirm further changes in bullish and bearish forces [3]. - Historical backtesting shows that KSFT1 broke below the threshold on May 28 and May 30, indicating that bearish sentiment may have been sufficiently released, issuing a mildly bullish signal [3]. - Continuous monitoring of the aforementioned volume-price indicators is recommended to capture the movements of major institutional investors [3].

证券代码：601456 证券简称：国联民生 公告编号：2025-034 号 国联民生证券股份有限公司 第五届董事会第二十五次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、董事会会议召开情况 国联民生证券股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第五届董事会第二十五次 会议于 2025 年 6 月 1 日以书面方式发出通知，于 2025 年 6 月 6 日在公司总部国 联金融大厦 9 楼会议室以现场结合通讯的方式召开。 会议应出席董事 9 人，实际出席董事 9 人（其中：董事长葛小波先生、董事 杨振兴先生、董事刘海林先生、独立董事朱贺华先生、独立董事高伟先生、独立 董事郭春明先生以通讯方式出席）。会议由董事长葛小波先生主持，公司监事和 相关高级管理人员列席会议。 会议的召集、召开和表决情况符合法律、法规、证券上市地交易所上市规则 及《国联民生证券股份有限公司章程》 （以下简称《公司章程》）、 《国联民生证券 股份有限公司董事会议事规则》的相关规定。 二、董事会会议审议情况 （一）《关于聘任公司高级管理人员等相关事项的议 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has announced a significant operation of 1 trillion yuan buyout reverse repos starting from June 6, 2025, to maintain liquidity in the banking system, marking a shift in its usual announcement timing from the end of the month to the beginning [1][4][6] Group 1: Operation Details - The buyout reverse repo operation will be conducted with a fixed amount and interest rate bidding, with a term of 3 months (91 days) [1] - This tool, introduced in October 2024, aims to enhance liquidity management and cross-period adjustment capabilities within one year [1][5] - The PBOC has conducted multiple buyout reverse repo operations up to early June 2025, indicating a proactive approach to liquidity management [1] Group 2: Reasons for the Operation - The operation is primarily aimed at countering liquidity pressure, as 1.2 trillion yuan of reverse repos will mature in June [3][4] - It also serves to strengthen expectation management and policy transparency, with the PBOC breaking the convention of announcing operations at the end of the month [4][6] - The move is seen as a response to the high volume of interbank certificates of deposit maturing in June, which is expected to reach 4.2 trillion yuan, the highest monthly record [4][9] Group 3: Market Impact and Future Outlook - The announcement is expected to stabilize market expectations and maintain a reasonable liquidity level in the banking system [4][6] - Analysts suggest that the buyout reverse repo will complement the Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) as a channel for medium to long-term liquidity [5][9] - The PBOC's actions are viewed as part of a broader strategy to support credit growth to the real economy and manage liquidity effectively [5][9]

智通财经6月6日电，证监会核准中央汇金投资有限责任公司成为长城国瑞证券有限公司、东兴证券股份 有限公司、信达证券股份有限公司、东兴基金管理有限公司、信达澳亚基金管理有限公司、长城期货股 份有限公司、东兴期货有限责任公司、信达期货有限公司实际控制人。 ...

Core Insights - The event titled "Global Tariff Turbulence: Challenges and Choices for Enterprises Going Global" was successfully held by Shanghai Pudong Development Bank's Shenzhen branch, gathering experts from various sectors to discuss globalization strategies for over a hundred corporate representatives [1] Group 1: Opportunities and Challenges for Enterprises - Exchange rate fluctuations are a significant concern for companies going global, with the State Administration of Foreign Exchange's Shenzhen branch promoting a neutral approach to exchange rate risk and encouraging the use of derivative tools to mitigate risks [3] - Zhang Antian, a senior macro analyst from China Merchants Securities, provided an in-depth analysis of the opportunities and challenges for foreign trade enterprises in the new global economic landscape, broadening the global perspective for businesses [3] Group 2: Legal and Talent Considerations - Legal risk prevention is essential for companies expanding internationally, with Liu Xiaobin from Beijing Yingke Law Firm discussing strategies for foreign trade enterprises to handle breach of contract issues, offering practical compliance guidance [4] - Talent is identified as a core competitive advantage for companies going global, with Wu Shucheng from The Chinese University of Hong Kong (Shenzhen) emphasizing the importance of cultivating international talent and global-minded business leaders [4] Group 3: Financial Services Support - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank's Shenzhen branch is committed to supporting the real economy and assisting companies in their global expansion, with a focus on providing comprehensive financial solutions in a complex international trade environment [5] - The bank introduced a "smart" cross-border comprehensive service plan, showcasing its advantages in global settlement and financing, while also offering professional exchange rate hedging solutions [5] - Looking ahead, the bank aims to enhance its customer-centric service philosophy and leverage the advantages of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to create a more robust cross-border financial service ecosystem [5]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from the China Interbank Market Dealers Association reveals the market evaluation results for the main underwriters of non-financial corporate debt financing tools for 2024, marking the first disclosure under the revised evaluation rules established in June 2023 [1] Group 1: Evaluation Criteria and Results - The revised evaluation criteria introduced a new D grade for underwriters with significantly weaker business capabilities and less proactive operations, in addition to the existing A, B, and C grades [1] - A total of 72 main underwriters were evaluated, with Jiangxi Bank, Jilin Bank, and Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank receiving a D grade due to past violations in bond investment and underwriting activities [1][2] - The criteria for being classified as D grade include weak business capabilities, poor compliance, and other conditions deemed appropriate by the association [1] Group 2: Specific Violations - Jiangxi Bank facilitated violations by allowing others to hold bonds improperly, failing to identify or mitigate transaction risks [2] - Jilin Bank charged additional fees under the guise of "fund supervision account fees," interfering with the issuance rate of debt financing tools [2] - Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank faced penalties for inadequate bond underwriting management and inappropriate sales of insurance products [2] Group 3: Outstanding Underwriters - The association evaluated underwriters based on four dimensions: value discovery capability, inclusive capability, pioneering capability, and service openness capability [3] - Notable institutions in value discovery include CITIC Securities, ICBC, and China Merchants Bank [3] - In terms of inclusive capability, Bank of China and CICC were highlighted for their performance [3] - Pioneering capability was recognized in institutions like CITIC Bank and Industrial Bank [3] - For service openness capability, Bank of China and ICBC were also noted for their strengths [3] Group 4: Future Directions - The association plans to optimize the market evaluation mechanism for underwriting institutions, aiming to enhance their operational capabilities and quality, thereby supporting the high-quality development of the interbank bond market [4]

智通财经6月5日电，证监会首席律师程合红6月5日在2025天津五大道金融论坛上发表主旨演讲时表示， 下一步，构建更加诚信友善的市场环境。科技创新本身的高风险，也为支持服务科技创新的资本市场活 动带来高风险。风险越大，要求的信用水平越高。在资本市场支持服务科技创新过程中，需要进一步加 强市场的诚实信用建设，提高市场参与各方的诚信水平。证监会将修改完善《证券期货市场诚信监督管 理办法》，进一步充实资本市场诚信档案数据库系统，建立健全失信惩戒和守信激励，严厉打击欺诈发 行、信息披露虚假和中介机构未勤勉尽责等严重失信行为，增强市场透明度，发挥中介服务机构核查把 关作用，提升从业人员职业操守，以高度诚信的资本市场，支持服务高水平的科技创新发展。 证监会首席律师程合红：将修改完善《证券期货市场诚信监督管理办法》 建立健全失信惩戒和守信激 励 ...

智通财经6月5日电，证监会首席律师程合红6月5日在2025天津五大道金融论坛上发表主旨演讲时表示， 下一步，切实做好投资者保护。广大投资者的信任、参与，是资本市场支持服务科技创新的基础。要坚 持对科创企业的融资服务和对投资者合法权益的保护同部署、同安排、同落实，加强科创企业有关科技 创新属性与投资风险的信息披露，完善相应的投资者适当性制度机制。积极引导支持企业发行人及其控 股股东、实际控制人、有关证券公司依法自愿开展对投资者先行赔付的承诺与履行工作。持续提升 12386服务平台精细化服务管理水平；协力推动构建特别代表人诉讼常态化工作机制。支持开展有关证 券期货行业仲裁试点工作。抓紧研究制定《关于进一步加强资本市场中小投资者保护的若干意见》的投 资者保护综合性政策文件。 证监会：抓紧研究制定《关于进一步加强资本市场中小投资者保护的若干意见》的投资者保护综合性政 策文件 ...

Core Viewpoint - Futu Securities has completely stopped allowing mainland users to open accounts using proof of existing holdings, now restricting account openings to those who actually work or live abroad [1] Group 1 - Futu Securities no longer accepts account openings based on existing proof for mainland clients [1] - Only clients who can provide a valid mainland ID and recent proof of work or residence in Hong Kong or Macau are eligible to open accounts [1]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities reports that Japanese government bond yields are likely to remain high in the short term due to the gradual exit from ultra-loose monetary policy by the Bank of Japan and the upward pressure from U.S. Treasury yields [1] Group 1 - The long-term Japanese government bond yields have reached historical highs, indicating a significant shift in the market [1] - The primary reason for this trend is the unsustainable nature of the previous ultra-loose monetary policy, leading to a reduction in bond purchases by the Bank of Japan [1] - The recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields has acted as a catalyst for the increase in Japanese bond yields [1] Group 2 - Short-term Japanese bond yields are expected to remain elevated, while the medium-term outlook will depend on the actions and stance of the Bank of Japan [1]