Core Viewpoint - The article announces the upcoming "May 2025 Passenger Car Market Analysis Release Conference," organized by the China Automobile Dealers Association Passenger Car Market Information Joint Conference Secretariat, to provide insights into the national passenger car market dynamics, including policies, prices, used cars, new energy vehicles, commercial vehicles, and the Shanghai automotive market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Conference Details - The conference will be held online and is supported by various organizations, including Sohu Auto, Shanghai Information Center, and Ipsos (China) Consulting Co., Ltd. [1][2] - The report will be released on May 11, 2025, at 10:00 AM [1][3]. Group 2: Report Content - The report will cover several key topics, including: 1. April 2025 Shanghai automobile market registration data [1] 2. March 2025 price index report [1] 3. Analysis of two mandatory national standards regarding passenger car fuel consumption evaluation methods and electric vehicle energy consumption limits [1] 4. Analysis of the impact of U.S. tariff policies on the automotive industry [2] 5. March 2025 new energy vehicle industry monthly report [2] 6. April 2025 light commercial vehicle market forecast [2] 7. March 2025 Beijing automobile market analysis [2] 8. April 2025 national passenger car market analysis [3]

中国4月初步统计新能源车市场零售同比增长37%。 乘联分会：中国4月初步统计乘用车市场零售同比增长17%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends and developments in the Chinese passenger car market, focusing on the "New Four Modernizations" index, which includes electrification, intelligence, and connectivity indices, highlighting the recovery and growth in the market as of March 2025 [3][12]. Group 1: New Four Modernizations Index - The New Four Modernizations Index for March 2025 is reported at 52.2, with the electrification index at 51.1, intelligence index at 4.4, and connectivity index at 25.7 [5][8]. - The electrification index has returned to above 51, indicating a positive trend in the market [8][12]. - The intelligence and connectivity indices have shown significant rebounds compared to the previous month, suggesting a recovery in these areas as well [10][12]. Group 2: Market Performance - In March 2025, the retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 1.94 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.4% and a month-on-month increase of 40.2% [12]. - The retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 991,000 units, with a year-on-year growth of 38.0% and a month-on-month growth of 45.0% [12]. - The article notes a significant recovery in the passenger car market in March, with expectations for continued growth driven by popular models and upcoming new car launches around the Shanghai Auto Show [12]. Group 3: Index Calculation and Definition - The New Four Modernizations Index is composed of one primary index and three secondary indices, reflecting the market performance of vehicles meeting the standards of electrification, intelligence, and connectivity [14][15]. - The calculation method for the indices involves determining the market share of vehicles that meet any of the criteria for electrification, intelligence, or connectivity [14]. - Definitions for electrification, intelligence, and connectivity are provided, detailing the specific criteria that vehicles must meet to be included in the respective indices [15].

Core Insights - The year marks the 50th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and the EU, with bilateral trade increasing from 2.4 billion USD at the beginning to 780 billion USD currently [1] Trade Performance - In the first quarter of this year, China's imports and exports with the EU reached 1.3 trillion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.4%, which translates to over 10 million CNY in trade every minute [1] - In the consumer goods sector, 72% of bags, 51.7% of passenger cars, and 42.2% of cosmetics imported by China in the first quarter came from the EU [1] - China's exports to the EU in electronics, clothing and accessories, and daily chemical products grew by 7.7%, 3%, and 16.1% year-on-year, respectively [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with significant contributions from the M8 model, which has received over 60,000 pre-orders within 13 days of its launch [8] - The company is planning to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to enhance its international capital operations and competitiveness [8] - The financial forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 project net profits of 9.6 billion, 14.2 billion, and 18.5 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22, 15, and 11 times [8] Financial Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 19.15 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 240.6% in net profit, reaching 750 million RMB [8] - The gross margin for Q1 was 27.6%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.1 percentage points, indicating strong product positioning in the high-end automotive market [8] - The company's asset-liability ratio improved to 76.83% from 87.38% at the end of 2024, primarily due to sustained profitability and equity financing [8] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - The total revenue forecast for 2023 is 35.84 billion RMB, with a projected increase to 145.18 billion RMB in 2024, and further growth to 210.83 billion RMB by 2027 [1] - The projected net profit for 2023 is a loss of 2.45 billion RMB, turning to a profit of 5.95 billion RMB in 2024, and reaching 18.53 billion RMB by 2027 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from a loss of 1.50 RMB in 2023 to 11.34 RMB by 2027 [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 performance shows significant improvement, and the group's reform is accelerating [1] - The company aims for a sales target of 4.5 million units in 2025, with a projected annual R&D investment intensity of around 3% [7] - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted to 9.7 billion and 12.8 billion respectively, down from previous estimates [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 744.7 billion, with a decline to 627.6 billion in 2024, followed by a slight recovery to 640.2 billion in 2025 [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to drop significantly from 14.1 billion in 2023 to 1.7 billion in 2024, before rebounding to 9.7 billion in 2025 [1][8] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be 0.14 in 2024, increasing to 0.84 in 2025 and further to 1.10 in 2026 [1][8] Market Data Summary - The closing price of the stock is 15.59 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 180.46 billion [5] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 0.62 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 108.29 based on the latest diluted EPS [5][8] Financial Ratios and Projections - The company’s asset-liability ratio stands at 63.33% [6] - The projected gross margin for 2024 is 11.02%, with expectations of slight fluctuations in subsequent years [8] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 0.58% in 2024 to 5.11% by 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenues of CNY 210.4 billion, CNY 376.6 billion, and CNY 591.6 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with a projected net profit of CNY -38.0 million, CNY -20.5 million, and CNY 2.7 million [4]. - The company has established a multi-tiered product matrix that drives sales growth, with a 2024 sales volume of 113,900 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.5% [1][2]. - The partnership with Huawei has significantly enhanced the company's position in the high-end smart electric vehicle market, with the flagship model, the Xiangjie S9, leading sales in its category for seven consecutive months [3]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company is projected to generate revenue of CNY 145.12 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.35%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be CNY -6.948 billion, a decrease of 28.67% [1][5]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 37.73 billion, a remarkable year-on-year growth of 150.75%, with a net profit of CNY -9.53 billion, reflecting a 6.15% increase compared to the previous year [1][4]. - The company’s R&D investments have translated into high-end product premiums and positive user reputation, showcasing strong commercialization capabilities [2].

A股公司2024年年报披露基本完毕。据证券时报记者统计，截至4月29日19时，已披露年报的上市公司近5300家。上 述公司合计实现营业收入70.6万亿元，合计实现归母净利润5.25万亿元。近六成A股公司营收保持增长，近八成公司 盈利，净利润超过千亿元的企业增至10家，营收超千亿元的企业达到117家创出新高。 2024年，智能网联汽车、低空经济、人工智能、人形机器人行业蓬勃发展，半导体、计算机设备等板块增收又增 利。如从事高性能光模块业务的新易盛去年营收达到86.5亿元，同比大增179%；实现归母净利润28.4亿元，同比大 增312%。 畜牧养殖、乘用车等板块收入利润增速也居前列。养殖行业迎来显著回暖，相关企业大面积扭亏。Wind数据统计显 示，申万二级行业中，养殖业去年净利润整体同比增长328%。不过，各行业表现依然分化明显，房地产、钢铁、煤 炭、纺织服装等板块整体收入同比有所下滑。 截至记者发稿，逾5100家A股公司披露了2025年一季报，其中，超六成企业一季度营收实现增长。进入今年一季度， 多个行业经营再上新台阶，也有部分行业经营下滑趋势得到扭转。如去年下滑明显的影视院线行业，今年一季度业 绩大幅回暖。风 ...

汽车/乘用车 长安汽车（000625.SZ） Q1 业绩有所增长，新车密集上市销量增长可期 | 日期 | 2025/4/28 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 12.18 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 17.07/11.32 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,207.54 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,006.16 | | 总股本(亿股) | 99.14 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 82.61 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 62.89 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -36% -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 长安汽车 沪深300 相关研究报告 《2024Q4 业绩高增，以三大计划为引 领开启新车周期—公司信息更新报 告》-2025.4.15 《Q3 业绩有所承压，新车密集上市业 绩改善可期—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.11.1 《Q2 业绩同环比高增，华为赋能新车 销量增长可期—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.8.31 赵旭杨（分析师） 徐剑峰（联系人） zhaoxuyang@kysec.cn 证书编号：S079 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changan Automobile is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year increase in Q1 performance, with a notable rise in net profit driven by increased foreign exchange gains. However, revenue decreased by 7.73% year-on-year to 34.161 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 16.81% to 1.353 billion yuan [4][5] - The company is optimistic about its long-term development due to the strong launch of three new energy vehicle brands, advancements in intelligent technology in collaboration with Huawei, and ongoing expansion into overseas markets [4][5] Financial Summary - Q1 total sales reached 705,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%. The three new energy brands, Avita, Deep Blue, and Qiyuan, saw significant sales growth of 80.5%, 68.2%, and 8.5% respectively, while traditional series sales slightly declined by 8.0% [5] - The company plans to launch several new products in 2025, including the Deep Blue S09 and Avita 06, aiming for substantial monthly sales targets [6] - Financial projections for 2025-2027 estimate net profits of 8.637 billion yuan, 10.680 billion yuan, and 12.857 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.0, 11.3, and 9.4 times [4][7] Sales and Market Strategy - The company is advancing its "Shangri-La + Beidou Tianzhu + Haina Baichuan" plans, focusing on electric vehicle development, intelligent technology integration, and global market expansion [6] - The overseas market strategy includes launching 12 products in high-growth regions such as Southeast Asia, Europe, and the Middle East, with a sales target of 1 million units [6]