4月15日，化工巨头巴斯夫在官网宣布，在上海投资约5亿元人民币建设第二套聚氨酯减振元件 (Cellasto)业务装置，以进一步扩大工厂规模。 不断强化汽车产业链布局 巴斯夫是世界领先的化工巨头，在法兰克福证券交易所上市。自1994年在浦东投资运营以来，多次 进行投资扩产。从染料贸易到化工帝国，其战略扩张始终紧随中国产业的发展。巴斯夫的核心业务包括 化学品、材料、工业解决方案、营养与护理业务领域。 2024 年巴斯夫全球销售额为 653 亿欧元。其位 于上海高桥镇的巴斯夫科创园是其全球业务开展的枢纽之一。 早在2018年，巴斯夫就在华投资扩建树脂产能至7.5万吨/年。为了稳固并扩大其在中国的汽车涂料 市场，巴斯夫后来斥资1.96亿元扩建树脂装置二期项目，于2020年第三季度完成建设。2022年，巴斯夫 化工有限公司又计划总投资9360万元建设树脂装置扩建三期项目，在公司D900地块生产装置内新增一 条聚酯/聚氨酯生产线。2025年3月24日，巴斯夫涂料业务部宣布，其上海漕泾基地的聚酯与聚氨酯树脂 产线扩建项目（扩建三期项目）已正式投产，相关树脂年产能从2015年建成初期的0.8万吨提升至1.88万 吨。 扩建避 ...

第一财经每日精选最热门大公司动态。 【今日推荐】 问界就"沈阳工业展览馆事故"发声明：不满足AEB触发条件 问界汽车用户服务部发布《关于辽宁沈阳工业展览馆M7Pro事故的声明》称，4月13日，一辆问界 M7Pro在辽宁沈阳工业展览馆发生碰撞事故，造成一名人员受伤。问界汽车深表歉意，已积极协助 就医，经检查伤者有轻微挫伤，当日已出院。问界称，经初步调查，事故发生于车展撤展前夕，车辆 未处于展车模式，导致车辆被误启动。因主驾未系安全带，且方向盘大角度干预，不满足AEB触发 条件。问界汽车表示，对此事故给各方带来的困扰，再次深表歉意，问界汽车将持续与车展主办方等 相关方积极协商、妥善处理后续事项。 苹果二手机回收已涨500元 4月14日，杭州手机数码市场一商户表示，苹果二手机回收一天一个价，目前涨400-500元。苹果 16promax 256G回收价原先是7300元，现在最高7800元。受关税影响，大家出现持货观望情绪， 都不愿意出手。（中国蓝新闻） 宇树科技：美国加关税并未有太大影响，没有哪家企业不做美国市场就不行了 4月14日，宇树科技华南区大区总监林志龙在接受采访时表示，美国加关税并未有太大影响，国外是 很 ...

第一财经每日精选最热门大公司动态。 【今日推荐】 极端大风！美团、饿了么紧急提醒 据报道，受冷涡加强东移南下影响，11日下午至13日北京将出现一次极端大风、强降温天气过程。 美团方面11日午间表示，美团已向北京区域骑手发布了大风天气预警，提醒骑手防风慢行，谨防高 空坠物，如遇意外情况，可及时通过骑手App上报。在极端大风天气下，骑手可免费使用美团外卖 柜，美团将向骑手灵活提供恶劣天气补贴。饿了么方面表示，饿了么提前做好骑手配送安全和防风保 障，已成立"安全生产"专项小组，启动特殊天气下的应急机制，在确保人员安全情况下，保障城市、 社区民生需求，为大家提供更好的服务；同时也将根据属地要求和实际情况，对外卖服务持续进行调 整。（中新经纬） 盒马宣布面向中国外贸企业开放入驻 盒马发布公告，即日起面向外贸企业正式开放24小时绿色入驻通道，匹配高效的物流供应链支撑、 联合开发自有品牌创新商品，助力中国优质的外贸企业开拓国内市场。据悉，盒马欢迎百货品类（家 居用品、户外运动、宠物、美妆、母婴、康养等）外贸企业入驻，后续还将上线"外贸专区"。 字节跳动游戏业务将独立上市？回应：目前没有上市计划 4月11日，有消息称字节跳动 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views - The short - term trend of soybean oil 2505 contract may face consolidation [1] - The short - term trend of soybean meal may fluctuate strongly [2] - The short - term futures price of corn will fluctuate within a range, and the idea of range operation should be maintained [3] - After the rapid decline of copper price to release risks, it needs a rest, and tactical defense should be carried out opportunistically [4] - The 2505 contract of lithium carbonate may fluctuate weakly, and short positions can be taken on rallies [5][6] - The market sentiment of steel is pessimistic, and it will fluctuate at a low level [7] - Due to the loose supply, coking coal and coke will have a weak rebound at a low level with limited space [8] - The short - term trend of iron ore 2505 is mainly fluctuating strongly, and traders are reminded to be cautious about investment risks [9] - After the holiday, the WTI main contract will have a sharp decline. Attention should be paid to the support level of INE crude oil at around 470 yuan/barrel [10] - Attention should be paid to the downstream start - up situation of Shanghai rubber, and the rubber will mainly fluctuate weakly [12] - In the short term, there is a lack of fundamental positive driving factors, and the futures price may fluctuate at a low level [13][14] - Yesterday, the 05 contract on the futures market fluctuated due to short - term macro - sentiment, but the overall supply - demand pattern remains unchanged. It is expected that the futures market will still fluctuate widely in the short term [15] Summary by Related Catalogs Spot Information - The price of first - grade soybean oil in Zhangjiagang Donghai Grain and Oil is 8270 yuan/ton, down 250 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [1] - The spot prices of 43 soybean meal in different regions are: Zhangjiagang 3130 yuan/ton (120), Tianjin 3290 yuan/ton (160), Rizhao 3220 yuan/ton (150), Dongguan 3020 yuan/ton (50) [2] - The mainstream purchase price of new corn in key deep - processing enterprises in the three northeastern provinces and Inner Mongolia is 2082 yuan/ton; the mainstream purchase price of new corn in key enterprises in North China and Huanghuai is 2281 yuan/ton; the purchase price in Jinzhou Port (15% water/volume weight 680 - 720) is 2130 - 2155 yuan/ton; the purchase price in Bayuquan (volume weight 680 - 730/15% water) is 2130 - 2155 yuan/ton [3] - The price of Shanghai 1 electrolytic copper is 73820 - 75400, down 4540, with a premium of 100 - 200. The import copper ore index is - 26.4, down 2.26 [4] - The market price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5%) is 73400 (- 500) yuan/ton, the market price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate (99.2%) is 73700 (- 400) yuan/ton, and the price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1700 (- 100) yuan/ton [5] - The price of Shanghai rebar is 3170, the start - up rate in Tangshan is 83.13%, the social inventory is 590.95 million tons, and the inventory in steel mills is 207.12 million tons [7] - The price of main coking coal (clean coal, Mongolia 5) is 1200 yuan/ton; the price of metallurgical coke (quasi - first - grade) in Rizhao Port is 1330 yuan/ton; the port inventory of imported coking coal is 347.56 million tons; the port inventory of coke is 217.13 million tons [8] - The Platts index of iron ore is 102.95, the price of Qingdao PB (61.5) powder is 768, and the price of Australian iron ore powder with 62% Fe is 787 [9] - The spot prices of rubber are: domestic whole latex 16600 yuan/ton, Thai smoked three - piece 21600 yuan/ton, Vietnamese 3L standard rubber 17750 yuan/ton, and No. 20 rubber 16350 yuan/ton. The raw material prices in Ho Ai are: smoked sheet 72.59 Thai baht/kg, latex 67.5 Thai baht/kg, cup lump 60.95 Thai baht/kg, and raw rubber 68.99 Thai baht/kg [11] - The mainstream price of East China Type 5 PVC is 4800 yuan/ton, a decrease of 100 yuan/ton compared with the previous period; the mainstream price of ethylene - based PVC is 5100 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton compared with the previous period; the price difference between ethylene - based and calcium - carbide - based PVC is 200 yuan/ton, an increase of 50 yuan/ton compared with the previous period [13] - The mainstream price of national heavy soda ash is 1467.19 yuan/ton, a decrease of 4.37 yuan/ton compared with the previous period; among them, the mainstream price of heavy soda ash in East China is 1525 yuan/ton, in North China is 1575 yuan/ton, and in Central China is 1450 yuan/ton, all remaining unchanged compared with the previous period [15] Market Analysis - **Soybean Oil**: Currently, it is the sowing season of American soybeans and the harvesting and export season of South American soybeans. The harvesting of Brazilian soybeans is basically completed. The new crop in South America is likely to have a bumper harvest. In the medium term, the new supply and downstream demand of soybean oil may remain neutral, and the medium - term inventory may be sorted out [1] - **Soybean Meal**: The Sino - US tariff policy has caused market panic. The harvesting of South American soybeans is nearly over, and the Sino - US trade tariff war affects the export of American soybeans. Due to the delay of soybean arrival and shutdown for maintenance, the supply of soybean meal may be tight, but it is expected to turn loose when South American soybeans are concentrated on the market later. The terminal breeding demand is average, and downstream feed enterprises mainly replenish inventory on a rolling basis. The inventory of oil mills remains neutral. Due to the additional high - tariff imposition between China and the US during the Tomb - sweeping Festival, the short - term sentiment of soybean meal is strong [2] - **Corn**: In the international market, the expected planting area of American corn in 2025 is 95.326 million acres, reaching a 12 - year high, and the quarterly inventory is close to market expectations. In the domestic market, farmers have sold nearly 90% of their grain, and the import of corn and substitute grains has decreased significantly year - on - year, reducing the supply pressure. The downstream pig production capacity is recovering, and the feed consumption is expected to increase. However, there are still potential suppressing factors such as policy grain rotation and wheat substitution. Although the recent tariff event may affect the corn price, the price is still mainly dominated by domestic supply and demand [3] - **Copper**: The global "irrational" tariff shock has caused great fluctuations in overseas capital markets, leading to turmoil in overseas - priced non - ferrous metals and the stock market. The continuous status - quo maintenance of the Federal Reserve reflects the uncertainty. In 2025, the topic of ending the interest - rate cut path may be discussed. Domestically, policies are continuously strengthening, which is conducive to the recovery of market sentiment. From the industrial perspective, the raw material shock is still extremely severe, the mining problem has not been completely solved, the inventory accumulation factor has ended, and the copper price is in a stage of resonance, with intensified games between reality and expectations [4] - **Lithium Carbonate**: In terms of cost, the price of lithium ore remains unchanged compared with last week, and the inventory has increased. In terms of supply, the weekly start - up rate continues to increase, but the growth rate slows down, and the salt - lake end has started to resume production. If a large amount of low - cost lithium salt flows into the market, it may impact the price. In terms of demand, the terminal consumption in March has improved month - on - month, the power battery has maintained stable growth, and the production of cathode materials is stable, but the demand is still not enough to drive the price up. The weekly inventory continues to accumulate [5] - **Steel**: The fundamentals of steel have gradually improved, with the far - month contracts stronger than the near - month contracts, and the contango structure has weakened. The current valuation of steel is moderately low. In terms of cost and inventory, policies support the stabilization of the real estate industry. The apparent demand for steel has decreased year - on - year, the raw material price has fluctuated strongly this week, and the cost center of steel has increased dynamically. The social inventory and steel - mill inventory of steel are both decreasing, and the overall inventory level is low. In the short term, the macro - policy expectation dominates the futures market, and the fundamentals are gradually improving, showing a pattern of strong supply and demand [7] - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The supply is relatively loose, with the domestic production capacity steadily recovering, the capacity utilization rate of coking plants running smoothly, and the import of Mongolian coal remaining at a high level despite some disturbances. The demand is weak, as steel mills are reducing production, and there is still an expectation of a decline in hot - metal production. The independent coking enterprises maintain a low - inventory strategy for raw materials, and the overall inventory shows a slight accumulation trend. The average profit per ton of coke is running smoothly and is gradually approaching the break - even line [8] - **Iron Ore**: The market has both bullish and bearish factors. On the supply side, the shipment volume of the three major Australian mines in the first quarter increased by 8% year - on - year, the new mining area of Vale in Brazil was put into production ahead of schedule, and the global port inventory reached 145 million tons, a new high since 2023. On the demand side, the resumption of production of Chinese steel mills has slowed down. Although the traditional peak season came in March, the fund - arrival rate of downstream real - estate and infrastructure projects is low, the daily average hot - metal production remains at a low level of 2.25 million tons, steel mills are cautious about replenishing inventory, and the port desilting volume has declined for three consecutive weeks. Overseas demand is differentiated. The production increase of Indian steel mills supports part of the demand, but the substitution effect of Southeast Asian electric - arc furnaces is enhanced, reducing the dependence on iron ore. The market is worried about the contraction of long - process steel - making demand. However, the Fed's interest - rate cut signal in March has weakened the US dollar index, which supports the commodity price. Technically, the main contract of iron ore has strong support at the 110 - dollar mark, and if there is a marginal improvement in demand, the price may have a phased rebound [9] - **Crude Oil**: After the US announced "reciprocal tariffs" and China counter - imposed, the global capital market fell sharply, and crude oil was hit hard. The overseas market fell by more than 10% during the holiday. There is a risk of a limit - down opening of domestic crude oil and fuel oil after the holiday. OPEC+ decided to increase production in May, and the rare contraction of the US PMI data in February has raised concerns about demand. The crude oil price has fallen below the previous low support and entered a technical bear market. The US trade war and the delay of the Russia - Ukraine peace talks have increased uncertainty, and the demand in the second quarter may be severely dragged down by the trade war [10] - **Rubber**: The US "reciprocal tariffs" have a great impact on China's tire and automobile exports, causing the rubber price to fall across the board. The fundamental factors are secondary to the macro - sentiment. Fundamentally, the domestic whole - latex production is gradually resuming, and the Southeast Asian production areas are gradually stopping production. The supply in Thailand's southern region is still abundant. Currently, the global supply and demand of rubber are both loose, and the market is hyping up macro - narratives such as the trade war. The US automobile tariff may seriously suppress the global rubber demand [12] - **PVC**: In terms of supply, the start - up rate of PVC production enterprises last week was 80.02%, an increase of 0.21% month - on - month and 2.17% year - on - year. Among them, the start - up rate of calcium - carbide - based PVC was 82.40%, an increase of 0.51% month - on - month and 2.63% year - on - year, and the start - up rate of ethylene - based PVC was 73.77%, a decrease of 0.58% month - on - month and an increase of 1.55% year - on - year. In terms of demand, the domestic downstream product enterprises have not improved significantly, and the transactions are mainly for rigid demand. In terms of inventory, as of April 3, the social inventory of PVC has decreased by 3.41% month - on - month to 77.78 million tons, a decrease of 11.65% year - on - year. The inventory in East China and South China has also decreased. The futures price on April 7 was affected by extreme macro - fear factors, opening sharply lower and then rebounding, but still closing at a low level. The current supply - demand contradiction is still prominent, the inventory is relatively high, and the downstream demand is weak [13] - **Soda Ash**: In terms of supply, the overall start - up rate of soda ash last week was 85.09%, an increase of 2.72% month - on - month, and the output was 713,000 tons, an increase of 22,800 tons month - on - month, with a growth rate of 3.30%. The equipment maintenance has gradually recovered, and the output has increased. In terms of inventory, the manufacturer's inventory last week was 1.7014 million tons, an increase of 71,400 tons month - on - month, with a growth rate of 4.38%, and the inventory has significantly accumulated. The social inventory shows a downward trend. The demand is average, and the middle and downstream enterprises replenish inventory for rigid demand for low - price goods and still resist high - price goods. The tariff policy has limited impact on the soda - ash market, and the futures market is expected to fluctuate widely [15]

Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The shock pattern of China's domestic bond market was broken by the escalation of trade frictions last week. After the introduction of the US's so - called "reciprocal tariffs", the global risk - aversion sentiment has increased, and the yields of domestic bonds have declined significantly. The direction of interest rate decline has been re - established, and the probability of reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts in Q2 has increased significantly [2][3][6]. - Although the final implementation of short - term tariffs remains to be observed and the market may fluctuate, in the next quarter, long - term interest rates may hit new lows. At present, it is recommended to pay more attention to the duration strategy and appropriately lengthen the duration of the portfolio [3][36]. Summary by Directory 1. US Reciprocal Tariff Rates Significantly Exceed Expectations, and the Overseas Market Enters a Risk - Aversion Mode - After Trump took office in January, the US imposed tariffs on imports from China, Canada, and Mexico on the grounds of "fentanyl" and immigration issues, and also imposed tariffs on specific products such as steel, aluminum, and automobiles. On February 13, Trump signed a memorandum to impose reciprocal tariffs on trading partners. The market originally thought this would reduce the possibility of a significant increase in overall US tariffs [2][6][7]. - On April 2, the announced reciprocal tariffs first imposed a 10% tariff on all US imports. For economies with large trade deficits, additional differential tariffs were imposed. This greatly exceeded market expectations, bringing high uncertainty to the global economy, potentially pushing up US inflation in the short term and reducing economic growth, and thus increasing global risk - aversion sentiment [2]. - After the reciprocal tariffs were introduced, most economies said they would negotiate with the US. China announced a series of counter - measures on April 4, showing more preparedness for potential tariff risks and enhanced economic resilience. There is still room for negotiation between China and the US, and the final tariff rate is likely to be lower than the current level, but the impact on the fundamentals may exceed previous expectations [2]. 2. The Implementation of Tariffs is Expected to Accelerate the Relaxation of Aggregate Policies. Pay Attention to the Decline of the Central Level of Funding Rates - After the end of the cross - quarter period last week, the funding became looser, and on Thursday, the central bank's open - market operations turned to net injection, pushing DR007 below 1.7%, the lowest level since mid - January. The central bank may re - evaluate the economic and financial situation due to the escalation of global trade frictions, and the decline of the central level of funding rates may accelerate [18]. - Although the funding rate dropped below 1.7% on Thursday, the bank's rigid net financing scale declined, indicating that the central bank may not be ready to lower the central level of funding rates to 1.5% or lower. However, if there is greater pressure on the equity market or external demand, the time for reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts may be advanced, and the central level of funding rates may decline further [21]. - The scale of 91 - day discounted Treasury bonds issued last week was lower than expected, leading to a downward revision of the forecast for the April Treasury bond issuance scale. It is expected that the central financial institution capital injection special Treasury bonds will be publicly issued, and the overall government bond issuance scale in April is expected to be about 2.23 trillion yuan, with a net financing of about 86 billion yuan, a decrease of about 61 billion yuan compared with March [3][24][30]. 3. The Direction of Interest Rate Decline is Re - established, and the Rhythm and Magnitude Depend on the Central Bank's Follow - up Actions - Before the implementation of the tariff measures last week, it was believed that the bond market rally driven by the revision of fundamental expectations in the second quarter might repeat in 2025. After the escalation of trade frictions, the yields of bonds at all maturities declined significantly, and investors were concerned about the downward space of interest rates [35]. - If priced at a funding rate of 1.65% - 1.7%, the downward space for short - and medium - term interest rates may be limited. However, due to the increased uncertainty in the domestic fundamental environment, the central bank may be more inclined to reduce costs, and the probability of reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts in Q2 has increased significantly. In the short term, long - term interest rates may be more certain, and 3 - 5 - year credit bonds also have strong allocation value [36].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - AI is expected to significantly reduce operational costs in the oil and gas sector, with estimates suggesting a potential reduction of approximately $7 per BOE, translating to a decrease of about 17.5% [43] - The coal industry is witnessing advancements in smart mining, with AI applications enhancing disaster warning systems and operational efficiency, potentially increasing profits by 7%-12% and improving ROI by 2%-3% [46] - In the chemical industry, AI is being integrated into material research and intelligent manufacturing, with significant potential for innovation and efficiency improvements [70] Summary by Sections AI in Oil and Gas Exploration - AI is being utilized in geophysical exploration, drilling, and reservoir engineering, with companies like EOG demonstrating a reduction in operational costs through AI integration [12][17][27] - Domestic oil and gas companies are leading in AI deployment, focusing on building high-quality data sets and AI models for exploration and operational optimization [22] AI in Coal Industry - The coal sector is advancing towards smart mining, with companies implementing AI technologies to enhance safety and operational efficiency [44] - The potential for profit enhancement through AI in coal mining is significant, with studies indicating a profit increase of 7%-12% [46] AI in Chemical Industry - AI is being applied in material research and synthesis, with the potential to accelerate the discovery of new materials and optimize production processes [50][70] - The integration of AI in chemical manufacturing is expected to improve production efficiency and quality control, with notable projects already underway [71]

以下文章来源于真叫卢俊 ，作者真叫卢俊团队 真叫卢俊 . 认认真真聊地产，实实在在谈买房。 本文来自微信公众号： 真叫卢俊 ，作者：乔不丝，题图来自：视觉中国 这两天，大家是不是都被杭州地王的新闻刷屏了？ 杭州水电新村地块被本地民企滨江拿下，最终的土地楼面价定格在7.74w/平，溢价率高达69.86%。 | | | 全国最贵住宅地块情况一览 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 城市 | 地块位置 | 楼面价(元/m²) | 房企 | 时间 | 容积率 | 案名 | | 上海 | 徐汇区斜土街道 | 131045 | 绿城 | 2024年8月 | 2.2 | 潮鸣东方 | | 北京 | 海淀区东升镇北部片区 | 102347 | 中海 | 2025年3月 | 1.6 | 暂无 | | 深圳 | 宝安区尖岗片区 | 79907 | 泰木 | 2015年12月 | 1.9 | 深圳院子 | | 杭州 | 水电新村地块 | 77409 | 演江 | 2025年3月 | 2.51 | 暂无 | | 广州 | 海珠区琶洲西区地块 | 75670 ...