Investment Rating - The investment rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met expectations, with production growth offsetting the impact of oil price fluctuations [1] - CNOOC reported a revenue of RMB 207.61 billion in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 69.53 billion, down 12.79% year-on-year [5] - The company achieved a net production of 384.6 million barrels of oil equivalent in H1 2025, an increase of 6.1% year-on-year, with domestic production rising by 7.6% [5][6] - Brent crude oil futures averaged USD 66.71 per barrel in Q2 2025, a decrease of 21.55% year-on-year, while the company's average realized oil price was USD 69.15 per barrel, down 13.9% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's cost control measures have strengthened its competitive advantage, with operating costs per barrel decreasing to USD 6.76, down 0.7% year-on-year [6] Financial Performance - CNOOC's revenue for H1 2025 was RMB 207.61 billion, with a net profit of RMB 69.53 billion [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be RMB 140.37 billion, RMB 146.32 billion, and RMB 154.52 billion, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.88, 8.52, and 8.07 [9] - Key financial indicators for 2025E include revenue of RMB 420.60 billion, net profit of RMB 140.37 billion, and a gross margin of 54.2% [11] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production of oil and gas has steadily increased, with significant contributions from projects like "Deep Sea No. 1" Phase II [5][7] - The company made five new discoveries in the South China Sea and successfully evaluated 18 oil and gas structures in H1 2025 [7][8] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for H1 2025 was approximately RMB 57.6 billion, a decrease of 8.8% year-on-year [8]

Market Overview - The A-share market opened with mixed performance among the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.15% at 3807.76 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.44% and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.18% [1] Sector Performance - The CPO and copper cable high-speed connection concepts opened higher, with Tengjing Technology and Guangku Technology (300620) both rising approximately 8%, and Changfei Optical Fiber (601869) increasing over 6% [1] - Gold prices have recently reached new highs, leading to continued gains in some gold stocks, with Western Gold (601069) rising over 3% [1] - The military equipment sector opened lower, with Changcheng Military Industry (601606) hitting the daily limit down, and Inner Mongolia First Machinery (600967) and Beifang Changlong both dropping over 5% [1] - Oil and gas stocks generally declined, with Tongyuan Petroleum (300164) falling nearly 4% and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) decreasing over 1.5%, amid reports that OPEC+ is considering another production increase [1]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing power struggle between the new and old management of *ST Xinchao revolves around the control of the company's overseas oil and gas assets, which constitute over 99% of its total assets, valued at approximately 36.2 billion yuan as of mid-2025 [4][10]. Group 1: Management Transition and Control - The new management of *ST Xinchao faced resistance during the handover of the Beijing office, with the previous management refusing to cooperate [4][10]. - The new management, backed by Yitai B, has attempted to take control of the company's U.S. subsidiary, Seewave Energy Holdings, by replacing its board members [3][11]. - A "status quo order" was issued by the Delaware Chancery Court, maintaining the current operational status of the U.S. subsidiary while the legitimacy of the new management is under review [16][20]. Group 2: Legal Proceedings - Multiple lawsuits have been filed in U.S. courts regarding the control of *ST Xinchao's assets, with key cases involving both the new management and the original management team [7][8]. - The original management, led by Liu Ke, has initiated legal actions to restore their positions on the board of the U.S. subsidiary [14][15]. - The outcomes of these legal disputes are critical as they will determine the control over the overseas oil and gas assets [20][21]. Group 3: Asset Valuation and Audit Issues - *ST Xinchao's overseas assets, primarily located in Texas, have been acquired through various transactions totaling approximately $1.06 billion from 2015 to 2019 [23][26]. - There have been significant discrepancies in the audit reports regarding the number of oil wells and their associated liabilities, raising concerns about the accuracy of the company's asset valuations [26][27]. - Previous auditors have raised issues regarding the internal controls of the overseas subsidiaries, which could impact the company's financial reporting and governance [27][28].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [4][6]. Core Views - The transfer of shares from the controlling shareholder to China Mobile Group is expected to enhance collaboration and benefit the company's digital transformation efforts [2][3]. - The strategic cooperation agreement signed between China Petroleum Group and China Mobile aims to deepen the integration of information technology and the energy industry, promoting the construction of "Smart China Petroleum" [3]. - The company is projected to benefit from the synergistic effects of its parent company, which is focusing on digital transformation initiatives [3]. Summary by Sections Share Transfer and Strategic Cooperation - The controlling shareholder, China Petroleum Group, plans to transfer 540 million A-shares (0.30% of total shares) to China Mobile Group, increasing its stake from 0.10% to 0.39% [1][2]. - This transfer aims to deepen the strategic partnership and optimize the company's equity structure, facilitating mutual benefits and development [2]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 1661 billion, 1712 billion, and 1757 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.91, 0.94, and 0.96 CNY per share [4]. - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 30,110 billion CNY, with a decline expected in subsequent years, stabilizing around 29,250 billion CNY by 2027 [10]. Key Financial Metrics - The report provides a detailed financial outlook, including revenue growth rates, net profit margins, and return on equity (ROE) projections, indicating a gradual decline in ROE from 11.14% in 2023 to 9.92% in 2027 [12][13]. - The company's P/E ratios for A-shares are projected to decrease from 10.3 in 2023 to 9.5 in 2027, suggesting a potential undervaluation [12].

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing power struggle between the new and old management of *ST Xinchao revolves around the control of the company's overseas oil and gas assets, which constitute over 99% of its total assets, valued at approximately 362.04 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025 [1][3][18]. Group 1: Management Transition and Legal Disputes - The new management of *ST Xinchao faced resistance during the handover of the Beijing office, with the previous management refusing to cooperate [1][3]. - Following the acquisition of control by Yitai B, the new management attempted to replace the board of directors of the U.S. subsidiary Seewave Energy Holdings Company, leading to lawsuits from the ousted directors [2][9]. - A "status quo order" was issued by the Delaware Chancery Court, maintaining the current operational status of the U.S. subsidiary while the legitimacy of the new management remains unconfirmed [2][12][13]. Group 2: Asset Control and Corporate Structure - The core assets of *ST Xinchao are primarily located in the U.S., including conventional oil fields and shale gas assets in Texas [3][18]. - The previous chairman, Liu Ke, allegedly transferred asset control to personal affiliated companies through complex shareholding changes, creating a "maze" of overseas ownership [4][5][6]. - The company’s structure involves multiple layers of U.S. subsidiaries, complicating the control and management of its oil and gas assets [4][18]. Group 3: Financial and Audit Concerns - The company has faced scrutiny regarding the audit of its overseas oil and gas assets, with discrepancies noted between reported figures and those from the U.S. Railroad Commission [20][21]. - Previous auditors raised concerns about internal controls and governance issues, which have led to negative audit opinions and the company's designation as ST (Special Treatment) [21][22]. - The financial implications of these disputes and audit issues could significantly impact the company's valuation and operational stability moving forward [18][21].

Group 1 - The oil and gas extraction sector experienced a decline of 0.66% on September 3, with Blue Flame Holdings leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3813.56, down 1.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12472.0, down 0.65% [1] - Specific stock performance in the oil and gas extraction sector included *ST Xinchao at 4.11 with no change, Yushuang Tuwang at 26.24 down 0.53%, Intercontinental Oil and Gas at 2.27 down 2.16%, and Blue Flame Holdings at 6.82 down 2.57% [1] Group 2 - The net capital outflow from the oil and gas extraction sector amounted to 162 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 163 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow in the oil and gas extraction sector indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor types [2]

Core Viewpoint - The cooperation between China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) and China Mobile has deepened, with CNPC transferring 541 million A-shares (0.30% of total share capital) to China Mobile to optimize their equity structure and enhance strategic collaboration [1]. Group 1: Share Transfer Details - CNPC will reduce its shareholding in the listed company from 82.62% to 82.33%, while China Mobile's stake will increase from 0.10% to 0.39% following the transfer [1]. - The share transfer is a state-owned equity transfer and does not involve a takeover, nor will it change the controlling shareholder or actual controller of the company [1]. - The transfer agreement has been signed and is pending approval from the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [1]. Group 2: Background and Purpose of Cooperation - The share transfer aims to deepen strategic cooperation between CNPC and China Mobile, expanding collaboration areas and achieving mutual benefits [1]. - Both companies are major state-owned enterprises, with CNPC projected to generate revenue of 2.94 trillion in 2024 and China Mobile expected to reach 1.04 trillion [1]. Group 3: Previous Collaborations - Prior to the share transfer, CNPC and China Mobile signed a strategic cooperation agreement on January 4, 2024, focusing on areas such as digital transformation, 5G applications, and financial capital [2]. - In May 2024, CNPC and China Mobile, along with other companies, signed an agreement to jointly develop the Kunlun large model for artificial intelligence, specifically for the energy and chemical sectors [2]. Group 4: Future Developments - In November 2024, China Mobile assisted CNPC in launching a 700 billion parameter Kunlun large model, followed by a full-stack domestic private deployment in February 2025 [3]. - By May 2025, the parameters of the Kunlun model were significantly enhanced, with language model parameters increasing from 700 billion to 3000 billion, and visual model parameters from 3 billion to 44 billion [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - On Tuesday, growth - related indices adjusted significantly, while the Shanghai 50 Index stabilized the market. The trading volume was 2.87 trillion yuan with increased volume during the decline. The Shanghai 50 Index rose 0.39%, while the CSI 1000 Index dropped 2.50% [1]. - Central Huijin increased its holdings of 12 ETF products in the first half of the year, spending over 210 billion yuan. Since August, Chinese assets have been continuously "swept up" by global funds. Many overseas - listed Chinese ETFs have seen a surge in scale, and Chinese mainland stock funds attracted over $4 billion in the past week [1][2]. - Overseas funds showed a net inflow into the A - share market in the first half of 2025. As of the end of June 2025, overseas investors held 3.07 trillion yuan of A - shares. Northbound funds increased their A - share holdings in the first two quarters of 2025 [1][2]. - The market may enter a daily - level adjustment, which is a total adjustment since the rise in June. The probability of a sharp decline is low, and the adjustment is expected to be in the form of range - bound lateral fluctuations [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - On Tuesday, growth - related indices adjusted deeply. The Shanghai 50 Index closed at 2992 points, up 11 points (0.39%); the CSI 300 Index closed at 4490 points, down 33 points (- 0.74%); the CSI 500 Index closed at 6961 points, down 148 points (- 2.09%); the CSI 1000 Index closed at 7313 points, down 187 points (- 2.50%) [1]. - Among industry and theme ETFs, the top - gainers were Robot 50 ETF, Bank ETF, etc., and the top - losers were New Energy Vehicle Battery ETF, etc. Among sector indices, the top - gainers were oil and gas exploration, forestry, etc., and the top - losers were communication equipment, components, etc. [1]. - Net inflows of settlement funds into CSI 1000, CSI 300, CSI 500, and Shanghai 50 stock index futures were 6.7 billion, 6.4 billion, 4.8 billion, and 2.8 billion yuan respectively [1]. 3.2 Important Information - The "Construction Plan for a High - Quality Standard System for Industrial Mother Machines" was issued, focusing on developing standards for the application of new - generation information technologies in industrial mother machines [1]. - Central Huijin increased its holdings of 12 ETF products in the first half of the year, covering Shanghai 50ETF, CSI 300ETF, etc., with a total cost of over 210 billion yuan [1][2]. - Overseas funds showed a net inflow into the A - share market in the first half of 2025. As of the end of June 2025, overseas investors held 3.07 trillion yuan of A - shares. Northbound funds increased their A - share holdings in the first two quarters of 2025 [1][2]. - Since August, Chinese assets have been continuously "swept up" by global funds. The scale of the KraneShares China Overseas Internet ETF exceeded $8.5 billion, and Chinese mainland stock funds attracted over $4 billion in the past week [1][2]. - UBS believes that overseas investors have sufficient room to increase their A - share holdings. With China's economic recovery and corporate profit growth, global investors may regain confidence in the A - share market [1]. - An idle US nuclear power plant in Iowa will be re - connected to the grid to meet the power demand of AI data centers [2]. - The eurozone unemployment rate dropped from 6.3% in June to 6.2% in July, with 170,000 fewer unemployed people, matching the historical low in November 2024 [2]. - Dutch pension funds are unwinding large - scale positions in long - term interest rate swaps, causing the yields of 30 - year German and French government bonds to reach multi - year highs [2]. - Retail giants such as Walmart and Target said that price increases related to tariffs have affected food, household goods, and electronics. The worst may be yet to come for consumers and businesses [2]. - The Trump administration is considering declaring a national housing emergency to address the US housing crisis and for political purposes [2]. 3.3 Market Logic - The deep adjustment of growth - related indices on Tuesday was accompanied by the Shanghai 50 Index stabilizing the market. Central Huijin's large - scale ETF purchases and the continuous inflow of global funds into Chinese assets are the main market - influencing factors [2]. 3.4 Market Outlook - The market may enter a daily - level adjustment, which is a total adjustment since the rise in June. The probability of a sharp decline is low, and the adjustment is expected to be in the form of range - bound lateral fluctuations [2]. 3.5 Trading Strategies - For stock index futures directional trading, expect the adjustment to be in the form of range - bound lateral fluctuations with a low probability of a sharp decline [2]. - For stock index option trading, stay on the sidelines as the market enters an adjustment period [2].

Group 1 - The core issue of the article revolves around the ongoing control struggle at *ST New Tide (SH600777), particularly following the acquisition by Yitai B shares, which now holds a 50.10% stake in the company [1][3] - The newly elected board of directors, primarily composed of candidates from Yitai B, aims to address internal governance issues and has committed to supporting minority shareholders [3][4] - The control dispute is largely centered on the company's oil and gas assets located in the United States, which are crucial for the company's operations and future [4][5] Group 2 - The recent interim shareholders' meeting resulted in a significant majority (81.49%) supporting the early re-election of the board and supervisory committee, despite the previous management's objections [2][3] - The new management faced significant resistance during the transition, with key personnel from the previous management not cooperating during the handover process [4][5] - Legal battles are ongoing in U.S. courts, with multiple cases being heard, including one initiated by Yitai B to protect the company's interests and maintain operations of its U.S. subsidiaries [5]

Core Viewpoint - The control struggle over *ST Xinchao (SH600777)* continues despite the completion of the board restructuring, as highlighted in the recently disclosed 2025 semi-annual report, revealing a decline in performance amid ongoing litigation and governance issues [1][2][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, *ST Xinchao* reported operating revenue of 3.973 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.85% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 959 million yuan, down 18.22% year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Control and Governance Issues - The new controlling shareholder, Yitai B, holds 50.10% of the shares and aims to address internal governance issues, but faced resistance from existing management [2][3]. - A temporary shareholders' meeting was held on July 24, 2025, where a significant majority (81.49%) supported the early restructuring of the board and supervisory committee [3]. - The newly elected board includes four non-independent directors from Yitai B, with Zhang Junyu appointed as chairman [3][4]. Group 3: Legal and Operational Challenges - The transition of control has led to significant operational challenges, with the new management facing resistance during the takeover of the Beijing office, where previous management did not cooperate [6][7]. - The core asset dispute centers around the oil and gas assets in the U.S., with ongoing litigation in U.S. courts, including three key cases [7][8]. - A "status quo order" from a Delaware court mandates that the U.S. subsidiary maintain normal operations and restricts significant transactions without prior consent [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Risks - The new board is actively working to address issues raised in the previous year's audit report to improve governance and financial reporting quality [9]. - The company faces a delisting risk due to an "unable to express opinion" audit report for the 2024 fiscal year, which could lead to termination of listing if the situation does not improve in 2025 [8].