证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 11 30 年 月 日 电力设备 发改委治理价格无序竞争，龙蟠科技签订 130 万吨铁锂订单 光伏：国家发改委召开价格无序竞争座谈会，制定成本认定标准。11 月 24 日， 国家发展改革委会同有关部门及相关行业协会召开会议，研究制定价格无序竞争 成本认定标准等相关工作。会议指出，目前部分行业价格无序竞争问题仍然突出， 一些企业对规范价格竞争行为的要求落实不到位，甚至依然存在扰乱市场价格秩 序的行为。国家发展改革委将会同有关部门持续推进相关工作，治理企业价格无 序竞争，维护良好市场价格秩序，助力高质量发展。这有助于光伏产业链各环节价 格回归理性，行业实现可持续发展。核心关注三大方向：1）供给侧改革下的产业 链涨价机会，核心关注通威股份、隆基绿能、晶澳科技、晶科能源、天合光能等； 2）新技术背景下带来的中长期成长性机会，核心关注迈为股份、爱旭股份、聚和 材料等；3）钙钛矿 GW 级布局带来的产业化机会，核心关注金晶科技、万润股份、 捷佳伟创、帝尔激光、京山轻机、德龙激光、曼恩斯特等。 风电&电网：丹麦 2.8GW 海上风电项目启动招标，青桂直流、南通 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on the wind power, lithium battery, and energy storage sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment due to improving supply-demand dynamics and government support [1][5][15]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the "anti-involution" initiative led by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), which aims to promote healthy competition and stabilize prices in the industry [5][15]. - The lithium battery sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with expectations of significant growth driven by increasing demand and government support for rational competition [15][16]. - The wind power sector is projected to experience a recovery in profitability, supported by stable bidding prices and a favorable demand outlook for offshore wind projects [1][6][13]. Summary by Relevant Sections Wind Power - The average bidding price for land-based wind turbines remains high, with expectations for continued profitability recovery in the manufacturing sector [1][6]. - Shanghai's government is accelerating the construction of offshore wind power demonstration projects, indicating a strong demand outlook for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [13][14]. Lithium Batteries - The MIIT held a meeting to discuss the lithium battery industry, emphasizing the need for self-discipline and the rejection of irrational competition [15][16]. - The report maintains a positive view on the midstream material segment of the lithium battery supply chain, anticipating a favorable market environment [15]. Energy Storage - Fluence's Q4 2025 earnings call indicated a positive trend, with AI-driven power shortages translating into substantial energy storage orders [18][19]. - The report highlights the growing demand for energy storage solutions, particularly in data centers, driven by the need for flexible interconnection and backup power solutions [19]. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - The NDRC has reiterated the importance of hydrogen energy in enhancing power system regulation, with new policies expected to support the development of green hydrogen projects [20][21]. - The report notes that Inner Mongolia's green hydrogen policy has improved project economics, allowing for excess electricity to be sold to the grid, which is crucial for project viability [21][22]. Photovoltaics - In October, new photovoltaic installations increased by 30% month-on-month to 12.6 GW, with expectations for total installations to reach 280-300 GW for the year [23][25]. - The report suggests bottom-fishing opportunities in the photovoltaic sector, particularly in companies involved in high-efficiency modules and innovative technologies [25][24]. Grid and Power Equipment - The report highlights significant bidding activity in the ultra-high voltage (UHV) equipment sector, with a record 16.5 billion yuan in contracts awarded [29][30]. - The report anticipates continued high demand for UHV projects, with several key projects expected to be approved in 2026 [30][31].

Investment Rating - The report recommends investment in the electric power equipment sector, highlighting specific companies for potential investment opportunities [1][2][3]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) emphasizes orderly competition in the lithium battery industry, aiming to curb "involution" competition [1][2]. - The report identifies key companies in various segments, including electric vehicles, PCB, solid-state batteries, and energy storage, suggesting specific stocks for investment [1][2][3]. - The report notes significant growth in the wind power sector, with a total installed capacity increase of 70.01 GW from January to October 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 24.21 GW [4][62]. Summary by Sections Electric Vehicle Sector - Recommended companies include Tianci Materials, Zhuhai Guanyu, Terui De, Xinwangda, and Haopeng Technology, with additional attention on Tianji Co., Duofluor, and others [1]. - The report highlights the structural transformation in the AI market, with major cloud providers becoming the preferred choice for enterprises [2]. Energy Storage Sector - The total bidding scale for energy storage in 2025 reached 95.7 GW/347.19 GWh, with winning prices ranging from 0.3261 to 3.216 CNY/Wh [3]. - Recommended companies in the energy storage sector include Sungrow Power, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and CATL, among others [3]. Wind Power Sector - The report indicates that the newly installed wind power capacity in October 2025 was 8.92 GW, showing a year-on-year increase of 33.53% [4][62]. - Recommended companies in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Daikin Heavy Industries, and Zhongtian Technology [4]. Solid-State Battery Sector - The report mentions the establishment of the first large-capacity all-solid-state battery production line in China, which is expected to enhance the electric vehicle industry's capabilities [60]. - Companies like Enli Power are highlighted for their advancements in solid-state battery technology and production capacity [61]. PCB Sector - The report suggests focusing on companies like Defu Technology and Copper Crown Copper Foil within the PCB segment [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The UK government plans to introduce a $2 billion electric vehicle subsidy program to accelerate the adoption of electric vehicles [13] - Tianqi Lithium has made significant progress in the production of lithium sulfide, with costs expected to drop to 60% of the industry average [14][15] - Longpan Technology has secured a major order for 1.3 million tons of lithium iron phosphate from Chuangneng New Energy, significantly increasing its revenue potential [16] - The first large-capacity all-solid-state battery pilot production line in China has been completed, marking a technological milestone [18][19] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - The battery industry index rose by 3.14%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.5 percentage points, with significant gains from key companies like Longpan Technology and Penghui Energy [11] - The UK plans a £1.5 billion subsidy to boost electric vehicle sales, which has already seen over 35,000 owners switch to electric vehicles since July [13] - Tianqi Lithium's new production process for lithium sulfide is expected to reduce costs significantly, enhancing its competitive edge [14][15] - Longpan Technology's order increase from 150,000 tons to 1.3 million tons of lithium iron phosphate is projected to generate over 45 billion yuan in sales [16][17] Energy Storage Sector - The National Development and Reform Commission has announced that new energy storage plants will not be included in the pricing of transmission and distribution costs, promoting the sector's growth [22][23] - The Hubei province aims to reach 5GW of new energy storage capacity by 2027, with a focus on new energy storage technologies [28][29] Power Equipment Sector - The results of the pricing competition for electricity mechanisms across 11 provinces have been released, with Shanghai leading in pricing [30] - The bidding for three high-voltage direct current projects has commenced, indicating ongoing infrastructure development [31][32] Photovoltaic Sector - The price of polysilicon remains stable, while the price of silicon wafers has decreased, reflecting a challenging market environment [33][34] - The global market for polysilicon is dominated by Chinese manufacturers, with four companies expected to account for 65% of global production by 2024 [39] Wind Power Sector - Recent approvals and bidding progress for offshore wind projects in various regions indicate a steady pace of development in China's offshore wind sector [43][44] - The UK is advancing its offshore wind projects, with significant milestones achieved in the Dogger Bank project [47]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights that China is projected to achieve a record high current account surplus, reaching 1% of global GDP by 2029, surpassing the historical levels of the United States in the late 1940s, driven by China's strategic focus on both traditional manufacturing and high-tech industries [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Performance and Strategy - Goldman Sachs economists predict that by 2029, China's current account surplus will reach 1% of global GDP, marking the highest level ever recorded for a single economy [1]. - The article emphasizes that China's industrial development has not followed the traditional model of moving from low-value to high-value production, but rather maintains dominance in traditional sectors while advancing in high-tech industries like electric vehicles and IT [1][2]. Group 2: Global Impact and Relations - The article critiques Western media narratives that accuse China of monopolizing traditional industries and limiting competition for developing countries, arguing that China's actions have actually supported the development of these nations through infrastructure and clean energy projects [3][4]. - It is noted that China has engaged in extensive cooperation with over 200 countries in renewable energy and has significantly improved transportation infrastructure in Africa, creating jobs and economic benefits for partner countries [3][4]. Group 3: Geopolitical Tensions - The article discusses how Western countries, particularly the U.S., are attempting to maintain their dominance in the international economic system by imposing barriers on developing countries' industrial upgrades, while simultaneously discrediting those that succeed [4][5]. - It highlights the U.S. government's recent trade negotiations that include controversial "poison pill" clauses aimed at limiting countries' agreements with China, reflecting a strategy to counter China's influence in Southeast Asia [8][9].

黑龙江第一个零碳园区建设项目在鹤岗落地。 初冬时节，鹤岗大地寒意正浓，产业转型进程却热潮涌动。28日，鹤岗市人民政府与运达能源科技集团 股份有限公司成功签署"零碳园区"与"风电叶片生产基地"两大战略项目，总投资达56亿元。这次签约标 志着黑龙江全省第一个零碳园区建设项目在鹤岗落地，打造一个充满活力的绿色低碳产业生态圈，成为 鹤岗"十五五"蓝图上的"先手棋"。 鹤岗零碳园区项目是全省首个零碳园区示范工程，总投资50亿元。项目一期以石墨高质化利用园区为核 心载体，开发建设500MW风电项目及变电站、输（配）电线路、储能电站等配套设施，构建功能完善 的"源网荷储"一体化系统，提供每度不超过0.5元的稳定绿电。这一创新模式不仅将大幅降低企业用能 成本，更将打造招商引资的"绿色名片"，招引高载能企业入住。其中，年产12.5万吨的绿色甲醇项目， 将直接切入国际航运脱碳赛道，为鹤岗打开通往全球绿色燃料市场的大门。 "鹤岗市政府筹划建设的零碳园区，从顶层设计开始，就为我们锚定了绿色低碳、高质量发展的航向， 有利于企业从生产源头降低能源消耗和碳排放强度，降低企业生产成本，打造绿色产品体系，提升企业 核心竞争力。"五矿石墨黑龙江 ...

Core Insights - The development of offshore wind power in Shandong has established a significant green energy production capacity, with 235 giant wind turbines generating 4.35 billion kilowatt-hours of green electricity annually, equivalent to the carbon absorption of 14 million trees [1] - The offshore wind power sector in Shandong has become a new highland for development, with a cumulative installed capacity of 5.92 million kilowatts as of October 2023, contributing to the province's green and low-carbon development [1] - The integration of AI and advanced technologies in offshore wind farm operations is enhancing efficiency and safety, with AI systems capable of real-time monitoring and alerting for maintenance needs [2][4] Offshore Wind Power Development - Shandong's offshore wind power journey began five years ago, leading to the establishment of an industrial cluster with leading companies such as CRRC, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Zhongtian Technology [1] - The operational maintenance costs for offshore wind power typically account for 20%-30% of the project construction costs, which is significantly higher than that of onshore wind power [1] Technological Innovations - The implementation of AI in offshore wind farm operations has improved maintenance efficiency, with systems capable of identifying safety compliance and potential equipment issues [2] - A 5G base station has been installed on wind turbines, extending communication coverage up to 77 kilometers, which enhances operational response capabilities [3] - The deployment of inspection robots has replaced 70% of manual inspection work, ensuring safety while increasing operational efficiency [3] Energy Transition and Future Goals - Shandong aims to achieve a total installed power capacity of over 250 million kilowatts by October 2025, with a projected power generation of around 700 billion kilowatt-hours [4][5] - The province is committed to a multi-faceted approach to clean energy development, with one-third of electricity consumption coming from clean energy sources [5]

Core Insights - The upcoming retirement of new energy equipment, including waste power batteries, solar panels, and wind turbine blades, is projected to create significant waste management challenges in China by 2030, with estimates of 1.5 to 2 million tons of waste solar panels, 500,000 tons of waste wind turbine blades, and 1 million tons of waste power batteries [1][2][3] Waste Management and Recycling Capacity - China's recycling capacity for waste solar panels and wind turbine blades is approximately 2 million tons and 1 million tons, respectively, which exceeds the projected retirement volumes, leading to a situation where recycling companies often face underutilization [2][3] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment (MEE) has reported that there are 148 qualified companies for comprehensive utilization of waste power batteries, with a total recycling capacity of 2.5 million tons [2] Regulatory Framework and Support - Since the suspension of the "Four Machines and One Brain" fund on January 1, 2022, the Ministry of Finance has continued to allocate special funds to support compliant dismantling enterprises through a reward and subsidy mechanism [2][3] - The MEE is enhancing regulatory oversight of dismantling enterprises to prevent environmental pollution and promote resource recovery [5][8] New Pollutant Management Initiatives - The MEE is actively implementing the New Pollutant Governance Action Plan, which includes the establishment of a coordination mechanism among 15 national departments and the formation of an expert committee to address new pollutants [6][7] - As of 2022, the MEE has approved the registration of 802 new chemical substances and has proposed 1,365 environmental risk control measures to mitigate the generation of new pollutants [7][9] Future Directions - The MEE plans to strengthen environmental supervision and enhance the regulatory framework for new pollutants, including the establishment of a national monitoring network and a collaborative governance structure [8][9] - The ministry aims to improve the capacity for managing new pollutants and ensure the effective implementation of environmental risk assessments and control measures [9]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed results today, with the Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index declining by 0.34% and 0.38% respectively, while the Hang Seng Tech Index saw a slight increase of 0.02% [1] - Major tech stocks displayed a divergent trend, with Meituan dropping by 1.44%, while Baidu, Alibaba, and JD.com experienced gains [2][3] Stock Performance - The Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 5599.11, up by 1.06 points or 0.02% [3] - Notable stock performances included: - Baidu Group: +1.1 (0.98%) with a market cap of 312.97 billion - Alibaba: +0.9 (0.60%) with a market cap of 2.892 trillion - JD.com: +0.3 (0.26%) with a market cap of 330.63 billion - Tencent: unchanged at 611.50 with a market cap of 5.592 trillion - Meituan: -1.5 (1.44%) with a market cap of 626.43 billion [3] Sector Trends - The market saw a resurgence in military stocks, while sectors such as wind power, gold, non-ferrous metals, gaming, lithium batteries, and construction materials experienced upward movement [3] - Conversely, financial and energy sectors showed weakness, with real estate stocks also underperforming [3] Trading Activity - The total trading volume for the day was 146.204 billion HKD, marking the first time in five months that daily trading volume fell below 200 billion HKD, indicating a tightening of liquidity as the year-end approaches [4] - Short selling amounted to 15.035 billion HKD, representing 10.28% of the total trading volume, with a decrease in short selling ratio to a five-day low [4][5] Market Sentiment - Despite the Hang Seng Index facing resistance at the 26,000 point level, there remains a cautious optimism regarding localized hot sectors, with a notable rotation of market interest [6] - Long-term outlook suggests that recent adjustments in the Hong Kong market may present attractive entry points for investors, as indicated by JPMorgan's upgrade of Chinese stocks to "overweight" [8] A-share Market - The A-share market also saw a rebound, with total trading volume decreasing by approximately 123.997 billion to 1.59 trillion [9] - The expectation of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is anticipated to improve market sentiment and risk appetite [9]

Core Viewpoint - The successful launch of the first wind turbine unit at the Shanghai Electric Guizhou Longli Industrial Park marks a significant milestone in establishing a complete wind power industry chain in the region, showcasing the efficiency and resource integration capabilities of Shanghai Electric Wind Power [4][7][14]. Group 1: Project Milestones - The first wind turbine unit was unveiled in Longli, Guizhou, after the successful launch of the first blade in October 2024, demonstrating rapid project execution within a year [4][6]. - The project timeline includes key milestones such as project signing in November 2023, construction commencement in March 2024, and the first blade's production in October 2024, culminating in the first unit's launch in November 2025 [6][8]. Group 2: Industry Chain Development - Shanghai Electric Wind Power has established a comprehensive wind power industry chain in Longli, covering upstream materials, core components, complete machine manufacturing, and post-operation services [7][12]. - The successful launch of the first unit is a tangible result of efficient collaboration across all segments of the industry chain, laying a solid foundation for large-scale production and capacity release [7][8]. Group 3: Future Plans and Regional Impact - The company plans to enhance the Longli base into a comprehensive ecosystem for the renewable energy industry, integrating various functional modules to support the development of a complete wind power equipment manufacturing cluster [8][14]. - The initiative aims to contribute to the regional "dual carbon" goals and high-quality economic development by creating a green energy network across five provinces and one municipality in Southwest China [8][10].