Group 1 - Bitcoin price fell below $100,000 for the first time since June 23, with a decline of over 18% in the past month [1] - Ethereum also experienced a nearly 10% drop on November 4, closing at $3,296, influenced by Bitcoin's price movements [3] - A total of 342,000 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours due to Bitcoin's decline, with liquidation amounts exceeding $1.3 billion, predominantly affecting long positions [3][4] Group 2 - Analysts attribute Bitcoin's price drop to rising risk aversion among global investors, alongside concerns over a potential bubble in tech stocks and inflation pressures limiting the Federal Reserve's policy easing [4] - The cryptocurrency fear and greed index has entered the "extreme fear" zone, indicating heightened market anxiety [4] - Despite the market turmoil, some investors remain optimistic, with Strategy Company increasing its Bitcoin holdings by 397 coins, costing approximately $45.6 million [6]

The Securities and Exchange Commission has hit the brakes on a wide‑reaching investigation into how public companies have been using crypto in their treasuries. The reason has nothing to do with the industry itself, but with the government shutdown that forced SEC attorneys and investigators into furlough. The agency was preparing to dig into firms that added Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Solana to their balance sheets and may have seen their stock prices spike shortly after. With most staff out, subpoenas and ot ...

Group 1 - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin dropping over 5% in a single day and Ethereum falling below the critical support level of $3600, leading to widespread panic among investors [1] - In the past 24 hours, over 330,000 individuals in the cryptocurrency space faced liquidation, resulting in a total liquidation amount of approximately $1.279 billion (around 9.3 billion RMB), enough to purchase three Boeing 787 aircraft [1] - Bitcoin's current price is reported at $34,000, which is more than a 50% decline from its peak of $69,000 last year, indicating a severe loss in value [1] Group 2 - Federal Reserve officials have unexpectedly shifted their stance, with three high-ranking officials suggesting a potential interest rate cut of 50 basis points, indicating a more dovish approach [3] - The probability of a rate cut in December is estimated at 67.3%, reflecting a significant change in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook [4] - The cryptocurrency market is facing three major threats: capital withdrawal, regulatory uncertainty, and potential political interference from figures like Trump [4] Group 3 - The oil market is experiencing upward pressure, with OPEC announcing a halt to production increases, causing international oil prices to rise above $60 per barrel, which could complicate the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates [4][5] - Brent crude oil is currently priced at $64 per barrel, having increased over 20% from its mid-year low, impacting consumer costs such as gasoline prices [5] - Analysts warn that the combination of rising oil prices and a slowing global economy may lead to further declines in the cryptocurrency market [5]

Core Insights - Bitcoin is currently trading around $103,960, nearly 20% below its October high of $126,500, marking its lowest level since late June 2025 [1] - The U.S. government shutdown has entered its 35th day, creating uncertainty in global markets and affecting liquidity [1][2] - The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has risen above 100 for the first time since August 1, indicating stronger demand for the dollar, which typically pressures risk assets like Bitcoin [2] Government Shutdown Impact - A U.S. government shutdown occurs when Congress fails to pass funding bills, leading to furloughed employees and halted services, which directly impacts liquidity and cash flow in financial markets [3] - During the shutdown, the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) has seen its balance increase to approximately $965 billion, a rise of roughly $150 billion since October, indicating money is being pulled out of circulation [4] - The Reverse Repo Program (RRP) has also increased by about $20 billion this week, further draining liquidity from the market [5] Liquidity Conditions - Bank reserves have dropped to the lower range of what the Federal Reserve considers "ample," leading to tighter funding conditions [6] - Rising SOFR spreads and record usage of the Standing Repo Facility (SRF) indicate a short-term liquidity squeeze, with banks borrowing over $10 billion recently, the highest since the SRF's launch in 2021 [6] - These liquidity pressures are contributing to Bitcoin's struggle to gain momentum and remain trapped in a choppy trading range [5][6]

格隆汇11月4日｜Hive Digital跌6.3%，Terawulf跌5.0%，Bitfarms跌4.6%，Bitdeer跌4.6%，Cipher Mining 跌4.7%，Riot Platforms跌2.7%，Strategy跌2.7%，CleanSpark跌4.0%，Coinbase Global跌2.7%，MARA Holdings跌2.6%。最大加密货币比特币一度下跌2.8%，至103,553美元，创逾两周新低。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency sector in Hong Kong experienced significant declines, with major stocks and ETFs suffering from low trading sentiment due to a sharp drop in the cryptocurrency market [4][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Major cryptocurrency-related stocks in Hong Kong saw substantial losses, with Guotai Junan International (01788.HK) down 14.21%, Jinyong Investment (01328.HK) down 11.42%, and others like Mi Strategy (02440.HK) and Okex Chain (01499.HK) also experiencing declines of over 8% [2][3]. - Cryptocurrency ETFs also faced declines, with notable drops including Bosera Ethereum (03009.HK) down 6.22% and Huaxia Ethereum (03046.HK) down 6.2% [3]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The cryptocurrency market saw a significant downturn on November 3, with Bitcoin dropping 4.7% to around $105,000, and further declining to $103,700 on November 4, marking a 2.67% drop [6]. - Ethereum experienced a severe decline, falling 7.75% on November 3 and breaking below $3,500 on November 4, representing a cumulative drop of 28% from its August high of $4,885 [6]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The sharp decline in cryptocurrency prices led to a large-scale liquidation, with over $1.2 billion in positions liquidated within 24 hours, predominantly affecting long positions [6]. - Concerns over the security of the cryptocurrency industry were heightened by a hack that resulted in losses exceeding $100 million for the decentralized finance protocol Balancer, further eroding investor confidence [6]. - Market experts suggest that the cryptocurrency market is in a "hangover phase" following the liquidation shock of October, indicating that rebuilding capital foundations will take time and investor sentiment remains cautious [6][7]. - The Hong Kong government has signaled a clear regulatory stance on stablecoins, emphasizing their use for facilitating cross-border transactions rather than for investment, which may have contributed to the cooling of the cryptocurrency sector [7].

Core Insights - The Bitcoin market experienced significant volatility, with over 17,000 Bitcoins worth billions being transferred to exchanges like Kraken and Binance, increasing immediate selling pressure [1] - The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and liquidity tightening are major factors contributing to market declines, with a notable drop in the probability of a rate cut in December [3][12] - Institutional investors are accumulating Bitcoin despite market panic, contrasting with retail investors' fear, as indicated by a drop in the Fear and Greed Index to 21 [5][7] Market Dynamics - A large-scale auction of U.S. Treasury bills totaling $163 billion has drained liquidity from financial markets, putting pressure on risk assets [3] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has decreased to 67.3%, while the likelihood of maintaining current rates stands at 32.7% [3] - XBIT's on-chain analysis shows significant selling activity on major exchanges, indicating ongoing selling pressure on Bitcoin [4] Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently testing critical support levels around $107,500, with potential further declines if this level is breached [9][10] - Key resistance levels are identified between $111,000-$112,000 and $113,800-$115,000, while support levels are at $108,200-$107,000 and $105,000-$106,400 [9] - Technical indicators suggest a potential for a rebound near current support levels, with a historical probability of over 70% for a rebound following a drop in KDJ values [9] Institutional Behavior - Strategy Company has purchased 397 Bitcoins at an average price of $114,771, increasing its total holdings to 641,205 Bitcoins valued at approximately $69.1 billion [5] - Despite recent stock price declines, 96% of surveyed investors expect Strategy Company to hold onto its Bitcoin, reflecting confidence in long-term value [12] - The divergence in sentiment between institutional and retail investors is notable, with institutions showing a willingness to accumulate while retail investors exhibit fear [6][7] Future Outlook - The recovery of the Bitcoin market hinges on the return of liquidity, with potential catalysts including the resumption of U.S. government operations and adjustments in the Federal Reserve's repurchase operations [12] - Investors are advised to monitor key support levels and the Federal Reserve's policy direction closely, as these factors will significantly influence market dynamics [12][13]

Gold is currently soaring, while Bitcoin decreases | Source: Image created with Gemini Key Takeaways Gold has continued to surge in price as we head towards the beginning of 2026. Bitcoin, meanwhile, has continued to suffer a significant fall. Market opinion is split on whether Gold or Bitcoin will be the winner entering the new year. The global precious metals market is extending its record-setting rally as Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies continue to lose momentum. As we approach the en ...

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency sector is experiencing a decline, with several companies showing significant drops in their stock prices, indicating a bearish trend in the market [1] Company Performance - Riot Platform (RIOT.US) decreased by 4.6% - Hut 8 fell by 4.5% - Canaan Creative (CAN.US) dropped by 3.8% - Robinhood (HOOD.US) and Marathon Holdings (MARA.US) both declined by 3.7% - Coinbase (COIN.US) saw a decrease of 3.3% [1]

Market Overview - The cryptocurrency market capitalization decreased by 3.9% to $3.54 trillion, while the 24-hour trading volume increased to $223 billion, indicating a slight uptick in trading activity despite the overall market decline [1][8]. Crypto Performance - Among the top 10 cryptocurrencies, 9 experienced losses in the past 24 hours, with Bitcoin (BTC) down 2.8% to $104,577 and a market cap of approximately $2.08 trillion. Ethereum (ETH) fell 6.4% to $3,493, and BNB (BNB) lost 8.3%, trading at $946 [3][8]. - Other notable declines included XRP (XRP) down 6.7% to $2.25 and Solana (SOL) down 11.0% to $157. Dogecoin (DOGE) slipped 6.6% to $0.1625, while Cardano (ADA) fell 7.4% to $0.5349 [4][8]. Altcoin Highlights - Despite the downturn, some altcoins showed significant gains, with Jelly-My-Jelly (JMJ) surging 183.3%, Decred (DCR) increasing by 150%, and Zcash (ZEC) rising 19.4%. Trending tokens included Dash, Decred, and Zcash, reflecting renewed interest in privacy and masternode-based cryptocurrencies [4]. Institutional Activity - Michael Saylor's firm, Strategy, announced plans to launch a Euro-denominated credit instrument, STRE, aimed at European and global institutional investors. The company plans to offer 3.5 million shares of its 10% Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock, with proceeds intended for general corporate use and additional Bitcoin acquisitions [5]. - Strategy also made a recent Bitcoin purchase of 397 BTC worth $45.6 million between October 27 and November 2 [6]. Market Sentiment - The Fear & Greed Index dropped to 27 (Fear) from 36 the previous day, indicating a shift in market sentiment. Bitcoin ETFs saw outflows of $186.5 million, while Ethereum ETFs recorded $135.76 million in outflows. In contrast, Solana ETFs experienced inflows of $70.05 million [8]. - On-chain data suggests that institutional accumulation of Bitcoin has slowed, with inflows falling below new Bitcoin issuance for the first time in seven months [9].