Core Points - A new company, Hengshui Yuanqian Network Sales Co., Ltd., has been established with a registered capital of 100,000 RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Dong Wentao [1] - The business scope includes internet sales (excluding goods requiring permits), wholesale and retail of hardware products, manufacturing and sales of bearings, gears, and transmission components, manufacturing of plastic products, and general cargo storage services [1] Business Scope - The company is involved in internet sales, specifically excluding items that require special permits [1] - It engages in wholesale and retail of hardware products, indicating a focus on the hardware market [1] - The manufacturing and sales of bearings, gears, and transmission components suggest a potential involvement in the machinery or automotive sectors [1] - The company also manufactures plastic products, which may indicate diversification in its product offerings [1] - General cargo storage services are included, which could enhance logistics capabilities [1] - The company is authorized to conduct road cargo transportation, subject to necessary approvals [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nanchang Longguang E-commerce Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 10,000 RMB, indicating a new player in the e-commerce sector focusing on various retail and wholesale activities [1] Company Summary - The legal representative of the newly established company is Xiong Pan [1] - The registered capital of the company is 10,000 RMB [1] - The business scope includes internet sales (excluding goods requiring permits), retail and wholesale of clothing and accessories, retail of footwear and hats, and sales of arts and crafts [1] - The company is also involved in the sale of daily necessities, kitchenware, import and export of goods, technology import and export, and supply chain management services [1] Industry Summary - The establishment of Nanchang Longguang E-commerce Co., Ltd. reflects the ongoing growth and diversification in the e-commerce industry, particularly in the retail and wholesale segments [1] - The company’s activities include general warehousing services (excluding hazardous chemicals), which indicates a focus on logistics and supply chain management within the e-commerce framework [1]

Market Overview - Major U.S. stock indices rose on Friday, with the Nasdaq up 0.6%, driven by Amazon's optimistic earnings outlook, alleviating concerns over excessive spending in the AI sector [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 40.75 points, or 0.09%, closing at 47,562.87 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 0.26% and 0.61%, respectively [1] - Over the week, the Dow rose 0.75%, the Nasdaq increased by 2.24%, and the S&P 500 was up 0.7%, marking the longest consecutive monthly gains for these indices since early 2018 and 2021 [1] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, aligning with expectations, but Chairman Powell indicated that another cut in December is not guaranteed, leading to market adjustments [2] - The probability of another rate cut in December dropped to 62.8% from 91% a week prior, reflecting market uncertainty [2] - Several regional Fed presidents expressed concerns about inflation remaining above the 2% target, suggesting that further rate cuts may be difficult without clear evidence of declining inflation [2] Individual Stocks - Amazon's stock surged by 9.6%, reaching a record high, as the company projected quarterly sales exceeding market expectations, driven by strong growth in its cloud computing segment [3] - Apple shares fell by 0.4%, despite exceeding Wall Street's expectations for holiday iPhone sales, with CEO Cook highlighting supply chain constraints [3] - Netflix rose by 2.7% following the announcement of a 1-for-10 stock split [4] - Other notable tech stocks included Tesla up 3.7%, Oracle up 2.2%, while Microsoft and Meta saw declines of 1.5% and 2.7%, respectively [4] International Markets - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index increased by 0.5%, with NetEase up 0.7%, while Baidu, JD.com, and Alibaba experienced declines [5] - International oil prices rebounded, with WTI crude oil rising to $60.98 per barrel, while Brent crude increased to $65.07 per barrel [6] - Gold prices slightly weakened, with COMEX gold futures falling to $3,982.20 per ounce [6]

Market Overview - Major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Nasdaq up 0.6% due to Amazon's optimistic earnings outlook alleviating concerns over excessive spending in the AI sector [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 40.75 points, or 0.09%, closing at 47,562.87 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 0.26% and 0.61%, respectively [1] - Over the week, the Dow increased by 0.75%, the Nasdaq by 2.24%, and the S&P 500 by 0.7%, marking the longest consecutive monthly gains for these indices since early 2018 and 2021 [1] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, aligning with expectations, but Chairman Powell indicated that another cut in December is not guaranteed [2] - Market expectations for another rate cut have decreased, with the probability now at 62.8%, down from 91% a week prior [2] - Several regional Fed presidents expressed concerns about inflation remaining above the 2% target, suggesting that further rate cuts may be difficult without clear evidence of declining inflation [2] Individual Stocks - Amazon's stock surged by 9.6%, reaching a historical high, driven by a forecast of quarterly sales exceeding market expectations, particularly due to strong growth in its cloud computing segment [3] - Apple shares fell by 0.4%, despite exceeding Wall Street's expectations for holiday iPhone sales, as CEO Cook highlighted supply chain constraints [3] - Netflix rose by 2.7% following the announcement of a 1-for-10 stock split [4] - Other notable tech stocks included Tesla up 3.7%, Oracle up 2.2%, while Microsoft and Meta saw declines of 1.5% and 2.7%, respectively [4] Sector Performance - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 0.5%, with NetEase up 0.7%, while Baidu, JD.com, and Alibaba experienced declines [5] - International oil prices rebounded slightly, with WTI crude oil rising to $60.98 per barrel, while Brent crude oil increased to $65.07 per barrel [6] - Gold prices saw a minor decline, with COMEX gold futures dropping to $3,982.20 per ounce [6]

Core Insights - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.07%, the S&P 500 rose by 0.72%, and the Nasdaq gained 1.5% [1] - Amazon's stock surged over 12% following a third-quarter performance that exceeded expectations [1] - Apple's stock rose by 2%, reaching a new all-time high [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of today's futures main contracts. Index futures will fluctuate and consolidate; gold, silver, coking coal, glass, and lithium carbonate futures will oscillate strongly; copper and PVC futures will oscillate weakly [1][2][3][4][5]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Outlook - **Index Futures**: On October 31, index futures will fluctuate and consolidate. IF2512 has resistance levels at 4723 and 4741 points, and support levels at 4678 and 4653 points; IH2512 has resistance levels at 3065 and 3080 points, and support levels at 3030 and 3023 points; IC2512 has resistance levels at 7395 and 7470 points, and support levels at 7262 and 7200 points; IM2512 has resistance levels at 7450 and 7519 points, and support levels at 7319 and 7257 points [2][20]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: On October 31, the 10 - year Treasury bond futures main contract T2512 will likely oscillate strongly, with resistance levels at 108.78 and 108.85 yuan, and support levels at 108.53 and 108.43 yuan. The 30 - year Treasury bond futures main contract TL2512 will likely oscillate strongly, with resistance levels at 116.5 and 116.8 yuan, and support levels at 115.6 and 115.4 yuan [2][38][43]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: On October 31, the gold futures main contract AU2512 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 923.6 and 928.6 yuan/gram, with support levels at 906.0 and 900.4 yuan/gram. The silver futures main contract AG2512 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 11483 and 11575 yuan/kg, with support levels at 11210 and 11122 yuan/kg [2][3][44][51]. - **Base Metal Futures**: On October 31, the copper futures main contract CU2512 will likely oscillate weakly and test support levels at 86600 and 86000 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 87600 and 88000 yuan/ton. The aluminum futures main contract AL2512 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 21300 and 21370 yuan/ton, and support levels at 21140 and 21090 yuan/ton. The alumina futures main contract AO2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with support levels at 2803 and 2790 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 2836 and 2860 yuan/ton [3][52][61]. - **Energy and Chemical Futures**: On October 31, the lithium carbonate futures main contract LC2601 will likely oscillate strongly, with resistance levels at 85000 and 85700 yuan/ton, and support levels at 82200 and 81700 yuan/ton. The rebar futures main contract RB2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 3111 and 3133 yuan/ton, and support levels at 3090 and 3083 yuan/ton. The hot - rolled coil futures main contract HC2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 3333 and 3355 yuan/ton, and support levels at 3306 and 3280 yuan/ton. The iron ore futures main contract I2601 will likely oscillate weakly and test support levels at 790 and 787 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 803 and 806 yuan/ton. The coking coal futures main contract JM2601 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 1316 and 1328 yuan/ton, with support levels at 1280 and 1263 yuan/ton. The glass futures main contract FG601 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 112 and 1127 yuan/ton, with support levels at 1083 and 1072 yuan/ton. The soda ash futures main contract SA601 will likely oscillate widely, with support levels at 1224 and 1215 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 1248 and 1260 yuan/ton. The crude oil futures main contract SC2512 will likely oscillate strongly and attack resistance levels at 463 and 467 yuan/barrel, with support levels at 455 and 453 yuan/barrel. The PTA futures main contract TA601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 4590 and 4624 yuan/ton, and support levels at 4556 and 4530 yuan/ton. The PVC futures main contract V2601 will likely oscillate weakly and test support levels at 4731 and 4710 yuan/ton, with resistance levels at 4778 and 4817 yuan/ton [3][4][5][72][79][81]. - **Agricultural Futures**: On October 31, the soybean meal futures main contract M2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with resistance levels at 3020 and 3035 yuan/ton, and support levels at 2980 and 2965 yuan/ton. The natural rubber futures main contract RU2601 will likely fluctuate and consolidate, with support levels at 15340 and 15210 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 15500 and 15630 yuan/ton [7][108][110]. Macro News and Trading Tips - China - US leaders held a meeting, and the two countries' economic and trade teams reached a consensus on important economic and trade issues. The US will cancel the 10% so - called "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods, and the 24% reciprocal tariff will be suspended for another year. The US will suspend the implementation of the 50% penetrative export control rule and the Section 301 investigation on China's maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding industries for one year [8]. - The World Bank predicts that global commodity prices may decline for the fourth consecutive year in 2026, reaching the lowest level in six years. Energy prices are expected to drop by 12% in 2025 and a further 10% in 2026. Gold prices are expected to rise by 42% in 2025 and a further 5% in 2026 [10]. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - **Index Futures**: On October 30, index futures generally declined. The short - term upward momentum weakened, and the downward pressure increased [14][15][16]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: On October 30, Treasury bond futures mostly rose. The short - term and medium - short - term upward space of the 10 - year and 30 - year Treasury bond futures main contracts further opened [36][41]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: On October 30, the gold futures main contract AU2512 rose slightly, and the short - term continued to rebound weakly. The silver futures main contract AG2512 declined slightly, and the short - term rebound momentum weakened [43][51]. - **Base Metal Futures**: On October 30, the copper futures main contract CU2512 declined slightly, and the short - term upward momentum weakened. The aluminum futures main contract AL2512 declined slightly, and the short - term upward momentum weakened. The alumina futures main contract AO2601 declined significantly, and the short - term downward pressure increased [52][61][64]. - **Energy and Chemical Futures**: On October 30, the lithium carbonate futures main contract LC2601 rose, and the short - term continued to rise. The rebar futures main contract RB2601 declined, and the short - term rebound momentum weakened. The hot - rolled coil futures main contract HC2601 declined, and the short - term rebound momentum weakened. The iron ore futures main contract I2601 rose slightly, and the short - term upward space further opened. The coking coal futures main contract JM2601 rose, and the short - term upward space further opened. The glass futures main contract FG601 declined significantly, and the short - term downward pressure increased. The soda ash futures main contract SA601 declined, and the short - term downward pressure increased. The crude oil futures main contract SC2512 declined slightly, and the short - term downward pressure increased. The PTA futures main contract TA601 declined, and the short - term upward momentum weakened. The PVC futures main contract V2601 rose slightly, and the short - term rebound momentum weakened [69][72][79]. - **Agricultural Futures**: On October 30, the soybean meal futures main contract M2601 rose, and the short - term stopped falling and rose. The natural rubber futures main contract RU2601 declined, and the short - term downward pressure increased [108][110].

Core Insights - The issuance of investable Hong Kong stock funds has significantly rebounded in Q3 2025, reaching the highest level since Q1 2021 [2] - The active public fund's allocation to Hong Kong stocks has slightly decreased, with the market value proportion of Hong Kong stocks in active equity funds dropping from 20.0% in Q2 2025 to 19.2% in Q3 2025 [2] Fund Issuance - In Q3 2025, the issuance of public funds that can invest in Hong Kong stocks through the Stock Connect has increased on a month-on-month basis, marking a new high since Q1 2021 [2] Fund Positioning - The active public funds have slightly reduced their positions in Hong Kong stocks, with the market value proportion of Hong Kong stocks in their portfolios decreasing from 20.0% in Q2 2025 to 19.2% in Q3 2025 [2] - The allocation to Hong Kong small-cap stocks and technology stocks has increased, with the market value proportion rising by 1.1 and 3.0 percentage points respectively [2] Sector Analysis - In Q3 2025, public funds primarily increased their holdings in the retail, pharmaceutical, and non-ferrous metal sectors, focusing on concepts such as internet retail, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals [2] - Conversely, there was a reduction in holdings in the communication, computer, social services, light industry, and automotive sectors, which include concepts like communication equipment, new consumption, and new energy vehicles [2]

Core Insights - A new company, Kunming Yunruihe E-commerce Co., Ltd., has been established with a registered capital of 50,000 RMB and is represented by Deng Fenji [1] Company Overview - The company operates in various sectors including internet sales, daily necessities, musical instruments, toys, and office supplies [1] - The business scope includes retail of personal hygiene products, medical masks, and sports equipment among others [1] - The company is authorized to conduct business activities independently based on its business license, except for projects that require approval [1]

Core Viewpoint - A new company, Hubei Yuzhibo E-commerce Business, has been established with a registered capital of 30,000 RMB, focusing on various retail sectors including daily necessities, clothing, electronics, and more [1] Company Summary - The company is a sole proprietorship represented by Zhuang Yayin [1] - The registered capital is 30,000 RMB [1] - The business scope includes internet sales (excluding licensed goods), retail of daily necessities, clothing, shoes, electronics, jewelry, automotive accessories, furniture, home goods, baby products, pet food and supplies, stationery, sports equipment, toys, personal hygiene products, office supplies, and leather [1]

Market Outlook - The S&P 500 is projected to rise by 8% over the next year, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [1] - Current market trends suggest a secular rally that began in March 2009, with a possibility of a 5% pullback, which is typical [2][3][4] Earnings and Growth - The recent earnings season has seen a higher number of companies beating earnings and sales expectations, indicating positive growth across a broader range of sectors beyond just mega-cap tech [5][6] - The average age of equipment in the U.S. is at record levels, suggesting that upgrading capital stock could enhance efficiency for many companies [7][8] Sector Performance - The market is expected to broaden out, with growth anticipated in sectors such as financials, healthcare, and labor-intensive consumer companies, moving beyond just technology [9][12] - Healthcare and energy sectors are currently undervalued, with significant ownership exodus and pricing in of bad news, presenting potential investment opportunities [24][25] Consumer Behavior - Consumption patterns are shifting, with growth seen in skilled labor and manufacturing, which may drive higher-paying jobs and consumption in the future [11][12][13] Investment Sentiment - Current market sentiment remains cautious, with Wall Street recommending an average stock allocation of 55%, below the benchmark of 60%, indicating that bullishness is not at euphoric levels [22][23]