1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Keep a close eye on price fluctuations in upstream industries, and pay attention to mid - level events and the overall situation of different industries [1] - Notice the policy promotion in the entertainment and consumption industries [2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Mid - level Event Overview 3.1.1 Production Industry - The review of rare earth exports in upstream raw materials is accelerating. China is accelerating the review of rare earth - related export license applications and has approved a certain number of compliant applications [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other three departments held a video conference on strengthening the safety management of new energy vehicles, requiring enterprises to assume product quality and safety responsibilities and avoid cut - throat competition [1] 3.1.2 Service Industry - Beijing issued a support plan to promote the high - quality development of the game and e - sports industry, aiming to promote the in - depth integration of technologies such as AI and AIGC with the industry [2] 3.2 Industry Overview 3.2.1 Upstream - International oil prices have been rising recently, and coal inventories have declined [3] 3.2.2 Mid - stream - The PX operating rate is at a high level, and the operating rate of pig products has increased slightly [4] 3.2.3 Downstream - The sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities are the same as last year and at a low level in the past three years; the number of domestic flights has decreased periodically [5] 3.3 Market Pricing - The credit spreads of the pharmaceutical and chemical industries have recently declined slightly [6] 3.4 Industry Credit Spread Tracking - The credit spreads of industries such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, mining, and chemical industry have shown different trends compared with last year, a quarter ago, a month ago, and last week [52] 3.5 Key Industry Price Index Tracking - The prices of various products in different industries such as agriculture, non - ferrous metals, energy, and chemicals have different year - on - year changes and trends in the past 5 days [53]

Group 1 - President Xi Jinping emphasized the urgency of a ceasefire in the Middle East, stating that the use of force is not the correct way to resolve international disputes [1] - The Chinese photovoltaic industry is expected to see a significant production cut in Q3, with operating rates projected to decrease by 10%-15% [1] - The Ministry of Commerce announced it will expedite the review of export license applications related to rare earths, aiming to maintain global supply chain stability [1] Group 2 - The China Securities Index will officially launch the China Science and Technology Innovation Semiconductor Index on June 20, 2025, which will include 50 companies from the STAR Market and ChiNext [2] - The Ministry of Commerce highlighted the importance of China-EU economic and trade relations, emphasizing ongoing communication and cooperation [2] Group 3 - Kweichow Moutai announced a cash dividend of 27.673 yuan per share for the 2024 fiscal year, totaling 34.671 billion yuan [3] - Zhongqi New Materials reported that Starry Sky Technology has become its controlling shareholder [3] - Lianchuang Optoelectronics noted strong demand for drone countermeasure equipment in the Middle East [3] Group 4 - Fuhuang Steel Structure announced the termination of its plan to issue shares and pay cash for asset purchases [4] - Shengnuo Bio expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of the year, projecting a year-on-year growth of 254%-332% [4] Group 5 - Zhongyan Chemical plans to agree to a capital reduction for Zhongyan Alkali Industry, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [5] - Kanda New Materials intends to acquire at least 51% of Zhongke Huamei's shares to expand into the semiconductor integrated circuit field [6] Group 6 - Times Publishing clarified that it does not engage in stablecoin business and has a minimal indirect stake in JD Technology [8] - Sanhua Intelligent Controls confirmed the final price for its H-share issuance at 22.53 HKD per share [9] Group 7 - Taiji Co. announced that Changjiang Industrial Group will become its indirect controlling shareholder, with stock resuming trading on June 20, 2025 [10] - Guosen Securities received approval from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for its acquisition of 96.08% of Wanhe Securities [10] Group 8 - Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical completed the first participant enrollment for its Phase III clinical trial of the innovative drug RAY1225 for obesity [11] - Yuncong Technology stated that its multi-modal AI technology for live detection can be applied to stablecoin wallet scenarios [12]

Group 1 - Recent signals indicate a marginal easing of export controls on rare earths, catalyzing interest in the rare earth sector [1] - The Ministry of Commerce has stated it will expedite the review of export license applications for rare earths, having already approved a certain number of compliant applications [1] - Following this news, the rare earth ETF (516780) has seen increased market activity, with a net inflow of 345 million yuan since April and an average daily trading volume exceeding 100 million yuan in the past two weeks [1] Group 2 - The TTM price-to-earnings ratio of the CSI Rare Earth Industry Index is currently at 30.93, which is at a low level compared to the past decade [2] - The rare earth ETF (516780) and its linked funds are positioned as convenient tools for investors looking to capitalize on the investment opportunities in the rare earth sector [2] - The formation of a MACD golden cross signal suggests positive momentum for stocks in this sector [2]

Group 1 - Rare earth elements are crucial for various industries, including defense, aerospace, energy, electronics, and transportation, with applications in modern weapon systems and electric vehicles [1][4][6] - China dominates the rare earth industry, controlling nearly 90% of the refining of magnetic rare earths and holding the largest reserves and production capacity globally [2][23][24] - The global rare earth market is characterized by a supply-demand imbalance, with China producing approximately 70% of the world's rare earths [21][23] Group 2 - China's rare earth management system has evolved, with recent implementations of export licensing to protect national interests and respond to international pressures [3][39][41] - The U.S. heavily relies on China for rare earth products, with nearly 60% of its imports coming from China, particularly in the context of military and high-tech applications [30][31] - Historical instances of China's export controls, such as during the Diaoyu Islands dispute, resulted in significant price increases and highlighted the potential impact of current export restrictions on the U.S. military-industrial complex [32][35] Group 3 - The recent export controls on rare earths are seen as a strategic response to U.S. sanctions and tariffs, with potential for reciprocal easing if the U.S. adjusts its trade policies [3][42] - The automotive industry in the U.S. and Europe has already faced production halts due to rare earth shortages, emphasizing the critical nature of these materials in electric vehicle manufacturing [10][11] - Other sectors, such as wind energy and robotics, also show a high dependency on rare earths, with projections indicating a tripling of demand for wind energy by 2030 [13][11]

Focus Events - Guosen Securities has received approval from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for the acquisition of 96.08% of Wanhe Securities, marking the third broker merger project approved since last year, pending further approval from the CSRC [1] - The People's Bank of China is set to announce the June Loan Prime Rate (LPR), with the current 1-year LPR at 3% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5% [1] Macro News - He Lifeng, a member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee, stated at the Qingdao Summit that China is an ideal, safe, and effective investment destination for multinational companies due to its vast domestic market and complete industrial system [1] Industry Dynamics - Three departments have mandated that car manufacturers must not engage in exaggerated or false advertising and must uphold product quality, emphasizing long-term responsibility and avoiding short-term cost-cutting measures [4] - The Chinese photovoltaic industry is expected to see a significant production cut of 10% to 15% in the third quarter as part of a "production limit to maintain prices" strategy [6] - The Ministry of Commerce announced it will expedite the review of rare earth export license applications to maintain global supply chain stability [6] Company Focus - Suning.com plans to sell four Carrefour subsidiaries for a total of 4 yuan, which is expected to increase the company's net profit by approximately 572 million yuan [9] - CATL intends to use up to 4.5 billion yuan of idle fundraising for cash management in safe, liquid deposit products [9] - Xiaomi has invested 635 million yuan to acquire 728 acres of industrial land in Beijing for the construction of a new energy intelligent connected vehicle manufacturing project [9][10] - Jinzongzi Wine clarified that it is not exiting the liquor industry, but is standardizing its business scope in compliance with regulatory requirements [11] - Konda New Materials plans to acquire at least 51% of Chengdu Zhongke Huamei Electronics to expand into the semiconductor integrated circuit sector [11] - Online and Offline announced a potential change in control, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock [12] - Taiji Co. announced that the Hubei State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission has become the controlling shareholder, with stock resuming trading [13][14] - Zhongyan Chemical plans to agree to a capital reduction for Zhongyan Alkali Industry, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [15] - Lianchuang Optoelectronics reported strong demand for drone countermeasures in the Middle East and is actively engaging with potential local clients [15] - Shengnuo Bio expects a net profit increase of 253.54% to 332.10% for the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance in its peptide raw material business [16] - *ST Gongzhi's stock will resume trading and enter a delisting preparation period, with the last trading date expected to be July 10, 2025 [17]

| 名称 | 最新点位 | 、涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3362.11 | -26.7 (-0.79%) | | 深证指数 | 10051.97 | -123 62 (-1.21%) | | 创业板指 | 2026 82 | -27.91 (-1.36%) | | | 日期:6月19日 制图:21投资通 | | 隔夜外盘 纽约股市三大股指6月19日休市。 欧洲三大股指6月19日下跌。截至当天收盘，英国富时100种股票平均价格指数19日报收于8791.80点， 较前一交易日下跌51.67点，跌幅为0.58%。法国巴黎股市CAC40指数报收于7553.45点，较前一交易日 下跌102.67点，跌幅为1.34%；德国法兰克福股市DAX指数报收于23057.38点，较前一交易日下跌260.43 点，跌幅为1.12%。 昨日A股 6月19日，市场全天低开低走，创业板指领跌。截至收盘，沪指跌0.79%，深成指跌1.21%，创业板指跌 1.36%。沪深两市全天成交额1.25万亿，较上个交易日放量596亿。 盘面上，市场热点较为杂乱，个股跌多涨少，全市场超4600只个股下跌。从板块 ...

Group 1 - The core argument highlights the strategic anxiety of the U.S. in resource competition, as China restructures global supply chains through nuclear energy orders while U.S. politicians debate the effectiveness of tariffs [1] - The U.S. declaration to "break China's rare earth monopoly within a year" is seen as an emotional response to setbacks in the tariff war, with China controlling 70% of global rare earth reserves and 85% of refining capacity, making it difficult for the U.S. to compete [3] - The technological gap in rare earth extraction is significant, with Chinese companies having a 40% lower cost and 25% higher yield in producing high-purity praseodymium and neodymium compared to U.S. labs [3] Group 2 - China has strategically positioned itself in the pharmaceutical supply chain, controlling 60% of finished drug raw materials and 80% of antibiotic intermediates, which poses a greater risk to the U.S. than the rare earth situation [5] - The dominance of Chinese companies in the pharmaceutical sector is illustrated by Shandong Xinhua Pharmaceutical's 85% market share in aspirin raw materials and Zhejiang Medicine's control over the vitamin E supply chain [5] - If the U.S. strictly enforces manufacturing repatriation, it could face a shortage of penicillin raw materials within three years and basic antibiotics within seven years [5] Group 3 - The significance of China's nuclear energy orders is underscored by the reception of a Chinese delegation in Kazakhstan, where a $10 billion nuclear power deal was secured, reflecting China's strategic advantage in the energy sector [7] - China’s comprehensive approach includes low-interest loans and long-term uranium supply agreements, creating a competitive edge that is difficult for others to replicate [7] - The collaboration between China and Kazakhstan in nuclear energy illustrates a shift in resource control and rule-making in the global energy landscape [7] Group 4 - China's strategic initiatives extend beyond rare earths, as it establishes nuclear energy footholds in Kazakhstan, controls rubber pricing in Southeast Asia, and builds alliances for cobalt and lithium resources in Africa [9] - The integration of industry, finance, and technology in China's strategy is more impactful than the U.S. tariff battles, as China leverages its resource advantages to influence international rules [9] - The commitment from Kazakhstan's president regarding uranium supply security signals the beginning of a broader strategic influence that could surpass the current rare earth dynamics [9]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The global focus of military spending is shifting, presenting opportunities for Chinese military trade, with China's arms exports increasing to 10% in 2023, up from 5% a few years ago [1][3] - The military industry is expected to see a turning point in 2025 due to heightened global security tensions and increased demand for military equipment [2][18] Core Insights and Arguments - China's defense budget as a percentage of GDP is low at approximately 1.3%, compared to Russia (7.1%), the US, South Korea, the UK, and India, indicating significant potential for future growth in defense spending [1][4] - The importance of gold as a safe-haven asset is highlighted amid global political and economic turmoil, with expectations of price increases due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts [1][5][10] - Companies like Su Testing and Guangdian Measurement are leading in military testing and measurement, showing strong order growth and profit elasticity, with profit expected to grow by 34.2% in 2025 [1][6][8] Company-Specific Insights - Su Testing is expected to face profit pressure in 2024 but is projected to improve sequentially in 2025, with an estimated profit of approximately 3.1 billion yuan [8] - Donghua Testing is experiencing rapid order growth in defense and military sectors, with expected net profits of 1.7 billion, 2.26 billion, and 2.98 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, reflecting strong growth rates [9] - The management reform and stock incentive measures at Su Testing are anticipated to enhance profit growth, with a projected profit of around 4.1 billion yuan in 2025 [7] Additional Important Content - The military industry is experiencing a resurgence in demand due to geopolitical uncertainties, with China's military capabilities showcased at exhibitions [18] - The communication sector within the military industry is seeing strategic asset allocations driven by improved industry conditions and increased military trade activity [19][20] - Companies like Haige Communication are diversifying into satellite communication and navigation, with significant growth potential in these areas [21] - Shanghai Hanyun has turned profitable in Q1 2025, benefiting from low-orbit satellite communication business growth [22][23] - The 712 Company has made strides in military and civilian communications, expanding its market share through key project wins [24]

Group 1: Rare Earth Industry - The U.S. is attempting to challenge China's dominance in the rare earth market, claiming it can break China's monopoly within a year, despite China's control over 70% of global rare earth mining and 85% of refining capacity [1] - U.S. companies lack the mature separation and purification technology that China has developed over 30 years, making the claim of a quick turnaround unrealistic [1] - The U.S. Department of Energy's funding for 15 rare earth projects has not resulted in any commercial production, highlighting the challenges faced by U.S. firms in achieving independence from Chinese technology [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Industry - Over 60% of daily-use medications and raw materials in the U.S. come from China, with 80% of basic drug raw materials like amoxicillin relying on Chinese supply [3] - The potential consequences of aggressive manufacturing repatriation policies could lead to a situation where U.S. pharmaceutical companies abandon the domestic market, resulting in a "no medicine available" scenario [3] Group 3: Nuclear Energy Sector - China has secured a significant nuclear power project in Kazakhstan, with the China National Nuclear Corporation becoming a strategic partner for Kazakhstan's nuclear energy development, valued at over $10 billion [3][5] - The comprehensive "full industry chain solution" provided by China, including financing and waste management, addresses Kazakhstan's needs more effectively than competitors [5] - The strategic partnership with Kazakhstan not only ensures uranium supply for China's new energy sector but also opens international markets for Chinese nuclear technology [5] Group 4: Broader Strategic Implications - The competition between the U.S. and China extends beyond trade deficits to a clash of development models, with China promoting a narrative of building a community with a shared future [7] - While the U.S. focuses on tariffs and political maneuvers, China is leveraging technology and capital to secure high-end manufacturing contracts and redefine globalization [5][7]

Group 1 - The Chinese government is expediting the review of export license applications for rare earths, emphasizing compliance and communication with relevant countries to facilitate legitimate trade [1][3] - The Ministry of Commerce has approved a certain number of compliant applications and will continue to strengthen the approval process for these applications [1][3] - China maintains that its export control measures for rare earths align with international practices and are aimed at safeguarding national security and fulfilling international obligations [3][4] Group 2 - The Chinese government asserts that its industrial subsidy policies adhere to open, fair, and compliant principles, and it strictly follows WTO rules [2] - The European Union is projected to provide over €1.44 trillion in various subsidies from 2021 to 2030, with more than €300 billion already disbursed by 2024 [2] - China emphasizes the importance of cooperation and communication with the EU to address trade differences and achieve mutual benefits [2][4] Group 3 - Rare earths consist of 17 elements and are classified into light and heavy rare earths, with heavy rare earths being rarer and more unevenly distributed, primarily concentrated in China [5]