Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 24,221, up 0.62% for the day and 20.75% year-to-date[3] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose 0.54% to 8,725, with a year-to-date increase of 19.68%[3] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.64% to 5,269, with a year-to-date gain of 17.93%[3] Capital Flows - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of HKD 5.036 billion on July 2[9] Sector Performance - Gold stocks performed well, with Shandong Gold rising over 5%[9] - Gaming stocks saw significant gains, with New Macau International Development increasing over 13%[9] - Semiconductor stocks declined, with Shanghai Fudan dropping over 4%[9] U.S. Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.02% to 44,484, while the S&P 500 rose 0.47% to 6,227, and the Nasdaq increased by 0.94% to 20,393[3] - The S&P 500's performance was bolstered by gains in technology stocks, with Nvidia rising 2.58%[9] Economic Indicators - U.S. private sector employment unexpectedly declined in June, marking the first drop in over two years[13] - The U.S. Senate passed a tax reform bill that does not include provisions for wind and solar energy projects[9] Japanese Market Performance - The Nikkei 225 index fell 0.6%, with a cumulative decline of over 3% for the week[13] - The index has increased nearly 11% since April 2, despite recent declines[13] Notable Company Movements - Tesla's global quarterly sales fell 13% year-on-year but exceeded the most pessimistic analyst expectations[14] - Oracle and OpenAI reached an agreement for a significant power supply project, part of a $30 billion cloud deal[14] Investment Insights - The report indicates a mixed outlook for various sectors, with technology and gold stocks showing resilience while semiconductor stocks face challenges[9][14]

【导读】 港股高开低走，钢铁板块午后拉升，黄金股、博彩股和光伏股走强，芯片股、军工 股下挫 见习记者 储是 7月2日为港股下半年第一个交易日。 今日，港股高开低走，窄幅震荡。截至收盘，恒生指数上涨0.62%，报收于24221.41点；恒 生科技指数下跌0.64%，报收于5269.11点；国企指数上涨0.54%，报收于8724.9点。 盘面上，大型科网股普遍走高，钢铁板块午后猛拉，黄金股、博彩股和光伏股走强，芯片 股、军工股下挫。 大型科技股多数走高 此外，弘业期货H股跌超13%，A股跌停两连板，累计下跌超19%。 黄金股、博彩股和光伏股走强 今日，山东黄金涨超5%，潼关黄金、紫金矿业、招金矿业、中国黄金国际等纷纷上涨。 涨跌不一 京东集团涨0.08%，小米集团涨0.33%，美团涨0.56%；阿里巴巴跌0.36%，腾讯控股跌 0.3%，网易跌1.33%，快手跌2.76%，哔哩哔哩跌2.21%。 钢铁板块午后拉升 重庆钢铁股份盘中突破130% 午后，港股钢铁板块持续拉升。重庆钢铁股份盘中涨幅一度扩大至135.56%。截至收盘，涨 幅回落至91.11%，报1.72港元/股。该公司A股也于午后快速拉升并封住涨停。此外 ...

Group 1 - Cirsa, a Spanish gaming company controlled by Blackstone, has launched an IPO that has garnered significant attention in global capital markets, being considered one of the most notable IPOs in Spain for 2025 [1] - The IPO was officially opened to investors on July 3 and is set to close on July 7, with shares expected to be allocated on the same day and trading to commence on July 9 [1] - Cirsa aims for a valuation target of €2.52 billion (approximately $2.97 billion) with an expected issuance size between €453 million and €521 million [1] Group 2 - The IPO includes a greenshoe option, allowing for additional share issuance if market demand is strong, providing flexibility for Cirsa to expand its financing [6] - The offering also involves the transfer of shares from existing shareholders, indicating a proactive approach to capital structure adjustments by the company and its investors [6] - The underwriting syndicate consists of major financial institutions including BBVA, Jefferies, Mediobanca, Société Générale, and UBS, ensuring liquidity and strong participation from international investors [6] Group 3 - Cirsa is the largest casino operator in Spain and has expanded its operations into Italy, Morocco, and various Latin American markets, with recent expansions into Portugal and Puerto Rico [6] - The successful IPO of Cirsa is expected to boost market sentiment in Spain, which has not seen large IPOs for several months, potentially revitalizing the capital market [6] - The IPO is seen as a reflection of the recovering European capital market, positively influencing investor sentiment in the Eurozone [7]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed performance with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.62% to 24,221.41 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.64% to 5,269.11 points, indicating a shift from a structural market to a broader rally requiring stronger fundamental support and policy catalysts [1] Blue Chip Performance - Xinyi Solar (00968) led blue-chip stocks with a rise of 10.84% to HKD 2.76, contributing 1.83 points to the Hang Seng Index. Other notable performers included Xinyi Glass (00868) up 9.55% and Sands China (01928) up 6% [2] - The central financial committee emphasized the need to address low-price competition in the photovoltaic glass industry, which is expected to lead to a collective production cut of 30% starting in July [2][4] Sector Highlights - The photovoltaic sector saw significant gains, with major companies like Fuyat Glass (06865) and Xinyi Solar (00968) rising by 11.01% and 10.84% respectively, amid news of production cuts [4] - Steel stocks surged, particularly Chongqing Steel (01053) which rose by 91.11%, driven by rumors of production limits in Tangshan [3] - The Macau gaming sector reported a 19% year-on-year increase in gross gaming revenue for June, with major operators like Sands China (01928) and Wynn Macau (01128) seeing substantial gains [5] Commodity and Automotive Sector - Gold prices surged above USD 3,350, while copper prices reached a peak of USD 9,984, influenced by geopolitical tensions and low inventory levels [6] - Automotive stocks showed mixed results, with Great Wall Motors (02333) and Geely (00175) rising, while Li Auto (02015) fell by 3.18% [6] Notable Stock Movements - Nayuki Tea (02150) experienced a significant increase of 33.33% to HKD 1.68, driven by strong sales growth [7] - IFBH (06603) rose by 20.38% amid expectations of inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [8] - New World Development (00017) increased by 9.82% following the announcement of a refinancing agreement covering HKD 88.2 billion in existing debt [9] - CIMC (02039) reached a new high, gaining 5.16% as the central government promotes high-quality development in the marine economy [10] - Kingsoft (03888) saw a decline of 9.66% after the launch of a new game, with mixed reviews affecting market confidence [11]

点击蓝字，关注我们 今日上午港股 1.博彩股集体高开， 新濠国际发展(00200)涨9.65%，银河娱乐(00027)涨9.04%，金沙中国(01928)涨6%； 永利澳门(01128)涨5.17%；美高梅中国(02282)涨4.97%。 2.六福集团(00590)再涨超4%， 中银国际表示，六福在2025财年下半年的营运表现超出预期。除了金价 上涨外，选择成毅作为新品牌代言人以及推出具有中国风设计的新产品系列也助力提升销售势头。 3.太古地产(01972)涨超3% ， 消息面上，近日，太古地产及太古公司联合公布，各方于本公告日期就出 售权益(即零售权益、停车场资产及设施权益)的买卖订立交易文件。 4.首程控股(00697)涨超3%， 消息面上，首程控股发布公告，近日，集团在北京成功举办了主题为"首程 领航，智创未来"的机器人产业生态峰会暨投资人大会。 5.内银股早盘普涨， 民生银行(01988)涨3.82%；中信银行(00998)涨3.21%；建设银行(00939)涨2.53%；工 商银行(01398)涨1.93%。 12.电力股早盘回暖， 大唐发电(00991)涨4.55%；华能国际(00902)涨4.0 ...

海富通基金指出，港股估值当前处于历史相对低位，估值绝对水平远低于美欧日市场水平，性价比相对 较高。 汇添富基金表示，下半年港股走势或呈现"震荡上行+结构分化"格局。核心驱动因素包括宏观政策将聚 焦高质量发展、科技创新与内需提振，叠加稳增长政策加码，有望推动港股基本面修复；全年南向资金 净流入或突破万亿元规模，持续改善港股流动性。同时，海外区域性资金对港股关注度上升，若基本面 持续改善，外资配置比例有望从当前的低位逐步回升。 华夏基金认为，在国内经济复苏、AI业绩催化预期以及更多优质企业赴港上市的背景下，下半年恒生 科技的估值有望持续提升。而一旦有爆点事件催化，高弹性、高成长等特性也使其具备更大的向上动 能。 恒生指数高开0.96%，恒生科技指数涨1.07%。银河娱乐涨超9%，金沙中国涨6%，吉利汽车涨近5%。 关于港股后市 光大证券称，短期在流动性较难继续放松的背景下，结合A股财报披露扰动、中美关系仍有不确定性等 事件对风险偏好可能有所压制，港股市场可能呈现震荡走势。长期来看，港股整体盈利能力相对较强， 同时互联网、新消费、创新药等资产相对稀缺，结合当前估值仍偏低，长期配置性价比仍较高。 中信证券表示，在港股 ...

Financial Performance - Adjusted revenue increased by 3.8% to HK$10.6 billion [13] - Adjusted cash profit was HK$266 million [13] - Net loss attributable to shareholders was approximately HK$1,275 million [22] - Total bank loans and notes decreased by approximately HK$2.4 billion, an 8.6% drop compared to March 31, 2024 [22] - Monetized approximately HK$1.2 billion in non-core assets and businesses in FY2025 [22] Operational Highlights - Property development adjusted revenue increased by 5.3% to approximately HK$7.2 billion [14] - Hotel revenue increased by 2.3% to approximately HK$2.077 billion [16] - Car park revenue decreased by 2.6% to approximately HK$713 million [16] - Gaming revenue increased by 1.6% to approximately HK$409 million [16] Balance Sheet Management - Adjusted net gearing ratio decreased to 67.6% as of March 31, 2025 [22] - Net debt reduced by HK$1.3 billion [29] - Total cumulative attributable presales and unbooked contracted sales reached approximately HK$8.9 billion [14]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue growth driven by VIP and mass market gaming, but faced challenges with EBITDA margins due to aggressive customer acquisition strategies [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Melco Resorts (MLCO.US) reported Q2 2017 net revenue of $1.3 billion, a 20% year-over-year increase, exceeding the expected $1.24 billion [1]. - Property EBITDA was $330 million, a 76% year-over-year increase, but slightly below the expected $343 million [1]. - In Macau, VIP gaming revenue reached $641 million, a 56% year-over-year increase, while mass market revenue was $539 million, a 3% increase [1]. Group 2: Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from VIP gaming was $753 million, a 61% year-over-year increase, while mass market gaming revenue was $596 million, a 6% increase [1]. - Non-gaming revenue was $161 million, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth [1]. - For the new Melco property, net revenue was $332 million, an 80% year-over-year increase, with EBITDA of $80.7 million, a 265% increase [2]. Group 3: Strategic Insights - The increase in VIP revenue was attributed to the addition of 33 VIP tables in November, enhancing the company's competitive position [3]. - The company is leveraging a unique movie-themed experience to attract customers, which aligns with consumer preferences for diverse entertainment options [3]. - Aggressive customer acquisition strategies have led to increased costs, impacting EBITDA margins, which fell from 30.8% in Q1 to 27.2% in Q2 [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the opening of the Morpheus hotel in April 2018 and the rebranding of the Hard Rock hotel, which will inject new vitality into operations [4]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating with target prices of HKD 25 and USD 28 for its shares, anticipating a narrowing of the discount relative to its subsidiaries [4].

Core Viewpoint - The gaming industry in Macau has shown strong performance in Q3, with five out of six companies exceeding market expectations, leading to significant outperformance against the Hang Seng Index [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Five out of six Macau gaming companies reported Q3 results that exceeded market expectations, with the exception of Wynn Macau due to underperformance in new projects [1] - Sands China, Galaxy Entertainment, and MGM China have shown an average stock price increase of 5.9% since October, outperforming the Hang Seng Index by 10.8 percentage points [1] - The Parisian achieved an EBITDA margin of 28% within just 18 days of opening, highlighting Sands' strong competitive position and operational excellence in the mass market [1] Group 2: Industry Growth and Trends - The gaming industry's revenue is expected to continue moderate growth into next year, supported by new projects and a low base effect [1] - Visitor data remains stable, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.5% in September, indicating an improvement in visitor structure [1] - The contribution of new projects to overall revenue is significant; without these, market growth would be considerably lower [1] Group 3: Policy Risks - Ongoing policy risks remain a long-term concern for the sector, as evidenced by the investigation of Australian Crown Casino employees in mainland China, which led to a 3% average drop in stock prices [1] - The tightening of policies towards the gaming industry since 2013 continues to create a cautious environment for business expansion in mainland China [1] - The depreciation pressure on the Renminbi may lead to stricter capital outflow controls, particularly affecting high-end mass and VIP gaming segments [1] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The company maintains a cautiously optimistic outlook for the overall sector in the next three months, recommending focus on Sands China, Galaxy Entertainment, and MGM China for their strong operational capabilities and growth potential [2] - Sands China is highlighted for its strong dividend yield and potential for high growth next year [2] - Galaxy Entertainment is noted for its operational strength and potential for maintaining performance with new project expansions [2] - MGM China is expected to significantly enhance its performance following the opening of new projects in Q2 next year [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on experience and learning-related services consumption names, recommending eight quality consumer services with an average forward P/E of 17x and 19% year-on-year sales growth [31]. Core Insights - Despite overall lackluster consumption trends in China post-reopening, selected "new consumption" stocks have significantly outperformed the MXCN index, with an average weighted index for Lunar New Year consumption rising by 21% compared to 10% for MXCN through June 12 [5][6]. - The ACGN sector has shown remarkable performance, with stocks like Pop Mart and Bloks rising by 155% and 94% respectively, while other sectors like Hainan travel/shopping and e-bikes lagged behind [5][6]. - The report highlights a structural shift in consumer behavior towards services over goods, with services consumption categories such as Transport & Communications and Education, Culture & Recreational Services growing at 15% and 18% year-on-year in 2023, compared to overall consumption growth of 9% [5][6]. - The report identifies nine experience and learning-related consumption names that are expected to benefit from favorable seasonal spending trends during the summer [5][31]. Summary by Sections New Consumption Trends - Two key trends identified are affordable treats, including ACGN goods and government-subsidized trade-ins, and experience-related consumption such as movies and travel [6][31]. - The report notes that leading affordable treats have outperformed year-to-date, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards smaller pleasures rather than big-ticket items [5][6]. Valuation and Growth Potential - Valuation levels for top new consumption names are now comparable to established global brands, with significant upside potential for future growth [5][6]. - The report emphasizes that the ability to surprise on future growth is crucial for maintaining valuations in the new consumption space [5][6]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on experience and learning-related services, which are expected to benefit from seasonal trends and a structural shift towards services consumption in China [31]. - Specific companies highlighted include Tencent, NetEase, Trip.com, and Kuaishou, which are positioned well for growth in the digital entertainment and travel sectors [31].