Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a slight increase of 0.09% on October 27, with Xiamen Airport leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3996.94, up 1.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13489.4, up 1.51% [1]. Summary by Category Stock Performance - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 16.00, up 1.91% with a trading volume of 127,600 shares and a turnover of 204 million yuan - China National Aviation (601111) closed at 8.46, up 1.08% with a trading volume of 532,900 shares - China Southern Airlines (600029) closed at 6.60, up 0.30% with a trading volume of 431,700 shares - Shanghai Airport (600009) remained unchanged at 31.37 with a trading volume of 71,700 shares - Hainan Airlines (600221) closed at 1.68, unchanged with a trading volume of 3,633,800 shares - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 4.83, down 0.41% with a trading volume of 953,200 shares [1][2]. Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 153 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 107 million yuan [2][3]. - The detailed capital flow for key stocks indicates that: - China Southern Airlines had a net inflow of 29.35 million yuan from institutional investors - Hainan Airlines experienced a net outflow of 19.17 million yuan from institutional investors - Xiamen Airport had a net inflow of 6.56 million yuan from institutional investors [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry shows resilient demand, with a year-on-year growth of 12.7% in September, indicating a steady expansion of the market [4][25] - The logistics sector is witnessing technological advancements, with JD Logistics planning to procure 3 million robots and 100,000 unmanned vehicles over the next five years, which may enhance supply chain efficiency [5] - The shipping market is expected to benefit from geopolitical factors and trade negotiations, potentially increasing demand for oil transportation and bulk shipping [6][10] - The aviation sector is experiencing growth, with a 10.8% increase in international flight volumes for the upcoming winter-spring season, reflecting a recovery in air travel [10][12] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - In September 2025, the express delivery business volume reached 16.88 billion pieces, a 12.7% year-on-year increase, with revenue of 127.37 billion yuan, up 7.2% [4][25] - Major players like SF Express and JD Logistics are expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost control, with significant growth potential [14] Shipping and Ports - The VLCC market may benefit from U.S. sanctions on Russian oil, potentially increasing long-distance shipping demand [6] - The shipping market is expected to see a recovery driven by environmental regulations and geopolitical stability, with recommendations to focus on companies like China Shipping and COSCO [14][15] Aviation - The aviation industry is projected to maintain steady growth, with a 10.3% increase in total transport turnover and a 5.2% rise in passenger transport volume in the first three quarters of 2025 [10] - Airbus has opened a new A320 assembly line in Tianjin, marking a significant milestone in Sino-European cooperation [9] Road and Rail - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with rail freight increasing by 2.33% and highway freight truck traffic rising by 24.72% [13] - Strategic partnerships in the highway sector are being formed to enhance service offerings and operational efficiency [13] Overall Market Performance - From October 20 to October 24, 2025, the transportation sector index increased by 1.12%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 2.88% [20][23]

Group 1 - The aviation and airport sector experienced a decline of 1.41% on October 24, with China National Aviation leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3950.31, up 0.71%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13289.18, up 2.02% [1] - Xiamen Airport saw a closing price of 15.70, with an increase of 2.28%, while China Eastern Airlines closed at 4.85, down 1.82% [1] Group 2 - The aviation and airport sector had a net outflow of 197 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 100 million yuan [2] - Shenzhen Airport had a net inflow of 14.99 million yuan from institutional investors, while China National Aviation experienced a net outflow of 10.24 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow showed that retail investors contributed positively to some stocks, despite the overall sector decline [2]

Market Overview - On October 23, the aviation and airport sector rose by 0.38% compared to the previous trading day, with Shenzhen Airport leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3922.41, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13025.45, also up 0.22% [1] Stock Performance - Shenzhen Airport (000089) closed at 7.40, up 3.06% with a trading volume of 554,900 shares and a turnover of 408 million yuan [1] - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 15.35, up 1.12% with a trading volume of 67,900 shares and a turnover of 105 million yuan [1] - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 4.94, up 0.82% with a trading volume of 966,200 shares and a turnover of 473 million yuan [1] - China Southern Airlines (600029) closed at 6.66, up 0.45% with a trading volume of 608,500 shares and a turnover of 403 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net inflow of 32.22 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net inflow of 35.07 million yuan [2] - However, speculative funds recorded a net outflow of 67.29 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - China Southern Airlines (600029) had a net inflow of 69.47 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 34.49 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - China Eastern Airlines (600115) saw a net inflow of 39.42 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 3.79 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Shenzhen Airport (000089) experienced a net outflow of 11.13 million yuan from institutional investors, but had a net inflow of 5.62 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Market Performance - The market experienced a strong surge, with all three major indices closing higher at midday: Shanghai Composite Index up 1.2%, Shenzhen Component Index up 1.97%, and ChiNext Index up 2.92% [1] - Over 4,600 stocks rose across the two markets, with a total trading volume of 1.15 trillion yuan [1] Industry Highlights - The cultivated diamond sector continued its strong performance, rising by 5.23% at midday, with stocks like Inno Laser, Sifangda, Huifeng Diamond, Huanghe Xunfeng, and Hengsheng Energy hitting the daily limit [3] - The deep earth technology sector remained robust, with ShenKai Co. and Petrochemical Machinery both achieving two consecutive trading limits, and several other stocks also hitting the daily limit [3] - The computing hardware sector maintained its strength, with active performance in the Apple supply chain and a significant rise in storage chip concepts [3] Sector Adjustments - The coal industry faced a decline, dropping 1.24% at midday, with notable declines in stocks such as Antai Group down 6.42% and Baotailong down 5.91% [3] - The aviation, airport, and gas sectors followed suit with slight declines, while the banking and liquor sectors showed relative weakness but with minimal overall declines [3] News Developments - At the 15th China Henan International Investment and Trade Fair, Power Diamond announced the successful cultivation of a 156.47-carat artificial diamond rough [3] - Recent outbreaks of avian influenza have been reported in multiple regions of Germany, with numerous migratory birds found dead [3] - Chery has achieved a technological breakthrough in the solid-state battery full industry chain and showcased the Rhino S solid-state battery module [3]

Market Overview - On October 22, the aviation and airport sector declined by 0.19% compared to the previous trading day, with Huaxia Airlines leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3913.76, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.61, down 0.62% [1] Stock Performance - Key stocks in the aviation and airport sector showed mixed performance, with China Eastern Airlines up by 0.82% to 4.90, while Huaxia Airlines fell by 2.36% to 10.77 [2][3] - The trading volume and turnover for major stocks included: - China Eastern Airlines: 1.0972 million shares, turnover of 534 million yuan - Huaxia Airlines: 327,400 shares, turnover of 351 million yuan - Xiamen Airport: 48,400 shares, turnover of 73.69 million yuan [1][2] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 152 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 168 million yuan [2][3] - Detailed capital flow for selected stocks included: - China Eastern Airlines: Net inflow of 50.62 million yuan from institutional investors - Huaxia Airlines: Net inflow of 2.51 million yuan from institutional investors - Xiamen Airport: Net outflow of 6.81 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent cold air mass has led to significant wind, temperature drops, and precipitation in the central and eastern regions, reviving interest in the ice and snow economy, with related concepts gaining notable traction [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Companies such as Dalian Shengya and Hainan Airport have seen continuous stock price increases [1] - The tourism ETF (562510) experienced a significant increase in trading volume on October 20 [1] Group 2: Airline Sector Outlook - The airline sector is expected to see an improvement in performance, with a continued tightening of flight schedules compared to the previous year, indicating a bottoming out of the market [1] - Factors such as "anti-involution" and a low base are likely to contribute to a year-on-year increase in ticket prices, which may continue into the fourth quarter [1] - A decline in oil prices is anticipated to alleviate cost pressures for airlines, collectively enhancing airline profitability [1] Group 3: Tourism ETF Insights - The tourism ETF (562510) tracks the CSI Tourism Theme Index, covering various segments including scenic spots, airports, duty-free shops, and hotel catering [1] - The ETF is expected to benefit from multiple catalysts such as ice and snow tourism, outbound travel, and visa-free policies [1]

Core Insights - The transportation sector in China showed a cumulative increase of 0.37% from October 13 to October 18, ranking 4th among 31 SW primary industries, while the CSI 300 index decreased by 2.22% [2] Subsector Performance - The performance of various subsectors within transportation during the week was as follows: Shipping (3.06%), Airport (2.57%), Expressway (2.33%), Road Freight (1.08%), Port (0.83%), Railway (0.22%), Bus (-2.00%), Cross-border Logistics (-3.49%), Express (-4.36%), and Warehousing Logistics (-4.76%) [1][3] Airline Sector Analysis - Domestic and international capacity recovery rates for major listed airlines in September 2025 compared to the same month in 2019 were as follows: Air China (145.09%), China Southern Airlines (116.42%), China Eastern Airlines (115.45%), Hainan Airlines (92.17%), Juneyao Airlines (115.48%), and Spring Airlines (176.49%) for domestic ASK; and for international ASK: 98.13%, 94.97%, 105.34%, 73.58%, 219.78%, and 81.74% respectively [3] Oil Prices and Exchange Rates - As of October 17, 2025, Brent crude oil was priced at $61.29 per barrel, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 2.79% and a year-on-year decrease of 17.68% [3] - The exchange rate of the Chinese Yuan against the US Dollar was 7.1048, with a week-on-week depreciation of 0.08% and a year-on-year depreciation of 0.38% [3] Airport Traffic Recovery - Major airports in China showed the following recovery rates for domestic passenger throughput in September 2025 compared to 2019: Baiyun Airport (115.74%), Shanghai Airport (125.22%), Capital Airport (89.82%), and Shenzhen Airport (119.73%) [4] Shipping and Port Metrics - The SCFI index was reported at 1310 points, a week-on-week increase of 12.92% but a year-on-year decrease of 36.46% as of October 17, 2025 [4] - The CCFI index was at 973 points, with a week-on-week decrease of 4.11% and a year-on-year decrease of 30.75% [4] Dry Bulk Shipping Metrics - The BDI index was reported at 2069 points, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 6.87% and a year-on-year increase of 29.80% [5] Road and Rail Performance - In August 2025, railway passenger volume was 505 million, a year-on-year increase of 6.55%, while road passenger volume was 950 million, a year-on-year decrease of 4.80% [5] Express Delivery Sector - The express delivery industry achieved a revenue of 1189.60 billion Yuan in August 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.20%, with a business volume of 16.15 billion pieces, up 12.30% year-on-year [5] Investment Recommendations - The airline sector is expected to benefit from increased international flights and domestic demand recovery, with recommendations for stocks such as Air China, China Southern Airlines, and others [6] - The airport sector is advised to focus on bottom-fishing opportunities due to the anticipated recovery in international passenger traffic [6] - The cross-border logistics sector is expected to benefit from the growth of cross-border e-commerce, with a recommendation to pay attention to Huamao Logistics [7] - The express delivery sector is seen as having growth potential due to the acceleration of e-commerce and improved industry dynamics [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The express logistics sector is experiencing resilient demand, with a "de-involution" trend driving up express prices, enhancing corporate profitability. The long-term outlook for e-commerce express logistics is positive due to healthy competition [3][13] - The shipping sector is expected to benefit from the OPEC+ production increase and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a notable improvement in VLCC freight rates anticipated in Q4 2025 [13] - The aviation industry is seeing stable demand growth, with supply chain issues leading to increased costs for airlines. The overall passenger demand is projected to grow by 10.4% in 2024, outpacing capacity growth [9][14] Summary by Sections Express Logistics - In September 2025, major express companies reported improved performance, with YTO, Shentong, and Yunda achieving business volumes of 2.627 billion, 2.187 billion, and 2.110 billion pieces, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 13.64%, 9.46%, and 3.63% [3][27] - The average revenue per piece for these companies also saw increases, indicating a trend of rising prices in the express delivery sector [3][27] Shipping and Ports - The implementation of new port fees between China and the US is expected to create a dual market structure, granting strategic pricing power to compliant shipping capacities [5] - China has secured pricing power for iron ore, marking a significant shift in global commodity trade dynamics [6] - The Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) rose by 12.9% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend in shipping rates [7] Aviation - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported that supply chain bottlenecks are delaying aircraft production, leading to increased costs for airlines, estimated to exceed $11 billion in 2025 [9] - Chinese airlines collectively oppose the US Department of Transportation's proposed flight restrictions, highlighting concerns over operational impacts [10] Road and Rail - National logistics operations were reported to be running smoothly, with significant increases in highway freight traffic [12] - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to enhance electric vehicle charging infrastructure along highways by 2027 [12] Overall Market Performance - From October 13 to October 17, 2025, the transportation sector index increased by 0.73%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 1.47% [18]

Core Insights - The aviation and airport sector experienced a significant increase of 3.27% on October 20, with China Eastern Airlines leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3863.89, up 0.63%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12813.21, up 0.98% [1] Stock Performance - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 4.78, up 6.70%, with a trading volume of 3.0187 million shares and a turnover of 1.412 billion [1] - Southern Airlines (600029) closed at 6.60, up 6.28%, with a trading volume of 1.7359 million shares and a turnover of 1.122 billion [1] - Xiamen Airport (600897) saw a decline of 0.85%, closing at 15.20, with a trading volume of 130,300 shares [2] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net inflow of 757 million in main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 534 million [2][3] - Southern Airlines had a net inflow of 184 million from main funds, but a net outflow of 134 million from retail investors [3] - China Eastern Airlines recorded a net inflow of 150 million from main funds, with a net outflow of 147 million from retail investors [3]