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阳光电源:1季度业绩大超预期,股价大幅回调已较充分反映目前不确定性-20250428
BOCOM International· 2025-04-28 08:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4][10]. Core Views - The company's Q1 performance significantly exceeded expectations, with revenue and net profit for 2024 projected at RMB 77.857 billion and RMB 11.036 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 8% and 17% [7]. - The stock price has undergone a substantial correction, which is believed to have adequately reflected current uncertainties, including tariff impacts and competitive pressures [7]. - The target price has been adjusted down to RMB 72.50 from RMB 104.80, reflecting a revised valuation based on a 12x P/E ratio for 2025 earnings [7]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 72,251 million in 2023, RMB 77,857 million in 2024, RMB 93,943 million in 2025E, RMB 101,774 million in 2026E, and RMB 110,947 million in 2027E, with a year-on-year growth rate of 79.5% in 2023 and 7.8% in 2024 [3][12]. - Net profit is expected to grow from RMB 9,440 million in 2023 to RMB 12,534 million in 2025E, with a significant year-on-year increase of 162.7% in 2023 [3][12]. - The company has maintained a strong gross margin, with a projected gross margin of 29.9% in 2024, up 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Performance Metrics - The company reported a significant increase in operating cash flow, reaching RMB 121 billion in Q1, a 73% year-on-year increase [7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise from RMB 4.55 in 2023 to RMB 6.05 in 2025E, reflecting a growth rate of 13.6% [3][12]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately RMB 92,958.54 million, with a 52-week high of RMB 119.19 and a low of RMB 55.70 [6].
平安证券:逆变器Q1出口金额同比略增 亚非一季度需求亮眼
智通财经网· 2025-04-28 06:39
智通财经APP获悉,平安证券发布研报称,一季度逆变器出口需求略增,亚非新兴市场表现强劲,推荐 新兴市场户储赛道领先企业。户用光储逆变器企业主要布局的市场包括欧洲和新兴市场,美国户储市场 参与者以本土企业为主,国内企业所占份额相对较小。美国对等关税政策对户用光储企业影响幅度相对 较小,加之亚非新兴市场需求快速增长,相关企业具有关注价值。 2025年1-3月,我国出口欧洲逆变器42.3亿元,同/环比分别-5%/-10%。3月单月出口金额17.7亿元,同环 比分别+6%/+64%。荷兰和德国是我国逆变器出口欧洲的两大主要市场,一季度出口金额分别占欧洲市 场的40%和18%。荷兰是欧洲重要的出口中转地,产品发往欧洲各国;德国是欧洲户储的主要市场,户储 渗透率较高。一季度,我国出口荷兰的逆变器金额17.1亿元,同比-5%;出口德国、英国的逆变器金额分 别为7.8/2.8亿元,同比分别+36%/+28%。1-3月,德国户储装机同比减少,但大储装机快速增长。欧洲 高比例风光装机对电力系统的冲击正在凸显,大储装机的重要性有望提升,欧洲大储需求潜力可期。 欧洲:3月单月需求改善,德国、英国大储可期 拉美、非洲:非洲市场增长,拉 ...
阳光电源:大单确收+抢出口,25Q1业绩超预期-20250428
HTSC· 2025-04-28 05:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 77.857 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.76%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.036 billion RMB, up 16.92% year-on-year, slightly exceeding previous expectations due to strong profitability in the energy storage business [1][5]. - The company is a global leader in the solar and energy storage industry, with a significant increase in domestic and international orders since 2024, providing strong support for performance in 2025 [1][5]. - The company’s energy storage revenue reached 24.96 billion RMB in 2024, a 40.3% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 36.7%, driven by cost reductions in manufacturing and battery cells [3][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 27.911 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 47%. The net profit for the same period was 3.437 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30% [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 19.036 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 51%, while the net profit reached 3.826 billion RMB, up 83% year-on-year [2]. Energy Storage Segment - The company’s energy storage shipments in 2024 reached 28 GWh, a significant increase of 167% year-on-year, with an estimated sales volume of 25 GWh, leading to a unit price of approximately 0.96 RMB per Wh, down 43% year-on-year due to battery cell price reductions [3]. - In Q1 2025, energy storage shipments surged to 12 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 470%, maintaining profitability levels similar to 2024, primarily due to confirmed revenue from the Saudi energy storage project and export activities to the U.S. [3]. Photovoltaic Inverter Segment - The company’s revenue from photovoltaic inverters in 2024 was 29.13 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, with a gross margin of 30.9% [4]. - The sales volume of photovoltaic inverters reached 147 GW in 2024, a 13% increase year-on-year, with a unit price of approximately 0.20 RMB per W, down 7% year-on-year [4]. Valuation and Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 12.025 billion RMB, 13.557 billion RMB, and 15.209 billion RMB respectively, with a target price of 92.80 RMB based on a 16x PE ratio for 2025 [5][9].
锦浪自己投资光伏发电站 成为绿色电力一员 成为电力改革的先锋
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 06:06
锦浪科技宣布再融资,公司面临的净利润下滑的挑战以及财务状况,引起外界关注。 近日,锦浪科技公告拟发行可转债募资不超过16.94亿元,募资用途为分布式光伏电站项目、高电压大 功率并网逆变器新建项目等5个项目。 公开数据显示,从2020年12月份至2023年1月份,锦浪科技通过2次定增募资和1次可转债募资,合计融 资约45.46亿元。 再融资背后,逆变器龙头的"一箭三雕" 锦浪科技是逆变器行业龙头企业之一,主要从事组串式逆变器研发、生产、销售和服务。截至2024年上 半年,来自并网逆变器、户用光伏发电系统业务的收入占当期营收比重分别为61.10%、23.12%。 综合多家媒体报道及梳理,该公司新一轮融资或意在"一箭三雕"。 首先,核心产品逆变器的结构优化。 锦浪科技表示,目前公司实现规模化销售的混合式储能逆变器产品主要覆盖 20kW以下功率范围,应用 场景主要为小型住宅和小型工商业储能系统。通过本次募投项目新增20kW以上中大功率混合式储能逆 变器生产线,丰富储能产品类型,布局工商业储能系统产品和大型住宅储能系统产品。 其次,进一步加码多元业务。分布式光伏电站项目是本次拟募资投向的金额最大的项目。 早在2023年 ...
电力设备行业跟踪报告:逆变器出口:亚洲市场稳健,欧洲市场回暖
Wanlian Securities· 2025-04-22 13:04
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating a projected increase of over 10% relative to the market index in the next six months [48]. Core Insights - In March 2025, the export value of inverters from China reached 4.52 billion yuan, showing a month-on-month increase of 39.37% and a year-on-year growth of 6.22%, indicating a significant recovery in exports [2][15]. - Cumulative exports for the first three months of 2025 amounted to 12.152 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.06%, demonstrating stable market performance [2][15]. - The Asian market remains robust, with inverter exports in March 2025 amounting to 1.650 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 38.10% and a year-on-year increase of 12.28% [3][16]. - The European market is showing signs of recovery, with exports reaching 1.773 billion yuan in March 2025, a month-on-month increase of 63.70% and a year-on-year increase of 6.05% [4][26]. - North America has also seen a notable recovery, with exports to the region amounting to 207 million yuan in March 2025, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 135.64% and a year-on-year increase of 26.39% [5][32]. - The African market is performing steadily, with exports reaching 363 million yuan in March 2025, a month-on-month increase of 9.87% and a year-on-year increase of 83.03% [10][33]. Summary by Sections Global Overview - The overall export value of inverters in March 2025 shows a significant month-on-month recovery and stable year-on-year growth [15][34]. Regional Performance - **Asia**: The Asian market is experiencing high demand, particularly from emerging markets like India and Pakistan, with significant year-on-year growth in inverter exports [3][16]. - **Europe**: The European market is recovering, with notable increases in exports to Germany and the UK, while exports to the Netherlands and Poland have decreased [4][26]. - **North America**: The North American market is showing strong recovery, particularly in exports to the United States [5][32]. - **Africa**: The African market is stable, with high growth rates in South Africa and Nigeria [10][33]. Export by Origin - In March 2025, the provinces of Guangdong and Zhejiang showed significant year-on-year growth in inverter exports, benefiting from the recovery in the household storage market [11][41]. Investment Recommendations - Long-term growth in global renewable energy installations and increasing demand for energy storage solutions are expected to drive market growth. Key regions include Europe, the United States, and emerging markets in Asia and Africa [12][46].
国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-贵金属及基本金属-20250417
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-04-17 05:19
2025年04月17日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-贵金属及基本金属 观点与策略 | 黄金:试探前高 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 白银:企稳反弹 | 2 | | 铜:库存增加,价格回升受限 | 4 | | 铝:震荡偏强 | 6 | | 氧化铝:价格承压 | 6 | | 锌:短期承压 | 8 | | 铅:区间震荡 | 9 | | 镍:基本面短线支撑,镍价坚挺运行 | 10 | | 不锈钢:成本或底部支撑,负反馈预期施压 | 10 | | 锡:小幅修复 | 12 | | 工业硅:盘面考验成本支撑 | 14 | | 多晶硅:交割资源或受限,关注市场情绪变化 | 14 | | 碳酸锂:月差走强,震荡走势延续 | 16 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 商 品 研 究 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪金2504 | 781.60 | 2.24% | 792.56 | 2.62% | | | 黄金T+D | 78 ...
亮马组合|抓住交易机会,布局核心资产 (202504)
中信证券研究· 2025-03-31 00:06
文 | 刘春彤 裘翔 ▍ 风险因素: 亮马组合是基于策略聚焦观点和行业研究精选推荐,遴选出的月度金股组合。本篇报告为2 0 2 5年 第4期,更新中信证券4月1 0大金股组合。时点上,关注4月初外部不确定性因素落地后的交易性机 会。配置上,我们建议从科技点火、供给侧反内卷、内续补短板角度,关注产业逻辑清晰的几大方 向:国产算力、端侧AI、创新药、新能源、可选消费等。此外,我们也在红利、制造等方向选择 了部分优质标的,以实现组合配置多元化。 中美科技、贸易、金融领域摩擦加剧;国内政策或经济复苏不及预期;海内外宏观流动性超预期 收紧等 ▍ 本期更新中信证券2 0 2 5年4月金股组合。 。 ▍ 板块配置:外部风险落地后,聚焦产业逻辑清晰的绩优成长股。 关键时点是4月初外部风险落地,包括美国优先贸易政策备忘录调查结果公布以及"对等关税"加 征方式和范围的明朗。从风险落地后的进攻方向上看,经过3月大幅调整且持续有催化的科技主 题,因其弱宏观关联和强产业催化,预计会成为4 - 5月占优方向。资金面角度,增量资金或来自 前期高切低回补、仓位回补及部分追逐港股的趋势资金回流。科技领域建议延续端侧AI+国产算 力的主线配置, ...
【国信电子胡剑团队|能源电子月报】汽车功率持续升高,碳化硅渗透率稳步提升
剑道电子· 2025-03-26 03:26
点击 关注我们 报告发布日期:2025年3月24日 报告名称:《 能源电子月报: 汽车功率持续升高,碳化硅渗透率稳步提升 》 分析师:胡剑 S0980521080001/胡慧 S0980521080002/ 叶 子 S0980522100003 / 詹浏洋 S0980524060001 / 张大为 S0980524100002/ 李书颖 S0980522100003 联系人:连欣然 完整报告请扫描下方二维码 国信研究 能源电子月报: 汽车功率持续升高,碳化硅 渗透率稳步提升 2025-03-24 | 胡剑 胡慧 叶子 詹浏洋 连欣然 新能源汽车:我国新能源汽车功率200kW以上的主驱 占比由22年的9%提升至25年1月的28%. 电驱最高峰值 功率由22年255kW升至25年1月的450kW。整车情况:根 据中汽协数据,我国2月新能源汽车单月销量89万辆(YoY +87.1%,MoM-5.5%),产量88.8万辆(YoY+91.6%,MoM- 12.5%),单月新能源车渗透率为41.9%。主驱功率模块情 况: 主驱IGBT模块主力厂商芯联集成、时代电气、土兰微 、斯达半导领先优势逐步确立,海外厂商份额逐步下降 ...
【光大研究每日速递】20250326
光大证券研究· 2025-03-25 08:53
赤子城科技公布24年业绩,全年实现营收50.92亿元,同比增长53.9%,高增长主要得益于泛人群社交业务 后发产品表现强劲; 实现毛利润26.08亿元,同比增长51.4%,对应毛利率51.2%,同比下降0.9pct; 实现 归母净利润4.80亿元,同比下降6.3%; 若剔除23年收购子公司蓝城兄弟产生的1.6亿元投资收益的一次性 影响,归母净利润同比增速达36%。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【电新】1-2月逆变器出口符合预期,变压器出口金额仍保持同比高增速——碳中和领域动态追踪(一百 五十三) 2025年1-2月电力设备出口:逆变器整体符合预期,亚洲同比增速较好;变压器出口亚洲、欧洲、北美和 南美同比增速较快;电表出口至非洲和南美洲地区表现较好; ...
动力源:会计师关于北京动力源科技股份有限公司向特定对象发行股票申请文件的审核问询函的回复(2022年年报数据更新版)
2023-04-27 10:25
7-2-1 7-2-2 | 问题 3、关于融资规模以及效益测算 | | --- | | 问题 4、关于公司业务与经营情况 . | | 问题 6、其他 | 7-2-3 | | | | 歷号 | 项目名称 | 项目总投资 | 拟使用募集资金 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 车载电源研发及产业化项目 | 17,974.09 | 13.130.90 | | 2 | 光储逆变器研发及产业化项目 | 21,937.65 | 18.869.10 | | 3 | 偿还银行贷款 | 13,000.00 | 13,000.00 | | | 合计 | 52,911.74 | 45,000.00 | 7-2-4 | | | | 序号 | 项目 | 投资额 | 资本性支出金额 | 拟投入募集资金金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 建筑工程费 | 1,334.20 | 1,334.20 | 1,334.20 | | 2 | 设备购置费 | 9,772.58 | 9,772.58 | 9,772.58 | | | 软件购置费 | 1.468.00 | 1,468 ...