机构：中金公司 研究员：陈婕/林骥川 投资亮点 首次覆盖裕元集团（00551）给予跑赢行业评级，目标价19.46 港元，对应2026 年10.5 倍P/E，公司是全 球运动鞋制造龙头，同时布局大中华区运动鞋服零售业务。理由如下： 运动鞋行业空间广阔、格局集中，裕元集团为运动鞋制造龙头，兼顾运动鞋服零售业务。据 盈利预测与估值 我们预计公司2025-2026 年EPS 分别为0.23 美元、0.24 美元，2024-2026 年CAGR 为-0.4%。当前股价对 应8.6 倍2026 年P/E。 基于2026 年10.5 倍P/E 给出目标价19.46 港元，较当前有23%的上行空间，首次覆盖给予跑赢行业评 级。 风险 客户订单不及预期，产能扩张及爬坡不及预期，关税反复风险。 以开发能力绑定优质成长客户，产能领先全球化布局。公司中高端鞋款开发能力强，以此深度绑定前两 大国际品牌Nike/adidas，并与Asics、New Balance、Salomon、Arc'teryx 等全球知名品牌长期合作，我 们估计公司前5 大客户占制造业务营收的比例保持在80-90%的较高水平。此外，公司产能出海走在前 列，全球生产 ...

中金主要观点如下： 运动鞋行业空间广阔、格局集中，裕元集团为运动鞋制造龙头，兼顾运动鞋服零售业务 据Euromonitor，2024年全球运动鞋规模1,677亿美元，预计未来5年保持中单位数增长。全球运动鞋品牌 份额集中，2025年CR10达57%，制鞋行业亦呈集中格局，裕元集团是全球最大的运动鞋制造商，该行 测算出货量份额超10%，附属公司宝胜国际是大中华区领先的运动鞋服零售商。2024年裕元集团收入/ 归母净利润分别为81.8/3.9亿美元，其中制造业务占收入/归母净利润的69%/89%，零售业务占收入/归母 净利润的31%/11%。 中金发布研报称，裕元集团(00551)是全球运动鞋制造龙头，同时布局大中华区运动鞋服零售业务，产 能出海走在前列，全球生产基地布局多元化。首次覆盖给予跑赢行业评级，目标价19.46港元，对应 2026年10.5倍P/E。 以开发能力绑定优质成长客户，产能领先全球化布局 公司中高端鞋款开发能力强，以此深度绑定前两大国际品牌Nike/adidas，并与Asics、New Balance、 Salomon、Arc'teryx等全球知名品牌长期合作，该行估计公司前5大客户占制造业务 ...

1.全球消费者越来越认可昂跑的高品质产品，认同昂跑高品质产品的受访者比例从去年的31%跃升至今 年的47%。 2.昂跑作为知名品牌的认可度不断提高。约40%的受访全球消费者认为昂跑是知名品牌，高于一年前的 31%。 瑞银发布研报，重申昂跑(ONON.US)"买入"评级，目标价85美元。瑞银认为，昂跑持续专注于创新、性 能、运动员、运动、直销模式以及保持高端全价品牌形象，将推动其实现行业领先的销售和盈利增长。 该行预测昂跑未来五年的销售额、调整后 EBITDA 和每股收益复合年增长率将分别达到 20%、24% 和 20%，并预计强劲增长势头将持续，这样的增长将使昂跑成为全球增长最快的运动服装品牌之一。瑞银 也认为这将给市场带来惊喜，推动其市盈率上升。 最新的调查数据增强了瑞银的信心：该行认为，UBS Evidence Lab第 11 届年度全球运动服装调查显 示，昂跑拥有巨大的增长潜力。主要原因是该公司的品牌认知度仍有很大的提升空间，而且目前的趋势 表明其增长势头良好。调查显示，昂跑品牌的全球认知度仅为 15%。这一水平远低于耐克(91%)、安德 玛(53%)和Lululemon(36%)等品牌。此外，昂跑的品 ...

资料显示，江苏泰慕士针纺科技股份有限公司位于江苏省如皋市城北街道仁寿路益寿路666号，成立日 期1992年8月26日，上市日期2022年1月11日，公司主营业务涉及针织面料与针织服装的研发、生产和销 售。主营业务收入构成为：运动服装39.52%，儿童服装35.36%，休闲服装22.29%，面料2.49%，其他 0.34%。 泰慕士所属申万行业为：纺织服饰-服装家纺-运动服装。所属概念板块包括：体育产业、小盘、多胎概 念、国资改革、广东国资等。 截至9月30日，泰慕士股东户数1.90万，较上期增加74.45%；人均流通股4817股，较上期减少42.58%。 2025年1月-9月，泰慕士实现营业收入6.24亿元，同比减少6.22%；归母净利润3454.36万元，同比减少 46.87%。 分红方面，泰慕士A股上市后累计派现2.16亿元。近三年，累计派现1.63亿元。 责任编辑：小浪快报 12月23日，泰慕士盘中下跌2.02%，截至09:43，报27.61元/股，成交1103.71万元，换手率0.43%，总市 值30.21亿元。 资金流向方面，大单买入28.17万元，占比2.55%，卖出28.17万元，占比2.55% ...

"我们最初只是希望打造一条融合运动与风景的公路，没想到它成了发现本地产业的探针。"袁志滨向记 者介绍，在项目调研中，他们团队发现，惠州拥有一批在国际市场占有率高、却在国内知名度不高的运 动商品制造企业。 磨房户外运动中心内的各类户外运动产品。 例如，某惠州本土企业生产的纯碳纤维电动自行车，在德国和日本的销量占比超过50%，售价达2000欧 元以上。在磨房户外运动中心展厅，展出了数十款惠州企业生产的运动商品，包括球拍、运动服装等各 种体育用品和装备。这些"隐形冠军"的存在，为磨房体育活动开展注入了"本地制造"的坚实内涵。未 来，游客在此体验户外运动时，使用的很可能就是这些来自惠州厂家的装备。 公路开通后，沿线高端民宿入住率自今年6月起持续攀升，至10月已接近满房，周边餐饮、零售消费也 同步增长。这条免费向公众开放的公路，已成为区域发展的"活力线"。 在惠州市博罗县罗浮山脚下，一条连接龙门县南昆山全长218公里的示范公路，自2025年6月开通以来， 不仅成为骑行与徒步爱好者的新宠，更悄然带动了一场涵盖体育、制造与农业的复合型乡村振兴实验。 12月18日，全省推进"百县千镇万村高质量发展工程"促进城乡区域协调发展现 ...

安踏集团与联合国难民署的国际人道主义项目"体育照亮未来"(Moving for Change)三年来惠及非洲30万 流离失所的青少年。在本周于瑞士日内瓦举办的全球难民论坛中期回顾上，来自中国的安踏集团宣布未 来3年继续与联合国难民署合作，保持这项以体育和基础教育支持为重心的国际人道主义援助项目，提 升被迫流离失所环境中儿童的安全、教育与福祉。 中国企业首登全球难民论坛中期回顾 回访期间，在安踏的支持下，埃塞俄比亚班巴西难民营为孩子们举办了一场足球友谊赛。作为公司代表 为比赛开球时，安踏集团副总裁李玲说："体育是全人类的共同语言，将不同背景、不同种族、不同国 籍的人们带到一起；体育是一道光，即使最艰难的条件下，也能为黑暗中的人们带来希望和欢乐。我们 希望帮助曾经或者正在经历苦难与困境的青少年，有平等的机会接受教育，享受运动的快乐，让体育照 亮每个孩子的未来。" 她介绍说，国际人道主义援助项目需要大量的协调与投入。以近日送达肯尼亚的物资为例，整个过程涉 及对每件运动服装的仔细分类、国际运输管理以及确保顺畅的"最后一公里"配送。安踏与各方伙伴紧密 协作，逐一破解难题，优化每一条线路，打通每一个节点，最终让满载着希望 ...

Core Insights - Lululemon is facing challenges with weak sales growth, particularly in the Americas, where comparable sales have declined by 5% and revenue has dropped by 2% [1][5] - The company is undergoing leadership changes, with CEO Calvin McDonald stepping down on January 31, 2024, after a tenure that saw revenue triple but failed to address product assortment issues in a timely manner [2][8] - A new CEO is expected to revitalize Lululemon's product development strategy, which is crucial for the company's recovery [3][11] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Lululemon increased by 7% year-over-year, while comparable sales rose by only 1%, indicating reliance on international markets for growth [1] - Earnings per share fell by 10% due to rising costs outpacing revenue growth [1] - The stock has lost nearly 60% of its value since the beginning of 2024, reflecting investor concerns over performance [7] Strategic Changes - Lululemon plans to increase new style penetration to 35% by next spring and aims to shorten the product development cycle from 18-24 months to 12-14 months [6] - The company has recognized the need for a more aggressive approach to product development, which has been a known issue for nearly two years [6][7] - Interim leadership will be provided by CFO Meghan Frank and CCO André Maestrini until a new CEO is appointed [8] Market Outlook - Lululemon's brand strength remains intact, and with the introduction of new styles, the company aims to regain customer loyalty [11] - Earnings per share are projected to be between $12.92 and $13.02 in 2025, with potential for significant growth once product development issues are resolved [12] - The current price-to-earnings ratio is below 16, suggesting that there is room for improvement in earnings as the company addresses its challenges [12][13]

Lululemon (LULU) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.59 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.22 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.87 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +16.67%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this athletic apparel maker would post earnings of $2.84 per share when it actually produced earnings of $3.1, delivering a surprise of +9.15%.Over the last four quarters, the ...

Company Summary - Yuanyuan Group (00551) experienced an intraday increase of over 4%, with a current rise of 3.04%, trading at HKD 16.94, with a transaction volume of HKD 49.26 million [1] - On December 10, Yuanyuan Group announced a projected net operating income of approximately USD 660 million for November 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 3.1% [1] - For the first eleven months, the cumulative net operating income was approximately USD 7.38 billion, down 1.6% year-on-year [1] - Retail business revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was USD 1.79 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 7.9%, impacted by a weak retail environment and intensified competition [1] - Same-store sales experienced a double-digit decline, while the number of offline direct-operated stores decreased by 3.5% to 3,338 [1] - Online revenue, however, grew by 13% year-on-year, accounting for 33% of total revenue, with live-streaming income more than doubling [1] Industry Summary - According to Credit Lyonnais, the outlook for the Chinese consumer sector will focus on development opportunities in niche markets, with high-end consumption benefiting from monetary policy easing, stock market improvements, and increased offshore financing [1] - It is anticipated that consumer sentiment and CPI data will remain moderate, with companies poised to capture opportunities in market scaling, globalization, and the recovery of high-end consumption [1] - Credit Lyonnais forecasts that the retail sales of sports apparel in China will grow by 3% to 4% year-on-year next year, believing that major brands are optimizing retail channels and enhancing product functionality innovation [1]

Company Summary - Yuanyuan Group (00551) experienced a stock price increase of over 4% during trading, with a current price of HKD 16.94 and a trading volume of HKD 49.26 million [1] - On December 10, Yuanyuan Group announced a projected net operating income of approximately USD 660 million for November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.1% [1] - For the first eleven months, the cumulative net operating income was approximately USD 7.38 billion, down 1.6% year-on-year [1] - Retail business revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was USD 1.79 billion, a decline of 7.9% year-on-year, attributed to a weak retail environment and intensified competition [1] - Same-store sales experienced a double-digit decline, while the number of offline direct-operated stores decreased by 3.5% to 3,338 [1] - Online revenue, however, grew by 13% year-on-year, accounting for 33% of total revenue, with live-streaming revenue more than doubling [1] Industry Summary - According to Credit Lyonnais, the outlook for the Chinese consumer sector will focus on opportunities in niche markets, with high-end consumption benefiting from relaxed monetary policy, improved stock markets, and increased offshore financing [1] - It is expected that consumer sentiment and CPI data will remain moderate, allowing companies to capture opportunities in market scaling, globalization, and the recovery of high-end consumption [1] - Credit Lyonnais forecasts that the retail sales of sports apparel in China will grow by 3% to 4% year-on-year next year, with major brands optimizing retail channels and enhancing product functionality [1]