一、行情 9月30日，存储概念再度大涨，德明利、诚邦股份、深科技等涨停，江波龙、天山电子等涨幅超10%。 1）隔夜美股存储个股继续大涨，闪迪大涨16.87%，西部数据涨9.23%，希捷涨5.35%，美光涨4.22%。 2）摩根大通认为，这一轮周期的核心驱动力来自AI计算对高性能内存的巨大需求，其影响已从高端的高带宽内存 （HBM）迅速扩展至传统DRAM和NAND闪存。市场动态显示，供应商在未来12个月内可能难以满足全部需求，从而 支撑价格持续走强。 在AI计算对高性能内存的巨大需求的推动下，"内存饥渴"趋势正在推动整个行业进入结构性增长阶段，DRAM市场正 迎来一个从2024年持续至2027年的"前所未有的四年定价上行周期"，预计到2027年，全球存储市场规模将达到近3000 亿美元。 3）CFM闪存市场近日发布2025年Q4存储市场展望报告。报告指出，预计四季度，服务器eSSD涨幅将达到10%以上， DDR5 RDIMM价格涨幅约10%~15%。 4）据证券时报援引台湾工商时报消息，继闪迪、美光、三星及西部数据宣布涨价之后，存储模组大厂威刚在日前宣 布，自29日起停止DDR4报价，DDR5与NAND闪存优先 ...

部分GPU因存储速度不足导致实际应用效果未达预期，制约了整体效率的提升。 没有"存"，用什么"算"？ 部分GPU虽理论性能强劲，但实际应用效果却未达预期，主要症结在于存储速度不足——GPU因等待存 储数据而陷入闲置，不仅造成资源浪费，更制约了整体效率的提升。随着算力领域的发展节奏不断加 快，市场对存力，也就是存储的需求也日益严苛。 近日，英韧科技创始人、董事长吴子宁表示，在新一代AI场景下，SSD将采用GPU直接调度方式，以超 高吞吐量的极致性能构建新型存算架构，这为SSD应用带来更高的产品要求和趋势，通过GPU Direct等 技术直接与显存通信，在数据中心内扩展HBM，在边缘侧提供确定性响应。存储介质细化为高速缓存 层与大容量存储层，以分层化、高性能的新一代存储架构为算力突破提供坚实支撑。 英韧科技在企业级存储市场持续发力，提供面向AI应用的存储解决方案，这与海外公司的发展步调一 致。今年6月，铠侠在投资人大会上推出"AI SDD"产品，基于国际头部GPU厂商英伟达需求打造；8 月，三星、海力士相继推出超高速颗粒产品，匹配超高性能SSD，极高IOPS，应对人工智能GPU直接 调度数据的技术趋势。 在数据中 ...

周一，美光科技(MU.US)涨逾5%，报165.47美元。消息面上，9月以来，闪迪、美光等厂商先后宣布调 涨产品价格，其中NAND Flash部分型号涨幅超10%，点燃市场对存储产业链的看涨预期。大摩认为， 当前仍处于NAND上升周期的早期阶段,价格上涨趋势预计将持续到2026年，但投资者需密切关注云厂 商订单实际执行情况、厂商业绩发布会以及扩产新闻。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，周一，美光科技(MU.US)涨逾5%，报165.47美元。消息面上，9月以来，闪迪、美 光等厂商先后宣布调涨产品价格，其中NAND Flash部分型号涨幅超10%，点燃市场对存储产业链的看 涨预期。大摩认为，当前仍处于NAND上升周期的早期阶段, 价格上涨趋势预计将持续到2026年，但投 资者需密切关注云厂商订单实际执行情况、厂商业绩发布会以及扩产新闻。 ...

美光科技(MU.US)涨超5%，报165.15美元。消息面上，9月以来，闪迪、美光等厂商先后宣布调涨产品 价格，其中NAND Flash部分型号涨幅超10%，点燃市场对存储产业链的看涨预期。摩根士丹利预判涨 价周期可能延续至2026年，形成短期强催化效应。(格隆汇) ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a slight recovery after a morning dip, with the ChiNext Index rising nearly 3% [1] - The lithium battery sector experienced strong upward momentum, with various sub-sectors such as sodium-ion batteries and solid-state batteries leading the gains [2] - The lithium battery indices reported significant increases, with the lithium battery index up by 4.22% and the power battery index up by 4.52% [3] Group 2 - A total of 421 companies were surveyed by institutions in the past 10 trading days, with 57 companies receiving attention from overseas institutions [4] - Deep South Circuit (002916) was the most focused company, receiving visits from 29 overseas institutions, highlighting its capacity expansion through technology upgrades and new projects [4] - Zhongkong Technology was also notable, with 20 overseas institutions participating in its survey, and it recently won two major projects from Sinopec, expected to generate significant annual output value [4] Group 3 - Stocks that received overseas institutional research saw an average increase of 3.11% over the past 10 trading days, with Demingli (001309) leading with a 56.95% increase [7] - More than half of the surveyed stocks received net purchases from financing clients, with Zhongchuang Zhiling (601717) receiving the highest net buy of 342 million yuan [7] - The storage industry is experiencing a positive outlook due to increased capital expenditures from major tech companies, with expectations for storage prices to maintain an upward trend in the fourth quarter [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the need for a paradigm shift in storage solutions to address the energy consumption challenges posed by the explosive growth of AI computing power [1][2] - The traditional "one-size-fits-all" storage architecture is identified as a key bottleneck for AI development, prompting the proposal of a new paradigm centered around "scene-defined storage" [1] - The CEO of Zhiyu Technology highlighted that as computing power rapidly increases, inefficient data infrastructure leads to significant power and computing waste, positioning storage as the "axis" of AI development [1] Group 2 - Industry experts discussed the necessity for storage solutions in autonomous driving to balance performance, cost, size, and reliability under safety constraints [2] - The focus of supercomputing and intelligent computing centers has shifted from peak traffic to long-term system stability, suggesting a transition from standardized to scene-customized storage systems [2] - The demand for storage devices in industrial control requires a lifespan of 5 to 15 years, necessitating collaboration between suppliers and chip manufacturers from the design phase [2]

Core Viewpoint - The current storage cycle is characterized by "conservative expectations" and is driven by increased CAPEX from North American CSPs and overflow demand for HDDs, with expectations of sustained storage market growth at least until the second half of 2026 [1][2]. Supply Side - The previous storage cycle began in June 2023, with major manufacturers reducing production, leading to a balance in supply and demand for DRAM and NAND Flash, resulting in price increases of 20%-70% for DRAM and 80%-200% for NAND Flash from their lows [1][2]. - Current NAND production capacity utilization is around 80%+, with cautious CAPEX planning from NAND manufacturers, which may create a supply gap [4][5]. - Major NAND manufacturers have announced production cuts of 10%-15% since December 2024, focusing on higher-tier products and reducing supply of lower-tier products [2][4]. Demand Side - The surge in AI CAPEX is driving demand for data center storage, with expectations of an 81% and 64% year-on-year increase in AI CAPEX for 2025 and 2026, respectively [3]. - There is a significant supply shortage of HDDs, leading CSPs to consider transitioning to eSSD for cold data storage, with enterprise SSD demand projected to reach 339.2 billion GB by 2026, a 35% increase year-on-year [3][5]. Price Trends - Since September, NAND manufacturers have begun to raise prices, with SanDisk announcing a price increase of over 10% for flash products due to high demand for enterprise eSSD and tight supply of lower-tier products [6]. - NAND Flash wafer and module prices have seen slight increases, with expectations of a 5%-10% price rise in Q4 2025 [6]. Investment Strategy - The industry is optimistic about the sustained demand for enterprise SSDs, with recommendations to focus on companies that are rapidly advancing in enterprise storage and benefiting from price increases [8].

人民财讯9月29日电，中信证券研报认为，相比于上一轮存储上行周期是"强预期弱现实"，本轮存储周 期上行是"保守预期→北美CSP上调CAPEX+HDD需求外溢"，叠加NAND在过去约3个季度的时间里保 持相对较低的产能利用率水平以及海外原厂谨慎的CAPEX预期，存储景气度上行至少将延续到2026年 下半年。建议重视企业级SSD需求景气度，建议重点关注企业级产品进展快、涨价受益逻辑强的存储模 组公司。 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - US stock market rebounded last Friday with the Dow Jones up 0.65%, Nasdaq up 0.44%, and S&P 500 up 0.59% [1] - Tesla shares rose by 4.02%, while Microsoft, Amazon, Google A, and Nvidia saw increases of up to 0.87%. Apple and Meta Platform experienced declines of up to 0.69% [1] Group 2: Policy and Regulations - Trump’s new chip policy mandates that domestic production must match imports on a 1:1 basis, with tariffs imposed on non-compliant manufacturers [2] - The White House clarified that Trump's drug tariffs do not apply to trade agreement partners like the EU and Japan, indicating a 15% rate rather than 100% [3] Group 3: Technology Developments - Apple is reportedly developing a ChatGPT-like application for internal testing of the new Siri [4] - Elon Musk announced on X platform that Tesla is working to scale up its Optimus project [5] - Meta has announced the development of a humanoid robot system, which is considered a strategic initiative on par with augmented reality [6] - Musk officially announced that the FSD (Full Self-Driving) version 14 will begin rollout this week [8] Group 4: Industry Insights - Adata, a major storage module manufacturer, announced it will stop quoting DDR4 prices starting September 29, prioritizing DDR5 and NAND flash supply to key customers [7] - The EU has decided to immediately reinstate sanctions related to Iran's nuclear program, with Iran's military stating readiness to respond to any threats [9] Group 5: Economic Indicators - In China, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size surged by 20.4% year-on-year in August, marking the highest growth rate since December 2023, reversing a 1.5% decline in July [10] - The People's Bank of China emphasized the need for effective monetary policy adjustments to enhance forward-looking and targeted measures [10] Group 6: Market Trends and Predictions - Securities firms discussed holding stocks or cash during the upcoming holiday, with expectations of a "post-holiday rally" in October [12] - The cyclical industries have shown over 65% probability of rising in the fourth quarter, with over 60% likelihood of outperforming the CSI 300 index [12] - The semiconductor sector, particularly GPU manufacturers, is expected to see accelerated development and investment following the IPO approval of domestic leader Moore Threads [14] Group 7: Commodity Prices - Silver prices reached new highs, with Shanghai silver closing up 3.90% at 10,936 RMB/kg, and COMEX silver futures rising 2.77% to $46.36/oz [11] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have surpassed 1,100 RMB/g, with major brands planning price increases of approximately 20%-30% post-October [15] Group 8: Corporate Announcements - Galaxy Magnetics plans to acquire 100% of Kyoto Longtai for approximately 450 million RMB [19] - New Dazheng intends to acquire 75.15% of Jiaxin Liheng, expanding its business footprint in key regions [19] - Century Hengtong is set to acquire a 13% stake in Guizhou Qiantong Zhili Technology for 113 million RMB [20]