有色金属矿采选业
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20251213 周报:美联储降息靴子落地,周内金银铜等金属表现强势-20251213
Huafu Securities· 2025-12-13 13:14
工业金属:基本面偏紧叠加降息预期,铜价刷新年度高点。铜,美联 储降息预期仍在,基本面偏紧格局延续支撑铜价;中长期,随美联储降息 加深提振投资和消费,叠加特朗普政府后续可能宽财政带来的通胀反弹将 支撑铜价中枢上移,新能源需求强劲将带动供需缺口拉大,继续看好铜价。 铝,短期处于季节性淡季或导致铝价震荡运行;中长期看,国内天花板+ 能源不足持续扰动,同时新能源需求仍保持旺盛,紧平衡致铝价易涨难跌。 个股:铜,关注江铜、洛钼、盛屯、藏格、金诚信及北铜,H股关注中色 矿及五矿等。铝,关注天山、宏创、云铝、神火、华通、宏桥及中孚等标 的。 华福证券 行 业 研 究 有色金属 20251213 周报:美联储降息靴子落地,周内金银 铜等金属表现强势 投资要点: 行 业 定 期 报 告 贵金属:美联储降息靴子落地,黄金震荡偏强运行。美国劳工部12月4 日公布的数据成为市场焦点,上周初请失业金人数意外降至19.1万人,创 下逾三年来的最低水平,远低于经济学家预期的22万人。这一降幅达2.7 万人,缓解了此前对劳动力市场急剧恶化的担忧。在俄乌冲突方面,美国 施压乌克兰和谈的同时,法、德、英领导人在伦敦会晤泽连斯基并明确表 达支持, ...
紫金矿业(2899.HK):大型矿山停产冲击供应 美国关税预期加剧短缺
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-13 05:13
Core Viewpoint - The global copper supply is under pressure due to the shutdown of large mines and anticipated U.S. tariffs, leading to a projected shortage in the coming years. Demand for copper is expected to rise significantly driven by AI, green energy, and defense sectors, with forecasts indicating that existing and planned mining capacities will only meet about 70% of global copper demand by 2035 [1][2]. Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Multiple large mines have ceased operations this year, impacting global supply and prompting market revisions of copper production forecasts for 2025 and 2026 [1]. - The market anticipates that the U.S. may impose at least a 25% tariff on refined copper by mid-2026, leading to a shift of copper inventories towards the U.S. and exacerbating shortages in other regions [1]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that current and planned mining capacities will only satisfy approximately 70% of global copper demand by 2035 [1]. Group 2: Growth Drivers - Copper is expected to be in high demand over the next decade due to its applications in AI, green energy transitions, and defense restructuring [1]. - The rapid development of AI, particularly in the U.S. with initiatives like the Genesis Mission, is significantly increasing copper demand for data center construction [1]. - China's commitment to specific greenhouse gas reduction targets is anticipated to support copper demand through upgrades in electrical infrastructure and power grids [1]. Group 3: Company Performance - Zijin Mining has set a five-year plan aiming for a copper production increase of over 49% by 2028, reaching 1.5 to 1.6 million tons, alongside a gold production increase of over 47% to 100-110 tons [1]. - The company reported a 10% year-on-year increase in revenue to 254.2 billion RMB and a 55% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders to 37.86 billion RMB, exceeding market expectations [2]. - The company’s cash flow from operating activities grew by 44% to 52.11 billion RMB, indicating strong financial health [2]. Group 4: Diversification and Future Outlook - The company operates multiple mining projects across 17 countries, enhancing its risk diversification capabilities [2]. - Recent acquisitions, including the completion of the Akyem gold mine in Ghana and the Raygorodok gold mine in Kazakhstan, have bolstered its gold reserves and expanded its footprint in West Africa and Central Asia [2]. - If metal prices continue to rise, the company's earnings forecast for 2026 could be adjusted upwards, with projected earnings per share increasing by approximately 28% to 2.475 RMB [2].
持续加码!江西铜业第三次提价收购英国矿企SolGold
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-12-13 02:59
Group 1 - Jiangxi Copper has raised its acquisition offer for SolGold to 28 pence per share, valuing the deal at approximately £842 million (around $1.13 billion) [1] - The latest offer represents a 7.7% increase from the previous bid of 26 pence per share made last month [1] - SolGold's board has shown a significant shift in stance, indicating a preference to recommend the new offer to shareholders if formally presented [1] Group 2 - Jiangxi Copper has gained support from other major shareholders of SolGold, which could enhance its resource reserves significantly if the acquisition is successful [1] - The core asset of SolGold is the Cascabel copper-gold project in Ecuador, regarded as one of the world's top undeveloped copper deposits [1] - Despite the improved acquisition terms and initial board approval, market sentiment remains cautious, with SolGold's stock price dropping by about 11% after the announcement [3] Group 3 - The acquisition still requires several conditions to be met, notably approval from Chinese regulatory authorities for overseas investments [3] - Jiangxi Copper has confirmed that it has initiated the domestic approval process for the acquisition [3] - The outcome of this acquisition will be a significant case to observe the overseas expansion and international resource acquisition trends of Chinese mining companies [3]
华钰矿业:股东减持股份结果公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-12 13:43
证券日报网讯 12月12日晚间,华钰矿业发布公告称,截至本次股份减持计划披露前,公司股东青海西 部稀贵金属有限公司(简称"青海稀贵金属")持有本公司无限售流通股80,298,564股,占本公司当时 总股本比例9.7929%。近日,公司收到青海稀贵金属出具的《关于公司减持计划实施情况的告知函》, 青海稀贵金属自2025年8月23日(减持计划公告之日)起十五个交易日后(即2025年9月13日)进入减持 计划可实施期间。在该减持可实施期间,青海稀贵金属通过集中竞价方式,合计减持本公司无限售流通 股7,962,200股股份,占公司总股本0.9710%。青海稀贵金属本次减持计划实施期间已届满。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
山金国际:将以发展战略规划为指引,加大矿产资源获取力度推进目标实现
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 13:08
有投资者在互动平台向山金国际提问:"董秘您好!公司之前制定发展规划时提到相关的产量和储量目 标,目前看依照现有储量和计划增加的产量有限,离规划目标差距依旧很大,请问公司后续打算放弃长 期发展规划吗?还是打算努力实现该目标?又该如何实现?" 针对上述提问,山金国际回应称:"尊敬的投资者您好!公司2023年发布的战略规划是基于现有矿山产 能和外延收购可能贡献的产能而制定的发展规划和目标,规划中涉及的未来计划、目标等前瞻性陈述及 预期,不构成对投资者的实质承诺。后续公司将以发展战略规划为指引,一方面对现有矿山加强管理, 确保业绩稳步增长。另一方面深入发掘具有较高安全边际的国内外矿产资源项目,加大矿产资源获取力 度,推进战略规划目标的实现。感谢您的关注!" 声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成,仅供参考,不构成个人投资建议。 来源:市场资讯 ...
全球关键矿场投资白热化
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-12-12 05:11
全球大宗商品格局正经历着剧烈的变革,资源丰富的国家正寻求通过与大宗商品贸易商建立合作关系, 加强对自身矿产财富的控制。 近日,刚果(金)国有矿业公司Gécamines SA和瑞士大宗商品公司Mercuria Energy Trading宣布建立合 作伙伴关系,旨在促进刚果(金)矿业部门铜、钴和其他关键矿产的销售。 美国国际发展金融公司(DFC)表示,有兴趣入股这一新合作项目。DFC的加入可能会使美国终端用户 获得铜和钴供应的优先购买权。 值得注意的是,12月初,刚果(金)与卢旺达在美国的斡旋下签署了和平协议,不久后,Gécamines与 Mercuria便确认建立新的合作伙伴关系。而DFC的加入也与这一时点密切相关,在和平协议签署前,特 朗普发表讲话称,当天将分别与刚果(金)以及卢旺达签署双边协议,为美国获取关键矿产资源开辟新 机会。 改变传统采矿收入模式 Gécamines和Mercuria的合作关系是根据今年早些时候签署的谅解备忘录建立的,旨在优化Gécamines的 铜、钴生产收入。 两个实体之间的风险分担机制是,Mercuria提供运营支持,涵盖物流、市场准入和交易专业知识的运 用;Gécamines ...
洛阳钼业(603993):深度研究:多元并购揽全球,远见经略定乾坤
East Money Securities· 2025-12-12 03:04
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has established a world-class resource moat through exceptional counter-cyclical acquisition capabilities and a governance structure combining private mechanisms with industrial resources [5] - The core copper-cobalt segment is experiencing capacity release and rising copper prices, with significant growth potential from the TFM and KFM mines in the Democratic Republic of Congo [5] - The diversified asset portfolio includes copper-cobalt, molybdenum-tungsten, niobium-phosphate, and gold, providing both high growth potential and safety margins [5] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a global leader in the production of copper, cobalt, molybdenum, tungsten, and niobium, with operations across Asia, Africa, South America, and Europe [4][16] - It has undergone three ownership reforms since 2004, establishing a governance structure that is agile and well-suited for international competition [17][25] Copper-Cobalt Segment - The company acquired the TFM copper mine in 2016 and the KFM copper-cobalt mine in 2020, positioning itself as a major player in the global copper and cobalt markets [4][5] - The TFM mine is expected to reach an annual copper production capacity of 450,000 tons and cobalt production of 37,000 tons by 2024 [4] Molybdenum-Tungsten Segment - The domestic molybdenum-tungsten business provides stable cash flow and profit margins, with the potential for a strategic revaluation of tungsten prices due to limited supply growth [4][5] Niobium-Phosphate Segment - The acquisition of Brazilian niobium-phosphate assets has made the company the second-largest niobium producer globally, with production expected to exceed 10,000 tons in 2024 [4][5] Gold Segment - The company successfully acquired the Cangrejos gold mine in Ecuador, which is projected to become a significant profit contributor with substantial gold and copper reserves [7][5] Trade Business - The acquisition of IXM, a major global base metals trader, has enabled the company to integrate mining and trading operations, enhancing its market intelligence and operational synergies [7][5]
矿业巨头启示录之五:艾芬豪的崛起之路,从勘查先锋到世界级矿企
Minmetals Securities· 2025-12-12 02:44
价格周期高点退出。这一逻辑在其早期 Voisey's Bay 镍铜矿、缅甸 Monywa 铜矿、蒙古 Oyu Tolgoi 铜金矿等项目的交易中得到充分印证。后期,艾芬豪 将战略重心转向非洲地区,重点推进 Kamoa-Kakula、Kipushi、Platreef 三大 旗舰项目。艾芬豪在转型过程中,并未放弃其勘查基因,而是将其转化为"长 期运营旗舰项目+持续勘查储备资源"的双轮驱动发展战略,以成熟运营项目 保障稳定盈利,通过持续勘查工作储备优质资源以保障增长潜力。目前,公司 仍在非洲、中亚等资源潜力区域持续推进勘查,现有 Western Forelands、 Mokopane Feeder、Chu-Sarysu Copper Basin 等 5 个主要勘查项目,按权 益比例,公司铜资源量 2702 万吨,镍资源量 171 万吨,铂资源量 268 2 万盎 司,钯资源量 2733 万盎司。 艾芬豪的成功得益于其勘查战略、技术创新,以及与市场周期深度协同的资 本运作能力。公司始终聚焦资源富集区域,在资本市场尚未充分关注的阶段 率先启动勘查开发,同时凭借技术创新,实现全链条赋能。资本运作方面,艾 芬豪通过多元化融 ...
可控核聚变异动!920576,“30cm”涨停
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-12 02:42
早盘,可控核聚变概念走强,雪人集团、华菱线缆2连板,天力复合(920576)再度"30cm"涨停,录得2连板。四创电子、国机重装等多股涨停。消息面 上,国际能源署预测,到2030年,全球核聚变市场规模有望接近5000亿美元(3.5万亿元人民币)。 | < V | 锂矿概念 | | E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 1898.35 0.53% | | | | 资讯 | 成份股 | | 車要指数 | | 名称 | 最新 | 涨幅 ↓ | 涨跌 | | 金圆股份 | 6.59 | 10.02% | 0.60 | | 000546 | | | | | 新迅达 | 18.35 | 7.44% | 1.27 | | 300518 | | | | | 西部矿业 | 25.90 | 3.72% | 0.93 | | 601168 | | | | | 国城矿业 | 24.14 | 3.21% | 0.75 | | 000688 | | | | | 威领股份 | 14.29 | 2.88% | 0.40 | | 002667 | | | | | 紫金矿业 | 31.70 | 2.39% | 0. ...
内蒙古兴业银锡矿业股份有限公司关于诉讼进展之收到云南省人民检察院 《不支持监督申请决定书》的公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-12-11 14:22
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:000426 证券简称:兴业银锡 公告编号:2025-95 内蒙古兴业银锡矿业股份有限公司关于诉讼进展之收到云南省人民检察院 《不支持监督申请决定书》的公告 本公司及董事 会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗 漏。 一、诉讼基本情况 2019年10月,内蒙古兴业银锡矿业股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")收到云南省昆明市中级人民法院 (以下简称"昆明中院")送达的《应诉通知书》([2019]云01民初2672号),公司与西藏鹏熙投资有限 公司(以下简称"西藏鹏熙")针对昆明市东川区铜都矿业有限公司(以下简称"铜都矿业")51%股权转 让事宜所签订的《股权转让协议》的内容及履行产生争议而导致诉讼纠纷。公司作为本案的被告,在收 到《应诉通知书》后积极应诉,并对本案提起了反诉。昆明中院于2019年12月12日对本案进行了公开开 庭审理,并于2020年4月13日出具(2019)云01民初2672号《民事判决书》做出了一审判决。公司不服昆 明中院做出的一审判决,并于2020年5月10日向云南省高级人民法院(以下简称"云南高 ...