分析师:袁野 SAC 登记编号:S1340523010002 Email:yuanye@cnpsec.com 研究助理:苑西恒 SAC 登记编号:S1340124020005 Email:yuanxiheng@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《美关税不确定下，日元资产的演化 路径》 - 2025.06.09 宏观研究 发布时间：2025-06-10 研究所 证券研究报告：宏观报告 出口展现韧性，中美谈判进展或促风险偏好修复 投资要点 5 月出口增速继续保持韧性，略低于预期和季节性水平，边际有 所放缓，但存在高基数效应影响，剔除基数效应影响，5 月出口两年 复合增速延续边际改善，好于 4 月出口增速。我们理解，在美国对全 球主要贸易伙伴加征对等关税的背景下，我国对美国出口增速出现大 幅放缓，同比增速 34.52%，对我国出口增速产生一定拖累，但 5 月我 国出口增速成色仍好于 4 月，实属不易。通过分析发现，一是 5 月转 口贸易特征并不突出。我国对东盟出口同比拉动作用边际有所放缓， 但从绝对值看，我国对东盟出口仍是我国出口增速的重要拉动因素； 二是我国与欧盟、一带一路国家合作有所加强，成为我国出口增速保 ...

Core Insights - The contrasting valuations of Hupu and Xiaohongshu highlight the harsh realities of capital markets, with Hupu's valuation plummeting to 5 billion yuan from a peak of 77.22 billion yuan, while Xiaohongshu's valuation soared to 26 billion USD (approximately 180 billion yuan) [1][4][5] Group 1: Hupu's Decline - Hupu, founded in 2004, was once the dominant sports community in China but has faced significant challenges, including a heavy reliance on advertising, which constituted 60.78% of its revenue by 2015 [4][5] - Despite receiving a 1.26 billion yuan investment from ByteDance in 2019, Hupu's user base has drastically declined, with monthly active users dropping from 55 million in 2017 to just 5.79 million [4][5][6] - The rise of short video platforms has further eroded Hupu's traditional text and image-based community model, leading to a loss of advertising revenue and user engagement [5][6][11] Group 2: Xiaohongshu's Growth - Xiaohongshu has successfully diversified its content and focused on female users, achieving over 300 million monthly active users and a search penetration rate of 70% by Q1 2025 [5][8] - The platform's user base is predominantly female, with over 70% of its users being women, contrasting sharply with Hupu's male-dominated demographic [5][8] Group 3: Thunder's Acquisition Strategy - Thunder's acquisition of Hupu for 500 million yuan represents a strategic move to leverage Hupu's remaining user base and content to transition into a "tool + content" ecosystem [8][9] - Despite Thunder's consistent profitability over 11 quarters, its overall revenue declined by 11.1% in 2024, indicating pressure on its core business [8][9] - The acquisition aims to enhance user engagement and diversify Thunder's revenue streams by integrating Hupu's sports content into its existing services [9][10] Group 4: Challenges Ahead - Both Hupu and Thunder face significant challenges, including user attention fragmentation and the irreversible migration of advertising budgets towards short video and performance-based ads [11][12] - Hupu's lack of premium sports content rights, dominated by competitors like Tencent and Migu, poses a critical barrier to attracting and retaining users [12][13] - The evolving interests of young male consumers and the rising costs of high-quality content production further complicate the future viability of Hupu's traditional business model [12][13]

Company Overview - Huazhi Jie (603400.SH) initiated its subscription on June 10, with an issue price of 19.88 CNY per share and a subscription limit of 0.80 thousand shares, reflecting a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.05 times, under the sponsorship of CITIC Securities [1] - The company is positioned in the smart control industry, focusing on providing intelligent, safe, and precise key functional components for electric tools and consumer electronics [1] - Main products include smart switches, smart controllers, brushless motors, and precision structural components for electric tools, as well as precision structural components and switches for consumer electronics [1] - The company has developed a core technology combination of 32 underlying technologies, including "low-resistance, low-heat dual MOSFET circuit technology" and "non-removable program burning technology," which can be further expanded into smart home and new energy vehicle sectors [1] - Huazhi Jie has established long-term stable partnerships with well-known domestic and international brands and manufacturers in the electric tool and consumer electronics sectors, including companies like Ryobi Group, TTI Group, and Delta Group [1] Industry Analysis - The electric tool industry in China is highly market-oriented and competitive, rapidly developing as it undertakes international division of labor, making China a significant supplier and production base for electric tools and components globally [2] - The industry has a high market concentration, with manufacturers demanding higher quality standards for components, allowing qualified suppliers to maintain long-term stable cooperation and capture market share [2] - The company has participated in drafting multiple industry standards in the electronic switch field and has received certifications from renowned institutions such as T V and UL for its laboratory [2] - The company has been recognized with various honors, including being listed among China's top 100 electronic component enterprises and receiving accolades for its technological center and manufacturing transformation [2] Financial Performance - For the fiscal years 2022, 2023, and 2024, Huazhi Jie reported revenues of approximately 1.019 billion CNY, 937 million CNY, and 1.230 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits of approximately 101 million CNY, 121 million CNY, and 154 million CNY [2] - As of the end of 2024, the total assets are projected to be approximately 1.352 billion CNY, with equity attributable to the parent company at around 735 million CNY [3] - The company's asset-liability ratio is expected to be 41.84% by the end of 2024, showing a slight increase from 40.57% in 2023 and a decrease from 41.83% in 2022 [3]

IPO Review and Registration Progress - Three IPO applications were accepted last week, including Senhe High-Tech aiming for the Beijing Stock Exchange to raise 490 million yuan, Yisiwei targeting the Sci-Tech Innovation Board with a planned raise of 1.214 billion yuan, and Zhixin Co. applying for an IPO on the Shanghai Main Board with a target of 1.329 billion yuan [2][3] - Senhe High-Tech specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of environmentally friendly precious metal mining agents, with sales revenue from these agents accounting for over 95% of its main business income during the reporting period [2] - Yisiwei focuses on automotive manufacturing machine vision equipment, holding the largest market shares in China’s automotive manufacturing and complete vehicle manufacturing machine vision markets at 13.7% and 22.5% respectively [3] - Zhixin Co. develops and produces automotive welding parts and related molds, with over 70% of its revenue coming from its top five customers [3] Recent IPO Approvals and Upcoming Listings - Huaxin Precision passed its IPO review on June 6, focusing on precision stamping products, with a projected revenue of 1.421 billion yuan in 2024, a 19.49% increase year-on-year [4] - Three companies are set to undergo IPO reviews this week, including Sanxie Electric, which reported steady revenue growth from 287 million yuan in 2022 to 420 million yuan in 2024 [4][5] - United Power, a subsidiary of Huichuan Technology, achieved a revenue of 16.178 billion yuan in 2024, a 72.74% increase, with over 85% of its revenue derived from electric drive systems [5] - Daoshengtianhe, a wind power industry chain company, reported a revenue of 3.238 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 1.13% [6] New Stock Listings and Subscription Dynamics - Two new stocks were listed last week, Zhongce Rubber and Youyou Green Energy, with the latter seeing a significant first-day increase of 68.64% [9][10] - This week, Jiao Da Tie Fa is scheduled to be listed on June 10, with a projected revenue of 335 million yuan in 2024 [10] - Two new stocks are set for subscription this week, including Huazhi Jie and New Henghui, with planned fundraising of approximately 486 million yuan and 519 million yuan respectively [11] Policy and Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced plans to support high-quality unprofitable technology companies in going public, emphasizing the importance of information disclosure and market intermediary verification [12] - The China Listed Companies Association released guidelines for audit committees to enhance compliance and governance among listed companies [13]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the "智造新城" initiative is effectively supporting local companies in expanding their international trade, particularly in Europe and Latin America, through tailored services and resources [1][2][3] Group 2 - 浙江兆和化工有限公司 has secured a potential €500,000 foreign trade order due to effective translation services that facilitated technical document conversion for European market entry [1] - The company has become a significant player in the automotive airbag chemical sector, leveraging the support of the "智造新城" initiative to enhance its market presence [1] - 衢州力奥科技有限公司 is preparing to send bamboo fiber eco-friendly home products to Mexico, aided by the initiative's global exhibition resources, which have attracted over 30 Latin American buyers [1] Group 3 - The "智造新城" initiative has introduced a comprehensive support mechanism for companies, including pre-exhibition policy guidance, on-site problem resolution, and post-exhibition logistics support, which has led to significant order growth for participating companies [2] - 浙江优柏智能科技有限公司 achieved over 3.5 million yuan in orders from four continents during the Spring Canton Fair, with a 150% year-on-year increase in order volume [2] - The initiative has established a "market backup" mechanism to help companies like 衢州天能工具有限公司 shift orders to emerging markets, effectively mitigating trade risks [2] Group 4 - In the first quarter of this year, the "智造新城" initiative has assisted over 30 key enterprises in achieving intention orders exceeding 100 million yuan, while also expanding into emerging markets like the Middle East [3] - The initiative focuses on strengthening local industrial chains while simultaneously exploring new market opportunities through innovative services [3]

影石创新 One X 系列迭代加速，占公司收入约 50%，表明其技术更新 优势。G 系列和 S 系列产品在 2023-2024 年间显著增长，公司积极拓 展产品线。 影石创新线上线下渠道均衡，各占约 50%，主要市场集中在美、欧、日、 韩等发达国家。公司财务状况良好，现金流充沛，截至 2025 年一季度 现金及交易性金融资产接近 9 亿元。 全景相机市场 2023 年全球规模约 50 亿元，增速 21.8%，预计 2027 年达 80 亿左右。影石已连续六年保持全球第一，占有率超 60%。运动 相机市场影石位居第二，或已超越 GoPro。 新恒汇是智能卡芯片封装材料柔性引线框架的核心供应商，市占率约为 32%。IPO 募集资金约 5.8 亿元，用于键合引线框架封装材料项目和研 发中心扩建。 新恒汇积极拓展蚀刻引线框架及物联网 eSIM 芯片封测业务，收入占比 从 2022 年不到 10%提升至 2024 年接近 30%。公司 2022-2024 年收 入稳步增长，今年上半年预计收入增速为 4%-12%。 新股探寻-（影石创新、新恒汇、华之杰）20250606 摘要 Q&A 影石创新公司的主要产品和市场表现如何 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Panjing Investment has conducted research on Xianheng International, which is expected to maintain a good development trend due to expansion in new fields, particularly in the oil and petrochemical industry and new e-commerce [1] - Xianheng International reported strong performance in Q1 2025, with significant growth attributed to its strategic industry and new e-commerce developments, indicating potential for increased gross profit margins [1] - The company has made substantial investments in digital transformation, channel development, and personnel deployment, laying a solid foundation for future growth [1] Group 2 - Cost control measures have been effective, with management and sales expenses being well managed, leading to positive results in cost reduction and efficiency improvement [1] - As the business scales, economies of scale are expected to become more pronounced, with the growth rate of gross profit expected to exceed that of cost expenses [1] - The completion of the Hangzhou Smart City Manufacturing Center is anticipated to significantly enhance the production capacity of proprietary products [1] Group 3 - Future profit growth for Xianheng International is projected to come from rapid development in strategic industries and new e-commerce, as well as technological innovation [1] - The company emphasizes investor returns, planning to distribute a cash dividend of 0.36 yuan per share in 2024, totaling 145 million yuan [1] - Proprietary products mainly focus on tools and testing equipment, with 20-30 research directions selected annually [1]

以下文章来源于尺度商业 ，作者尺度商业 尺度商业 . 以价值为尺、投资有度的视角，观察和洞见商业文明、科技创新（原德林社更名） 文 | 张佳儒 一边高负债率，曾拟募资28.5亿补充流动资金，一边又连续分红，这样的公司你见过吗？ 6月5日，中策橡胶在上交所上市，公司计划募资48.50亿元，实际募资40.66亿元，成为A股市场年内 最大IPO。 按照最初的计划，中策橡胶募资额高达70亿元，远高于实际募资。中策橡胶拟募资额大幅缩水的 原 因，在于公司删除了28.5亿元补充流动资金项目。 拟28.5亿元补充流动资金背后，中策橡胶资产负债率远超同行平均水平。中策橡胶在阐述募资项目必 要性时也提到，"将进一步改善公司的资产负债结构"。 令外界疑惑的是，债务压力下的中策橡胶，分红却较为积极。2020年至2024年上半年，公司累计分 红28亿元。 拟募资额大幅缩水，拟大手笔补充流动资金，又删除项目，这背后有怎样的故事？ 轮胎巨头是"买"来的， 这一安排，成为中策橡胶在高负债率背景下仍持续分红的重要原因之一。 还背上银行贷款 6月6日收盘，中策橡胶市值411.3亿元。这家轮胎巨头，是仇建平创业后积累资金买下来的。 中策橡胶主要 ...

Group 1: Huazhi Jie - Huazhi Jie is a leading company in the electric tools sector in China, focusing on the research, production, and sales of components for electric tools and consumer electronics [2][4] - The company plans to issue 25 million shares, with 8 million shares available for online subscription, and the maximum subscription limit for investors is 8,000 shares [2] - The global electric tools market was valued at $53.55 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $98.7 billion by 2030, with China being the largest producer and exporter [2] - Huazhi Jie's revenue and net profit for 2022 to 2024 are projected to be 1.019 billion, 937 million, and 1.230 billion CNY, and 101 million, 121 million, and 154 million CNY respectively [2][11] Group 2: Xin Heng Hui - Xin Heng Hui is a leading enterprise in the smart card industry, involved in the research, production, sales, and testing services of integrated circuits [8][10] - The company plans to issue 59.89 million shares, with 14.37 million shares available for online subscription, and the maximum subscription limit for investors is 14,000 shares [9] - Xin Heng Hui's revenue and net profit for 2022 to 2024 are projected to be 684 million, 767 million, and 842 million CNY, and 110 million, 152 million, and 186 million CNY respectively [11][13] - The management expects the company's revenue for the first half of 2025 to be between 430 million and 465 million CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.80% to 12.25% [14]

"男性消费力不如狗"的经典论调， 又再一次被翻出来了。 文 ｜ 四大 编辑 ｜ 莽山烙铁头 面线 来源｜ 差评X.PIN（ID：chaping321） 封面来源 ｜ IC photo 虎扑最终还是卖了，卖了5亿人民币。 或许你对这个单薄的个位数没有什么概念。 世超找了一个对比，按照金沙江创投股份披露，隔壁靠女性用户起家的小红书，现在估值差不多是260亿美元，是373个虎扑。 以下文章来源于差评X.PIN ，作者世超 差评X.PIN . Debug The World，关注科技、数码、汽车、产经、游戏，传播能改变世界的科技互联网信息。 一时间，"男性消费力不如狗"的经典论调，又再一次被翻出来了。 不光甩卖的金额被吐槽，甩卖的对象更让不少人感慨是—— 弱弱联合 。 收购它的正是快被人遗忘的下载软件鼻祖迅雷。两家其实在年初的时候，就已经在谈好要收购了，只是这两天才把流程走完。 面对两位重量级选手的联手，网友们基本不咋看好。更有不客气的人直言： "垂暮的老人手挽手躺在病床上……"、"俩全是累赘"。 虎扑这边就不用说了，咱们之前也里里外外给大家盘过，它是怎么一步一步没落的。 得物、识货这些电商业务都被剥离出去之后，虎扑 ...